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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
1W: +2.1% 1M: +18.0% 3M: +43.2% YTD: +28.4% 1Y: -15.7% 3Y: -52.4% 5Y: -43.9%
$12.88
-0.17 (-1.34%)
After Hours: $12.86 (-0.03, -0.23%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.8%
$12 $13 $13 $14 $15
NASDAQ · Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores · Tech Score Buy · Power 65 · $1.3B mcap · 90M float · 2.71% daily turnover · Short 62% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 67% of companies Debt: 58.9% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.54 (down 96%), Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.85B against a stock market value of $1.29B.
Distance to default 3.62 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-07-04, debt counted $260.3M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 56.4%; Altman Z'' -0.20. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.

Revenue Segmentation

By Product / Service

Revenue by Segment (5-Year Trend)

Income Trends

Revenue
$4.7B +7.3% ▲
5Y CAGR: +8.4%
Gross Profit
$1.4B +7.4% ▲
5Y CAGR: +7.8%
Operating Income
-$222M -383.1% ▼
Net Income
-$225M -669.9% ▼
EPS (Diluted)
$-2.30 -675.0% ▼
EBITDA
-$85M -144.4% ▼

Profit Margins

Year-over-Year Growth

View Full Income Statement
Line ItemFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Revenue$3.1B$3.6B$4.0B$4.4B$4.7B
YoY Growth-1.8%+16.2%+10.9%+10.1%+7.3%
Cost of Revenue$2.1B$2.5B$2.7B$3.0B$3.3B
Gross Profit$949M$1.1B$1.2B$1.3B$1.4B
Gross Margin30.8%30.5%31.3%30.2%30.3%
R&D Expenses$0$0$0$0$0
SG&A Expenses$860M$997M$1.1B$1.2B$1.3B
Operating Expenses$860M$997M$1.1B$1.2B$1.6B
Operating Income$89M$95M$126M$78M-$222M
Operating Margin2.9%2.7%3.2%1.8%-4.7%
Interest Expense$17M$19M$23M$28M$33M
Income Before Tax$78M$76M$104M$56M-$249M
Tax Expense$15M$11M$25M$17M-$24M
Net Income$62M$65M$79M$39M-$225M
Net Margin2.0%1.8%2.0%0.9%-4.8%
EPS (Diluted)$0.63$0.65$0.79$0.40$-2.30
EBITDA$165M$173M$215M$192M-$85M
Shares Outstanding99M100M101M100M98M

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms