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EMPD NASDAQ

Empery Digital Inc.
1W: +8.3% 1M: -1.6% 3M: -23.1% YTD: -32.7% 1Y: -58.9%
$3.13
+0.07 (+2.29%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±8.1%
$3 $3 $3 $3 $4
NASDAQ · Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturers · Tech Score Neutral · Power 45 · $88.0M mcap · 17M float · 2.22% daily turnover · Short 56% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
46.7 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: -20.8%
Cost Advantage
44
Intangibles
44
Switching Cost
60
Network Effect
39
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. EMPD shows a Weak competitive edge (46.7/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. Negative ROIC of -20.8% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$6
Low
$6
Avg Target
$6
High
Based on 1 analyst since Aug 11, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Rating Summary
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-09-29 Lake Street — Initiated $6 — +101.3% $2.98

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C-
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. EMPD receives an overall rating of C-. Strongest factors: P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 C C-
2026-08-11 B- C
2026-08-10 C+ B-
2026-08-03 C C+
2026-07-25 C+ C
2026-07-22 C C+
2026-06-29 C+ C
2026-06-25 C C+
2026-05-11 C+ C
2026-05-06 C C+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 26 Grade D
Profitability
0
Balance Sheet
0
Earnings Quality
30
Growth
—
Value
33
Momentum
—
Safety
0
Cash Flow
—
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. EMPD scores highest in Value (33/100) and lowest in Profitability (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-5.36
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
—
—
Ohlson O-Score
-1.93
Bankruptcy prob: 12.6%
Moderate
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 18.5/100
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 0.08x
Accruals: -139.9%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. EMPD scores -5.36, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. EMPD scores 2/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. EMPD's implied 12.6% bankruptcy probability is elevated and warrants attention to the balance sheet. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. EMPD receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 18.5/100).

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-0.29x
PEG
-0.00x
P/S
-555.86x
P/B
0.77x
P/FCF
-0.21x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
-1.02x
EV/Revenue
-959.43x
EV/EBIT
-1.01x
EV/FCF
-0.32x
Earnings Yield
-272.41%
FCF Yield
-473.16%
Shareholder Yield
149.90%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. EMPD currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.986
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.841
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
947.279
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
-0.001
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.583
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-240.0%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. EMPD's ROE of -240.0% is driven by EBIT Margin (947.279) as the dominant factor. A tax burden ratio of 0.99 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 301 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$3.13
Median 1Y
$0.00
5th Pctile
$0.00
95th Pctile
$0.00
Ann. Volatility
607.8%
Analyst Target
$6.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
15
0.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$64,998
Rev: $974,977
Profit / Employee
$-10,003,499
NI: $-150,052,486
SGA / Employee
$2,004,004
Avg labor cost proxy
R&D / Employee
$23,249
Innovation spend

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE -7.9% -53.4% -1.4% -2.4% -2.40%
ROA -7.0% -38.5% -1.1% -1.5% -1.52%
ROIC -5.8% -6.3% -11.3% -20.8% -20.81%
ROCE -7.8% -7.7% -51.0% -88.8% -88.83%
Gross Margin -47.1% 18.9% 27.9% -85.2% -85.21%
Operating Margin -173.9% -15.2% -22.0% -176.9% -176.90%
Net Margin -174.3% 164.8% -378.4% -537.8% -537.80%
EBITDA Margin -171.3% -14.6% -368.7% -523.0% -523.02%
FCF Margin -2316.0% 996.2% 1954.5% 2986.2% 2986.17%
OCF Margin -38.4% 22.9% 59.2% 132.8% 132.76%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -20.37%
Cash ROA snapshot only -11.70%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -12.71%
CROIC snapshot only -2.86%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 217.38%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 1743.87%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 1.99%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only -273.54%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only -117.01%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio -7.86 -0.59 -0.61 -0.37 -0.285
P/S Ratio 1370.31 -182.04 -586.15 -631.11 -555.855
P/B Ratio 0.62 0.31 0.84 0.88 0.775
P/FCF -0.59 -0.18 -0.30 -0.21 -0.211
P/OCF — — — — —
EV/EBITDA -8.88 -5.11 -1.67 -1.02 -1.017
EV/Revenue 1521.79 -267.33 -753.80 -959.43 -959.434
EV/EBIT -8.83 -5.04 -1.66 -1.01 -1.013
EV/FCF -0.66 -0.27 -0.39 -0.32 -0.321
Earnings Yield -12.7% -1.7% -1.6% -2.7% -2.72%
FCF Yield -1.7% -5.5% -3.3% -4.7% -4.73%
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 1.50%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.47 0.27 2.03 0.47 0.470
Quick Ratio 0.46 0.26 1.97 0.44 0.439
Debt/Equity 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.49 0.490
Net Debt/Equity 0.07 0.15 0.24 0.46 0.458
Debt/Assets 0.10 0.14 0.21 0.31 0.309
Debt/EBITDA -1.50 -2.09 -0.42 -0.37 -0.372
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.88 -1.63 -0.37 -0.35 -0.348
Interest Coverage -94.60 -11.78 -26.03 -28.77 -28.775
Equity Multiplier 1.12 1.38 1.31 1.58 1.583
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.334
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -28.664
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.065
FCF to Debt snapshot only -8.508
Defensive Interval snapshot only 30.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.001
Inventory Turnover 0.59 -0.71 -0.21 0.20 0.196
Receivables Turnover (trade) 0.13 -1.49 -3.76 -3.17 -3.166
Payables Turnover 0.30 -0.33 -0.02 0.09 0.087
DSO (trade) 2908 -246 -97 -115 -115.3 days
DIO 623 — — 1864 1863.6 days
DPO 1204 — — 4175 4174.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle (trade) 2326 — — — —
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only -0.190
Cash Velocity snapshot only -0.044
Capital Intensity snapshot only -1134.222
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — —
Earnings Stability — — — — —
Margin Stability — — — — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — —
Earnings Smoothness — — — — —
ROE Trend — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend — — — — —
FCF Margin Trend — — — — —
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.22 0.07 0.06 0.08 0.077
FCF/OCF 60.24 43.53 33.00 22.49 22.493
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.737
CapEx/Revenue 2277.5% -973.3% -1895.3% -2853.4% -2853.41%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 781.637
Accruals Ratio -0.05 -0.36 -0.99 -1.40 -1.399
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.055
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -0.047
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — —
Buyback Yield 14.3% 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 1.50%
Net Buyback Yield -1.5% -4.2% -2.4% -3.3% -3.29%
Total Shareholder Return -1.5% -4.2% -2.4% -3.3% -3.29%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 0.97 0.98 0.99 0.986
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.01 5.99 2.16 1.84 1.841
EBIT Margin -172.43 53.07 453.07 947.28 947.279
Asset Turnover 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.001
Equity Multiplier 1.12 1.38 1.31 1.58 1.583
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.96 $-7.77 $-6.94 $-9.70 $-9.70
Book Value/Share $12.11 $14.57 $5.03 $4.04 $4.04
Tangible Book/Share $2.85 $14.56 $5.03 $-2.04 $-2.04
Revenue/Share $0.01 $-0.03 $-0.01 $-0.01 $-0.01
FCF/Share $-12.71 $-25.01 $-14.10 $-16.84 $-16.84
OCF/Share $-0.21 $-0.57 $-0.43 $-0.75 $-0.75
Cash/Share $0.58 $0.60 $0.17 $0.13 $0.13
EBITDA/Share $-0.94 $-1.31 $-3.26 $-5.32 $-5.32
Debt/Share $1.41 $2.74 $1.38 $1.98 $1.98
Net Debt/Share $0.83 $2.14 $1.21 $1.85 $1.85
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — -5.357
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -12.312
Piotroski F-Score 2 2 2 2 2
Beneish M-Score — — — — —
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -1.933
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-2.18
EVA snapshot only $-50944796.62
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 35.37 18.52 30.26 18.47 18.470
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 12
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 7

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms