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GNTY NASDAQ

Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
1W: -0.2% 1M: +4.9% 3M: +8.5% 1Y: +51.2% 3Y: +60.3% 5Y: +146.3%
$48.75
Last traded 2025-10-02 — delisted
NASDAQ · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · $553.2M mcap · 8M float · 0.569% daily turnover · Short 64% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
46.3 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Network Effects  ·  ROIC: -770.7%
Cost Advantage
53
Intangibles
52
Switching Cost
45
Network Effect
54
Scale
22
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. GNTY shows a Weak competitive edge (46.3/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Network Effects. Negative ROIC of -770.7% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 5Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2024-10-21 Stephens Matt Olney Initiated $40 — +23.0% $32.53
2024-04-16 Piper Sandler Brad Milsaps Initiated $30 — +4.2% $28.78

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 61 Grade A+
Profitability
63
Balance Sheet
50
Earnings Quality
93
Growth
58
Value
73
Momentum
86
Safety
65
Cash Flow
82
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. GNTY scores highest in Earnings Quality (93/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (50/100). An overall grade of A+ places GNTY among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
2.70
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
9/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.60
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-3.42
Bankruptcy prob: 3.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA-
Score: 81.7/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.27x
Accruals: -0.3%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. GNTY scores 2.70, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. GNTY scores 9/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. GNTY's score of -2.60 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. GNTY's implied 3.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. GNTY receives an estimated rating of AA- (score: 81.7/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). GNTY's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
17.73x
PEG
0.45x
P/S
3.06x
P/B
1.75x
P/FCF
10.40x
P/OCF
10.15x
EV/EBITDA
2.56x
EV/Revenue
0.70x
EV/EBIT
2.85x
EV/FCF
2.87x
Earnings Yield
7.77%
FCF Yield
9.62%
Shareholder Yield
4.05%
Graham Number
$45.34
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 17.7x earnings, GNTY trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 7.8% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $45.34 per share, 8% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.804
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.000
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.246
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.059
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
9.738
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
11.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. GNTY's ROE of 11.3% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 9.74x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$121.42
Price/Value
0.33x
Margin of Safety
66.59%
Premium
-66.59%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with GNTY's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. GNTY trades at a -67% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $121.42, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 17.7x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$48.75
Median 1Y
$50.47
5th Pctile
$28.90
95th Pctile
$88.21
Ann. Volatility
35.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
ROE 9.5% 10.3% 12.0% 15.2% 14.4% 13.8% 13.9% 14.0% 14.2% 13.5% 12.9% 12.7% 11.0% 10.0% 9.4% 8.7% 8.9% 10.1% 10.6% 11.3% 11.28%
ROA 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.16%
ROIC -52.7% -32.4% -37.1% -30.3% 85.5% -1.9% -1.6% 19.2% 12.9% 10.3% 8.2% 10.4% 10.6% 11.1% 15.1% 20.3% 44.3% 11.2% -15.3% -7.7% -7.71%
ROCE 7.8% 8.3% 11.1% 14.2% 13.6% 13.1% 13.6% 10.5% 9.0% 7.8% 6.7% 8.4% 7.6% 7.1% 7.7% 7.5% 8.5% 9.9% 10.3% 11.1% 11.07%
Gross Margin 92.4% 92.5% 93.7% 97.4% 96.9% 95.2% 99.0% 93.4% 87.3% 74.7% 71.1% 69.4% 62.4% 62.1% 62.7% 64.9% 64.9% 68.0% 70.2% 71.1% 71.13%
Operating Margin 40.1% 39.7% 41.4% 41.6% 36.8% 35.8% 40.8% 38.3% 35.3% 24.4% 24.4% 26.4% 17.6% 16.1% 18.5% 20.4% 20.5% 26.7% 24.4% 26.8% 26.80%
Net Margin 32.6% 32.3% 34.2% 34.0% 29.8% 29.6% 33.8% 31.2% 29.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.9% 14.3% 13.1% 14.7% 16.7% 16.5% 21.7% 19.4% 21.4% 21.41%
EBITDA Margin 44.6% 44.3% 46.0% 46.3% 41.1% 40.0% 44.9% 42.0% 38.5% 27.4% 27.3% 29.0% 20.3% 18.7% 21.2% 23.0% 23.2% 29.7% 27.3% 29.5% 29.46%
FCF Margin 27.1% 29.8% 30.5% 36.9% 39.3% 32.6% 39.0% 31.3% 21.5% 23.0% 16.7% 18.8% 7.1% 18.4% 12.8% 18.8% 35.4% 24.4% 31.4% 24.5% 24.48%
OCF Margin 32.5% 34.6% 34.2% 39.6% 41.4% 34.9% 42.1% 34.7% 25.7% 27.0% 20.8% 22.9% 10.9% 22.3% 15.9% 21.9% 37.8% 26.2% 32.8% 25.1% 25.07%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 10.60%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 12.07%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.05%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 9.00%
Cash ROA snapshot only 1.45%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 19.75%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 24.61%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 27.36%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.28%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
P/E Ratio 10.20 11.21 11.38 8.63 9.30 10.03 9.45 9.63 8.83 9.17 7.89 7.82 9.43 11.89 11.44 12.88 13.47 11.87 13.05 12.86 17.727
P/S Ratio 2.09 2.50 2.92 2.87 3.03 3.20 3.01 3.00 2.73 2.57 1.95 1.74 1.77 2.03 1.81 1.89 2.06 2.07 2.43 2.55 3.058
P/B Ratio 0.95 1.13 1.30 1.24 1.27 1.32 1.28 1.36 1.28 1.26 1.00 0.97 1.02 1.18 1.07 1.10 1.16 1.18 1.34 1.40 1.754
P/FCF 7.73 8.39 9.58 7.79 7.72 9.82 7.71 9.57 12.65 11.18 11.66 9.27 24.97 11.01 14.13 10.06 5.81 8.49 7.74 10.40 10.397
P/OCF 6.43 7.23 8.54 7.25 7.32 9.17 7.15 8.63 10.62 9.54 9.40 7.63 16.21 9.11 11.37 8.65 5.43 7.90 7.40 10.15 10.151
EV/EBITDA -1.71 -1.29 -0.03 -1.19 2.30 1.40 1.07 5.76 7.21 8.65 9.09 6.87 7.02 7.72 5.16 4.31 2.90 7.65 2.35 2.56 2.557
EV/Revenue -0.50 -0.41 -0.01 -0.54 1.02 0.61 0.46 2.42 2.97 3.26 3.03 2.08 1.82 1.84 1.15 0.90 0.62 1.86 0.61 0.70 0.702
EV/EBIT -2.01 -1.50 -0.04 -1.32 2.56 1.56 1.19 6.37 7.93 9.52 10.04 7.60 7.86 8.71 5.86 4.94 3.31 8.64 2.65 2.85 2.851
EV/FCF -1.84 -1.36 -0.04 -1.46 2.60 1.87 1.18 7.72 13.81 14.14 18.12 11.09 25.67 9.98 9.02 4.76 1.76 7.63 1.94 2.87 2.867
Earnings Yield 9.8% 8.9% 8.8% 11.6% 10.8% 10.0% 10.6% 10.4% 11.3% 10.9% 12.7% 12.8% 10.6% 8.4% 8.7% 7.8% 7.4% 8.4% 7.7% 7.8% 7.77%
FCF Yield 12.9% 11.9% 10.4% 12.8% 13.0% 10.2% 13.0% 10.5% 7.9% 8.9% 8.6% 10.8% 4.0% 9.1% 7.1% 9.9% 17.2% 11.8% 12.9% 9.6% 9.62%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.454
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.555
EV/OCF snapshot only 2.799
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.024
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 2.851
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 4.05%
Graham Number snapshot only $45.34
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Current Ratio 0.21 0.22 0.19 0.20 0.13 0.15 0.14 0.10 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.05 0.16 0.15 0.153
Quick Ratio 0.21 0.22 0.19 0.20 0.13 0.15 0.14 0.10 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.05 0.16 0.15 0.153
Debt/Equity 0.55 0.57 0.39 0.29 0.27 0.29 0.25 0.67 0.98 1.17 1.34 0.93 0.82 0.71 0.52 0.37 0.24 0.23 0.28 0.22 0.218
Net Debt/Equity -1.18 -1.31 -1.31 -1.48 -0.84 -1.07 -1.09 -0.26 0.12 0.33 0.55 0.19 0.03 -0.11 -0.39 -0.58 -0.81 -0.12 -1.01 -1.01 -1.014
Debt/Assets 0.06 0.06 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.023
Debt/EBITDA 4.15 4.04 2.43 1.49 1.47 1.60 1.36 3.53 5.10 6.39 7.86 5.50 5.49 5.14 3.98 3.07 1.94 1.66 1.93 1.45 1.445
Net Debt/EBITDA -8.87 -9.22 -8.24 -7.53 -4.52 -5.98 -5.91 -1.38 0.60 1.81 3.24 1.12 0.19 -0.80 -2.93 -4.80 -6.65 -0.86 -7.04 -6.72 -6.717
Interest Coverage 1.86 2.55 3.74 5.76 6.37 6.94 7.37 6.96 5.31 3.20 1.80 1.20 0.80 0.62 0.55 0.48 0.50 0.60 0.67 0.77 0.769
Equity Multiplier 9.98 10.05 10.32 10.19 9.98 10.21 10.96 11.62 11.77 11.36 11.20 10.80 10.91 10.50 10.24 10.00 9.72 9.78 9.69 9.49 9.491
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.149
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.857
Cash to Debt snapshot only 5.647
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.617
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1912.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Asset Turnover 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.059
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 14.97 12.93 15.42 12.06 15.53 13.31 14.61 13.54 15.16 14.08 15.84 15.52 16.00 14.26 16.23 15.20 16.15 14.38 16.00 15.21 15.214
Payables Turnover 1.19 1.09 0.86 0.28 0.23 0.20 0.13 0.18 0.33 0.64 1.01 1.39 1.80 4.19 4.28 4.30 4.18 — — — —
DSO 24 28 24 30 24 27 25 27 24 26 23 24 23 26 22 24 23 25 23 24 24.0 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 307 336 425 1313 1560 1787 2841 2026 1105 572 362 262 203 87 85 85 87 0 0 0 —
Cash Conversion Cycle -283 -308 -402 -1283 -1536 -1760 -2816 -1999 -1081 -546 -339 -238 -180 -62 -63 -61 -65 25 23 24 —
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 3.366
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.446
Capital Intensity snapshot only 17.254
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Revenue 3.8% 3.8% 5.0% 3.4% 2.7% 1.6% -0.5% 3.0% 8.3% 15.5% 23.5% 28.6% 27.1% 22.3% 17.2% 8.3% 4.8% 2.7% -0.0% 2.0% 1.97%
Net Income -2.2% 4.3% 17.9% 86.2% 63.2% 45.3% 23.4% -3.6% 2.5% 1.6% -4.0% -7.9% -22.6% -25.7% -25.1% -28.5% -14.9% 5.0% 17.7% 37.1% 37.11%
EPS 3.1% 10.0% 27.1% 84.4% 61.9% 43.5% 17.4% -2.4% 4.0% 3.4% -2.0% -5.2% -19.9% -22.8% -22.5% -27.1% -13.6% 6.2% 18.9% 38.2% 38.22%
FCF 39.6% 35.8% 50.3% 36.1% 48.8% 11.0% 27.3% -12.4% -40.6% -18.4% -47.0% -22.9% -58.1% -2.2% -10.5% 8.6% 4.2% 36.0% 1.5% 32.5% 32.48%
EBITDA -2.6% 3.9% 15.5% 76.3% 56.3% 39.5% 20.5% -4.5% 0.5% 0.2% -4.4% -7.1% -19.9% -22.7% -21.5% -25.7% -13.1% 4.9% 15.7% 34.5% 34.54%
Op. Income -3.4% 3.9% 16.9% 89.9% 65.4% 45.8% 24.1% -4.0% 1.8% 1.4% -3.8% -7.1% -21.4% -24.6% -23.6% -28.4% -14.8% 4.9% 16.8% 38.4% 38.37%
OCF Growth snapshot only 16.68%
Asset Growth snapshot only 2.03%
Equity Growth snapshot only 7.54%
Debt Growth snapshot only -36.60%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.81%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 3.78%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Revenue 3Y 41.1% 23.8% 12.7% 11.0% 8.9% 6.7% 4.6% 4.2% 4.9% 6.8% 8.9% 11.0% 12.2% 12.8% 12.9% 12.8% 13.0% 13.2% 13.1% 12.4% 12.42%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — 43.2% 25.6% 17.3% 11.9% 12.6% 12.2% 11.4% 10.6% 9.5% 9.0% 8.9% 8.6% 8.6% 8.62%
EPS 3Y 45.9% 32.2% 30.3% 38.7% 37.6% 27.5% 25.1% 22.8% 20.2% 17.8% 13.5% 19.5% 10.5% 4.6% -3.7% -12.3% -10.3% -5.3% -3.3% -1.5% -1.51%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — 56.0% 39.2% 28.0% 20.5% 19.8% 16.8% 10.6% 8.3% 5.1% 3.8% 6.0% 6.1% 11.4% 11.44%
Net Income 3Y 45.2% 35.9% 28.0% 37.5% 33.9% 24.6% 22.4% 20.2% 17.8% 15.5% 11.8% 18.2% 9.0% 3.1% -3.9% -14.1% -12.3% -7.5% -5.4% -3.3% -3.35%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — 58.6% 38.7% 29.9% 20.0% 18.2% 13.8% 7.8% 5.7% 2.7% 1.5% 3.7% 4.2% 10.1% 10.13%
EBITDA 3Y 37.7% 22.7% 17.6% 27.2% 25.5% 21.9% 19.6% 17.4% 15.2% 13.2% 10.0% 16.1% 7.9% 2.6% -3.3% -13.0% -11.3% -6.7% -4.6% -2.5% -2.46%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — 51.9% 32.6% 20.9% 13.4% 12.8% 9.7% 7.0% 5.1% 2.2% 1.2% 3.3% 3.9% 9.3% 9.35%
Gross Profit 3Y 37.3% 21.9% 12.8% 16.6% 15.3% 13.9% 12.7% 12.1% 11.5% 10.7% 9.4% 12.2% 8.9% 6.5% 4.0% -1.3% -1.2% -0.4% -0.0% 0.5% 0.47%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — 47.7% 28.8% 18.9% 11.7% 10.9% 9.0% 7.6% 6.5% 5.2% 4.7% 4.8% 4.9% 7.3% 7.33%
Op. Income 3Y 37.9% 23.1% 18.9% 29.8% 28.1% 24.4% 22.2% 20.0% 17.6% 15.4% 11.7% 19.2% 9.8% 3.7% -3.0% -13.9% -12.0% -7.1% -5.0% -2.7% -2.72%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — 54.1% 34.6% 22.5% 14.9% 14.3% 11.0% 8.1% 6.1% 2.8% 1.7% 4.0% 4.5% 10.9% 10.92%
FCF 3Y 48.0% 32.0% 18.8% 30.9% 25.3% 17.0% 20.5% 27.3% 7.3% 7.2% 0.5% -2.8% -28.2% -4.0% -15.5% -9.8% 9.1% 2.8% 5.2% 3.5% 3.53%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — 48.8% 23.5% 15.8% 2.5% 8.6% -13.3% 5.0% -3.7% 11.5% 22.0% 10.3% 17.4% 5.7% 5.75%
OCF 3Y 53.1% 34.6% 17.6% 27.1% 22.0% 15.6% 20.8% 26.3% 8.5% 6.6% 0.6% -2.3% -22.0% -2.7% -12.5% -7.4% 9.7% 2.9% 4.1% 0.8% 0.83%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — 49.3% 25.8% 17.4% 3.9% 9.4% -8.0% 6.8% -0.7% 12.1% 20.2% 8.2% 13.5% 2.5% 2.50%
Assets 3Y 11.4% 11.8% 13.1% 9.3% 9.8% 10.8% 11.4% 12.0% 13.4% 13.1% 12.0% 6.3% 6.7% 5.1% 2.7% 1.7% 1.4% 0.3% -0.4% -1.4% -1.41%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — 11.4% 12.0% 11.3% 10.9% 7.4% 7.6% 7.0% 6.3% 5.7% 5.9% 6.1% 5.7% 3.3% 3.35%
Equity 3Y 8.8% 9.6% 10.5% 6.3% 7.1% 7.3% 5.2% 4.1% 4.0% 4.1% 5.9% 4.7% 3.5% 3.6% 2.9% 2.3% 2.3% 1.8% 3.7% 5.5% 5.48%
Book Value 3Y 9.3% 6.6% 12.5% 7.2% 10.0% 9.8% 7.5% 6.4% 6.1% 6.2% 7.5% 5.8% 5.0% 5.2% 3.1% 4.4% 4.6% 4.1% 6.0% 7.5% 7.49%
Dividend 3Y 20.7% -1.0% 3.7% -3.8% -1.3% 6.0% 6.3% 5.9% 5.3% 5.1% 4.5% 3.4% 3.2% 2.7% 0.8% 2.5% 2.7% 2.9% 3.0% 2.9% 2.89%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Revenue Stability 0.84 0.86 0.92 0.86 0.82 0.83 0.82 0.77 0.81 0.89 0.90 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.85 0.84 0.85 0.88 0.87 0.89 0.886
Earnings Stability 0.87 0.89 1.00 0.89 0.92 0.94 1.00 0.91 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.74 0.60 0.48 0.34 0.13 0.06 0.09 0.04 0.02 0.020
Margin Stability 0.96 0.98 0.97 0.89 0.89 0.90 0.89 0.88 0.90 0.91 0.92 0.87 0.86 0.86 0.85 0.83 0.82 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.833
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.99 0.98 0.93 0.50 0.50 0.82 0.91 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.91 0.90 0.90 0.89 0.94 0.98 0.93 0.85 0.852
Earnings Smoothness 0.98 0.96 0.84 0.40 0.52 0.63 0.79 0.96 0.98 0.98 0.96 0.92 0.75 0.70 0.71 0.67 0.84 0.95 0.84 0.69 0.687
ROE Trend 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.06 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.00 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.04 -0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.004
Gross Margin Trend -0.03 -0.00 0.04 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.13 0.08 0.01 -0.09 -0.20 -0.25 -0.26 -0.25 -0.23 -0.18 -0.12 -0.06 -0.01 -0.005
FCF Margin Trend 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.14 0.16 0.06 0.13 -0.01 -0.12 -0.08 -0.18 -0.15 -0.23 -0.09 -0.15 -0.06 0.21 0.04 0.17 0.06 0.057
Sustainable Growth Rate 5.5% 7.1% 8.8% 11.9% 11.1% 10.6% 10.5% 10.5% 10.7% 10.1% 9.3% 9.0% 7.4% 6.5% 5.9% 5.1% 5.4% 6.6% 7.1% 7.8% 7.82%
Internal Growth Rate 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.81%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.59 1.55 1.33 1.19 1.27 1.09 1.32 1.12 0.83 0.96 0.84 1.02 0.58 1.31 1.01 1.49 2.48 1.50 1.76 1.27 1.267
FCF/OCF 0.83 0.86 0.89 0.93 0.95 0.93 0.93 0.90 0.84 0.85 0.81 0.82 0.65 0.83 0.80 0.86 0.93 0.93 0.96 0.98 0.976
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.237
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.914
CapEx/Revenue 5.4% 4.8% 3.7% 2.8% 2.1% 2.3% 3.0% 3.4% 4.1% 3.9% 4.0% 4.1% 3.8% 3.8% 3.1% 3.1% 2.5% 1.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.59%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.209
Accruals Ratio -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.003
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.007
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 3.762
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Dividend Yield 4.1% 2.8% 2.4% 2.5% 2.4% 2.4% 2.6% 2.6% 2.8% 2.8% 3.5% 3.7% 3.5% 3.0% 3.3% 3.2% 2.9% 2.9% 2.5% 2.4% 4.72%
Dividend/Share $0.86 $0.70 $0.74 $0.73 $0.75 $0.77 $0.79 $0.82 $0.84 $0.86 $0.88 $0.90 $0.92 $0.92 $0.92 $0.93 $0.95 $0.95 $0.96 $0.97 $2.30
Payout Ratio 41.7% 31.0% 26.8% 21.5% 22.7% 23.7% 24.4% 24.8% 24.3% 25.5% 27.7% 28.9% 33.1% 35.6% 37.7% 40.9% 39.5% 34.6% 32.8% 30.7% 30.69%
FCF Payout Ratio 31.6% 23.2% 22.6% 19.4% 18.9% 23.2% 19.9% 24.6% 34.9% 31.1% 40.9% 34.2% 87.7% 33.0% 46.6% 31.9% 17.0% 24.7% 19.5% 24.8% 24.80%
Total Payout Ratio 98.8% 92.7% 45.8% 29.8% 29.7% 23.7% 29.4% 45.2% 45.6% 47.4% 47.7% 54.8% 65.9% 73.0% 75.7% 66.7% 64.9% 54.8% 66.3% 52.1% 52.14%
Div. Increase Streak 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.77 0.08 0.08 -0.11 -0.09 0.13 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.09 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.053
Buyback Yield 5.6% 5.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.5% 2.1% 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 3.3% 3.5% 3.1% 3.3% 2.0% 1.9% 1.7% 2.6% 1.7% 1.67%
Net Buyback Yield 5.6% 5.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.6% -0.1% 0.4% 2.0% 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 3.3% 3.5% 3.1% 3.3% 2.0% 1.9% 1.7% 2.6% 1.7% 1.67%
Total Shareholder Return 9.7% 8.3% 4.0% 3.5% 3.1% 2.2% 3.0% 4.6% 5.2% 5.2% 6.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.1% 6.6% 5.2% 4.8% 4.6% 5.1% 4.1% 4.05%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.83 0.82 0.83 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.80 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.80 0.804
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
EBIT Margin 0.25 0.27 0.31 0.41 0.40 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.34 0.30 0.27 0.23 0.21 0.20 0.18 0.19 0.22 0.23 0.25 0.246
Asset Turnover 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.059
Equity Multiplier 9.54 9.47 9.91 10.25 9.98 10.14 10.65 10.90 10.86 10.78 11.08 11.20 11.33 10.93 10.72 10.39 10.29 10.13 9.96 9.74 9.738
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $2.05 $2.26 $2.75 $3.38 $3.32 $3.25 $3.23 $3.30 $3.46 $3.36 $3.16 $3.13 $2.77 $2.59 $2.45 $2.28 $2.39 $2.75 $2.92 $3.15 $3.15
Book Value/Share $22.03 $22.50 $24.01 $23.48 $24.36 $24.64 $23.76 $23.33 $23.94 $24.48 $24.95 $25.25 $25.49 $26.17 $26.33 $26.73 $27.86 $27.80 $28.31 $28.98 $27.85
Tangible Book/Share $19.11 $19.60 $21.01 $20.65 $21.52 $21.83 $20.95 $20.50 $21.11 $21.66 $22.13 $22.38 $22.60 $23.27 $23.44 $23.83 $24.95 $24.91 $25.44 $26.09 $26.09
Revenue/Share $10.00 $10.13 $10.72 $10.17 $10.20 $10.17 $10.14 $10.60 $11.20 $11.95 $12.79 $14.03 $14.75 $15.20 $15.52 $15.51 $15.69 $15.79 $15.67 $15.94 $15.79
FCF/Share $2.71 $3.02 $3.27 $3.75 $4.00 $3.31 $3.96 $3.32 $2.41 $2.75 $2.14 $2.64 $1.05 $2.80 $1.99 $2.92 $5.55 $3.85 $4.92 $3.90 $3.85
OCF/Share $3.26 $3.51 $3.67 $4.03 $4.22 $3.55 $4.27 $3.68 $2.87 $3.22 $2.66 $3.21 $1.61 $3.38 $2.47 $3.40 $5.94 $4.14 $5.14 $4.00 $4.14
Cash/Share $38.05 $42.40 $40.67 $41.53 $27.14 $33.42 $31.77 $21.88 $20.80 $20.59 $19.69 $18.63 $20.27 $21.50 $23.93 $25.37 $29.03 $9.67 $36.31 $35.71 $9.67
EBITDA/Share $2.92 $3.20 $3.81 $4.60 $4.53 $4.41 $4.37 $4.45 $4.62 $4.50 $4.27 $4.26 $3.83 $3.62 $3.47 $3.23 $3.38 $3.84 $4.05 $4.37 $4.37
Debt/Share $12.13 $12.92 $9.25 $6.87 $6.67 $7.05 $5.93 $15.74 $23.58 $28.75 $33.51 $23.41 $21.01 $18.59 $13.78 $9.89 $6.56 $6.37 $7.80 $6.32 $6.32
Net Debt/Share $-25.92 $-29.48 $-31.42 $-34.66 $-20.47 $-26.37 $-25.83 $-6.14 $2.78 $8.16 $13.82 $4.78 $0.74 $-2.91 $-10.15 $-15.48 $-22.47 $-3.30 $-28.50 $-29.38 $-29.38
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.700
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -4.372
Piotroski F-Score 6 6 7 6 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 5 5 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9
Beneish M-Score -2.52 -2.50 -2.51 -3.00 -2.56 -2.46 -2.40 -2.25 -2.06 -1.99 -2.02 -2.13 -2.13 -2.27 -2.32 -2.38 -2.61 -2.59 -2.67 -2.60 -2.602
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -3.417
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-209.27
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA-
Credit Score 58.23 60.20 75.76 81.39 76.34 68.98 74.96 56.02 54.54 51.61 50.25 54.30 47.63 52.46 50.29 53.56 72.65 77.14 82.20 81.73 81.731
Credit Grade snapshot only 4
Credit Trend snapshot only 28.167
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 100.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 88
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 73

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