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Not Investment Advice

HCXY NYSE

Hercules Capital Inc
1W: +1.5% 1M: -2.6% 3M: -1.1% YTD: -3.3% 1Y: -3.4% 3Y: +17.1% 5Y: +17.9%
$24.24
-0.10 (-0.41%)
After Hours: $24.48 (+0.24, +1.01%)
Weekly Expected Move ±2.4%
$23 $24 $24 $25 $25
NYSE · Financial Services · Asset Management · Tech Score Neutral · Power 51 · $3.1B mcap · 138M float · 0.0019% daily turnover · Short 29% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: not rated, financial company (lending is its business) Bonds: $55.2M held by 90 funds, 189 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Not rated: lending and leverage are a financial company's business, which the model misreads.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
53.1 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 10.1%  ·  5Y Avg: 7.5%
Cost Advantage ★
75
Intangibles
51
Switching Cost
54
Network Effect
47
Scale
32
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. HCXY shows a Weak competitive edge (53.1/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 10.1% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
3
ROA
5
D/E
4
P/E
3
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. HCXY receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: ROA (5/5), D/E (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-12 B B+
2026-08-14 B+ B
2026-08-03 B B+
2026-07-31 B+ B
2026-07-25 B B+
2026-05-18 B+ B
2026-05-11 B B+
2026-05-05 B- B
2026-05-04 B B-
2026-04-01 B- B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 38 Grade C
Profitability
82
Balance Sheet
38
Earnings Quality
42
Growth
64
Value
72
Momentum
51
Safety
30
Cash Flow
27
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. HCXY scores highest in Profitability (82/100) and lowest in Cash Flow (27/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.55
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-1.88
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.79
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 35.1/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: 0.02x
Accruals: 8.3%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. HCXY scores 1.55, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HCXY scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. HCXY's score of -1.88 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HCXY's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HCXY receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 35.1/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). HCXY's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
7.92x
PEG
0.21x
P/S
5.34x
P/B
1.35x
P/FCF
582.79x
P/OCF
579.77x
EV/EBITDA
15.68x
EV/Revenue
13.23x
EV/EBIT
15.69x
EV/FCF
854.82x
Earnings Yield
7.75%
FCF Yield
0.17%
Shareholder Yield
8.49%
Graham Number
$22.16
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 7.9x earnings, HCXY trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 7.8% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $22.16 per share, 10% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.998
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.831
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.843
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.122
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.028
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
17.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HCXY's ROE of 17.3% is driven by EBIT Margin (0.843) as the dominant factor. A tax burden ratio of 1.00 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$73.75
Price/Value
0.34x
Margin of Safety
66.49%
Premium
-66.49%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with HCXY's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. HCXY trades at a -66% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $73.75, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 7.9x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$24.24
Median 1Y
$18.63
5th Pctile
$4.97
95th Pctile
$70.69
Ann. Volatility
78.2%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Scott Bluestein Investment
utive Officer and Chief Investment Officer
$650,000 $5,019,494 $8,891,994
Seth H. Meyer
Chief Financial Officer
$550,000 $1,625,903 $3,040,903
Christian Follmann Operating
rating Officer
$300,000 $462,343 $1,209,843
Kiersten Zaza Botelho
General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer and Corporate Secretary
$300,000 $366,067 $1,083,567

CEO Pay Ratio

23:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $8,891,994
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $380,580
Employees: 50

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
50
-50.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$9,837,640
Rev: $491,882,000
Profit / Employee
$6,794,740
NI: $339,737,000
SGA / Employee
$380,580
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 25.6% 13.4% 8.1% 1.0% 3.2% 7.5% 14.1% 20.9% 18.6% 21.1% 19.7% 16.3% 18.4% 13.9% 11.4% 12.9% 15.3% 16.1% 15.7% 17.3% 17.28%
ROA 12.1% 6.7% 4.0% 0.5% 1.5% 3.6% 6.7% 10.0% 8.9% 10.5% 9.6% 8.1% 9.2% 7.3% 5.8% 6.5% 7.7% 8.1% 7.5% 8.5% 8.52%
ROIC 8.9% 9.1% 8.3% 8.0% 2.6% 8.6% 9.3% 10.7% 11.1% 11.9% 10.9% 10.4% 10.8% 10.4% 9.5% 10.2% 10.8% 10.7% 8.8% 10.1% 10.07%
ROCE 7.8% 9.8% 7.9% 7.4% 7.7% 8.4% 8.9% 10.1% 11.2% 11.2% 11.6% 10.6% 10.6% 10.0% 9.8% 10.2% 10.6% 10.4% 8.7% 11.5% 11.49%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 98.0% 98.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 97.7% 98.1% 70.7% 98.0% 97.98%
Operating Margin 78.7% 78.4% 76.7% 77.9% 81.1% 81.3% 81.7% 83.7% 83.6% 87.1% 83.7% 51.2% 85.8% 85.9% 84.1% 84.0% 1.1% 73.7% 44.3% 1.0% 1.01%
Net Margin 33.5% 5.1% -5.1% -14.3% 63.2% 62.4% 90.0% 81.5% 24.0% 98.0% 70.1% 35.1% 54.9% 50.4% 42.1% 57.4% 87.1% 57.6% 44.3% 83.0% 83.02%
EBITDA Margin 75.4% 75.2% 75.7% 75.4% 79.2% 80.0% 80.4% 82.1% 82.1% 86.4% 83.9% 51.3% 84.3% 84.8% 83.4% 83.3% 1.1% 73.7% 44.4% 1.0% 1.01%
FCF Margin 59.0% 77.2% -2.0% -59.3% -88.5% -1.3% -87.7% -16.2% -29.2% 14.6% -19.1% -34.2% -58.0% -90.2% -88.2% -1.3% -77.4% -77.3% -82.3% 1.5% 1.55%
OCF Margin 59.0% 77.3% -1.9% -59.2% -88.4% -1.3% -87.7% -16.1% -29.1% 14.8% -18.9% -34.0% -57.9% -90.3% -88.4% -1.3% -77.5% -77.3% -82.3% 1.6% 1.56%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 14.67%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 12.85%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.29%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.55%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 9.99%
Cash ROA snapshot only 0.18%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 0.19%
CROIC snapshot only 0.18%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 84.31%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 70.08%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 3.44%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.68%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 7.32 13.90 22.69 184.55 57.10 26.37 13.80 9.83 10.98 10.42 10.59 13.02 11.90 14.89 18.99 17.85 15.63 14.65 14.50 12.90 7.921
P/S Ratio 8.30 8.61 8.73 8.97 8.40 8.37 7.63 7.39 7.01 7.63 7.29 7.49 7.71 7.89 8.69 9.19 9.39 9.01 9.10 9.02 5.344
P/B Ratio 1.76 1.85 1.82 1.89 1.81 1.92 1.84 1.89 1.86 1.95 1.88 1.97 2.07 1.97 2.11 2.15 2.21 2.24 2.16 2.17 1.350
P/FCF 14.06 11.15 -441.83 -15.13 -9.50 -6.33 -8.70 -45.60 -24.01 52.18 -38.11 -21.89 -13.28 -8.75 -9.86 -7.32 -12.13 -11.66 -11.05 582.79 582.787
P/OCF 14.05 11.15 — — — — — — — 51.50 — — — — — — — — — 579.77 579.773
EV/EBITDA 16.20 16.55 17.54 18.48 5.31 16.98 15.43 13.86 13.14 13.04 13.31 14.52 14.54 14.75 16.67 15.74 15.07 15.20 17.52 15.68 15.681
EV/Revenue 12.46 12.57 13.31 13.94 4.07 13.23 12.19 11.16 10.67 10.81 11.13 11.05 11.17 11.27 12.69 13.21 13.50 13.09 13.86 13.23 13.228
EV/EBIT 16.22 16.57 17.56 18.50 5.32 17.00 15.44 13.87 13.15 13.05 13.32 14.53 14.56 14.77 16.69 15.75 15.08 15.21 17.53 15.69 15.692
EV/FCF 21.10 16.27 -673.95 -23.50 -4.59 -10.02 -13.90 -68.88 -36.56 73.86 -58.21 -32.29 -19.24 -12.50 -14.39 -10.53 -17.44 -16.93 -16.84 854.82 854.816
Earnings Yield 13.7% 7.2% 4.4% 0.5% 1.8% 3.8% 7.2% 10.2% 9.1% 9.6% 9.4% 7.7% 8.4% 6.7% 5.3% 5.6% 6.4% 6.8% 6.9% 7.8% 7.75%
FCF Yield 7.1% 9.0% -0.2% -6.6% -10.5% -15.8% -11.5% -2.2% -4.2% 1.9% -2.6% -4.6% -7.5% -11.4% -10.1% -13.7% -8.2% -8.6% -9.0% 0.2% 0.17%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.211
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 2.168
EV/OCF snapshot only 850.394
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 14.201
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 15.690
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 8.49%
Graham Number snapshot only $22.16
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 32.21 0.36 2.80 3.65 464.21 1.23 3.13 24.13 0.46 25.34 0.49 0.47 1.48 2.57 0.34 0.57 1.23 5.79 0.94 0.13 0.125
Quick Ratio 32.21 0.36 2.80 3.65 464.21 1.23 3.13 24.13 0.46 25.34 0.49 0.47 1.48 2.57 0.34 0.57 1.23 5.79 0.94 0.13 0.125
Debt/Equity 1.06 0.95 1.00 1.13 1.12 1.13 1.15 1.00 0.99 0.87 1.02 0.95 0.95 0.90 1.00 0.97 0.99 1.04 1.15 1.03 1.033
Net Debt/Equity 0.88 0.85 0.95 1.05 -0.94 1.12 1.10 0.97 0.97 0.81 0.99 0.94 0.93 0.84 0.97 0.94 0.97 1.01 1.13 1.01 1.012
Debt/Assets 0.51 0.48 0.49 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.53 0.49 0.49 0.46 0.52 0.48 0.48 0.47 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.50 0.53 0.50 0.501
Debt/EBITDA 6.49 5.83 6.32 7.13 6.79 6.30 6.02 4.87 4.60 4.09 4.74 4.75 4.61 4.72 5.39 4.92 4.70 4.85 6.12 5.09 5.095
Net Debt/EBITDA 5.41 5.20 6.04 6.58 -5.67 6.24 5.77 4.68 4.51 3.83 4.60 4.68 4.51 4.42 5.26 4.80 4.59 4.73 6.02 4.99 4.990
Interest Coverage 3.79 3.91 4.09 4.26 4.41 4.57 4.78 5.09 5.38 5.64 5.91 5.26 7.04 — 20.95 11.49 12.54 18.70 7.79 5.65 5.647
Equity Multiplier 2.09 1.99 2.02 2.16 2.15 2.16 2.17 2.03 2.02 1.90 1.96 1.98 1.97 1.93 2.01 1.99 2.01 2.07 2.17 2.06 2.061
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.071
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 5.651
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.020
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.004
Defensive Interval snapshot only 321.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.122
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 15.19 15.42 13.78 13.60 13.56 13.12 14.14 14.97 15.23 14.30 14.51 15.35 15.65 15.19 14.18 15.18 15.20 15.78 31.87 15.30 15.303
Payables Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.09 0.07 0.00 0.14 0.10 0.84 0.65 0.648
DSO 24 24 26 27 27 28 26 24 24 26 25 24 23 24 26 24 24 23 11 24 23.9 days
DIO — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 0 0 0 — 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO — — — — — — — — — — 4736 3487 3260 3941 5351 — 2700 3571 435 563 563.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle — — — — — — — — — — -4711 -3463 -3236 -3917 -5326 — -2676 -3548 -423 -539 -539.2 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 39.518
Cash Velocity snapshot only 11.350
Capital Intensity snapshot only 8.573
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 0.5% -2.2% -1.8% -1.4% 3.6% 14.5% 30.4% 44.9% 49.1% 43.2% 34.2% 20.3% 13.4% 7.7% 0.1% 3.2% 3.7% 11.1% 8.6% 8.5% 8.49%
Net Income 1.7% -23.4% -66.7% -96.0% -86.5% -41.4% 87.5% 21.4% 5.5% 2.3% 67.0% -7.9% 15.0% -22.1% -33.4% -7.7% -3.8% 28.9% 48.9% 47.4% 47.40%
EPS 1.6% -25.0% -67.7% -95.8% -87.9% -48.3% 61.8% 18.6% 4.7% 1.8% 44.9% -18.9% 4.7% -25.8% -40.0% -21.9% -20.1% 9.6% 32.7% 40.9% 40.90%
FCF 1.7% 70.8% -1.0% -2.0% -2.6% -3.0% -56.9% 60.4% 50.8% 1.2% 70.7% -1.5% -1.3% -7.6% -3.6% -2.8% -38.3% 4.8% -1.4% 1.0% 1.01%
EBITDA -1.3% -4.9% -4.1% -4.4% 3.0% 17.4% 35.8% 54.8% 58.2% 52.3% 42.1% 13.7% 7.2% -0.8% -8.9% 13.8% 21.0% 25.2% 12.9% 9.0% 9.04%
Op. Income 0.2% -3.2% -2.8% -3.4% 2.9% 15.8% 34.1% 52.6% 56.7% 51.5% 40.7% 12.4% 6.0% -1.5% -9.0% 14.5% 21.0% 24.7% 11.9% 7.7% 7.70%
OCF Growth snapshot only 1.01%
Asset Growth snapshot only 9.42%
Equity Growth snapshot only 5.73%
Debt Growth snapshot only 12.93%
Shares Change snapshot only 4.61%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 26.13%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 79.0% 38.2% 14.4% 3.3% 7.0% 8.2% 13.3% 17.8% 15.8% 17.1% 19.8% 19.8% 20.5% 20.9% 20.5% 21.7% 20.6% 19.7% 13.4% 10.5% 10.46%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — 54.7% 34.1% 21.3% 14.0% 15.7% 14.3% 14.3% 15.2% 12.8% 13.9% 13.3% 14.0% 14.00%
EPS 3Y 95.1% 98.1% 2.8% -56.1% -32.1% -22.2% 24.0% 35.3% 21.5% 2.5% -8.8% -12.9% -10.4% 2.1% 12.0% 1.3% 68.2% 31.1% 4.8% -3.7% -3.73%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — 38.6% 62.0% 20.6% 6.1% 13.3% -0.6% 10.6% 9.4% 8.5% -2.6% -9.6% -6.2% -6.16%
Net Income 3Y 1.1% 1.1% 10.0% -52.7% -27.1% -16.2% 33.9% 46.6% 32.4% 14.1% 1.4% -6.3% 0.0% 14.7% 27.7% 1.7% 92.7% 49.2% 18.3% 7.8% 7.81%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — 51.0% 78.8% 33.1% 17.0% 23.5% 8.7% 21.7% 21.8% 20.7% 8.3% 0.7% 2.3% 2.31%
EBITDA 3Y 75.6% 37.1% 18.2% 5.9% 12.7% 13.7% 16.0% 20.9% 17.2% 19.4% 22.7% 18.9% 20.4% 21.1% 20.6% 26.1% 27.1% 23.7% 13.5% 12.2% 12.17%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — 54.6% 35.7% 26.1% 15.9% 19.4% 17.3% 15.1% 18.0% 15.9% 16.2% 13.7% 15.9% 15.87%
Gross Profit 3Y 85.9% 87.5% 34.2% 17.1% 22.9% 11.8% 16.0% 19.1% 15.8% 17.1% 19.6% 19.4% 20.1% 20.4% 20.3% 21.7% 20.3% 19.2% 10.9% 7.9% 7.88%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — 58.2% 61.0% 33.3% 22.6% 25.5% 16.3% 15.8% 16.0% 12.6% 13.7% 11.8% 12.4% 12.40%
Op. Income 3Y 1.1% 1.3% 69.0% 44.2% 41.9% 21.1% 18.3% 18.2% 17.3% 19.3% 22.4% 18.3% 19.5% 20.0% 19.8% 25.2% 26.2% 23.0% 12.8% 11.5% 11.47%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — 69.6% 82.1% 55.5% 38.7% 36.5% 21.5% 16.2% 16.2% 15.7% 15.8% 13.3% 15.3% 15.33%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — -19.1% — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -44.9% -44.94%
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — -18.7% — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -44.9% -44.88%
Assets 3Y 15.3% 10.2% 8.0% 7.5% 8.1% 7.2% 10.7% 9.3% 10.0% 9.2% 12.7% 12.5% 9.4% 13.8% 14.4% 14.3% 14.7% 14.8% 14.1% 13.3% 13.29%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — 12.8% 11.9% 11.6% 9.7% 9.6% 9.2% 11.0% 11.7% 12.0% 11.8% 13.3% 12.7% 12.70%
Equity 3Y 10.0% 11.1% 10.4% 6.3% 7.9% 7.3% 11.0% 10.8% 12.1% 11.8% 12.8% 11.0% 11.5% 15.0% 14.5% 17.4% 17.1% 16.5% 14.1% 12.8% 12.78%
Book Value 3Y 3.1% 4.2% 3.2% -1.5% 0.5% -0.3% 2.8% 2.3% 2.9% 0.4% 1.4% 3.2% -0.1% 2.3% 0.4% 1.8% 2.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.70%
Dividend 3Y -2.8% -1.7% 1.0% 0.8% 2.6% 3.9% 1.7% -0.3% -2.6% -6.8% -6.4% -3.1% -7.2% -7.9% -9.9% -11.5% -3.9% -3.5% -2.7% -2.1% -2.06%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.74 0.72 0.80 0.66 0.78 0.83 0.79 0.76 0.88 0.91 0.88 0.77 0.84 0.85 0.88 0.90 0.86 0.92 0.93 0.97 0.966
Earnings Stability 0.84 0.56 0.12 0.01 0.09 0.11 0.16 0.09 0.29 0.43 0.41 0.18 0.30 0.21 0.18 0.14 0.28 0.37 0.10 0.14 0.143
Margin Stability 0.82 0.65 0.80 0.83 0.81 0.95 0.97 0.98 0.95 0.70 0.82 0.85 0.84 0.96 0.97 0.99 1.00 0.99 0.97 0.97 0.970
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.91 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.83 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.97 0.94 0.91 0.87 0.97 0.98 0.88 0.80 0.81 0.810
Earnings Smoothness 0.09 0.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.48 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.92 0.86 0.75 0.60 0.92 0.96 0.75 0.61 0.62 0.617
ROE Trend 0.14 -0.03 -0.08 -0.16 -0.14 -0.08 -0.03 0.06 0.03 0.08 0.07 0.05 0.07 0.00 -0.04 -0.05 -0.03 -0.01 0.00 0.03 0.032
Gross Margin Trend 0.17 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.063
FCF Margin Trend 1.23 1.03 -0.11 -0.98 -1.29 -1.93 -1.11 -0.16 -0.14 0.42 0.26 0.04 0.01 -0.31 -0.35 -1.00 -0.34 -0.39 -0.29 0.81 0.814
Sustainable Growth Rate 12.2% -0.1% -6.3% -14.3% -13.4% -10.6% -3.7% 3.1% 0.8% 4.0% 2.9% -0.7% 1.4% -2.1% -4.4% -2.7% -4.3% -3.0% -3.6% -1.4% -1.38%
Internal Growth Rate 6.2% — — — — — — 1.5% 0.4% 2.0% 1.5% — 0.7% — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.52 1.25 -0.05 -12.19 -6.01 -4.16 -1.59 -0.21 -0.46 0.20 -0.27 -0.59 -0.89 -1.70 -1.93 -2.44 -1.29 -1.26 -1.31 0.02 0.022
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.03 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.00 0.99 1.01 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.995
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.022
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.018
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.01%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.131
Accruals Ratio 0.06 -0.02 0.04 0.07 0.11 0.19 0.17 0.12 0.13 0.08 0.12 0.13 0.17 0.20 0.17 0.22 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.08 0.083
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.117
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.021
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 7.1% 7.3% 7.9% 8.2% 9.1% 9.1% 9.1% 8.7% 8.7% 7.8% 8.0% 8.0% 7.8% 7.8% 7.3% 6.8% 8.2% 8.1% 8.5% 8.4% 11.78%
Dividend/Share $1.45 $1.50 $1.61 $1.65 $1.73 $1.85 $1.84 $1.83 $1.82 $1.73 $1.80 $1.82 $1.84 $1.83 $1.76 $1.64 $2.04 $2.06 $2.07 $2.07 $1.95
Payout Ratio 52.3% 1.0% 1.8% 15.1% 5.2% 2.4% 1.3% 85.1% 95.7% 81.1% 85.1% 1.0% 92.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.08%
FCF Payout Ratio 1.0% 80.9% — — — — — — — 4.1% — — — — — — — — — 48.8% 48.78%
Total Payout Ratio 53.0% 1.0% 1.8% 15.5% 5.3% 2.4% 1.3% 89.0% 1.0% 84.9% 89.3% 1.1% 93.4% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.10%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.19 0.22 0.34 0.37 0.43 0.49 0.41 0.35 0.28 0.19 0.21 0.21 0.19 0.19 0.16 0.13 0.42 0.40 0.41 0.40 0.403
Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.13%
Net Buyback Yield -0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% -3.8% -4.4% -7.2% -6.9% -4.0% -4.4% -1.3% -1.27%
Total Shareholder Return 7.1% 7.4% 8.1% 8.4% 9.3% 9.3% 9.2% 9.1% 9.1% 8.1% 8.4% 8.1% 7.8% 4.0% 2.9% -0.5% 1.3% 4.1% 4.1% 7.1% 7.10%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.998
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.48 0.82 0.51 0.06 0.19 0.41 0.70 0.93 0.79 0.88 0.82 0.76 0.84 0.70 0.60 0.61 0.67 0.72 0.80 0.83 0.831
EBIT Margin 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.75 0.76 0.78 0.79 0.81 0.81 0.83 0.84 0.76 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.84 0.90 0.86 0.79 0.84 0.843
Asset Turnover 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.122
Equity Multiplier 2.11 2.01 1.99 2.03 2.12 2.08 2.10 2.09 2.08 2.01 2.05 2.00 2.00 1.91 1.99 1.99 2.00 2.00 2.10 2.03 2.028
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $2.77 $1.49 $0.90 $0.11 $0.33 $0.77 $1.46 $2.15 $1.90 $2.14 $2.11 $1.74 $1.99 $1.59 $1.27 $1.36 $1.59 $1.74 $1.68 $1.92 $1.92
Book Value/Share $11.51 $11.21 $11.27 $10.69 $10.54 $10.60 $10.94 $11.16 $11.23 $11.43 $11.94 $11.51 $11.47 $12.01 $11.41 $11.28 $11.27 $11.38 $11.31 $11.40 $12.26
Tangible Book/Share $11.51 $11.21 $11.27 $10.69 $10.54 $10.60 $10.94 $11.16 $11.23 $11.43 $11.94 $11.51 $11.47 $12.01 $11.41 $11.28 $11.27 $11.38 $11.31 $11.40 $11.40
Revenue/Share $2.44 $2.41 $2.34 $2.25 $2.27 $2.43 $2.64 $2.86 $2.98 $2.92 $3.07 $3.03 $3.08 $2.99 $2.77 $2.64 $2.65 $2.83 $2.68 $2.74 $3.13
FCF/Share $1.44 $1.86 $-0.05 $-1.34 $-2.01 $-3.21 $-2.31 $-0.46 $-0.87 $0.43 $-0.59 $-1.04 $-1.79 $-2.70 $-2.44 $-3.31 $-2.05 $-2.19 $-2.21 $0.04 $0.05
OCF/Share $1.44 $1.86 $-0.05 $-1.33 $-2.01 $-3.21 $-2.31 $-0.46 $-0.87 $0.43 $-0.58 $-1.03 $-1.78 $-2.71 $-2.45 $-3.32 $-2.06 $-2.19 $-2.21 $0.04 $0.05
Cash/Share $2.03 $1.14 $0.50 $0.93 $21.67 $0.12 $0.52 $0.43 $0.22 $0.63 $0.38 $0.17 $0.24 $0.68 $0.29 $0.27 $0.26 $0.29 $0.22 $0.24 $0.26
EBITDA/Share $1.88 $1.83 $1.78 $1.70 $1.74 $1.89 $2.09 $2.30 $2.42 $2.42 $2.57 $2.30 $2.36 $2.29 $2.11 $2.22 $2.37 $2.44 $2.12 $2.31 $2.31
Debt/Share $12.19 $10.65 $11.25 $12.11 $11.81 $11.94 $12.55 $11.21 $11.14 $9.89 $12.20 $10.95 $10.88 $10.79 $11.37 $10.91 $11.15 $11.82 $12.98 $11.78 $11.78
Net Debt/Share $10.16 $9.51 $10.75 $11.19 $-9.86 $11.82 $12.03 $10.77 $10.92 $9.26 $11.82 $10.78 $10.64 $10.11 $11.08 $10.63 $10.89 $11.53 $12.76 $11.53 $11.53
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.545
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 2.047
Piotroski F-Score 5 4 1 2 3 3 4 5 4 6 4 3 5 2 3 3 1 4 3 4 4
Beneish M-Score -2.31 -2.64 -2.32 -2.04 -2.00 -0.94 -1.10 -1.40 10.72 -1.97 -1.63 -1.87 -1.66 -1.60 -2.29 -1.37 -1.39 -1.34 -2.44 -1.88 -1.876
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.794
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-11.67
EVA snapshot only $3400500.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 43.90 33.57 41.56 40.43 48.46 36.05 42.28 47.31 37.03 56.45 35.00 35.90 46.72 53.40 43.20 42.16 49.44 53.67 39.58 35.13 35.129
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Credit Trend snapshot only -7.027
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 27
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 17

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms