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FLYY AMEX

Spirit Aviation Holdings, Inc.
1W: +5.6% 1M: -69.6% 3M: -92.4%
$1.22
Last traded 2025-09-29 — delisted
AMEX · Industrials · Airlines, Airports & Air Services · $31.6M mcap · 20M float · 3.24% daily turnover · Short 47% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
34.6 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: -2.1%
Cost Advantage
36
Intangibles
28
Switching Cost
49
Network Effect
19
Scale
35
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. FLYY has No discernible competitive edge (34.6/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. Negative ROIC of -2.1% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 16 Grade D
Profitability
1
Balance Sheet
22
Earnings Quality
61
Growth
—
Value
33
Momentum
—
Safety
15
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. FLYY scores highest in Earnings Quality (61/100) and lowest in Profitability (1/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.02
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
1/9
✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
—
—
Ohlson O-Score
-4.22
Bankruptcy prob: 1.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 21.6/100
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 1.02x
Accruals: 0.0%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. FLYY scores 0.02, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. FLYY scores 1/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. FLYY's implied 1.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. FLYY receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 21.6/100).

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-0.11x
PEG
-0.00x
P/S
0.01x
P/B
-1.67x
P/FCF
-0.64x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
-52.18x
EV/Revenue
6.49x
EV/EBIT
-32.88x
EV/FCF
-24.82x
Earnings Yield
-145.02%
FCF Yield
-157.40%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. FLYY currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.984
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.240
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.197
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.119
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
17.888
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-51.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. FLYY's ROE of -51.3% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 17.89x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 0.98 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 106 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$0.38
Median 1Y
$0.00
5th Pctile
$0.00
95th Pctile
$0.00
Ann. Volatility
253.1%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'25 Current
ROE -51.3% -51.27%
ROA -2.9% -2.87%
ROIC -2.1% -2.10%
ROCE -2.8% -2.83%
Gross Margin 3.7% 3.75%
Operating Margin -18.1% -18.05%
Net Margin -24.1% -24.11%
EBITDA Margin -12.4% -12.45%
FCF Margin -26.2% -26.16%
OCF Margin -24.5% -24.48%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -1.99%
Cash ROA snapshot only -2.91%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -3.60%
CROIC snapshot only -3.85%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -14.26%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -24.50%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 4.62%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.18%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'25 Current
P/E Ratio -0.69 -0.109
P/S Ratio 0.17 0.006
P/B Ratio 0.35 -1.667
P/FCF -0.64 -0.635
P/OCF — —
EV/EBITDA -52.18 -52.182
EV/Revenue 6.49 6.494
EV/EBIT -32.88 -32.885
EV/FCF -24.82 -24.822
Earnings Yield -1.5% -1.45%
FCF Yield -1.6% -1.57%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.428
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 173.369
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'25 Current
Current Ratio 1.02 1.019
Quick Ratio 1.02 1.019
Debt/Equity 14.31 14.311
Net Debt/Equity 13.46 13.461
Debt/Assets 0.80 0.800
Debt/EBITDA -54.06 -54.058
Net Debt/EBITDA -50.85 -50.847
Interest Coverage -4.16 -4.159
Equity Multiplier 17.89 17.888
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.280
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -2.621
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.059
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.039
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1029.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'25 Current
Asset Turnover 0.12 0.119
Inventory Turnover — —
Receivables Turnover 4.65 4.648
Payables Turnover 6.65 6.647
DSO 79 78.5 days
DIO 0 0.0 days
DPO 55 54.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 24 23.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.150
Cash Velocity snapshot only 2.503
Capital Intensity snapshot only 8.410
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'25 Current
Revenue Stability — —
Earnings Stability — —
Margin Stability — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0
Earnings Persistence — —
Earnings Smoothness — —
ROE Trend — —
Gross Margin Trend — —
FCF Margin Trend — —
Sustainable Growth Rate — —
Internal Growth Rate — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'25 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.02 1.016
FCF/OCF 1.07 1.069
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.085
CapEx/Revenue 1.7% 1.68%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.230
Accruals Ratio 0.00 0.000
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.039
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -14.544
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'25 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — —
FCF Payout Ratio — —
Total Payout Ratio — —
Div. Increase Streak — —
Chowder Number — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'25 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.98 0.984
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.24 1.240
EBIT Margin -0.20 -0.197
Asset Turnover 0.12 0.119
Equity Multiplier 17.89 17.888
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'25 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-7.24 $-7.24
Book Value/Share $14.11 $-0.73
Tangible Book/Share $11.66 $11.66
Revenue/Share $30.02 $44.87
FCF/Share $-7.85 $-8.13
OCF/Share $-7.35 $-6.92
Cash/Share $12.00 $9.32
EBITDA/Share $-3.74 $-3.74
Debt/Share $201.97 $201.97
Net Debt/Share $189.97 $189.97
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'25 Current
Altman Z-Score — 0.016
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -0.212
Piotroski F-Score 1 1
Beneish M-Score — —
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.221
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -2.94%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-194.74
EVA snapshot only $-838770570.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'25 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 21.64 21.644
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 18
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 7

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms