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Not Investment Advice

HLAN OTC

Heartland BancCorp
1W: +3.3% 1M: +1.9% 3M: +8.1% 1Y: +86.3% 3Y: +95.0% 5Y: +94.5%
$160.00
Last traded 2025-02-03 — delisted
OTC · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · $323.6M mcap · 1M float · 0.055% daily turnover

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 1Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2024-04-29 Piper Sandler Justin Crowley Initiated $100 — +11.2% $89.90

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 51 Grade A
Profitability
58
Balance Sheet
31
Earnings Quality
96
Growth
63
Value
78
Momentum
83
Safety
50
Cash Flow
53
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. HLAN scores highest in Earnings Quality (96/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (31/100). An overall grade of A places HLAN among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
1.87
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.74
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-3.60
Bankruptcy prob: 2.7%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB+
Score: 60.5/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.10x
Accruals: -0.1%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. HLAN scores 1.87, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HLAN scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. HLAN's score of -2.74 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HLAN's implied 2.7% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HLAN receives an estimated rating of BBB+ (score: 60.5/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). HLAN's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
16.51x
PEG
5.64x
P/S
4.57x
P/B
1.98x
P/FCF
9.92x
P/OCF
7.88x
EV/EBITDA
-217.82x
EV/Revenue
2.21x
EV/EBIT
10.14x
EV/FCF
14.11x
Earnings Yield
11.49%
FCF Yield
10.09%
Shareholder Yield
3.35%
Graham Number
$136.33
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 16.5x earnings, HLAN trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 11.5% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $136.33 per share, 17% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.819
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.000
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.218
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.061
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
11.684
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
12.8%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HLAN's ROE of 12.8% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 11.68x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
4.96%
Fair P/E
18.42x
Intrinsic Value
$184.60
Price/Value
0.47x
Margin of Safety
52.77%
Premium
-52.77%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with HLAN's realized 5.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. HLAN trades at a -53% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $184.60, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 18.4x compares to the current market P/E of 16.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$160.00
Median 1Y
$172.64
5th Pctile
$104.11
95th Pctile
$286.29
Ann. Volatility
29.1%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
ROE 12.4% 10.8% 10.7% 10.2% 9.5% 11.0% 12.2% 12.6% 13.5% 12.6% 12.4% 12.3% 12.5% 12.2% 12.5% 13.2% 13.3% 12.7% 12.9% 12.8% 12.79%
ROA 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.09%
ROIC -29.7% 3.2% 72.9% -60.3% -28.2% -11.9% -10.4% -17.8% -44.9% -58.9% -36.4% -45.8% 76.7% 2.5% -59.7% 2.1% 10.3% 9.9% 9.9% 8.8% 8.79%
ROCE 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 1.1% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.7% 2.2% 1.7% 1.7% 1.66%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.00%
Operating Margin 35.6% 33.4% 27.9% 24.8% 23.5% 41.3% 36.0% 33.3% 36.7% 36.7% 36.2% 35.3% 43.4% 49.6% 30.3% 32.2% 23.2% 23.7% 22.6% 22.0% 22.02%
Net Margin 29.3% 27.4% 22.8% 20.6% 19.4% 33.4% 29.3% 27.2% 29.0% 29.2% 25.1% 24.3% 28.4% 27.4% 24.8% 26.3% 18.0% 18.6% 17.7% 17.3% 17.30%
EBITDA Margin -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.6% -0.9% -1.1% -3.4% -0.6% -0.4% -0.7% -0.4% -0.6% -0.6% -0.6% -1.3% -1.6% -1.2% -1.1% -1.0% -0.8% -0.80%
FCF Margin 12.4% 15.7% 18.8% 21.0% 22.9% 20.3% 18.5% 17.5% 16.5% 18.8% 21.0% 23.0% 24.7% 25.7% 26.3% 26.7% 24.7% 21.1% 18.1% 15.7% 15.70%
OCF Margin 30.3% 30.4% 30.5% 29.6% 28.6% 24.7% 21.8% 20.0% 18.1% 20.5% 22.7% 24.8% 26.6% 28.1% 29.3% 30.2% 28.3% 24.9% 22.1% 19.8% 19.75%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 12.50%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 11.86%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.11%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.23%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 8.37%
Cash ROA snapshot only 1.17%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 9.27%
CROIC snapshot only 7.37%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 18.72%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 21.84%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 27.68%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.43%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
P/E Ratio 11.38 12.75 7.39 8.75 9.21 10.01 10.46 9.60 8.74 9.04 9.52 9.52 9.27 9.89 9.04 8.30 8.66 8.88 8.44 8.70 16.512
P/S Ratio 3.12 3.49 1.96 2.17 2.06 2.45 2.71 2.64 2.61 2.59 2.63 2.57 2.49 2.61 2.38 2.22 2.03 1.88 1.65 1.56 4.566
P/B Ratio 1.16 1.31 0.77 0.85 0.84 1.05 1.21 1.15 1.13 1.10 1.16 1.19 1.20 1.24 1.13 1.06 1.11 1.07 1.04 1.06 1.982
P/FCF 25.14 22.25 10.45 10.32 8.98 12.06 14.67 15.07 15.79 13.79 12.55 11.15 10.06 10.19 9.06 8.32 8.23 8.90 9.10 9.92 9.916
P/OCF 10.29 11.47 6.44 7.33 7.18 9.92 12.43 13.21 14.39 12.66 11.58 10.35 9.37 9.31 8.13 7.35 7.17 7.54 7.47 7.88 7.879
EV/EBITDA 110.56 -403.15 139.05 402.01 265.46 277.24 133.28 79.74 27.85 20.45 80.50 41.57 -138.33 -119.50 36.46 -28.43 -237.58 -182.84 -178.39 -217.82 -217.819
EV/Revenue -0.49 0.91 -0.23 -0.78 -1.17 -1.94 -2.02 -1.19 -0.37 -0.26 -0.42 -0.22 0.81 0.64 -0.27 0.29 2.80 2.31 2.12 2.21 2.215
EV/EBIT -1.45 2.73 -0.72 -2.59 -4.32 -6.50 -6.36 -3.52 -1.01 -0.72 -1.23 -0.66 2.43 1.98 -0.85 0.88 9.81 8.96 8.87 10.14 10.141
EV/FCF -3.93 5.81 -1.24 -3.71 -5.11 -9.57 -10.92 -6.79 -2.26 -1.37 -2.01 -0.96 3.29 2.51 -1.04 1.08 11.37 10.96 11.68 14.11 14.111
Earnings Yield 8.8% 7.8% 13.5% 11.4% 10.9% 10.0% 9.6% 10.4% 11.4% 11.1% 10.5% 10.5% 10.8% 10.1% 11.1% 12.0% 11.5% 11.3% 11.9% 11.5% 11.49%
FCF Yield 4.0% 4.5% 9.6% 9.7% 11.1% 8.3% 6.8% 6.6% 6.3% 7.2% 8.0% 9.0% 9.9% 9.8% 11.0% 12.0% 12.1% 11.2% 11.0% 10.1% 10.09%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 5.644
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.172
EV/OCF snapshot only 11.213
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 2.215
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 9.690
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 3.35%
Graham Number snapshot only $136.33
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
Current Ratio 10.73 8.51 8.70 11.45 13.62 26.21 29.08 24.56 17.99 16.55 14.47 18.31 13.27 11.54 12.11 13.22 0.10 0.02 0.08 0.11 0.109
Quick Ratio 10.73 8.51 8.70 11.45 13.62 26.21 29.08 24.56 17.99 16.55 14.47 18.31 13.27 11.54 12.11 13.22 0.10 0.02 0.08 0.11 0.109
Debt/Equity 0.22 0.27 0.42 0.65 0.62 0.49 0.34 0.28 0.26 0.24 0.17 0.17 0.46 0.28 0.17 0.49 0.56 0.34 0.41 0.53 0.533
Net Debt/Equity -1.34 -0.97 -0.86 -1.16 -1.33 -1.88 -2.11 -1.67 -1.29 -1.21 -1.35 -1.29 -0.81 -0.94 -1.26 -0.93 0.42 0.25 0.29 0.45 0.447
Debt/Assets 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.047
Debt/EBITDA -136.18 -315.35 -644.25 -845.80 -343.66 -164.02 -50.84 -43.59 -44.47 -44.97 -72.11 -70.29 -161.22 -110.28 -46.79 -101.38 -87.17 -47.16 -54.39 -77.09 -77.092
Net Debt/EBITDA 817.98 1140.55 1310.19 1519.04 731.76 626.83 312.32 256.86 222.31 226.67 581.86 522.95 285.43 364.99 352.91 191.45 -65.51 -34.34 -39.41 -64.76 -64.761
Interest Coverage 1.52 1.46 1.41 1.39 1.42 1.86 2.33 2.98 3.94 4.63 5.38 6.00 5.59 3.64 2.17 1.39 1.44 1.69 1.25 1.05 1.054
Equity Multiplier 9.04 8.68 9.26 11.33 11.18 10.98 11.04 10.30 9.69 9.59 9.85 10.54 11.29 11.56 11.91 11.95 12.27 11.59 11.46 11.45 11.447
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.034
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -0.049
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.160
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.200
Defensive Interval snapshot only 417.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.061
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 9.90 10.71 9.50 8.55 8.55 6.08 6.02 5.53 5.70 4.47 3.98 3.81 4.34 4.30 3.71 3.83 10.24 10.35 9.88 12.16 12.162
Payables Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 —
DSO 37 34 38 43 43 60 61 66 64 82 92 96 84 85 98 95 36 35 37 30 30.0 days
DIO — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DPO — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Conversion Cycle — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 3.450
Cash Velocity snapshot only 7.975
Capital Intensity snapshot only 16.845
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
Revenue 19.0% 17.0% 14.8% 16.0% 18.9% 25.3% 28.0% 22.1% 16.2% 7.2% 2.6% 2.8% 3.7% 5.5% 7.9% 10.1% 22.1% 34.9% 46.6% 57.2% 57.20%
Net Income 24.2% 15.6% 10.9% 5.9% -3.2% 11.9% 25.3% 35.3% 55.3% 25.9% 9.3% 0.8% -6.6% -2.8% 2.6% 9.2% 6.6% 8.0% 9.0% 5.1% 5.14%
EPS 1.6% 3.8% 11.2% 7.9% -1.1% 15.0% 26.7% 33.1% 52.9% 24.9% 8.8% 1.0% -6.3% -2.9% 3.4% 9.3% 6.5% 8.1% 8.4% 4.8% 4.77%
FCF 2.2% 4.4% 18.9% 2.5% 1.2% 62.1% 26.2% 1.6% -16.3% -0.6% 16.4% 35.0% 55.4% 43.9% 34.9% 27.7% 21.8% 11.0% 1.3% -7.5% -7.53%
EBITDA 55.3% 76.8% 78.0% 69.8% -18.8% -2.9% -10.6% -8.4% -2.5% -92.7% 64.4% 63.2% 54.5% 54.7% -54.4% -1.1% -1.5% -2.2% -1.3% -58.3% -58.33%
Op. Income 15.1% 15.5% 10.8% 4.8% -3.9% 11.9% 25.5% 36.6% 58.5% 28.4% 15.6% 10.4% 6.7% 22.3% 20.1% 18.2% 4.9% -13.7% -8.8% -7.6% -7.61%
OCF Growth snapshot only 2.82%
Asset Growth snapshot only 6.34%
Equity Growth snapshot only 10.99%
Debt Growth snapshot only 20.40%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.35%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 10.04%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
Revenue 3Y 14.3% 15.5% 15.9% 16.9% 17.5% 19.2% 19.5% 18.8% 18.0% 16.3% 14.7% 13.3% 12.7% 12.3% 12.3% 11.4% 13.8% 15.1% 17.5% 21.2% 21.17%
Revenue 5Y — 13.2% 13.2% 13.9% 14.7% 15.5% 16.0% 15.8% 15.6% 15.7% 15.4% 14.9% 14.4% 13.9% 13.6% 13.7% 15.8% 17.5% 19.0% 20.3% 20.30%
EPS 3Y 5.6% 9.2% 9.2% 8.6% 4.3% 10.9% 12.3% 12.9% 15.4% 14.2% 15.3% 13.2% 12.3% 11.7% 12.5% 13.7% 15.1% 9.4% 6.8% 5.0% 4.96%
EPS 5Y — 10.6% 9.8% 9.2% 7.3% 7.5% 9.2% 10.1% 12.2% 13.3% 12.4% 11.5% 10.2% 10.6% 9.8% 9.7% 8.9% 9.4% 11.4% 10.7% 10.68%
Net Income 3Y 14.2% 18.2% 17.8% 16.4% 11.5% 18.5% 19.9% 20.6% 23.1% 17.7% 14.9% 13.0% 12.0% 11.0% 12.0% 14.2% 15.6% 9.7% 6.9% 5.0% 4.98%
Net Income 5Y — 16.8% 15.5% 14.4% 12.3% 12.7% 14.5% 15.6% 17.5% 18.4% 17.5% 16.5% 15.0% 15.3% 14.1% 14.1% 13.2% 11.3% 11.2% 10.6% 10.63%
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y 14.3% 15.5% 15.9% 16.9% 17.5% 19.2% 19.5% 18.8% 18.0% 16.3% 14.7% 13.3% 12.7% 12.3% 12.3% 11.4% 13.8% 15.1% 17.5% 21.2% 21.17%
Gross Profit 5Y — 13.2% 13.2% 13.9% 14.7% 15.5% 16.0% 15.8% 15.6% 15.7% 15.4% 14.9% 14.4% 13.9% 13.6% 13.7% 15.8% 17.5% 19.0% 20.3% 20.30%
Op. Income 3Y 10.4% 13.1% 12.9% 11.3% 6.8% 11.7% 14.3% 16.5% 20.5% 18.4% 17.1% 16.5% 17.6% 20.7% 20.3% 21.2% 21.1% 10.7% 8.2% 6.4% 6.42%
Op. Income 5Y — 14.0% 12.6% 11.3% 9.1% 10.2% 12.1% 13.2% 15.4% 15.8% 15.8% 15.7% 15.5% 16.9% 15.7% 15.6% 14.4% 11.9% 12.0% 11.5% 11.53%
FCF 3Y -9.2% -0.9% 6.2% 12.5% 18.1% 38.7% 1.0% — — — 2.1% 68.9% 41.9% 32.4% 25.6% 20.6% 16.6% 16.7% 16.7% 16.8% 16.82%
FCF 5Y -4.9% 0.1% 4.3% 7.9% 11.1% 10.0% 8.9% 7.8% 6.6% 9.4% 12.0% 14.3% 16.5% 30.7% 66.6% — — — 1.1% 41.6% 41.57%
OCF 3Y 15.3% 16.7% 18.1% 19.4% 20.8% 16.8% 12.8% 8.8% 4.7% 5.8% 6.6% 7.3% 7.9% 9.4% 10.8% 12.1% 13.3% 15.5% 18.0% 20.7% 20.71%
OCF 5Y 8.5% 9.4% 10.2% 11.1% 12.0% 10.3% 8.6% 6.8% 4.8% 7.5% 10.0% 12.4% 14.5% 15.5% 16.3% 17.1% 17.9% 15.4% 13.2% 11.2% 11.22%
Assets 3Y 12.9% 12.6% 12.8% 21.4% 19.7% 19.7% 18.8% 14.6% 12.4% 12.0% 11.0% 10.8% 11.4% 14.3% 14.6% 6.1% 6.5% 6.8% 6.1% 8.4% 8.36%
Assets 5Y 12.3% 11.4% 11.7% 17.2% 16.7% 16.2% 15.6% 14.6% 13.0% 13.5% 12.2% 12.1% 12.2% 13.0% 13.5% 12.5% 12.4% 12.5% 12.0% 11.8% 11.77%
Equity 3Y 20.6% 21.6% 20.4% 21.0% 20.6% 21.5% 22.0% 22.2% 22.5% 10.0% 7.6% 5.0% 3.5% 3.9% 5.3% 4.3% 3.3% 4.9% 4.8% 4.6% 4.61%
Book Value 3Y 11.5% 12.3% 11.6% 12.9% 12.7% 13.7% 14.3% 14.4% 14.8% 6.8% 7.9% 5.2% 3.8% 4.5% 5.8% 3.8% 2.8% 4.6% 4.7% 4.6% 4.59%
Dividend 3Y -3.9% -2.2% -0.1% 2.1% 3.7% 1.5% -0.3% -2.1% -3.5% -0.0% 3.3% 3.2% 3.4% 3.8% 3.7% 2.9% 3.0% 3.1% 3.3% 3.3% 3.34%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
Revenue Stability 0.66 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.92 0.91 0.95 0.96 0.97 0.96 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.95 0.97 0.97 0.91 0.84 0.78 0.784
Earnings Stability 0.43 0.92 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.92 0.89 0.81 0.97 0.99 0.95 0.85 0.95 0.97 0.94 0.82 0.92 0.95 0.91 0.914
Margin Stability 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.90 0.94 0.96 0.98 0.99 0.95 0.90 0.86 0.50 0.90 0.96 1.00 0.97 0.99 0.99 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.98 0.979
Earnings Smoothness 0.78 0.86 0.90 0.94 0.97 0.89 0.78 0.70 0.57 0.77 0.91 0.99 0.93 0.97 0.97 0.91 0.94 0.92 0.91 0.95 0.950
ROE Trend -0.02 -0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.005
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Margin Trend 0.07 0.12 0.16 0.20 0.23 0.15 0.09 0.04 -0.01 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.04 -0.01 -0.05 -0.09 -0.091
Sustainable Growth Rate 9.5% 8.1% 7.8% 7.2% 6.4% 7.9% 9.1% 9.5% 10.4% 9.5% 9.2% 9.0% 9.1% 8.8% 9.0% 9.6% 9.6% 9.1% 9.3% 9.1% 9.13%
Internal Growth Rate 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.79%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.11 1.11 1.15 1.19 1.28 1.01 0.84 0.73 0.61 0.71 0.82 0.92 0.99 1.06 1.11 1.13 1.21 1.18 1.13 1.10 1.104
FCF/OCF 0.41 0.52 0.62 0.71 0.80 0.82 0.85 0.88 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.91 0.90 0.88 0.87 0.85 0.82 0.79 0.795
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.877
CapEx/Revenue 17.9% 14.7% 11.7% 8.6% 5.7% 4.4% 3.3% 2.5% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 2.4% 3.0% 3.5% 3.6% 3.8% 4.0% 4.1% 4.06%
Accruals Ratio -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.001
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.303
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.153
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
Dividend Yield 2.1% 2.0% 3.7% 3.4% 3.6% 2.8% 2.5% 2.6% 2.6% 2.7% 2.7% 2.8% 2.9% 2.8% 3.1% 3.3% 3.2% 3.2% 3.4% 3.3% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $1.47 $1.59 $1.74 $1.91 $2.05 $2.09 $2.12 $2.15 $2.20 $2.26 $2.31 $2.36 $2.41 $2.48 $2.56 $2.61 $2.67 $2.74 $2.81 $2.87 $0.00
Payout Ratio 23.4% 24.9% 27.0% 29.4% 32.9% 28.4% 26.0% 24.9% 23.1% 24.6% 26.0% 27.0% 27.1% 27.8% 27.9% 27.2% 28.1% 28.5% 28.3% 28.6% 28.62%
FCF Payout Ratio 51.7% 43.4% 38.2% 34.7% 32.1% 34.2% 36.5% 39.0% 41.8% 37.6% 34.3% 31.6% 29.4% 28.7% 27.9% 27.3% 26.7% 28.5% 30.5% 32.6% 32.62%
Total Payout Ratio 23.4% 24.9% 27.0% 29.4% 32.9% 37.0% 41.4% 46.4% 49.3% 45.0% 40.0% 34.1% 27.1% 28.4% 29.1% 28.9% 30.4% 30.1% 29.3% 29.2% 29.15%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.14 0.21 0.29 0.34 0.40 0.31 0.23 0.17 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.137
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 1.5% 2.2% 3.0% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.06%
Net Buyback Yield -20.2% -13.2% -15.2% -6.5% -0.1% 0.8% 1.4% 2.2% 3.0% 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% -0.4% -0.3% -0.2% -0.0% 0.1% 0.0% -0.0% -0.1% -0.08%
Total Shareholder Return -18.1% -11.2% -11.6% -3.2% 3.5% 3.7% 3.9% 4.8% 5.6% 4.9% 4.0% 3.3% 2.5% 2.5% 2.9% 3.3% 3.4% 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% 3.21%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.81 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.81 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.819
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
EBIT Margin 0.34 0.33 0.32 0.30 0.27 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.37 0.36 0.35 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.32 0.33 0.29 0.26 0.24 0.22 0.218
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.061
Equity Multiplier 10.41 8.88 9.12 10.20 10.15 9.89 10.20 10.79 10.40 10.26 10.44 10.42 10.46 10.54 10.88 11.27 11.79 11.57 11.68 11.68 11.684
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $6.29 $6.39 $6.44 $6.51 $6.22 $7.35 $8.16 $8.67 $9.51 $9.18 $8.87 $8.75 $8.91 $8.91 $9.18 $9.56 $9.49 $9.63 $9.95 $10.02 $10.02
Book Value/Share $61.58 $62.20 $62.11 $66.64 $67.84 $70.15 $70.44 $72.06 $73.80 $75.62 $72.77 $69.95 $68.83 $70.98 $73.56 $74.54 $73.71 $80.22 $80.90 $82.44 $80.73
Tangible Book/Share $60.52 $61.17 $61.07 $59.93 $60.99 $62.04 $62.38 $64.11 $65.77 $67.48 $64.60 $61.80 $60.73 $62.93 $65.50 $66.52 $65.65 $72.16 $72.85 $74.41 $74.41
Revenue/Share $22.94 $23.37 $24.28 $26.24 $27.86 $30.10 $31.42 $31.51 $31.88 $32.00 $32.07 $32.46 $33.18 $33.72 $34.88 $35.76 $40.46 $45.51 $50.88 $56.02 $35.20
FCF/Share $2.85 $3.66 $4.56 $5.52 $6.38 $6.10 $5.81 $5.52 $5.26 $6.02 $6.73 $7.47 $8.20 $8.65 $9.16 $9.54 $9.98 $9.61 $9.23 $8.79 $8.49
OCF/Share $6.96 $7.11 $7.40 $7.77 $7.97 $7.43 $6.86 $6.29 $5.77 $6.55 $7.29 $8.05 $8.81 $9.47 $10.20 $10.80 $11.45 $11.35 $11.24 $11.06 $11.06
Cash/Share $96.55 $76.88 $79.47 $120.57 $132.10 $166.57 $173.02 $141.10 $113.99 $109.31 $110.19 $102.63 $87.03 $86.50 $104.78 $105.72 $10.34 $7.39 $9.05 $7.02 $112.30
EBITDA/Share $-0.10 $-0.05 $-0.04 $-0.05 $-0.12 $-0.21 $-0.48 $-0.47 $-0.43 $-0.40 $-0.17 $-0.17 $-0.19 $-0.18 $-0.26 $-0.36 $-0.48 $-0.58 $-0.60 $-0.57 $-0.57
Debt/Share $13.78 $16.65 $26.20 $43.12 $42.21 $34.55 $24.22 $20.47 $19.00 $18.10 $12.15 $12.16 $31.41 $20.07 $12.27 $36.60 $41.62 $27.16 $32.85 $43.91 $43.91
Net Debt/Share $-82.77 $-60.23 $-53.27 $-77.45 $-89.89 $-132.02 $-148.80 $-120.63 $-94.99 $-91.21 $-98.04 $-90.47 $-55.62 $-66.43 $-92.52 $-69.12 $31.28 $19.78 $23.81 $36.89 $36.89
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.870
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -0.873
Piotroski F-Score 7 7 7 5 6 6 7 6 6 5 5 6 3 4 5 4 4 6 5 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.25 -2.32 -2.38 -1.81 -2.00 -0.90 -0.94 -1.65 -1.67 -2.54 -2.43 -2.27 -2.37 -2.19 -2.22 -2.41 -2.78 -2.77 -2.73 -2.74 -2.737
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -3.601
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-838.75
EVA snapshot only $-2941502.97
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB+
Credit Score 82.43 82.24 80.28 68.82 71.28 76.71 79.93 78.16 81.19 82.19 81.90 80.39 74.55 76.59 76.16 75.24 58.91 72.10 60.30 60.46 60.459
Credit Grade snapshot only 8
Credit Trend snapshot only -14.784
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 225.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 60
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 47

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms