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EMCF NASDAQ

Emclaire Financial Corp
1W: -0.3% 1M: -2.1% 3M: +0.0% 1Y: +16.2% 3Y: +2.8% 5Y: +29.8%
$31.60
Last traded 2022-12-30 — delisted
NASDAQ · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
46.8 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: -25.1%
Cost Advantage ★
67
Intangibles
63
Switching Cost
50
Network Effect
19
Scale
15
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. EMCF shows a Weak competitive edge (46.8/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. Negative ROIC of -25.1% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 31 Grade C
Profitability
71
Balance Sheet
63
Earnings Quality
55
Growth
45
Value
86
Momentum
38
Safety
50
Cash Flow
16
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. EMCF scores highest in Value (86/100) and lowest in Cash Flow (16/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
2.21
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-1.22
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-4.36
Bankruptcy prob: 1.3%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB+
Score: 64.8/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: 0.08x
Accruals: 0.9%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. EMCF scores 2.21, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. EMCF scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. EMCF's score of -1.22 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. EMCF's implied 1.3% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. EMCF receives an estimated rating of BBB+ (score: 64.8/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). EMCF's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
8.45x
PEG
2.58x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
0.89x
P/FCF
98.96x
P/OCF
116.44x
EV/EBITDA
-1.52x
EV/Revenue
-0.77x
EV/EBIT
-1.66x
EV/FCF
-28.18x
Earnings Yield
10.66%
FCF Yield
1.01%
Shareholder Yield
3.68%
Graham Number
$46.56
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 8.4x earnings, EMCF trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 10.7% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $46.56 per share, suggesting a potential 47% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.813
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.763
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.462
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.034
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
12.801
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
12.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. EMCF's ROE of 12.6% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 12.80x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$144.66
Price/Value
0.24x
Margin of Safety
75.63%
Premium
-75.63%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with EMCF's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. EMCF actually compounded EPS at 15.2% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. At an intrinsic value of $144.66, EMCF appears undervalued with a 76% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 8.4x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$31.60
Median 1Y
$29.11
5th Pctile
$13.52
95th Pctile
$62.71
Ann. Volatility
47.1%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
ROE 7.6% 8.2% 8.7% 7.6% 6.1% 7.0% 7.9% 9.2% 9.6% 8.3% 7.2% 6.7% 7.6% 8.7% 9.2% 10.8% 10.8% 11.8% 12.4% 12.6% 12.58%
ROA 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.98%
ROIC -23.9% -23.0% -16.6% -19.7% 89.4% 2.3% -48.2% -22.5% -48.2% 96.5% -4.4% -2.1% -41.0% -16.7% -12.2% -13.8% -14.6% -19.3% -21.3% -25.1% -25.07%
ROCE 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 1.9% 1.8% 1.6% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.5% 1.6% 1.7% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.66%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.00%
Operating Margin 50.1% 41.2% 40.6% 37.1% 24.5% 52.1% 54.6% 58.2% 62.2% 47.3% 44.8% 49.1% 59.9% 46.7% 44.9% 53.0% 49.0% 44.4% 41.3% 49.9% 49.88%
Net Margin 9.7% 20.2% 19.5% 16.1% 3.7% 25.2% 26.1% 26.4% 23.6% 15.4% 15.6% 21.5% 31.0% 25.0% 23.3% 33.8% 29.7% 27.8% 24.7% 32.2% 32.20%
EBITDA Margin 56.5% 46.7% 45.6% 42.2% 29.6% 57.1% 59.9% 63.6% 69.2% 53.1% 50.4% 54.5% 65.5% 51.8% 50.3% 57.7% 50.9% 49.4% 46.2% 54.5% 54.53%
FCF Margin 33.3% 34.0% 32.8% 20.5% 19.9% 15.7% 16.1% 25.9% 27.5% 32.0% 28.8% 27.0% 25.9% 34.7% 49.4% 25.5% 9.5% -10.2% -24.3% 2.7% 2.72%
OCF Margin 33.3% 34.4% 33.2% 21.6% 23.0% 20.3% 21.4% 31.5% 33.3% 36.6% 32.9% 30.5% 29.5% 38.0% 51.9% 28.0% 9.5% -10.3% -24.3% 2.3% 2.31%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 10.57%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 9.41%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.83%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 14.94%
Cash ROA snapshot only 0.08%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 37.56%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 35.24%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 1.16%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.28%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
P/E Ratio 16.29 16.19 15.46 18.83 19.04 16.89 15.09 13.38 11.15 8.99 8.80 11.70 12.37 10.32 9.92 7.37 7.82 9.92 8.86 9.38 8.449
P/S Ratio 2.82 2.98 2.96 3.13 2.79 2.75 2.74 2.77 2.83 2.06 1.77 2.21 2.58 2.39 2.49 2.10 2.21 2.87 2.58 2.69 0.000
P/B Ratio 1.18 1.29 1.31 1.42 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.04 1.03 0.73 0.62 0.76 0.91 0.88 0.89 0.78 0.82 1.19 1.19 1.37 0.887
P/FCF 8.48 8.77 9.03 15.29 14.00 17.54 17.04 10.69 10.29 6.45 6.15 8.16 9.97 6.90 5.05 8.23 23.25 -28.22 -10.64 98.96 98.960
P/OCF 8.48 8.66 8.90 14.52 12.13 13.56 12.79 8.79 8.50 5.64 5.38 7.24 8.76 6.30 4.80 7.49 23.25 — — 116.44 116.437
EV/EBITDA -1.61 -1.34 -2.41 -1.20 0.86 0.42 -1.50 -3.18 -1.42 -0.50 -2.04 -1.58 -2.25 -5.07 -6.64 -6.49 -6.08 -3.00 -2.71 -1.52 -1.521
EV/Revenue -0.80 -0.68 -1.22 -0.57 0.35 0.19 -0.72 -1.69 -0.88 -0.31 -1.20 -0.89 -1.26 -2.81 -3.68 -3.65 -3.21 -1.57 -1.39 -0.77 -0.765
EV/EBIT -1.82 -1.51 -2.70 -1.36 0.99 0.48 -1.68 -3.53 -1.56 -0.55 -2.27 -1.76 -2.50 -5.62 -7.35 -7.15 -6.62 -3.27 -2.95 -1.66 -1.657
EV/FCF -2.42 -2.00 -3.72 -2.79 1.77 1.18 -4.46 -6.53 -3.20 -0.96 -4.15 -3.28 -4.86 -8.10 -7.44 -14.32 -33.87 15.46 5.72 -28.18 -28.181
Earnings Yield 6.1% 6.2% 6.5% 5.3% 5.3% 5.9% 6.6% 7.5% 9.0% 11.1% 11.4% 8.5% 8.1% 9.7% 10.1% 13.6% 12.8% 10.1% 11.3% 10.7% 10.66%
FCF Yield 11.8% 11.4% 11.1% 6.5% 7.1% 5.7% 5.9% 9.4% 9.7% 15.5% 16.3% 12.2% 10.0% 14.5% 19.8% 12.1% 4.3% -3.5% -9.4% 1.0% 1.01%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 2.577
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.923
EV/OCF snapshot only -33.158
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only -0.765
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only -1.657
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 3.68%
Graham Number snapshot only $46.56
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Current Ratio 1501.54 260.79 262.83 257.58 57.05 205.06 284.83 289.44 283.35 52.81 332.45 346.95 348.86 352.35 354.74 355.36 — 53.85 52.35 7.04 7.039
Quick Ratio 1501.54 260.79 262.83 257.58 57.05 205.06 284.83 289.44 283.35 52.81 332.45 346.95 348.86 352.35 354.74 355.36 — 53.85 52.35 7.04 7.039
Debt/Equity 0.44 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.57 0.43 0.40 0.39 0.33 0.69 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.29 0.00 0.21 0.22 0.30 0.296
Net Debt/Equity -1.52 -1.58 -1.86 -1.68 -0.88 -0.95 -1.28 -1.67 -1.35 -0.83 -1.03 -1.07 -1.36 -1.91 -2.21 -2.13 -2.01 -1.85 -1.82 -1.77 -1.766
Debt/Assets 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.06 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.020
Debt/EBITDA 2.11 1.58 1.50 1.54 3.87 2.65 2.28 1.98 1.47 3.21 1.77 1.84 1.78 1.74 1.74 1.38 0.00 0.96 0.95 1.15 1.150
Net Debt/EBITDA -7.25 -7.23 -8.24 -7.81 -5.98 -5.84 -7.22 -8.39 -5.97 -3.87 -5.06 -5.50 -6.88 -9.40 -11.15 -10.23 -10.25 -8.49 -7.75 -6.86 -6.863
Interest Coverage 2.42 2.47 2.49 2.28 1.90 1.96 2.01 2.06 2.19 2.00 1.85 1.82 2.02 2.28 2.55 3.09 3.42 3.76 4.19 4.22 4.217
Equity Multiplier 12.69 12.84 13.03 12.96 11.23 10.84 10.78 10.96 10.66 10.79 11.33 11.54 11.28 11.75 11.87 11.49 10.93 12.20 13.09 14.55 14.549
Cash Ratio snapshot only 6.866
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 4.594
Cash to Debt snapshot only 6.970
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.047
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Asset Turnover 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.034
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 12.24 12.19 12.96 11.97 12.00 12.17 13.14 12.76 12.13 11.00 10.37 8.88 10.13 9.42 8.78 8.15 0.09 8.82 9.57 9.03 9.030
Payables Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 —
DSO 30 30 28 30 30 30 28 29 30 33 35 41 36 39 42 45 3968 41 38 40 40.4 days
DIO — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DPO — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Conversion Cycle — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.299
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.248
Capital Intensity snapshot only 28.447
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Revenue 10.4% 10.2% 12.4% 13.1% 16.3% 19.0% 18.2% 18.9% 9.1% 1.8% -1.1% -3.8% 3.2% 8.3% 8.0% 12.6% 11.4% 8.3% 10.5% 3.9% 3.89%
Net Income 7.3% 13.1% 18.9% -8.0% -1.5% 5.3% 11.9% 47.8% 88.8% 43.2% 9.8% -12.3% -15.2% 9.5% 34.7% 70.2% 50.7% 34.9% 28.2% 4.5% 4.54%
EPS 1.6% 8.3% 13.2% -10.4% -14.4% -11.6% -6.6% 24.2% 83.1% 43.1% 9.7% -12.8% -15.1% 7.6% 34.2% 69.0% 49.3% 34.7% 27.3% 3.6% 3.63%
FCF 1.3% 1.0% 50.9% -35.4% -30.3% -45.1% -42.1% 50.3% 50.5% 1.1% 77.6% 0.4% -2.8% 17.6% 85.0% 6.3% -59.2% -1.3% -1.5% -88.9% -88.93%
EBITDA 16.9% 17.9% 20.6% 7.7% -5.0% 3.3% 11.3% 33.2% 66.1% 41.6% 21.3% 1.9% -7.3% -2.0% 1.9% 12.7% 5.6% 2.2% 2.3% -7.0% -7.02%
Op. Income 18.6% 20.2% 23.2% 8.4% -6.0% 3.0% 11.6% 35.7% 73.0% 44.8% 22.2% 1.2% -8.2% -2.2% 2.4% 14.3% 7.8% 4.0% 4.1% -6.0% -6.00%
OCF Growth snapshot only -91.44%
Asset Growth snapshot only -4.83%
Equity Growth snapshot only -24.85%
Debt Growth snapshot only -22.37%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.88%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 3.26%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Revenue 3Y 6.3% 7.9% 8.6% 8.4% 10.9% 12.4% 12.9% 13.8% 11.9% 10.1% 9.5% 8.9% 9.4% 9.5% 8.1% 8.8% 7.9% 6.1% 5.7% 4.0% 4.03%
Revenue 5Y 4.5% 5.5% 6.8% 7.8% 8.6% 9.0% 9.6% 10.3% 8.8% 8.8% 8.4% 7.8% 9.0% 9.4% 9.0% 9.8% 10.0% 9.4% 9.4% 8.6% 8.64%
EPS 3Y -6.1% -2.1% 1.3% -2.1% -6.2% -1.8% 2.4% 12.7% 16.8% 11.1% 5.1% -1.0% 10.0% 10.8% 11.2% 22.3% 32.4% 27.5% 23.3% 15.2% 15.17%
EPS 5Y -2.1% 0.7% 4.5% -0.1% -5.7% -3.1% -0.3% 3.6% 5.4% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 5.1% 7.8% 9.6% 16.1% 15.1% 14.7% 14.6% 11.2% 11.20%
Net Income 3Y 2.1% 5.8% 8.1% 0.0% 0.5% 5.7% 10.7% 21.5% 25.9% 19.5% 13.5% 6.1% 16.4% 18.2% 18.3% 30.2% 34.2% 28.4% 23.8% 16.0% 15.99%
Net Income 5Y 3.2% 6.2% 9.9% 4.8% 2.0% 5.4% 8.7% 12.7% 14.6% 12.3% 9.2% 5.4% 10.2% 13.1% 14.9% 21.8% 20.6% 20.3% 20.4% 16.2% 16.25%
EBITDA 3Y 10.4% 12.2% 13.4% 9.4% 7.8% 11.3% 14.2% 20.2% 22.6% 19.9% 17.6% 13.5% 13.5% 12.8% 11.2% 15.2% 17.6% 12.4% 8.2% 2.2% 2.21%
EBITDA 5Y 3.1% 5.3% 7.9% 6.4% 4.6% 8.1% 11.3% 14.6% 16.2% 15.6% 14.5% 12.2% 14.0% 13.9% 13.0% 14.8% 12.5% 11.6% 11.2% 8.9% 8.90%
Gross Profit 3Y 6.3% 7.9% 8.6% 8.4% 10.9% 12.4% 12.9% 13.8% 11.9% 10.1% 9.5% 8.9% 9.4% 9.5% 8.1% 8.8% 7.9% 6.1% 5.7% 4.0% 4.03%
Gross Profit 5Y 4.5% 5.5% 6.8% 7.8% 8.6% 9.0% 9.6% 10.3% 8.8% 8.8% 8.4% 7.8% 9.0% 9.4% 9.0% 9.8% 10.0% 9.4% 9.4% 8.6% 8.64%
Op. Income 3Y 10.4% 12.7% 14.2% 9.6% 8.0% 12.0% 15.1% 21.9% 24.5% 21.5% 18.9% 14.2% 14.3% 13.4% 11.8% 16.2% 19.6% 13.8% 9.2% 2.8% 2.83%
Op. Income 5Y 2.6% 4.9% 7.8% 6.1% 4.0% 7.8% 11.4% 15.2% 17.0% 16.4% 15.2% 12.6% 14.9% 14.7% 13.8% 16.0% 13.8% 12.8% 12.4% 9.8% 9.85%
FCF 3Y 66.2% 46.5% 1.1% — 59.6% 46.4% 8.0% 57.1% 34.8% 32.6% 15.8% -0.8% 0.7% 10.2% 23.9% 17.1% -15.8% — — -50.9% -50.93%
FCF 5Y 40.7% 41.5% 48.9% 31.9% 14.4% 24.5% 27.9% 11.0% 36.9% 29.1% 56.9% — 42.8% 50.2% 32.8% 32.8% -0.6% — — -35.1% -35.15%
OCF 3Y 14.1% 13.7% 44.9% — 24.6% 21.5% 3.7% 23.0% 22.6% 20.9% 9.8% 1.4% 5.1% 13.1% 25.3% 18.7% -19.7% — — -56.5% -56.45%
OCF 5Y 28.7% 27.4% 16.8% 5.5% -0.4% 1.1% 5.1% 3.2% 13.5% 13.6% 28.6% — 22.8% 29.9% 23.7% 12.4% -9.6% — — -37.9% -37.90%
Assets 3Y 8.8% 8.6% 9.0% 9.9% 14.4% 13.6% 9.2% 10.7% 9.8% 10.2% 10.8% 10.2% 11.2% 12.2% 12.6% 12.0% 5.6% 5.9% 4.9% 3.1% 3.13%
Assets 5Y 8.1% 8.0% 7.9% 8.0% 11.3% 10.7% 9.3% 9.7% 9.5% 9.9% 10.9% 12.2% 11.4% 11.9% 9.7% 9.4% 8.9% 8.4% 7.3% 5.9% 5.94%
Equity 3Y 7.2% 6.3% 1.5% 3.7% 14.8% 15.0% 15.4% 15.9% 16.7% 16.9% 16.1% 14.5% 15.7% 15.6% 16.2% 16.6% 6.6% 1.8% -1.7% -6.2% -6.18%
Book Value 3Y -1.4% -1.6% -4.8% 1.5% 7.2% 6.8% 6.8% 7.4% 8.2% 8.7% 7.4% 6.9% 9.3% 8.4% 9.2% 9.5% 5.2% 1.2% -2.1% -6.8% -6.84%
Dividend 3Y -6.1% -5.1% -3.6% 0.6% -1.9% -1.5% 0.1% 1.3% -1.4% -2.5% -5.2% -5.5% -4.4% -5.3% -5.3% -5.6% -1.1% -0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.66%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Revenue Stability 0.84 0.87 0.91 0.94 0.90 0.87 0.89 0.89 0.92 0.94 0.93 0.89 0.97 0.96 0.94 0.93 0.98 0.97 0.94 0.90 0.902
Earnings Stability 0.80 0.92 0.91 0.52 0.67 0.92 0.89 0.62 0.47 0.72 0.93 0.58 0.61 0.85 0.88 0.76 0.80 0.91 0.90 0.82 0.818
Margin Stability 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.97 0.95 0.92 0.97 0.99 0.98 0.95 0.81 0.50 0.83 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.96 0.86 0.50 0.50 0.86 0.89 0.98 0.982
Earnings Smoothness 0.93 0.88 0.83 0.92 0.98 0.95 0.89 0.61 0.38 0.64 0.91 0.87 0.84 0.91 0.70 0.48 0.60 0.70 0.75 0.96 0.956
ROE Trend -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 0.03 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.061
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Margin Trend 0.22 0.21 0.11 -0.02 -0.05 -0.10 -0.13 -0.02 0.01 0.07 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.11 0.27 -0.01 -0.17 -0.43 -0.63 -0.24 -0.235
Sustainable Growth Rate 3.4% 4.0% 4.4% 3.3% 2.1% 2.9% 3.5% 4.6% 5.6% 4.4% 3.3% 2.8% 3.7% 4.8% 5.4% 7.1% 7.1% 7.8% 8.3% 8.2% 8.23%
Internal Growth Rate 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.65%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.92 1.87 1.74 1.30 1.57 1.25 1.18 1.52 1.31 1.59 1.64 1.62 1.41 1.64 2.07 0.98 0.34 -0.36 -0.83 0.08 0.081
FCF/OCF 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.95 0.87 0.77 0.75 0.82 0.83 0.87 0.88 0.89 0.88 0.91 0.95 0.91 1.00 0.98 1.00 1.18 1.177
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.095
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.046
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 1.1% 3.1% 4.6% 5.3% 5.6% 5.8% 4.6% 4.1% 3.4% 3.6% 3.3% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.4% 0.41%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.099
Accruals Ratio -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.009
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.691
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.224
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Dividend Yield 3.4% 3.2% 3.2% 3.0% 3.4% 3.5% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 5.3% 6.2% 5.0% 4.1% 4.3% 4.1% 4.7% 4.4% 3.4% 3.7% 3.7% 3.92%
Dividend/Share $1.03 $1.07 $1.09 $1.11 $1.04 $1.07 $1.15 $1.21 $1.22 $1.24 $1.23 $1.25 $1.26 $1.25 $1.26 $1.26 $1.26 $1.27 $1.28 $1.30 $1.24
Payout Ratio 55.5% 51.9% 49.0% 55.9% 65.4% 58.8% 55.4% 49.3% 41.7% 47.3% 54.3% 58.2% 50.9% 44.5% 41.2% 34.7% 34.0% 33.5% 32.9% 34.6% 34.56%
FCF Payout Ratio 28.9% 28.1% 28.6% 45.4% 48.1% 61.1% 62.6% 39.4% 38.4% 34.0% 37.9% 40.6% 41.0% 29.7% 20.9% 38.7% 1.0% — — 3.6% 3.65%
Total Payout Ratio 87.7% 81.2% 76.2% 86.4% 65.4% 58.8% 55.4% 49.3% 41.7% 47.3% 54.3% 58.2% 50.9% 44.5% 41.2% 34.7% 34.0% 33.5% 32.9% 34.6% 34.56%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.19 0.23 0.30 0.34 0.24 0.21 0.14 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.08 0.079
Buyback Yield 2.0% 1.8% 1.8% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 3.4% 3.2% 3.2% 3.0% 3.4% 3.5% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 5.3% 6.2% 5.0% 4.1% 4.3% 4.1% 4.7% 4.4% 3.4% 3.7% 3.7% 3.68%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.67 0.69 0.71 0.71 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.84 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.82 0.83 0.83 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.81 0.81 0.813
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.59 0.59 0.60 0.56 0.47 0.49 0.50 0.51 0.54 0.50 0.46 0.45 0.50 0.56 0.61 0.68 0.71 0.73 0.76 0.76 0.763
EBIT Margin 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.42 0.36 0.39 0.43 0.48 0.56 0.55 0.53 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.51 0.49 0.48 0.47 0.46 0.462
Asset Turnover 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.034
Equity Multiplier 12.74 12.87 13.02 12.96 11.85 11.67 11.71 11.78 10.94 10.81 11.06 11.26 10.98 11.28 11.61 11.52 11.10 11.97 12.44 12.80 12.801
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.86 $2.06 $2.22 $1.98 $1.59 $1.82 $2.07 $2.46 $2.92 $2.61 $2.27 $2.15 $2.48 $2.81 $3.05 $3.63 $3.70 $3.78 $3.88 $3.76 $3.76
Book Value/Share $25.74 $25.94 $26.10 $26.19 $30.27 $30.36 $30.88 $31.71 $31.50 $32.37 $32.39 $32.92 $33.57 $33.02 $33.97 $34.42 $35.24 $31.43 $29.00 $25.64 $35.61
Tangible Book/Share $21.05 $21.22 $21.44 $21.54 $22.38 $22.66 $23.27 $24.05 $23.90 $24.73 $24.84 $25.37 $26.03 $25.57 $26.51 $26.98 $27.84 $24.06 $21.66 $18.33 $18.33
Revenue/Share $10.75 $11.20 $11.59 $11.91 $10.87 $11.19 $11.43 $11.90 $11.50 $11.38 $11.29 $11.39 $11.87 $12.11 $12.14 $12.73 $13.10 $13.09 $13.32 $13.11 $13.24
FCF/Share $3.58 $3.81 $3.80 $2.44 $2.17 $1.76 $1.83 $3.08 $3.16 $3.64 $3.25 $3.08 $3.07 $4.20 $6.00 $3.25 $1.24 $-1.33 $-3.23 $0.36 $1.26
OCF/Share $3.58 $3.86 $3.85 $2.57 $2.50 $2.27 $2.44 $3.74 $3.83 $4.16 $3.72 $3.47 $3.50 $4.60 $6.30 $3.57 $1.24 $-1.35 $-3.24 $0.30 $1.26
Cash/Share $50.32 $49.95 $57.24 $52.80 $43.67 $41.78 $51.91 $65.46 $53.12 $49.35 $45.24 $46.97 $57.31 $74.68 $86.59 $83.08 $71.01 $64.62 $59.40 $52.87 $71.75
EBITDA/Share $5.38 $5.67 $5.88 $5.64 $4.44 $4.92 $5.46 $6.31 $7.14 $6.96 $6.62 $6.40 $6.62 $6.71 $6.72 $7.16 $6.92 $6.84 $6.83 $6.60 $6.60
Debt/Share $11.32 $8.94 $8.80 $8.70 $17.16 $13.06 $12.46 $12.47 $10.47 $22.39 $11.72 $11.76 $11.76 $11.65 $11.68 $9.86 $0.00 $6.55 $6.51 $7.59 $7.59
Net Debt/Share $-39.00 $-41.01 $-48.45 $-44.10 $-26.51 $-28.72 $-39.44 $-52.99 $-42.64 $-26.96 $-33.51 $-35.21 $-45.55 $-63.03 $-74.91 $-73.23 $-71.01 $-58.08 $-52.89 $-45.29 $-45.29
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.210
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.204
Piotroski F-Score 6 7 7 6 4 4 6 6 7 4 6 5 6 7 7 6 5 4 4 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.31 -2.37 -2.29 -2.46 -2.31 -2.25 -2.36 -2.26 -2.43 -2.42 -2.19 -2.05 -2.12 -2.03 -2.05 -2.13 163.35 -0.71 -2.75 -1.22 -1.215
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.356
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 11.60%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-293.18
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB+
Credit Score 63.76 66.93 66.53 61.47 58.31 60.32 60.43 71.38 68.95 63.62 64.50 63.98 63.39 65.19 69.49 74.89 61.28 61.12 62.34 64.82 64.818
Credit Grade snapshot only 8
Credit Trend snapshot only -10.074
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 225.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 59
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 54

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