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FWRG NASDAQ

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
1W: -7.3% 1M: +9.3% 3M: -16.0% YTD: -27.9% 1Y: -39.4% 3Y: -36.5% 5Y: -47.8%
$11.09
+0.03 (+0.27%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±7.6%
$9 $10 $11 $12 $13
NASDAQ · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · Tech Score Neutral · Power 54 · $684.4M mcap · 60M float · 2.09% daily turnover · Short 43% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 67% of companies Debt: 61.1% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.49 (down 96%), First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.07B against a stock market value of $684.4M.
Distance to default 3.62 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-28, debt counted $153.7M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 54.7%; Altman Z'' 0.10. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.

Cash Flow Trends

Operating Cash Flow
$126M +8.9% ▲
Capital Expenditures
$157M -22.6% ▼
5Y CAGR: +42.2%
Free Cash Flow
-$31M -152.5% ▼
Dividends Paid
$0 +0.0% ▲
Buybacks
$0 +0.0% ▲
Net Change in Cash
-$12M +27.5% ▲

Cash Flow Composition

Year-over-Year Growth

View Full Cash Flow Statement
Line ItemFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
— Operating Activities —
Net Income-$2M$7M$25M$19M$19M
Depreciation & Amort.$32M$34M$41M$58M$75M
Stock-Based Comp.$9M$10M$8M$9M$11M
Change in Working Capital$6M-$10M-$7M-$4M-$3M
Other Non-Cash Items$16M$17M$20M$28M$34M
Operating Cash Flow$63M$63M$95M$116M$126M
— Investing Activities —
Capital Expenditures-$36M-$63M-$85M-$128M-$157M
Acquisitions (Net)$0$0-$40M-$79M-$56M
Investment Purchases$0$0$0$0$0
Investment Sales$0$0$0$0$0
Other Investing$0$219K$1M$34K-$850K
Investing Cash Flow-$36M-$63M-$123M-$207M-$214M
— Financing Activities —
Net Debt Issuance-$189M-$3M$22M$71M$75M
Stock Repurchased$0$0$0$0$0
Dividends Paid$0$0$0$0$0
Other Financing-$7M$1M$6M-$3M$0
Financing Cash Flow-$14M-$2M$28M$74M$76M
Net Change in Cash$13M-$2M$38K-$17M-$12M
Cash End of Period$52M$50M$50M$33M$21M
Free Cash Flow$27M-$393K$11M-$12M-$31M

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms