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GRTS NASDAQ

Gritstone bio, Inc.
1W: -16.3% 1M: -46.8% 3M: -95.0% 1Y: -98.2% 3Y: -99.8% 5Y: -99.7%
$0.03
Last traded 2024-11-18 — delisted
NASDAQ · Healthcare · Biotechnology · $3.8M mcap · 115M float · 15.32% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
41.2 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: -174.3%  ·  5Y Avg: -117.1%
Cost Advantage
38
Intangibles
52
Switching Cost
38
Network Effect
39
Scale
35
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. GRTS shows a Weak competitive edge (41.2/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. Negative ROIC of -174.3% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 7Hold: 4Sell: 2Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2024-04-02 BTIG Kaveri Pohlman Initiated $3 — +150.0% $1.20
2024-04-01 JMP Securities Roy Buchanan Initiated $5 — +112.8% $2.35
2022-10-30 Piper Sandler Edward Tenthoff Initiated $6 — +121.4% $2.71

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 10 Grade D
Profitability
0
Balance Sheet
6
Earnings Quality
63
Growth
28
Value
36
Momentum
34
Safety
0
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. GRTS scores highest in Earnings Quality (63/100) and lowest in Profitability (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-9.31
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
1/9
✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.80
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
0.21
Bankruptcy prob: 55.2%
High Risk
Credit Rating
B-
Score: 23.3/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 0.95x
Accruals: -3.9%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. GRTS scores -9.31, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. GRTS scores 1/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. GRTS's score of -2.80 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. GRTS's implied 55.2% bankruptcy probability signals significant financial distress. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. GRTS receives an estimated rating of B- (score: 23.3/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-0.03x
PEG
-0.00x
P/S
2.86x
P/B
0.07x
P/FCF
-0.70x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
-1.11x
EV/Revenue
78.85x
EV/EBIT
-1.05x
EV/FCF
-1.05x
Earnings Yield
-150.25%
FCF Yield
-143.77%
Shareholder Yield
1.96%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. GRTS currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.000
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.038
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-75.426
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.009
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.772
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-201.9%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. GRTS's ROE of -201.9% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.009), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.00 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1545 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$0.03
Median 1Y
$0.00
5th Pctile
$0.00
95th Pctile
$0.04
Ann. Volatility
131.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
ROE -73.4% -66.6% -82.9% -77.0% -92.7% -70.0% -45.2% -51.2% -51.8% -39.2% -57.6% -67.7% -68.4% -61.4% -75.1% -95.2% -1.3% -1.2% -1.9% -2.0% -2.02%
ROA -52.2% -50.5% -60.6% -57.4% -63.9% -51.9% -34.7% -38.1% -36.8% -30.1% -45.6% -52.9% -49.5% -45.8% -54.7% -59.5% -70.5% -66.2% -83.5% -72.9% -72.86%
ROIC -2.5% -2.6% -2.8% -2.8% -3.1% -4.0% -2.3% -1.9% -1.6% -1.5% -2.1% -2.1% -2.4% -2.4% -2.3% -1.2% -1.3% -1.6% -1.8% -1.7% -1.74%
ROCE -47.2% -59.4% -73.1% -86.6% -1.1% -54.5% -31.7% -34.8% -30.9% -31.6% -53.5% -64.1% -68.0% -57.5% -66.2% -63.6% -82.7% -89.4% -1.3% -1.1% -1.08%
Gross Margin -24.3% -25.7% -16.8% -42.6% -22.5% -15.9% 37.4% -6.8% -9.2% -13.7% 17.4% 45.7% -8.0% -2.0% -55.3% -3.1% -25.5% -65.2% -34.6% -27.1% -27.07%
Operating Margin -28.9% -32.0% -21.1% -53.4% -27.8% -20.1% 19.9% -8.9% -11.7% -16.7% -6.1% -10.7% -68.5% -24.1% -64.2% -89.3% -24.7% -1407.8% -846.8% -499.2% -499.16%
Net Margin -28.0% -31.3% -20.8% -53.0% -27.8% -20.1% 20.0% -8.8% -11.7% -16.7% -6.1% -10.6% -68.9% -23.1% -62.7% -88.1% -24.6% -1062.7% -824.2% -410.5% -410.46%
EBITDA Margin -27.8% -30.4% -19.8% -50.0% -26.1% -18.9% 23.9% -8.3% -11.0% -15.9% -5.8% -10.1% -63.6% -21.7% -53.7% -69.6% -22.7% -954.4% -762.2% -359.5% -359.51%
FCF Margin -19.3% -23.2% -24.3% -29.1% -26.6% -22.9% -1.4% -1.4% -1.2% -1.2% -8.6% -8.9% -11.8% -13.1% -25.3% -49.2% -36.1% -55.6% -65.2% -74.9% -74.88%
OCF Margin -16.5% -19.5% -20.8% -25.2% -24.2% -22.1% -1.3% -1.3% -1.1% -1.1% -8.1% -8.4% -11.2% -12.5% -24.2% -47.0% -34.6% -53.8% -63.6% -74.0% -74.02%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -2.63%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -1.88%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -68.63%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.05%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -94.67%
Cash ROA snapshot only -88.28%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -1.86%
CROIC snapshot only -1.88%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -69.42%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -78.25%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 70.33%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 15.45%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 7.35%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
P/E Ratio -3.67 -3.50 -2.09 -2.30 -0.95 -1.41 -10.26 -9.95 -11.59 -13.32 -3.18 -1.80 -1.89 -2.52 -2.57 -1.72 -1.43 -1.44 -2.10 -0.67 -0.027
P/S Ratio 67.45 75.62 50.04 68.38 28.00 36.83 17.20 15.63 18.15 21.41 30.20 17.90 22.89 32.34 62.79 82.85 51.74 78.50 148.93 52.08 2.857
P/B Ratio 1.97 2.46 1.86 2.57 1.39 0.89 3.66 3.92 4.04 4.63 1.88 1.28 1.63 1.76 2.26 2.05 2.68 3.84 21.79 3.99 0.072
P/FCF -3.49 -3.26 -2.06 -2.35 -1.05 -1.61 -12.52 -11.49 -14.86 -17.82 -3.52 -2.00 -1.93 -2.46 -2.48 -1.68 -1.43 -1.41 -2.29 -0.70 -0.696
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA -2.16 -2.42 -1.28 -1.76 -0.55 -0.03 -8.58 -8.62 -10.11 -11.99 -1.98 -0.81 -1.12 -1.50 -1.94 -1.81 -1.73 -1.85 -2.80 -1.11 -1.108
EV/Revenue 39.36 51.73 30.10 50.29 15.49 0.69 13.10 12.31 14.42 17.66 17.75 7.66 12.87 18.15 43.64 75.77 54.71 87.65 176.21 78.85 78.854
EV/EBIT -2.05 -2.31 -1.22 -1.66 -0.52 -0.03 -7.79 -7.82 -9.21 -10.98 -1.87 -0.77 -1.06 -1.42 -1.80 -1.61 -1.55 -1.65 -2.56 -1.05 -1.045
EV/FCF -2.04 -2.23 -1.24 -1.73 -0.58 -0.03 -9.53 -9.05 -11.81 -14.69 -2.07 -0.86 -1.09 -1.38 -1.72 -1.54 -1.52 -1.58 -2.70 -1.05 -1.053
Earnings Yield -27.3% -28.6% -47.9% -43.4% -1.1% -70.8% -9.7% -10.1% -8.6% -7.5% -31.5% -55.4% -53.0% -39.6% -39.0% -58.0% -69.7% -69.6% -47.6% -1.5% -1.50%
FCF Yield -28.7% -30.7% -48.6% -42.5% -95.1% -62.3% -8.0% -8.7% -6.7% -5.6% -28.4% -50.0% -51.7% -40.6% -40.3% -59.4% -69.8% -70.9% -43.8% -1.4% -1.44%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 3.990
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 1.96%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
Current Ratio 6.76 6.73 6.09 4.93 3.35 6.50 9.30 8.25 6.01 5.52 5.65 4.99 4.75 5.25 6.27 5.53 3.88 3.20 1.99 2.54 2.540
Quick Ratio 6.57 6.59 5.96 4.82 3.35 6.50 9.13 8.12 6.01 5.52 5.65 4.99 4.75 5.25 6.27 5.53 3.88 3.20 1.99 2.54 2.540
Debt/Equity 0.13 0.17 0.20 0.28 0.36 0.15 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.14 0.15 0.31 0.24 0.35 0.87 1.29 2.02 7.40 4.62 4.619
Net Debt/Equity -0.82 -0.78 -0.74 -0.68 -0.62 -0.88 -0.87 -0.83 -0.83 -0.81 -0.77 -0.73 -0.71 -0.77 -0.69 -0.17 0.15 0.45 3.99 2.05 2.051
Debt/Assets 0.10 0.13 0.14 0.18 0.21 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.11 0.12 0.21 0.17 0.23 0.43 0.51 0.59 0.75 0.72 0.719
Debt/EBITDA -0.25 -0.25 -0.23 -0.26 -0.26 -0.25 -0.37 -0.35 -0.41 -0.38 -0.24 -0.23 -0.38 -0.36 -0.43 -0.84 -0.79 -0.87 -0.80 -0.85 -0.847
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.54 1.12 0.85 0.63 0.44 1.47 2.69 2.33 2.61 2.55 1.39 1.09 0.88 1.18 0.85 0.17 -0.09 -0.19 -0.43 -0.38 -0.376
Interest Coverage — — — — — -5300.85 -3571.15 -3526.60 -3625.40 — -4665.00 -4846.21 -204.53 -94.07 -59.01 -41.59 -38.66 -33.30 -31.27 -26.66 -26.663
Equity Multiplier 1.33 1.37 1.41 1.51 1.70 1.33 1.24 1.25 1.30 1.29 1.29 1.31 1.50 1.41 1.49 2.03 2.53 3.43 9.83 6.42 6.424
Cash Ratio snapshot only 2.384
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -25.161
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.556
FCF to Debt snapshot only -1.242
Defensive Interval snapshot only 143.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
Asset Turnover 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.21 0.24 0.24 0.19 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.009
Inventory Turnover 34.90 26.15 39.34 44.11 41.84 65.06 29.45 38.51 — — 40.88 40.46 — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 38.42 9.25 9.63 6.13 23.90 16.76 93.24 47.28 80.01 67.46 49.76 13.04 11.97 9.69 14.94 10.15 9.36 6.67 6.53 6.32 6.320
Payables Turnover 14.05 17.55 20.73 19.31 17.84 12.49 16.00 20.19 28.20 14.12 12.75 15.60 11.32 2.07 6.88 10.98 10.67 5.76 1.10 1.60 1.596
DSO 10 39 38 60 15 22 4 8 5 5 7 28 31 38 24 36 39 55 56 58 57.8 days
DIO 10 14 9 8 9 6 12 9 0 0 9 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 26 21 18 19 20 29 23 18 13 26 29 23 32 176 53 33 34 63 332 229 228.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -6 33 30 49 4 -2 -6 -1 -8 -20 -12 14 -2 -138 -29 3 5 -9 -277 -171 -171.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.022
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.030
Capital Intensity snapshot only 83.848
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
Revenue 46.6% 2.7% 68.9% -1.8% -21.9% -7.5% 8.9% 11.4% 12.0% 10.6% -72.3% -73.9% -79.0% -80.2% -57.0% -76.9% -60.6% -72.6% -59.7% -37.2% -37.15%
Net Income -3.5% -1.6% -90.3% -42.9% -25.9% -11.5% 30.6% 34.4% 31.5% 28.7% -57.1% -64.6% -62.6% -58.2% -10.8% -12.1% -17.4% -16.6% -16.9% -2.4% -2.36%
EPS 69.0% -1.1% -49.6% -28.8% -19.0% -8.7% 67.1% 68.1% 66.8% 65.4% -41.0% -46.1% -46.0% -41.6% 16.4% 15.7% 11.9% -3.9% -13.0% 17.9% 17.90%
FCF -65.0% -6.3% -1.9% -86.9% -7.6% 8.5% 43.9% 42.0% 40.6% 39.4% -73.2% -71.4% -1.0% -1.2% -26.9% -27.4% -20.3% -15.8% -3.8% 4.4% 4.36%
EBITDA -3.7% -1.7% -91.3% -40.9% -21.0% -6.6% 35.4% 38.2% 34.5% 30.8% -62.9% -72.0% -68.5% -62.6% -7.6% -3.1% -9.0% -7.4% -12.9% -6.6% -6.60%
Op. Income -3.7% -1.7% -90.2% -40.8% -22.3% -8.2% 32.4% 35.6% 32.3% 29.1% -56.8% -65.2% -63.0% -60.1% -12.7% -13.5% -19.3% -24.5% -24.1% -12.9% -12.87%
OCF Growth snapshot only 1.08%
Asset Growth snapshot only -35.97%
Equity Growth snapshot only -79.75%
Debt Growth snapshot only 7.45%
Shares Change snapshot only 24.68%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — — — 6.8% 2.4% 66.8% 46.9% 28.6% 28.5% 5.8% -9.2% 2.4% -14.4% -63.6% -66.4% -66.40%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.1% 16.4% -4.2% -14.3% -14.33%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y — — — — — — — — 33.8% 13.6% 11.5% -2.1% -0.5% 9.3% 8.8% 15.2% 15.2% -7.1% -17.8% -14.0% -14.02%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 10.6% -1.3% -4.8% -9.0% -8.98%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — 42.0% 13.2% 12.7% -3.6% -4.4% 8.3% 6.9% 4.4% 0.9% -32.3% -58.8% -50.1% -50.12%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — -55.2% -18.6% -21.7% -29.7% -28.8% -18.7% -26.8% -28.3% -30.5% -50.6% -64.2% -59.5% -59.49%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — 0.55 0.66 0.78 0.75 0.66 0.65 0.21 0.18 0.14 0.13 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.05 0.07 0.069
Earnings Stability — — — — 0.92 0.86 0.12 0.01 0.41 0.29 0.46 0.23 0.59 0.52 0.65 0.52 0.72 0.68 0.79 0.64 0.641
Margin Stability — — — — 0.00 0.83 0.21 0.15 0.00 0.35 0.17 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.08 0.04 0.09 0.089
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — 0.90 0.95 0.88 0.86 0.87 0.89 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.96 0.95 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.99 0.991
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend — — — — -1.07 -0.16 0.29 0.37 0.66 0.32 0.03 0.05 0.05 -0.21 -0.41 -0.63 -1.27 -2.15 -9.64 -5.05 -5.048
Gross Margin Trend — — — — 64.50 0.55 17.54 19.56 18.63 18.38 5.02 8.98 9.87 10.58 -3.57 -11.41 -7.10 -12.44 3.65 5.56 5.558
FCF Margin Trend — — — — -24.17 -5.49 17.81 20.81 21.77 21.86 4.26 6.27 2.09 -1.07 -20.33 -44.06 -29.56 -48.46 -48.22 -45.81 -45.807
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.90 0.90 0.87 0.85 0.82 0.85 0.78 0.82 0.72 0.67 0.85 0.85 0.93 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.99 0.90 0.95 0.946
FCF/OCF 1.17 1.19 1.17 1.15 1.10 1.04 1.05 1.06 1.08 1.11 1.07 1.06 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.04 1.03 1.02 1.01 1.012
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.957
CapEx/Revenue 2.8% 3.7% 3.6% 3.9% 2.5% 87.0% 6.8% 7.9% 9.5% 11.7% 53.4% 51.9% 58.8% 63.4% 1.1% 2.2% 1.5% 1.8% 1.5% 85.8% 85.82%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.202
Accruals Ratio -0.05 -0.05 -0.08 -0.09 -0.12 -0.08 -0.08 -0.07 -0.10 -0.10 -0.07 -0.08 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.01 -0.09 -0.04 -0.039
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.387
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -57.174
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.8% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 1.1% 1.12%
Net Buyback Yield -52.9% -22.8% -37.7% -6.1% -14.3% -90.9% -20.6% -21.1% -24.3% -11.3% -25.6% -42.8% -15.3% -21.4% -21.1% -30.0% -33.7% -4.0% -1.7% -48.2% -48.21%
Total Shareholder Return -52.9% -22.8% -37.7% -6.1% -14.3% -90.9% -20.6% -21.1% -24.3% -11.3% -25.6% -42.8% -15.3% -21.4% -21.1% -30.0% -33.7% -3.6% -1.5% -47.4% -47.37%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.04 1.038
EBIT Margin -19.17 -22.44 -24.69 -30.27 -30.00 -26.25 -1.68 -1.57 -1.57 -1.61 -9.51 -9.95 -12.10 -12.78 -24.22 -47.11 -35.33 -53.02 -68.72 -75.43 -75.426
Asset Turnover 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.21 0.24 0.24 0.19 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.009
Equity Multiplier 1.40 1.32 1.37 1.34 1.45 1.35 1.30 1.34 1.41 1.31 1.26 1.28 1.38 1.34 1.37 1.60 1.86 1.88 2.24 2.77 2.772
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-2.36 $-2.57 $-2.79 $-2.88 $-2.80 $-2.79 $-0.92 $-0.92 $-0.93 $-0.97 $-1.30 $-1.34 $-1.36 $-1.37 $-1.08 $-1.13 $-1.20 $-1.42 $-1.22 $-0.93 $-0.93
Book Value/Share $4.38 $3.65 $3.14 $2.58 $1.91 $4.42 $2.57 $2.33 $2.67 $2.78 $2.19 $1.89 $1.58 $1.97 $1.23 $0.95 $0.64 $0.53 $0.12 $0.15 $0.45
Tangible Book/Share $4.37 $3.63 $3.12 $2.57 $1.89 $4.40 $2.57 $2.33 $2.67 $2.78 $2.19 $1.89 $1.58 $1.97 $1.23 $0.95 $0.64 $0.53 $0.12 $0.15 $0.15
Revenue/Share $0.13 $0.12 $0.12 $0.10 $0.09 $0.11 $0.55 $0.58 $0.60 $0.60 $0.14 $0.14 $0.11 $0.11 $0.04 $0.02 $0.03 $0.03 $0.02 $0.01 $0.01
FCF/Share $-2.48 $-2.75 $-2.83 $-2.82 $-2.52 $-2.45 $-0.75 $-0.79 $-0.73 $-0.72 $-1.17 $-1.21 $-1.33 $-1.40 $-1.12 $-1.16 $-1.20 $-1.45 $-1.12 $-0.89 $-1.09
OCF/Share $-2.12 $-2.31 $-2.41 $-2.45 $-2.29 $-2.36 $-0.72 $-0.75 $-0.67 $-0.65 $-1.10 $-1.14 $-1.26 $-1.33 $-1.07 $-1.11 $-1.15 $-1.40 $-1.10 $-0.88 $-1.05
Cash/Share $4.19 $3.47 $2.96 $2.47 $1.87 $4.53 $2.56 $2.23 $2.57 $2.59 $2.00 $1.67 $1.61 $1.98 $1.27 $1.00 $0.73 $0.84 $0.40 $0.40 $0.71
EBITDA/Share $-2.33 $-2.53 $-2.73 $-2.78 $-2.67 $-2.63 $-0.84 $-0.83 $-0.85 $-0.88 $-1.22 $-1.27 $-1.28 $-1.29 $-0.99 $-0.99 $-1.05 $-1.23 $-1.08 $-0.84 $-0.84
Debt/Share $0.59 $0.64 $0.64 $0.71 $0.69 $0.66 $0.31 $0.29 $0.35 $0.34 $0.30 $0.29 $0.49 $0.46 $0.43 $0.83 $0.83 $1.07 $0.87 $0.72 $0.72
Net Debt/Share $-3.60 $-2.83 $-2.32 $-1.76 $-1.18 $-3.87 $-2.25 $-1.94 $-2.22 $-2.25 $-1.70 $-1.38 $-1.13 $-1.51 $-0.85 $-0.17 $0.10 $0.24 $0.47 $0.32 $0.32
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -9.310
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -20.122
Piotroski F-Score 4 2 2 2 2 3 6 6 6 5 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 1
Beneish M-Score 8.97 -2.96 -1.25 -4.39 -4.15 -2.91 -0.64 5.30 18.98 -1.31 71.24 -11.87 -3.59 -0.14 -3.14 -1.95 14.92 2.66 -2.80 -2.80 -2.797
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only 0.207
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -1.13%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-0.42
EVA snapshot only $-124775950.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B-
Credit Score 52.55 52.07 42.20 40.73 40.67 30.86 59.62 59.60 59.46 74.13 36.98 32.24 31.29 31.86 31.63 29.72 28.47 25.31 19.78 23.31 23.315
Credit Grade snapshot only 16
Credit Trend snapshot only -6.404
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 900.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 13
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 13

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