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EPX.AX ASX

EPX Limited
1W: -2.8% 1M: -5.4% 3M: +2.9% YTD: -27.1% 1Y: -48.5% 3Y: -19.3% 5Y: -86.4%
A$0.17 ($0.12)
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
ASX · Technology · Software - Infrastructure · Tech Score Sell · Power 44 · A$112.5M mcap · 697M float · 0.0064% daily turnover

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 21 Grade D
Profitability
0
Balance Sheet
12
Earnings Quality
34
Growth
60
Value
15
Momentum
57
Safety
0
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. EPX.AX scores highest in Growth (60/100) and lowest in Profitability (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-5.70
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-8.03
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
0.88
Bankruptcy prob: 70.8%
High Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 13.0/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 0.09x
Accruals: -84.4%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. EPX.AX scores -5.70, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. EPX.AX scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. EPX.AX's score of -8.03 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. EPX.AX's implied 70.8% bankruptcy probability signals significant financial distress. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. EPX.AX receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 13.0/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-2.12x
PEG
0.02x
P/S
7.13x
P/B
-11.24x
P/FCF
-3.68x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
-1.74x
EV/Revenue
0.44x
EV/EBIT
-1.19x
EV/FCF
-3.41x
Earnings Yield
-84.28%
FCF Yield
-27.21%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. EPX.AX currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.007
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.072
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.369
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
2.334
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
7.423
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-691.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. EPX.AX's ROE of -691.2% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 7.42x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.01 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1345 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$0.17
Median 1Y
$0.08
5th Pctile
$0.02
95th Pctile
$0.32
Ann. Volatility
91.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
ROE -1.1% -1.0% -2.2% -1.8% -2.0% -1.7% -1.8% -1.5% -2.9% -2.7% -6.9% -6.91%
ROA -65.0% -68.2% -1.2% -1.1% -1.0% -93.1% -80.8% -71.7% -76.9% -72.2% -93.1% -93.12%
ROIC -85.8% -1.4% -2.0% -1.4% -1.6% -1.9% -1.5% -1.2% -1.3% 6.8% 1.3% 1.34%
ROCE -1.0% -94.0% -2.0% -1.7% -1.9% -2.6% -2.0% -2.1% -8.3% -3.3% -27.3% -27.35%
Gross Margin -95.9% -61.1% -82.6% -21.4% -29.4% -1.1% 17.7% 23.3% 20.1% -7.5% -28.6% -28.59%
Operating Margin -1.5% -1.1% -1.4% -39.9% -85.0% -27.0% 14.5% 23.1% 6.9% -34.3% -46.4% -46.35%
Net Margin -3.2% -1.0% -1.3% -37.6% -86.6% -28.6% -45.6% -22.3% -52.6% -33.5% -50.6% -50.57%
EBITDA Margin -3.0% -86.5% -1.2% -24.1% -64.7% -7.6% -30.2% -5.7% -34.4% -13.6% -46.4% -46.35%
FCF Margin -1.4% -1.2% -1.2% -1.1% -87.1% -42.5% -32.7% -15.7% -5.6% -13.8% -12.9% -12.88%
OCF Margin -97.2% -88.6% -89.5% -76.7% -59.8% -26.0% -17.4% -4.2% 3.9% -2.2% -3.8% -3.75%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.02%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.32%
Cash ROA snapshot only -9.97%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -10.40%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -39.61%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.10%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 14.43%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.04%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
P/E Ratio -44.99 -19.47 -8.17 -3.44 -9.71 -7.37 -10.41 -11.46 -13.81 -2.07 -1.19 -2.124
P/S Ratio 146.12 39.35 14.53 4.50 8.31 4.12 4.63 4.58 4.80 0.77 0.47 7.130
P/B Ratio 51.43 20.14 17.66 6.19 21.24 22.32 25.22 29.13 289.10 8.46 -10.91 -11.235
P/FCF -102.22 -31.74 -11.64 -4.08 -9.53 -9.67 -14.17 -29.18 -85.81 -5.60 -3.68 -3.676
P/OCF — — — — — — — — 124.08 — — —
EV/EBITDA -47.94 -20.95 -8.83 -3.75 -12.06 -11.11 -18.29 -22.25 -29.87 -3.64 -1.74 -1.742
EV/Revenue 144.67 38.14 14.23 4.33 8.35 4.16 4.64 4.56 4.80 0.71 0.44 0.439
EV/EBIT -46.36 -19.68 -8.16 -3.36 -9.83 -7.58 -10.91 -12.07 -15.27 -2.03 -1.19 -1.189
EV/FCF -101.21 -30.77 -11.40 -3.92 -9.58 -9.78 -14.19 -29.07 -85.77 -5.13 -3.41 -3.410
Earnings Yield -2.2% -5.1% -12.2% -29.1% -10.3% -13.6% -9.6% -8.7% -7.2% -48.4% -84.3% -84.28%
FCF Yield -1.0% -3.2% -8.6% -24.5% -10.5% -10.3% -7.1% -3.4% -1.2% -17.9% -27.2% -27.21%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.019
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 29.594
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.71 2.32 1.38 1.49 0.84 0.66 0.75 0.72 0.47 0.62 0.49 0.493
Quick Ratio 1.52 2.12 1.26 1.34 0.75 0.56 0.69 0.65 0.43 0.54 0.42 0.415
Debt/Equity 0.14 0.10 0.15 0.13 0.28 0.38 0.31 0.32 2.31 0.51 -0.43 -0.428
Net Debt/Equity -0.51 -0.62 -0.36 -0.23 0.10 0.24 0.03 -0.11 -0.15 -0.71 — —
Debt/Assets 0.08 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.12 0.14 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.05 0.049
Debt/EBITDA -0.14 -0.11 -0.08 -0.08 -0.16 -0.19 -0.23 -0.25 -0.24 -0.24 -0.07 -0.074
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.48 0.66 0.19 0.15 -0.06 -0.12 -0.02 0.09 0.02 0.33 0.14 0.135
Interest Coverage -20.49 -26.04 -33.83 -34.86 -78.48 -46.92 -40.38 -35.93 -13.82 -12.86 -12.57 -12.569
Equity Multiplier 1.76 1.52 1.79 1.67 2.26 2.69 3.02 3.16 24.56 5.77 -8.68 -8.680
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.145
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -8.577
Cash to Debt snapshot only 2.840
FCF to Debt snapshot only -6.941
Defensive Interval snapshot only 350.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.20 0.34 0.68 0.82 1.18 1.67 1.82 1.79 2.21 1.93 2.33 2.334
Inventory Turnover 5.38 9.63 24.27 23.40 29.63 33.98 44.52 34.39 48.77 27.79 42.18 42.179
Receivables Turnover 3.36 3.09 7.96 3.97 9.04 10.21 9.24 8.19 10.48 9.54 8.51 8.511
Payables Turnover 4.20 7.77 9.87 17.05 16.27 17.79 15.59 15.04 11.67 8.85 13.79 13.794
DSO 109 118 46 92 40 36 39 45 35 38 43 42.9 days
DIO 68 38 15 16 12 11 8 11 7 13 9 8.7 days
DPO 87 47 37 21 22 21 23 24 31 41 26 26.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 90 109 24 86 30 26 24 31 11 10 25 25.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 7.903
Operating Cycle snapshot only 51.5 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 18.976
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.376
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue — — — — 5.2% 3.2% 1.7% 96.3% 77.8% -2.5% 15.6% 15.63%
Net Income — — — — -63.4% -16.4% 32.4% 40.0% 27.7% 34.7% -3.7% -3.73%
EPS — — — — 20.3% 40.7% 64.3% 72.0% 48.0% -3.2% -5.8% -5.78%
FCF — — — — -2.8% -44.6% 29.3% 72.1% 88.6% 68.3% 54.4% 54.42%
EBITDA — — — — -42.3% 13.3% 57.5% 65.1% 58.7% 49.3% -15.0% -14.99%
Op. Income — — — — -2.6% -85.4% 25.6% 60.2% 95.3% 1.0% 58.2% 58.24%
OCF Growth snapshot only 75.09%
Asset Growth snapshot only -21.62%
Equity Growth snapshot only -1.27%
Debt Growth snapshot only -62.49%
Shares Change snapshot only -84.70%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — — 1.00 0.72 0.89 0.892
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — — 0.08 0.35 0.69 0.687
Margin Stability — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — — 0.89 0.86 0.99 0.985
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — -19.27 -2.06 — —
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — 0.82 0.61 0.45 0.451
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — 1.09 0.69 0.66 0.659
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.30 0.44 0.50 0.59 0.70 0.47 0.39 0.11 -0.11 0.06 0.09 0.094
FCF/OCF 1.47 1.40 1.40 1.44 1.46 1.64 1.87 3.73 -1.45 6.35 3.43 3.431
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.323
CapEx/Revenue 45.7% 35.3% 35.4% 33.6% 27.4% 16.5% 15.2% 11.5% 9.5% 11.6% 9.1% 9.12%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.778
Accruals Ratio -0.46 -0.38 -0.60 -0.44 -0.30 -0.50 -0.49 -0.64 -0.85 -0.68 -0.84 -0.844
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.534
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -0.411
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -2.2% -6.7% -11.7% -31.6% -8.6% -4.3% -3.9% -0.3% 0.0% -19.4% -28.6% -28.62%
Total Shareholder Return -2.2% -6.7% -11.7% -31.6% -8.6% -4.3% -3.9% -0.3% 0.0% -19.4% -28.6% -28.62%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.99 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.02 0.99 1.01 1.007
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.05 1.04 1.03 1.03 1.01 1.02 1.04 1.03 1.08 1.08 1.07 1.072
EBIT Margin -3.12 -1.94 -1.74 -1.29 -0.85 -0.55 -0.43 -0.38 -0.31 -0.35 -0.37 -0.369
Asset Turnover 0.20 0.34 0.68 0.82 1.18 1.67 1.82 1.79 2.21 1.93 2.33 2.334
Equity Multiplier 1.76 1.52 1.79 1.67 1.99 1.85 2.25 2.12 3.82 3.69 7.42 7.423
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.04 $-0.05 $-0.06 $-0.07 $-0.03 $-0.03 $-0.02 $-0.02 $-0.02 $-0.14 $-0.14 $-0.14
Book Value/Share $0.04 $0.05 $0.03 $0.04 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.00 $0.03 $-0.02 $-0.02
Tangible Book/Share $0.03 $0.05 $0.03 $0.04 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.00 $0.02 $-0.03 $-0.03
Revenue/Share $0.01 $0.03 $0.03 $0.05 $0.04 $0.06 $0.05 $0.05 $0.05 $0.36 $0.36 $0.18
FCF/Share $-0.02 $-0.03 $-0.04 $-0.06 $-0.03 $-0.02 $-0.02 $-0.01 $-0.00 $-0.05 $-0.05 $-0.05
OCF/Share $-0.01 $-0.02 $-0.03 $-0.04 $-0.02 $-0.01 $-0.01 $-0.00 $0.00 $-0.01 $-0.01 $-0.03
Cash/Share $0.02 $0.04 $0.01 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.04 $0.02 $0.02
EBITDA/Share $-0.04 $-0.05 $-0.05 $-0.06 $-0.03 $-0.02 $-0.01 $-0.01 $-0.01 $-0.07 $-0.09 $-0.09
Debt/Share $0.01 $0.01 $0.00 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.02 $0.01 $0.01
Net Debt/Share $-0.02 $-0.03 $-0.01 $-0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $-0.00 $-0.00 $-0.02 $-0.01 $-0.01
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — -5.699
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -20.744
Piotroski F-Score 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 6 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score — — — — -1.65 25.58 -6.27 -6.74 -8.18 -6.09 -8.03 -8.028
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only 0.884
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-0.09
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 56.69 59.49 56.95 35.98 51.31 43.88 46.52 48.93 35.61 17.20 12.99 12.994
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -33.527
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 2
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 1

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