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Not Investment Advice

GHLD NYSE

Guild Holdings Company
1W: +0.6% 1M: +0.8% 3M: +0.5% 1Y: +54.3% 3Y: +126.9% 5Y: +85.3%
$20.01
Last traded 2025-11-26 — delisted
NYSE · Financial Services · Financial - Mortgages · $1.2B mcap · 28M float · 0.110% daily turnover · Short 28% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NARROW EDGE
58.9 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 2.8%  ·  5Y Avg: 3.5%
Cost Advantage
53
Intangibles
73
Switching Cost
54
Network Effect
50
Scale
60
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. GHLD has a Narrow competitive edge (58.9/100) — meaningful but not impregnable advantages over competitors. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 2.8% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 5Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-05-27 JMP Securities Mikhail Goberman $15 $16 +0 +9.4% $14.17
2025-01-21 Compass Point Giuliano Bologna Initiated $19 — +39.6% $13.61
2024-08-09 Wedbush Jay McCanless Initiated $19 — +18.8% $16.00
2024-08-09 Wells Fargo Donald Fandetti $12 $17 +5 +6.9% $15.91
2022-08-08 Wells Fargo — Initiated $12 — +3.4% $11.60
2022-06-03 JMP Securities — Initiated $15 — +37.2% $10.93

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 38 Grade D
Profitability
47
Balance Sheet
15
Earnings Quality
69
Growth
76
Value
86
Momentum
69
Safety
100
Cash Flow
27
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. GHLD scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (15/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
5.49
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-1.99
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-4.84
Bankruptcy prob: 0.8%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A-
Score: 66.4/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: 0.27x
Accruals: 1.9%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. GHLD scores 5.49, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. GHLD scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. GHLD's score of -1.99 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. GHLD's implied 0.8% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. GHLD receives an estimated rating of A- (score: 66.4/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). GHLD's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
23.82x
PEG
0.08x
P/S
1.88x
P/B
1.00x
P/FCF
50.25x
P/OCF
36.83x
EV/EBITDA
22.44x
EV/Revenue
3.45x
EV/EBIT
27.34x
EV/FCF
180.14x
Earnings Yield
10.09%
FCF Yield
1.99%
Shareholder Yield
3.86%
Graham Number
$29.91
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 23.8x earnings, GHLD commands a growth premium. An earnings yield of 10.1% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $29.91 per share, suggesting a potential 49% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.770
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.000
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.126
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.266
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
4.068
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
10.5%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. GHLD's ROE of 10.5% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 4.07x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$17.11
Price/Value
1.17x
Margin of Safety
-16.57%
Premium
16.57%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with GHLD's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. GHLD trades at a 17% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $17.11, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 23.8x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1281 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$20.01
Median 1Y
$20.33
5th Pctile
$9.96
95th Pctile
$41.33
Ann. Volatility
43.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
ROE 10.6% 26.5% 29.1% 34.1% 34.3% 32.7% 37.4% 35.0% 30.3% 7.1% 5.1% 3.1% -3.2% 2.2% 2.2% -7.7% 8.0% 3.7% 2.1% 10.5% 10.53%
ROA 1.6% 4.9% 5.6% 7.1% 6.2% 7.8% 9.5% 9.9% 8.6% 2.4% 1.7% 1.1% -1.1% 0.7% 0.7% -2.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.5% 2.6% 2.59%
ROIC 1.3% 3.8% 4.4% 5.7% 7.7% 11.3% 13.1% 14.1% 12.2% 3.2% 2.1% 1.4% -1.1% 0.8% 0.7% -2.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.7% 2.8% 2.82%
ROCE -11.3% -50.2% -62.4% -1.1% 24.3% 25.8% 29.6% 27.5% 23.2% 5.2% 3.5% 3.5% -1.3% 2.8% 2.5% -5.7% 4.7% 1.9% 1.0% 6.1% 6.06%
Gross Margin 96.2% 96.9% 95.4% 96.4% 95.5% 97.1% 96.3% 95.8% 91.1% 89.2% 93.2% 37.3% 75.7% 93.4% 90.9% -38.8% 92.3% 90.2% 90.9% 91.5% 91.51%
Operating Margin 21.4% 39.2% 4.5% 22.8% 17.1% 56.1% 26.3% 31.8% -15.1% -42.8% 19.8% 30.0% -1.6% 15.5% 14.2% -55.5% 31.5% -14.0% 6.4% 13.4% 13.37%
Net Margin 16.6% 29.4% 2.9% 16.8% 11.6% 41.9% 19.5% 28.4% -9.7% -31.4% 14.5% 21.1% -1.2% 11.5% 12.0% -42.0% 24.0% -10.6% 5.8% 9.7% 9.69%
EBITDA Margin 26.0% 40.2% 6.3% 24.7% 21.0% 58.0% 28.5% 34.7% -10.2% -35.1% 23.4% 39.5% -1.4% 19.2% 17.3% -52.3% 33.8% -10.0% 9.2% 15.9% 15.87%
FCF Margin -11.0% -1.8% 17.9% 40.8% 41.1% 94.9% 82.9% 76.2% 1.0% 42.0% 1.3% -4.8% -13.8% -21.3% -4.6% -1.1% -59.2% -34.2% -59.2% 1.9% 1.92%
OCF Margin -10.7% -1.6% 18.2% 41.1% 41.4% 95.2% 83.2% 76.4% 1.0% 42.5% 1.8% -4.1% -13.0% -20.7% -3.8% -1.1% -58.3% -33.2% -58.3% 2.6% 2.61%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.71%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 13.94%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.52%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.57%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.77%
Cash ROA snapshot only 0.67%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 0.76%
CROIC snapshot only 0.56%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 9.71%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 12.62%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 63.96%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.56%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
P/E Ratio 10.15 2.78 3.09 2.18 2.68 1.68 1.45 1.30 1.65 6.68 9.95 15.96 -20.20 31.50 32.08 -10.34 8.63 20.91 47.35 9.91 23.821
P/S Ratio 1.68 0.65 0.58 0.40 0.46 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.44 0.66 0.77 0.79 1.12 1.00 0.98 1.21 0.74 0.84 1.10 0.96 1.879
P/B Ratio 1.07 0.74 0.90 0.74 0.83 0.49 0.47 0.40 0.43 0.46 0.49 0.49 0.67 0.69 0.72 0.84 0.67 0.78 1.00 1.01 1.005
P/FCF -15.29 -37.05 3.21 0.98 1.12 0.37 0.42 0.46 0.43 1.57 58.82 -16.59 -8.11 -4.71 -21.43 -1.14 -1.25 -2.47 -1.85 50.25 50.248
P/OCF — — 3.17 0.97 1.12 0.37 0.42 0.46 0.43 1.56 43.38 — — — — — — — — 36.83 36.829
EV/EBITDA 51.37 17.57 15.28 11.57 8.39 4.81 4.11 3.62 4.38 16.16 24.54 22.03 307.50 31.13 39.48 -42.46 23.94 42.71 72.00 22.44 22.441
EV/Revenue 13.36 5.91 4.16 3.08 2.14 1.48 1.44 1.38 1.62 2.34 2.97 2.92 3.91 3.66 4.10 4.88 3.32 3.34 3.98 3.45 3.451
EV/EBIT 62.31 19.07 16.78 12.67 9.11 5.21 4.42 3.90 4.71 21.70 37.58 33.12 -102.03 49.10 65.21 -30.21 31.53 75.65 177.93 27.34 27.345
EV/FCF -121.47 -335.10 23.19 7.55 5.21 1.56 1.74 1.81 1.58 5.57 225.71 -60.97 -28.37 -17.15 -89.89 -4.58 -5.61 -9.77 -6.72 180.14 180.137
Earnings Yield 9.9% 36.0% 32.4% 45.8% 37.3% 59.6% 68.8% 77.0% 60.7% 15.0% 10.1% 6.3% -4.9% 3.2% 3.1% -9.7% 11.6% 4.8% 2.1% 10.1% 10.09%
FCF Yield -6.5% -2.7% 31.1% 1.0% 88.9% 2.7% 2.4% 2.2% 2.3% 63.6% 1.7% -6.0% -12.3% -21.2% -4.7% -87.7% -79.9% -40.5% -53.9% 2.0% 1.99%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.082
EV/OCF snapshot only 132.031
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.775
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 27.345
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 3.86%
Graham Number snapshot only $29.91
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Current Ratio 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.14 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.13 0.14 0.13 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.08 0.076
Quick Ratio 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.14 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.13 0.14 0.13 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.08 0.076
Debt/Equity 7.89 6.28 5.97 5.33 3.27 1.81 1.66 1.29 1.26 1.29 1.49 1.39 1.77 1.91 2.38 2.62 2.42 2.40 2.72 2.70 2.695
Net Debt/Equity 7.44 5.93 5.59 5.01 3.00 1.59 1.45 1.16 1.15 1.17 1.40 1.30 1.67 1.83 2.29 2.53 2.33 2.30 2.64 2.61 2.609
Debt/Assets 1.21 1.16 1.15 1.11 0.69 0.56 0.55 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.53 0.51 0.57 0.58 0.63 0.65 0.64 0.63 0.66 0.65 0.654
Debt/EBITDA 47.64 16.55 14.05 10.72 7.16 4.18 3.56 3.00 3.49 12.81 19.24 17.14 233.05 23.55 31.17 -33.06 19.35 33.20 53.88 16.71 16.714
Net Debt/EBITDA 44.90 15.63 13.16 10.07 6.58 3.68 3.12 2.70 3.19 11.60 18.15 16.04 219.64 22.58 30.07 -31.90 18.60 31.91 52.14 16.18 16.181
Interest Coverage 5.69 9.10 6.75 6.66 6.19 7.56 9.11 9.60 8.37 1.86 1.14 1.09 -0.40 0.88 0.69 -1.34 1.08 0.42 0.22 1.47 1.467
Equity Multiplier 6.55 5.43 5.18 4.78 4.76 3.22 3.03 2.64 2.59 2.62 2.82 2.74 3.11 3.26 3.75 4.01 3.80 3.79 4.13 4.12 4.120
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.044
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1.788
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.032
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.007
Defensive Interval snapshot only 38.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Asset Turnover 0.10 0.21 0.30 0.39 0.36 0.37 0.40 0.37 0.32 0.25 0.22 0.23 0.20 0.23 0.22 0.20 0.27 0.26 0.23 0.27 0.266
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 110.21 26.53 561.10 190.07 340.90 80.21 1377.79 245.44 338.85 357.74 98.12 156.97 119.72 -636.46 109.68 211.27 226.62 37.35 — — —
Payables Turnover 0.43 0.79 1.07 0.97 1.28 1.26 1.26 0.98 1.10 1.11 1.41 5.54 6.29 11.68 13.37 17.16 18.23 6.78 — — —
DSO 3 14 1 2 1 5 0 1 1 1 4 2 3 -1 3 2 2 10 0 0 0.0 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 849 462 341 377 286 290 289 371 331 328 258 66 58 31 27 21 20 54 0 0 —
Cash Conversion Cycle -846 -449 -340 -375 -285 -286 -289 -369 -330 -327 -254 -64 -55 -32 -24 -20 -18 -44 0 0 —
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 16.249
Cash Velocity snapshot only 12.193
Capital Intensity snapshot only 3.929
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Revenue — — — — 2.5% 57.2% 19.8% -18.4% -25.7% -47.1% -49.5% -45.1% -42.2% -0.9% 12.2% 1.9% 60.1% 32.4% 24.1% 62.4% 62.41%
Net Income — — — — 2.7% 38.9% 53.9% 20.8% 15.8% -74.8% -83.7% -89.9% -1.1% -68.0% -56.0% -3.4% 3.5% 67.7% -5.5% 2.3% 2.34%
EPS — — — — 2.6% 36.0% 50.4% 20.5% 17.0% -74.6% -83.7% -89.9% -1.1% -68.7% -56.4% -3.4% 3.4% 68.4% -5.9% 2.3% 2.32%
FCF — — — — 14.1% 85.6% 4.5% 52.3% 85.8% -76.6% -99.2% -1.0% -1.1% -1.5% -4.9% -21.7% -5.9% -1.1% -15.1% 1.0% 1.03%
EBITDA — — — — 2.4% 43.3% 54.0% 16.6% 7.5% -75.0% -82.6% -80.9% -98.0% -19.6% -3.6% -1.9% 16.5% -11.9% -33.9% 3.2% 3.17%
Op. Income — — — — 2.8% 43.7% 57.3% 18.7% 8.6% -79.8% -87.8% -89.4% -1.1% -48.4% -35.0% -3.3% 3.9% 13.4% -28.7% 2.3% 2.31%
OCF Growth snapshot only 1.04%
Asset Growth snapshot only 9.74%
Equity Growth snapshot only 6.89%
Debt Growth snapshot only 9.85%
Shares Change snapshot only 2.01%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 48.51%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 14.6% -6.2% -12.1% -23.0% -11.7% -11.4% -11.1% -3.2% -3.16%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — -52.3% -52.6% — -30.4% -48.8% -59.4% -31.5% -31.52%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — -51.8% -52.0% — -30.0% -48.7% -59.2% -31.1% -31.12%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — -58.1% -33.9% -36.3% — -28.0% -43.8% -51.9% -28.4% -28.40%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.2% -14.0% -19.2% -32.7% -19.2% -19.4% -19.1% -4.8% -4.84%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — -46.9% -50.0% — -31.7% -51.0% -61.6% -31.3% -31.31%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -71.6% -71.63%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -68.6% -68.57%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — -8.6% -6.7% 1.4% 1.2% 2.8% 7.8% 11.8% 15.1% 15.08%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 17.1% 10.5% 12.9% 7.3% 10.9% 2.0% 0.8% -0.8% -0.75%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 16.5% 9.4% 11.6% 7.3% 10.3% 1.8% 0.3% -1.3% -1.32%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.2% -0.3% 26.2% -20.7% 14.2% 14.20%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — — 0.40 0.05 0.43 0.96 0.01 0.21 0.52 0.89 0.48 0.28 0.24 0.02 0.021
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — — 0.88 0.38 0.34 0.58 0.05 0.66 0.58 0.81 0.09 0.67 0.63 0.48 0.480
Margin Stability — — — — — — — — 1.00 0.99 0.98 0.85 0.86 0.88 0.89 0.80 0.83 0.85 0.86 0.82 0.817
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — — 0.94 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.98 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness — — — — 0.00 0.67 0.58 0.81 0.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 0.00 0.22 — — 0.49 0.94 — —
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — 0.06 -0.21 -0.26 -0.29 -0.32 -0.16 -0.16 -0.25 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 0.13 0.127
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — -0.00 -0.02 -0.03 -0.22 -0.26 -0.21 -0.20 -0.21 -0.09 -0.12 -0.11 0.22 0.223
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — 0.88 -0.05 -0.49 -0.63 -0.86 -0.90 -0.47 -1.42 -1.04 -0.45 -0.58 0.58 0.576
Sustainable Growth Rate 6.9% 23.5% 18.9% 24.8% 19.7% 20.7% 31.4% 29.5% 30.3% 7.1% 5.1% 0.7% — -0.3% -2.7% — 5.5% -1.4% -0.4% 6.6% 6.64%
Internal Growth Rate 1.1% 4.5% 3.8% 5.5% 3.7% 5.2% 8.7% 9.0% 9.4% 2.5% 1.8% 0.2% — — — — 1.6% — — 1.7% 1.66%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.65 -0.07 0.97 2.25 2.40 4.58 3.47 2.83 3.83 4.29 0.23 -0.82 2.35 -6.50 -1.24 8.98 -6.79 -8.22 -25.13 0.27 0.269
FCF/OCF 1.02 1.12 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.74 1.17 1.06 1.03 1.21 1.01 1.01 1.03 1.02 0.73 0.733
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.197
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.170
CapEx/Revenue 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.70%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.253
Accruals Ratio 0.03 0.05 0.00 -0.09 -0.09 -0.28 -0.23 -0.18 -0.24 -0.08 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.06 0.02 0.18 0.18 0.10 0.14 0.02 0.019
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.006
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.610
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Dividend Yield 3.4% 4.1% 11.4% 12.5% 15.9% 21.8% 11.0% 12.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.9% 3.9% 3.6% 7.0% 3.2% 3.7% 6.6% 2.5% 3.7% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.45 $0.45 $1.45 $1.42 $1.97 $1.97 $0.99 $0.99 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.49 $0.50 $0.49 $0.98 $0.50 $0.49 $1.00 $0.49 $0.74 $0.00
Payout Ratio 35.0% 11.4% 35.3% 27.3% 42.7% 36.6% 16.0% 15.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 78.2% — 1.1% 2.2% — 31.6% 1.4% 1.2% 36.9% 36.91%
FCF Payout Ratio — — 36.7% 12.2% 17.9% 8.0% 4.6% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — — — 1.9% 1.87%
Total Payout Ratio 35.0% 11.4% 35.3% 27.3% 42.7% 36.6% 16.4% 16.6% 1.7% 7.4% 8.5% 90.3% — 1.3% 2.3% — 32.8% 1.4% 1.3% 38.2% 38.22%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 — — — 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0
Chowder Number — — — — 3.62 3.67 -0.19 -0.18 — — — -0.45 — — — 0.04 0.04 1.09 -0.47 0.55 0.552
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.13%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.13%
Total Shareholder Return 3.4% 4.1% 11.4% 12.5% 15.9% 21.8% 11.3% 12.8% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 5.7% 4.3% 4.0% 7.3% 3.4% 3.8% 6.7% 2.7% 3.9% 3.86%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.77 0.76 0.75 0.75 0.73 0.73 0.74 0.76 0.78 0.92 0.98 0.78 0.85 0.62 0.73 0.73 0.82 0.92 1.04 0.77 0.770
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.72 1.71 0.69 0.66 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
EBIT Margin 0.21 0.31 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.28 0.33 0.35 0.34 0.11 0.08 0.09 -0.04 0.07 0.06 -0.16 0.11 0.04 0.02 0.13 0.126
Asset Turnover 0.10 0.21 0.30 0.39 0.36 0.37 0.40 0.37 0.32 0.25 0.22 0.23 0.20 0.23 0.22 0.20 0.27 0.26 0.23 0.27 0.266
Equity Multiplier 6.55 5.43 5.18 4.78 5.56 4.20 3.93 3.55 3.51 2.91 2.92 2.69 2.84 2.94 3.28 3.34 3.47 3.52 3.94 4.07 4.068
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.29 $3.96 $4.10 $5.20 $4.61 $5.38 $6.17 $6.27 $5.39 $1.37 $1.01 $0.63 $-0.64 $0.43 $0.44 $-1.53 $1.55 $0.72 $0.41 $2.01 $2.01
Book Value/Share $12.26 $14.92 $14.08 $15.27 $14.95 $18.36 $19.27 $20.56 $20.51 $19.92 $20.25 $20.62 $19.38 $19.52 $19.58 $18.85 $20.06 $19.38 $19.44 $19.75 $19.93
Tangible Book/Share $3.77 $4.13 $3.44 $1.53 $0.46 $-0.34 $-0.86 $-1.18 $-1.64 $-1.84 $-2.38 $-3.15 $-3.10 $-3.79 $-4.83 $-4.37 $-5.06 $-5.43 $-4.91 $-5.07 $-5.07
Revenue/Share $7.81 $16.85 $21.95 $28.51 $26.71 $25.92 $25.70 $23.21 $20.05 $13.86 $12.94 $12.67 $11.57 $13.46 $14.37 $13.01 $18.10 $17.89 $17.77 $20.72 $10.68
FCF/Share $-0.86 $-0.30 $3.94 $11.63 $10.98 $24.60 $21.31 $17.67 $20.61 $5.82 $0.17 $-0.61 $-1.59 $-2.87 $-0.66 $-13.86 $-10.71 $-6.12 $-10.53 $0.40 $-5.70
OCF/Share $-0.84 $-0.27 $3.99 $11.71 $11.06 $24.68 $21.40 $17.74 $20.68 $5.88 $0.23 $-0.52 $-1.50 $-2.79 $-0.54 $-13.73 $-10.56 $-5.94 $-10.36 $0.54 $-5.62
Cash/Share $5.57 $5.24 $5.34 $4.93 $3.95 $3.97 $4.04 $2.63 $2.26 $2.43 $1.71 $1.85 $1.97 $1.53 $1.64 $1.73 $1.89 $1.80 $1.71 $1.70 $1.71
EBITDA/Share $2.03 $5.66 $5.98 $7.59 $6.83 $7.95 $9.00 $8.83 $7.41 $2.01 $1.56 $1.68 $0.15 $1.58 $1.49 $-1.50 $2.51 $1.40 $0.98 $3.19 $3.19
Debt/Share $96.73 $93.74 $84.01 $81.37 $48.88 $33.20 $32.06 $26.46 $25.87 $25.72 $30.09 $28.73 $34.25 $37.23 $46.53 $49.45 $48.58 $46.44 $52.96 $53.24 $53.24
Net Debt/Share $91.16 $88.50 $78.67 $76.44 $44.93 $29.24 $28.03 $23.82 $23.61 $23.29 $28.37 $26.88 $32.28 $35.70 $44.89 $47.72 $46.68 $44.63 $51.24 $51.54 $51.54
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 5.486
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -1.534
Piotroski F-Score 2 2 3 4 7 8 8 6 7 5 3 1 0 2 1 1 4 5 4 6 6
Beneish M-Score — — — — 8.45 -4.00 8.98 -1.84 -4.00 -1.11 -1.84 -1.70 -2.27 -2.12 -3.03 -4.12 1.33 -14.40 -1.80 -1.99 -1.995
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.836
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-58.71
EVA snapshot only $-320575600.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A-
Credit Score 59.23 65.04 67.20 69.80 72.54 89.88 90.20 90.97 91.48 63.80 59.67 52.42 41.19 48.36 48.23 41.56 61.20 54.08 49.75 66.42 66.420
Credit Grade snapshot only 7
Credit Trend snapshot only 24.861
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 175.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 63
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 56

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