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HGPI OTC

Horizon Group Properties, Inc.
1W: +0.0% 1M: +0.0% 3M: +8.2% YTD: +11.6% 1Y: -12.3% 3Y: +14.2% 5Y: +163.5%
$2.50
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Real Estate · Real Estate - Diversified · Tech Score Buy · Power 60 · $24.5M mcap · 3M float · 0.0091% daily turnover · Short 68% of daily vol

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
3
ROA
5
D/E
2
P/E
4
P/B
5
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. HGPI receives an overall rating of A+. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROA (5/5), P/E (4/5), P/B (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-07-14 S- A+
2026-06-30 None ADDED
2026-06-09 EXISTED None
2026-06-04 None ADDED
2026-05-24 EXISTED None
2026-05-19 None ADDED
2026-05-18 EXISTED None
2026-05-05 None ADDED
2026-04-25 EXISTED None
2026-04-14 None ADDED

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 39 Grade C
Profitability
57
Balance Sheet
70
Earnings Quality
50
Growth
41
Value
82
Momentum
49
Safety
15
Cash Flow
56
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. HGPI scores highest in Value (82/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.57
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
27.62
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.67
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB
Score: 55.4/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
50/100
OCF/NI: 0.59x
Accruals: 3.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. HGPI scores 0.57, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HGPI scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. HGPI's score of 27.62 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HGPI's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HGPI receives an estimated rating of BBB (score: 55.4/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). HGPI's score of 50/100 is moderate — some divergence between reported earnings and underlying cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
2.45x
PEG
-0.05x
P/S
4.08x
P/B
0.29x
P/FCF
3.64x
P/OCF
3.64x
EV/EBITDA
8.35x
EV/Revenue
3.57x
EV/EBIT
9.25x
EV/FCF
4.09x
Earnings Yield
46.44%
FCF Yield
27.47%
Shareholder Yield
17.83%
Graham Number
$13.35
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 2.5x earnings, HGPI trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 46.4% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $13.35 per share, suggesting a potential 434% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.909
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
4.209
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.386
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.051
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.503
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
11.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HGPI's ROE of 11.4% is driven by a balanced combination of operating margin, asset efficiency, and leverage. A tax burden ratio of 0.91 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$7.90
Price/Value
0.25x
Margin of Safety
74.67%
Premium
-74.67%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with HGPI's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. HGPI trades at a -75% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $7.90, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 2.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$2.50
Median 1Y
$1.70
5th Pctile
$0.37
95th Pctile
$7.74
Ann. Volatility
90.5%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Q2'03 Q3'03 Q4'20 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q1'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -1.1% -66.7% -14.7% -21.3% -1.6% -3.3% 4.7% 1.0% -3.1% -41.6% 7.4% -17.2% 7.9% 15.0% 11.7% 24.1% 11.7% 18.4% 18.5% 11.4% 11.44%
ROA -16.1% -5.1% -18.9% -18.4% -6.8% -0.2% 2.5% 16.2% -1.3% -8.0% 5.4% -6.6% 6.4% 8.0% 6.3% 12.5% 7.3% 12.6% 12.8% 7.6% 7.61%
ROIC -10.2% 2.8% -12.9% -13.1% -11.2% -12.3% 0.4% 0.3% -1.1% -6.7% -6.9% -7.7% -1.9% -1.4% -1.1% -2.5% -2.9% -2.6% -2.3% -1.0% -0.99%
ROCE -13.1% 0.9% -17.3% -15.9% -12.4% -12.6% 1.5% 0.2% -1.7% -3.2% -3.4% -3.7% -1.3% -1.1% -0.8% -1.7% -2.1% -1.9% -0.4% 1.9% 1.90%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 32.1% 85.6% -2.1% 55.1% 84.7% 74.5% 77.3% 76.2% 83.5% 80.0% 82.4% 90.2% 87.9% 72.0% 72.03%
Operating Margin 18.9% 16.3% -8.5% 11.9% 13.4% 15.9% -46.5% -37.5% -18.5% -1.3% -51.1% -1.0% 1.1% -54.5% -21.9% -1.9% -6.2% -8.8% 0.5% -45.2% -45.18%
Net Margin -33.8% -34.9% -7.7% -30.0% 2.5% 1.6% -9.1% 10.7% -128.5% -1.1% 2.7% -92.7% 7.5% 28.0% 78.9% 6.9% 66.5% 3.6% 75.9% 72.4% 72.40%
EBITDA Margin 3.7% -1.1% -7.9% 33.8% 35.6% 35.9% 18.2% -33.1% -17.6% -1.2% -45.6% -95.3% 1.1% -50.2% -17.8% -1.8% -3.3% -2.6% 98.9% 92.9% 92.88%
FCF Margin -22.0% 1.5% 9.1% 0.3% 21.1% -1.2% -1.3% -1.6% -2.8% 75.2% 27.6% 48.1% 1.1% 1.3% 1.1% 2.3% 1.6% 1.2% 1.7% 87.4% 87.40%
OCF Margin 7.8% 16.3% 14.2% 6.2% 75.4% -49.0% -40.7% -42.8% -2.4% 75.3% 27.7% 48.2% 1.1% 1.3% 1.1% 2.3% 1.6% 1.2% 1.7% 87.4% 87.40%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.18%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.08%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.44%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -0.89%
Cash ROA snapshot only 4.31%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 6.26%
CROIC snapshot only 6.26%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -13.77%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 1.63%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only -24.42%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Q2'03 Q3'03 Q4'20 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q1'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -0.25 -1.40 -0.44 -0.45 -1.37 -48.85 1.85 0.56 -5.98 -1.80 2.59 -3.62 3.00 2.53 3.41 1.16 2.15 2.68 1.52 2.15 2.452
P/S Ratio 0.25 0.41 0.53 0.55 0.75 0.92 0.40 0.83 1.37 4.88 5.86 9.71 6.61 5.75 5.78 3.93 3.83 7.06 3.84 3.18 4.084
P/B Ratio 0.66 1.39 -1.10 -1.20 4.69 1.27 0.04 0.23 0.10 0.50 0.48 0.68 0.28 0.27 0.30 0.20 0.24 0.46 0.26 0.23 0.293
P/FCF -1.13 27.53 5.90 201.99 3.53 -0.75 -0.30 -0.53 -0.49 6.49 21.24 20.17 6.19 4.57 5.23 1.74 2.41 6.09 2.22 3.64 3.640
P/OCF 3.20 2.50 3.78 8.92 0.99 — — — — 6.48 21.16 20.12 6.19 4.57 5.23 1.74 2.41 6.09 2.22 3.64 3.640
EV/EBITDA -8.53 39.64 -6.61 -7.36 -8.83 -8.71 13.84 5.55 41.51 -10.06 -5.59 -7.26 -15.41 -20.65 -32.18 -6.76 -14.18 -20.31 -88.76 8.35 8.347
EV/Revenue 4.94 5.20 6.25 6.53 7.52 7.00 4.62 1.47 2.32 6.09 5.30 9.04 5.49 4.65 4.85 2.67 7.16 7.36 4.16 3.57 3.570
EV/EBIT -6.69 103.30 -6.19 -6.45 -7.22 -6.58 59.20 97.63 -10.72 -6.55 -5.19 -6.81 -13.08 -16.62 -24.15 -6.01 -13.16 -18.04 -45.84 9.25 9.245
EV/FCF -22.47 350.13 68.99 2377.84 35.55 -5.69 -3.55 -0.93 -0.84 8.10 19.19 18.79 5.14 3.70 4.39 1.18 4.50 6.34 2.41 4.09 4.085
Earnings Yield -3.9% -71.6% -2.3% -2.2% -72.9% -2.0% 54.1% 1.8% -16.7% -55.5% 38.7% -27.6% 33.3% 39.6% 29.3% 85.9% 46.6% 37.3% 65.8% 46.4% 46.44%
FCF Yield -88.6% 3.6% 16.9% 0.5% 28.4% -1.3% -3.3% -1.9% -2.0% 15.4% 4.7% 5.0% 16.1% 21.9% 19.1% 57.5% 41.5% 16.4% 45.1% 27.5% 27.47%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.234
EV/OCF snapshot only 4.085
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 4.274
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 17.83%
Graham Number snapshot only $13.35
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Q2'03 Q3'03 Q4'20 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q1'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio — — — — — — 0.67 — 0.30 — 0.47 0.44 0.73 0.68 0.63 0.82 — 0.00 62.91 — —
Quick Ratio — — — — — — 2.22 — 10.05 — 0.47 0.44 0.73 0.68 0.63 0.82 — 0.00 62.91 — —
Debt/Equity 12.62 16.47 -11.94 -13.00 43.04 8.53 0.44 0.23 0.08 0.18 0.07 0.07 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.30 0.17 0.15 0.15 0.146
Net Debt/Equity 12.54 16.32 — — 42.58 8.36 0.44 0.18 0.07 0.12 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.07 0.21 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.029
Debt/Assets 0.84 0.84 0.99 0.95 0.81 0.74 0.44 0.10 0.08 0.06 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.18 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.098
Debt/EBITDA -8.16 36.87 -6.12 -6.80 -8.04 -7.72 12.82 3.12 21.47 -2.89 -0.86 -0.76 -2.62 -2.74 -3.63 -1.61 -9.23 -7.13 -46.44 4.63 4.635
Net Debt/EBITDA -8.10 36.53 -6.05 -6.74 -7.96 -7.56 12.66 2.40 17.01 -2.00 0.60 0.53 3.16 4.88 6.18 3.19 -6.59 -0.81 -6.86 0.91 0.909
Interest Coverage — — — — — — 1.52 0.23 -2.01 -4.16 -28.89 -23.28 -7.60 -4.70 -5.34 -12.98 -26.44 -33.94 -1.86 4.91 4.905
Equity Multiplier 15.00 19.51 -12.04 -13.74 52.96 11.58 1.00 2.39 1.00 3.00 2.80 2.84 1.55 1.39 1.39 1.51 1.67 1.51 1.50 1.50 1.495
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 5.433
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.804
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.441
Defensive Interval snapshot only 7511.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Q2'03 Q3'03 Q4'20 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q1'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.06 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.051
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover (trade) 13.29 13.47 15.33 13.50 13.35 11.81 21.29 16.48 5.86 3.61 4.93 5.67 3.14 7.07 6.26 7.72 9.27 0.57 0.60 0.65 0.647
Payables Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DSO (trade) 27 27 24 27 27 31 17 22 62 101 74 64 116 52 58 47 39 638 607 564 564.3 days
DIO — — — — — — -18786 0 -13828 0 -22510 0 -22533 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO — — — — — — 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Cash Conversion Cycle (trade) — — — — — — -18769 22 -13766 101 -22436 64 -22417 52 58 47 39 638 607 564 —
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.627
Capital Intensity snapshot only 20.295
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Q2'03 Q3'03 Q4'20 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q1'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue -15.3% -12.0% -22.9% -24.0% -25.9% -29.5% -19.0% -34.6% -57.3% -78.1% -80.4% -78.5% -55.4% 3.8% 29.4% 62.8% 56.9% 56.3% 54.8% 57.5% 57.46%
Net Income -4.6% 68.9% -11.7% -5.7% 58.7% 95.4% 1.1% 1.8% 82.0% -30.3% 1.1% -1.4% 5.3% 1.9% -3.3% 3.1% 27.2% 80.9% 1.3% -31.2% -31.16%
EPS -4.6% 69.0% -11.4% -0.1% 61.8% 95.8% 1.0% 1.3% 93.3% -10.7% 1.1% -1.4% 5.3% 1.9% -3.3% 3.1% 27.2% 80.9% 1.3% -31.2% -31.16%
FCF -8.8% 1.1% 1.4% 1.0% 1.7% -59.4% -12.7% -377.1% -6.6% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 73.7% 4.2% 6.7% 1.3% 44.1% 1.4% -39.2% -39.17%
EBITDA -2.2% 1.3% -1.2% -41.8% -9.0% -5.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.0% 83.5% -1.6% -2.0% -3.9% 61.4% 79.4% 48.3% -1.2% -1.5% 51.9% 2.7% 2.70%
Op. Income -4.3% 1.3% -7.7% -6.9% -12.1% -5.1% 1.1% 1.0% 90.6% 80.9% -3.6% -20.0% 13.3% 68.7% 74.6% 45.5% -1.0% -1.3% -1.6% 51.2% 51.24%
OCF Growth snapshot only -39.17%
Asset Growth snapshot only 9.46%
Equity Growth snapshot only 10.65%
Debt Growth snapshot only 3.91%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.00%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -30.51%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Q2'03 Q3'03 Q4'20 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q1'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -14.9% -20.6% -16.1% -16.7% -17.8% -19.0% -19.4% -25.5% -35.5% -48.6% -50.3% -52.6% -47.9% -45.7% -40.9% -38.9% -33.2% -29.2% -26.7% -18.0% -18.04%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — -7.0% -17.0% -27.9% -40.1% -37.7% -39.5% -36.2% -34.5% -33.2% -32.1% -28.5% -26.1% -24.5% -22.8% -22.83%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 66.7% -18.4% -18.38%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 66.7% -18.4% -18.38%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — -46.1% — — — — -21.9% -32.5% -66.6% — — — — — — — — — — -3.8% -3.77%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — -20.6% -28.4% -52.8% — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y -14.9% -20.6% -16.1% -16.7% -17.8% -19.0% -21.2% -28.1% -39.9% -58.9% -55.5% -58.7% -52.9% -49.9% -45.5% -43.4% -37.7% -33.0% -28.8% -20.0% -20.01%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — -8.2% -18.7% -30.9% -47.6% -41.7% -44.3% -39.9% -37.6% -36.3% -35.1% -31.4% -28.5% -26.8% -25.6% -25.56%
Op. Income 3Y — -32.8% — — — — -44.5% -69.5% — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — -29.2% -53.7% — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — -49.2% -17.2% -74.2% 1.2% — — — — — — — — 1.4% 36.0% 4.7% 31.0% — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — 0.5% -22.7% -15.9% 60.2% 28.5% 68.9% 55.2% 65.8% — — — —
OCF 3Y -33.2% -20.8% -27.5% -44.0% 51.7% — — — — — 57.7% 11.9% 24.7% 7.3% 17.1% 1.0% -14.3% — — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — -18.8% -34.7% -28.2% -1.2% 0.3% 14.1% 29.5% 34.2% — 1.2% 45.5% 45.45%
Assets 3Y -9.0% -7.0% -12.3% -10.6% -3.3% -5.3% -1.5% -12.1% -11.2% -8.1% -7.9% -7.3% -3.0% -6.6% -1.3% 1.5% -2.6% -1.0% -3.8% 8.8% 8.77%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — -3.1% -9.9% -9.4% -8.8% -8.9% -8.6% -5.8% -7.8% -7.4% -4.4% -2.3% -0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.48%
Equity 3Y -37.6% -42.4% — — -57.3% -30.5% 65.8% 10.5% 49.9% 36.7% 44.1% 50.9% 1.1% 1.3% — — 2.1% 95.1% -15.9% 27.2% 27.24%
Book Value 3Y -37.9% -44.4% — — -58.4% -32.3% 16.4% -22.5% 5.2% -4.1% 1.1% 5.8% 45.1% 58.0% — — 1.2% 40.6% -15.9% 27.2% 27.24%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.7% 51.7% -11.4% -11.43%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Q2'03 Q3'03 Q4'20 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q1'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.98 0.86 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.33 0.87 0.97 0.97 0.93 0.96 0.97 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.90 0.80 0.77 0.72 0.724
Earnings Stability 0.73 0.24 0.84 0.84 0.46 0.01 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.03 0.06 0.01 0.11 0.21 0.39 0.29 0.56 0.80 0.83 0.51 0.515
Margin Stability 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.97 0.95 0.91 0.76 0.87 0.84 0.86 0.75 0.85 0.83 0.86 0.76 0.87 0.85 0.849
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.95 0.98 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.99 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — 0.30 — — — 0.97 — 0.76 0.42 0.21 0.63 0.631
ROE Trend -2.53 -0.18 — — -2.05 1.28 — — 3.00 0.23 — — 1.81 0.26 -0.02 0.06 0.08 0.26 0.04 0.12 0.116
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.07 -0.10 -0.19 -0.49 -0.25 -0.29 -0.17 0.03 -0.04 0.02 0.03 0.20 0.11 0.11 0.108
FCF Margin Trend -0.24 0.11 0.18 0.07 0.31 -1.13 -1.25 -1.50 -2.76 1.36 0.88 1.27 2.35 1.50 1.62 2.81 2.44 0.15 1.04 -0.50 -0.498
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — 4.7% 1.0% — — 7.4% — 7.9% 12.2% 8.9% 16.1% 4.8% 12.7% 11.9% 7.6% 7.58%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — 2.6% 19.4% — — 5.7% — 6.9% 6.9% 5.1% 9.1% 3.1% 9.5% 8.9% 5.3% 5.32%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Q2'03 Q3'03 Q4'20 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q1'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.08 -0.56 -0.12 -0.05 -1.39 25.92 -1.90 -0.29 10.45 -0.28 0.12 -0.18 0.48 0.55 0.65 0.67 0.89 0.44 0.68 0.59 0.592
FCF/OCF -2.83 0.09 0.64 0.04 0.28 2.51 3.20 3.69 1.16 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.592
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 2.043
CapEx/Revenue 29.7% 14.8% 5.1% 5.9% 54.3% 74.0% 89.7% 1.2% 37.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.000
Accruals Ratio -0.17 -0.08 -0.21 -0.19 -0.16 0.06 0.07 0.21 0.13 -0.10 0.05 -0.08 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.04 0.01 0.07 0.04 0.03 0.031
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.250
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.757
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.500
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Q2'03 Q3'03 Q4'20 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q1'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 6.9% 28.7% 27.6% 11.6% 23.6% 15.6% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.15 $0.15 $0.45 $0.52 $0.45 $0.53 $0.31 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% — — 0.0% — 0.0% 18.8% 23.7% 33.4% 59.1% 31.1% 35.8% 33.7% 33.67%
FCF Payout Ratio — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 34.0% 36.3% 49.8% 66.4% 70.5% 52.3% 56.9% 56.93%
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% — — 0.0% — 0.0% 18.8% 23.7% 33.4% 59.1% 31.1% 35.8% 38.4% 38.39%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.10 2.73 -0.15 -0.149
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.2% 2.19%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.2% 2.19%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 6.9% 28.7% 27.6% 11.6% 23.6% 17.8% 17.83%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Q2'03 Q3'03 Q4'20 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q1'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) — — — — — — -0.14 -0.74 0.05 0.29 -1.37 1.34 0.86 0.89 0.96 0.96 0.90 0.89 0.90 0.91 0.909
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -19.91 -135.39 20.05 9.92 1.62 1.51 -6.12 -9.15 -8.80 -7.94 -3.64 -7.24 -31.06 4.21 4.209
EBIT Margin -0.74 0.05 -1.01 -1.01 -1.04 -1.06 0.08 0.02 -0.22 -0.93 -1.02 -1.33 -0.42 -0.28 -0.20 -0.44 -0.54 -0.41 -0.09 0.39 0.386
Asset Turnover 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.06 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.051
Equity Multiplier 7.02 13.12 77.89 115.37 24.10 14.47 1.86 6.32 2.31 5.20 1.36 2.60 1.23 1.89 1.85 1.93 1.61 1.46 1.45 1.50 1.503
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Q2'03 Q3'03 Q4'20 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q1'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-6.33 $-1.87 $-6.39 $-5.97 $-2.42 $-0.08 $0.32 $1.71 $-0.16 $-0.92 $0.66 $-0.66 $0.70 $0.80 $0.64 $1.35 $0.89 $1.45 $1.47 $0.93 $0.93
Book Value/Share $2.43 $1.87 $-2.56 $-2.22 $0.71 $3.02 $14.42 $4.14 $10.17 $3.29 $3.55 $3.49 $7.41 $7.39 $7.37 $7.71 $7.76 $8.39 $8.56 $8.53 $10.47
Tangible Book/Share $2.43 $1.87 $-2.56 $-2.22 $0.71 $3.02 $28.83 $4.14 $20.34 $3.29 $3.55 $3.49 $6.37 $7.39 $7.37 $6.81 $7.76 $8.39 $8.56 $8.53 $8.53
Revenue/Share $6.49 $6.38 $5.29 $4.80 $4.45 $4.16 $1.48 $1.14 $0.71 $0.34 $0.29 $0.25 $0.32 $0.35 $0.38 $0.40 $0.50 $0.55 $0.58 $0.63 $0.61
FCF/Share $-1.43 $0.09 $0.48 $0.01 $0.94 $-5.12 $-1.94 $-1.80 $-1.96 $0.26 $0.08 $0.12 $0.34 $0.44 $0.42 $0.90 $0.79 $0.64 $1.01 $0.55 $0.44
OCF/Share $0.50 $1.04 $0.75 $0.30 $3.36 $-2.04 $-0.60 $-0.49 $-1.69 $0.26 $0.08 $0.12 $0.34 $0.44 $0.42 $0.90 $0.79 $0.64 $1.01 $0.55 $0.44
Cash/Share $0.20 $0.28 $0.36 $0.27 $0.33 $0.50 $0.08 $0.22 $0.18 $0.18 $0.40 $0.39 $0.65 $0.61 $0.56 $0.76 $0.66 $1.26 $1.08 $1.00 $1.00
EBITDA/Share $-3.76 $0.84 $-5.00 $-4.25 $-3.79 $-3.34 $0.50 $0.30 $0.04 $-0.21 $-0.28 $-0.31 $-0.11 $-0.08 $-0.06 $-0.16 $-0.25 $-0.20 $-0.03 $0.27 $0.27
Debt/Share $30.63 $30.87 $30.61 $28.92 $30.49 $25.77 $6.35 $0.94 $0.85 $0.60 $0.24 $0.23 $0.30 $0.22 $0.21 $0.25 $2.31 $1.43 $1.27 $1.25 $1.25
Net Debt/Share $30.43 $30.58 $30.24 $28.65 $30.16 $25.27 $6.28 $0.73 $0.67 $0.41 $-0.16 $-0.16 $-0.36 $-0.39 $-0.35 $-0.50 $1.65 $0.16 $0.19 $0.24 $0.24
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Q2'03 Q3'03 Q4'20 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q1'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.572
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.753
Piotroski F-Score 3 3 2 2 4 2 3 3 2 3 6 4 7 7 6 8 6 6 7 4 4
Beneish M-Score -3.56 -2.94 -3.02 -2.29 -2.53 -2.04 -0.72 -0.89 79.29 1.62 0.32 0.37 5.34 -2.70 -2.75 -2.59 -1.28 38.75 40.40 27.62 27.623
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.667
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 8.35%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $0.62
EVA snapshot only $-9449800.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'02 Q3'02 Q4'02 Q1'03 Q2'03 Q3'03 Q4'20 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q1'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB
Credit Score 27.83 36.99 20.00 20.00 29.53 29.33 59.04 22.05 14.62 38.99 37.93 45.87 45.61 53.38 53.69 47.76 40.89 46.66 50.44 55.44 55.440
Credit Grade snapshot only 9
Credit Trend snapshot only 7.677
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 275.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 63
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 68

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