HCC NYSE
Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
1W: +3.8%
1M: -4.8%
3M: +10.7%
YTD: -2.4%
1Y: +36.0%
3Y: +91.1%
5Y: +261.9%
$87.35
+2.14 (+2.51%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.6%
$76
$81
$86
$91
$95
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 73% of companies Debt: 4.9% of company value Bonds: $33.5M held by 24 funds, 312 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.31 (down 99.6%), Warrior Met Coal, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $235.8M against a stock market value of $4.61B.
Distance to default 8.05 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $77.3M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 50.8%; Altman Z'' 8.34. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.31 (down 99.6%), Warrior Met Coal, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $235.8M against a stock market value of $4.61B.
Distance to default 8.05 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $77.3M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 50.8%; Altman Z'' 8.34. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Revenue by Segment (5-Year Trend)
Income Trends
Revenue
$1.3B
-14.1% ▼
5Y CAGR: +10.8%
Gross Profit
$1.3B
-13.3% ▼
5Y CAGR: +195.0%
Operating Income
$46M
-82.1% ▼
Net Income
$57M
-77.3% ▼
EPS (Diluted)
$1.08
-77.5% ▼
EBITDA
$236M
-47.3% ▼
5Y CAGR: +20.1%
Profit Margins
Year-over-Year Growth
View Full Income Statement
| Line Item | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.1B | $1.7B | $1.7B | $1.5B | $1.3B |
| YoY Growth | +35.3% | +64.2% | -3.6% | -9.0% | -14.1% |
| Cost of Revenue | $725M | $853M | $1.1B | $45M | $28M |
| Gross Profit | $335M | $886M | $602M | $1.5B | $1.3B |
| Gross Margin | 31.6% | 50.9% | 35.9% | 97.0% | 97.9% |
| R&D Expenses | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| SG&A Expenses | $36M | $49M | $52M | $63M | $66M |
| Operating Expenses | $91M | $84M | $60M | $1.2B | $1.2B |
| Operating Income | $244M | $801M | $541M | $255M | $46M |
| Operating Margin | 23.0% | 46.1% | 32.3% | 16.7% | 3.5% |
| Interest Expense | $36M | $31M | $18M | $4M | $10M |
| Income Before Tax | $200M | $783M | $551M | $284M | $54M |
| Tax Expense | $49M | $142M | $73M | $33M | -$3M |
| Net Income | $151M | $641M | $479M | $251M | $57M |
| Net Margin | 14.2% | 36.9% | 28.5% | 16.4% | 4.4% |
| EPS (Diluted) | $2.93 | $12.40 | $9.20 | $4.79 | $1.08 |
| EBITDA | $378M | $930M | $697M | $447M | $236M |
| Shares Outstanding | 51M | 52M | 52M | 52M | 53M |