FLEX NASDAQ
Flex Ltd.
1W: -12.1%
1M: -32.9%
3M: -32.0%
YTD: +20.9%
1Y: +20.5%
3Y: +210.9%
5Y: +303.9%
$83.35
+6.36 (+8.26%)
After Hours: $84.70 (+1.35, +1.62%)
Weekly Expected Move ±9.5%
$62
$69
$77
$84
$91
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 66% of companies Debt: 17.3% of company value Bonds: $123.7M held by 188 funds, 90 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.85 (down 98%), Flex Ltd. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $5.93B against a stock market value of $28.44B.
Distance to default 3.70 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-26, debt counted $2.61B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 68.2%; Altman Z 2.59. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.85 (down 98%), Flex Ltd. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $5.93B against a stock market value of $28.44B.
Distance to default 3.70 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-26, debt counted $2.61B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 68.2%; Altman Z 2.59. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Institutions
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Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+17.0% YTD avg
Midterm Year
🌧️
Rainy
-2.2% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+17.0%
Day 205 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-2.2%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+20.9%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
54%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+3.5%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.3%
65% win
44% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+3.3%
Midterm
☁️
+0.4%
65% win
38% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+4.1%
Midterm
⛅
+2.7%
70% win
56% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+5.5%
Midterm
☁️
+0.7%
50% win
47% vol
May
20yr
💨
+9.1%
Midterm
☁️
-0.1%
80% win
51% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
+7.0%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.2%
45% win
39% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+12.1%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.4%
60% win
40% vol
Aug
20yr
🌫️
+13.1%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.1%
60% win
36% vol
Sep
20yr
💨
+15.6%
Midterm
☁️
-0.2%
55% win
37% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+16.4%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.7%
57% win
54% vol
Now:
-30.0%
Nov
20yr
🌫️
+18.0%
Midterm
⛅
+3.1%
60% win
53% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+1.3%
Midterm
🌧️
-0.8%
65% win
43% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +20.9%