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HLMN NASDAQ

Hillman Solutions Corp.
1W: -0.1% 1M: -7.1% 3M: -11.4% YTD: -19.2% 1Y: -22.0% 3Y: -15.3% 5Y: -41.3%
$7.04
+0.10 (+1.44%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.0%
$6 $7 $7 $7 $8
NASDAQ · Industrials · Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories · Tech Score Strong Sell · Power 36 · $1.4B mcap · 192M float · 0.846% daily turnover · Short 50% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
34.0 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 4.1%  ·  5Y Avg: 0.8%
Cost Advantage
30
Intangibles
19
Switching Cost
12
Network Effect
55
Scale ★
80
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. HLMN has No discernible competitive edge (34.0/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 4.1% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$14
Avg Target
$14
High
Based on 2 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 4Hold: 3Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$13.50
Analysts2
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-07-01 Canaccord Genuity — $14 $13 -1 +54.0% $8.44
2026-02-18 Canaccord Genuity Brian McNamara Initiated $14 — +54.9% $9.04
2025-08-29 Stifel Nicolaus Andrew Carter $16 $12 -4 +20.4% $9.97
2025-04-30 Raymond James Sam Darkatsh Initiated $10 — +43.1% $6.99
2024-04-01 Stifel Nicolaus Michael Hoffman Initiated $16 — +50.4% $10.64
2022-07-15 Barclays — $15 $11 -4 +23.9% $8.88
2022-04-22 Barclays — Initiated $15 — +29.3% $11.60

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
2
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. HLMN receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (2/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B- B
2026-08-05 B B-
2026-05-18 B+ B
2026-05-05 B B+
2026-04-27 B- B
2026-02-24 C B-
2026-01-03 C+ C

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 53 Grade B
Profitability
28
Balance Sheet
50
Earnings Quality
83
Growth
61
Value
54
Momentum
89
Safety
50
Cash Flow
42
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. HLMN scores highest in Momentum (89/100) and lowest in Profitability (28/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.82
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.56
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.81
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB+
Score: 45.8/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 3.05x
Accruals: -3.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. HLMN scores 1.82, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HLMN scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. HLMN's score of -2.56 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HLMN's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HLMN receives an estimated rating of BB+ (score: 45.8/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). HLMN's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
32.28x
PEG
0.32x
P/S
0.86x
P/B
1.13x
P/FCF
27.30x
P/OCF
13.28x
EV/EBITDA
9.47x
EV/Revenue
1.52x
EV/EBIT
21.96x
EV/FCF
39.83x
Earnings Yield
2.47%
FCF Yield
3.66%
Shareholder Yield
1.96%
Graham Number
$5.41
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 32.3x earnings, HLMN commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $5.41 per share, 30% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.727
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.511
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.069
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.677
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.946
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
3.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HLMN's ROE of 3.4% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.677), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$8.05
Price/Value
1.05x
Margin of Safety
-5.19%
Premium
5.19%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with HLMN's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. HLMN trades at a 5% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $8.05, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 32.3x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1464 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$7.04
Median 1Y
$6.19
5th Pctile
$3.36
95th Pctile
$11.39
Ann. Volatility
37.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Douglas J. Cahill
President and CEO
$800,000 $1,124,994 $4,351,230
Robert O. Kraft
CFO and Treasurer
$500,000 $1,874,988 $3,251,310
Jon Michael Adinolfi
Chief Operating Officer
$500,000 $374,995 $1,749,703
George S. Murphy
Former President, Hardware & Protective Solutions
$388,462 $249,997 $961,692
Scott C. Ride
President, Hillman Canada
$306,969 $249,997 $860,188
Scott K. Moore
President, Robotics & Digital Solutions
$331,539 $124,998 $845,384

CEO Pay Ratio

35:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $4,351,230
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $125,941
Employees: 3,986

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
3,986
+2.6% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$389,419
Rev: $1,552,224,000
Profit / Employee
$10,112
NI: $40,305,000
SGA / Employee
$125,941
Avg labor cost proxy
R&D / Employee
$341
Innovation spend

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE -5.5% -5.1% -4.1% -2.5% 0.4% -1.4% -2.0% -2.4% -1.2% -0.8% -0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.8% 3.1% 3.3% 3.0% 3.4% 3.39%
ROA -2.3% -1.5% -1.2% -0.7% 0.2% -0.7% -0.9% -1.1% -0.5% -0.4% -0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 1.5% 1.7% 1.74%
ROIC 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 2.1% 1.5% 1.2% 1.0% 2.4% 2.5% -1.0% 1.2% 2.1% 3.0% 2.9% 3.1% 4.0% 4.1% 3.8% 4.1% 4.10%
ROCE 0.1% 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 2.3% 1.8% 1.4% 1.1% 2.8% 2.9% 3.4% 4.0% 3.6% 4.1% 4.1% 4.4% 5.2% 5.4% 5.0% 5.2% 5.20%
Gross Margin 35.0% 40.4% 41.2% 44.1% 43.3% 43.4% 41.5% 43.0% 44.2% 46.7% 47.6% 48.7% 48.2% 47.7% 46.9% 48.3% 51.7% 37.8% 45.6% 47.1% 47.05%
Operating Margin -3.6% -0.5% 2.4% 7.0% -0.1% 1.1% 0.3% 5.5% 8.7% 1.2% 4.7% 8.3% 6.8% 4.0% 4.2% 9.0% 10.8% 5.0% 1.9% 9.3% 9.26%
Net Margin -8.9% 1.9% -0.5% 2.2% -2.5% -4.0% -2.6% 1.2% 1.3% -2.9% -0.4% 3.3% 1.9% -0.3% -0.1% 3.9% 5.5% 0.4% -1.3% 4.8% 4.78%
EBITDA Margin 1.3% 13.3% 10.4% 14.6% 7.8% 10.1% 9.5% 13.2% 16.2% 9.9% 12.8% 16.6% 15.3% 13.6% 13.6% 17.7% 19.1% 14.4% 12.0% 17.8% 17.79%
FCF Margin -9.5% -11.3% -8.5% -6.4% -0.2% 3.3% 5.4% 9.7% 10.3% 11.7% 10.3% 8.8% 8.8% 6.7% 5.6% 4.8% 2.7% 2.3% 1.4% 3.8% 3.81%
OCF Margin -5.7% -7.7% -4.7% -2.4% 3.9% 8.0% 10.5% 15.0% 15.4% 16.1% 14.8% 13.5% 14.1% 12.4% 11.5% 10.3% 7.6% 6.8% 5.5% 7.8% 7.84%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.89%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 0.33%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.97%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.69%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 4.09%
Cash ROA snapshot only 5.29%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 6.31%
CROIC snapshot only 3.07%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 5.10%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 3.53%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 32.31%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.92%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio -34.35 -53.23 -66.93 -97.48 360.14 -85.31 -69.17 -63.03 -120.76 -187.20 -1066.54 290.68 250.62 111.03 93.02 65.29 48.89 45.01 44.76 40.50 32.279
P/S Ratio 1.44 1.43 1.44 1.27 0.98 0.94 1.11 1.21 1.10 1.22 1.41 1.19 1.43 1.30 1.16 0.94 1.19 1.17 1.03 1.04 0.862
P/B Ratio 1.88 1.77 1.79 1.58 1.24 1.21 1.43 1.52 1.40 1.55 1.79 1.50 1.79 1.62 1.45 1.18 1.49 1.48 1.32 1.36 1.126
P/FCF -15.10 -12.61 -16.94 -19.87 -526.11 28.37 20.76 12.44 10.67 10.42 13.61 13.44 16.36 19.53 20.68 19.81 44.62 51.70 72.85 27.30 27.305
P/OCF — — — — 24.78 11.78 10.63 8.03 7.14 7.54 9.53 8.80 10.20 10.45 10.03 9.16 15.60 17.25 18.61 13.28 13.278
EV/EBITDA 23.69 21.73 22.25 19.62 14.25 14.63 16.68 17.88 13.44 14.20 14.96 12.25 14.25 12.34 11.32 9.48 10.35 10.29 9.57 9.47 9.466
EV/Revenue 2.13 2.13 2.14 1.95 1.64 1.57 1.76 1.82 1.67 1.76 1.97 1.72 1.96 1.81 1.68 1.44 1.68 1.68 1.53 1.52 1.518
EV/EBIT 997.59 160.55 146.36 100.07 45.65 58.65 80.77 105.40 40.91 42.55 39.70 30.22 37.92 31.05 28.74 23.67 23.38 23.13 22.52 21.96 21.960
EV/FCF -22.39 -18.75 -25.14 -30.65 -884.95 47.34 32.89 18.73 16.25 15.05 19.00 19.41 22.38 27.15 30.03 30.19 62.80 74.52 108.44 39.83 39.833
Earnings Yield -2.9% -1.9% -1.5% -1.0% 0.3% -1.2% -1.4% -1.6% -0.8% -0.5% -0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 2.0% 2.2% 2.2% 2.5% 2.47%
FCF Yield -6.6% -7.9% -5.9% -5.0% -0.2% 3.5% 4.8% 8.0% 9.4% 9.6% 7.4% 7.4% 6.1% 5.1% 4.8% 5.0% 2.2% 1.9% 1.4% 3.7% 3.66%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.323
EV/OCF snapshot only 19.370
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.314
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 21.671
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 1.96%
Graham Number snapshot only $5.41
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.23 2.41 2.48 2.63 2.66 2.93 2.87 2.51 2.55 2.46 2.49 2.32 2.32 2.26 2.46 2.28 2.46 2.51 2.95 2.71 2.713
Quick Ratio 0.56 0.49 0.57 0.60 0.67 0.66 0.84 0.82 0.85 0.74 0.78 0.77 0.76 0.67 0.79 0.72 0.77 0.62 0.82 0.87 0.870
Debt/Equity 0.92 0.88 0.88 0.87 0.87 0.84 0.87 0.80 0.76 0.72 0.74 0.71 0.71 0.67 0.69 0.64 0.64 0.67 0.67 0.65 0.654
Net Debt/Equity 0.91 0.86 0.87 0.86 0.84 0.81 0.84 0.77 0.73 0.69 0.71 0.66 0.66 0.63 0.66 0.62 0.61 0.65 0.65 0.62 0.625
Debt/Assets 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.38 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.35 0.33 0.33 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.337
Debt/EBITDA 7.83 7.22 7.39 7.02 5.95 6.06 6.37 6.25 4.83 4.58 4.41 4.03 4.13 3.67 3.69 3.41 3.15 3.26 3.25 3.12 3.117
Net Debt/EBITDA 7.72 7.11 7.25 6.90 5.78 5.86 6.15 6.00 4.61 4.37 4.25 3.77 3.83 3.47 3.52 3.26 3.00 3.15 3.14 2.98 2.977
Interest Coverage 0.04 0.27 0.36 0.59 1.06 0.73 0.53 0.38 0.88 0.89 1.12 1.37 1.27 1.45 1.48 1.56 1.90 2.00 1.93 2.05 2.045
Equity Multiplier 2.41 2.23 2.25 2.22 2.21 2.14 2.17 2.13 2.08 2.02 2.04 2.03 2.03 1.97 1.97 1.95 1.95 1.92 1.94 1.94 1.939
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.145
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 4.745
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.045
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.076
Defensive Interval snapshot only 111.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.54 0.57 0.56 0.56 0.57 0.59 0.58 0.57 0.59 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.64 0.66 0.67 0.68 0.677
Inventory Turnover 1.67 1.86 1.70 1.66 1.64 1.66 1.65 1.66 1.81 1.90 1.89 1.87 1.88 1.94 1.93 1.87 1.79 1.87 1.91 1.97 1.967
Receivables Turnover 10.08 12.48 10.83 10.48 11.14 15.31 11.71 11.09 11.56 15.50 11.89 11.32 11.34 13.81 11.33 11.08 11.19 13.82 11.45 10.83 10.832
Payables Turnover 3.86 4.44 4.18 4.20 4.61 5.33 4.93 4.58 5.43 6.09 5.38 4.53 4.72 5.47 5.02 4.62 4.80 5.93 5.80 5.77 5.769
DSO 36 29 34 35 33 24 31 33 32 24 31 32 32 26 32 33 33 26 32 34 33.7 days
DIO 219 196 215 220 223 221 221 220 202 192 193 195 194 188 189 195 204 195 191 186 185.5 days
DPO 95 82 87 87 79 69 74 80 67 60 68 81 77 67 73 79 76 62 63 63 63.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 160 143 161 168 176 176 179 173 166 156 156 147 149 147 149 149 160 160 160 156 156.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 4.858
Operating Cycle snapshot only 219.2 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 44.711
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.483
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue — 3.4% 1.2% 40.4% 5.1% 4.2% 1.7% -0.5% -0.1% -0.7% 0.3% 1.2% -0.6% -0.3% 0.3% 1.9% 4.5% 5.4% 5.5% 6.5% 6.47%
Net Income — -1.7% -36.3% 27.6% 1.1% 57.1% 24.2% -46.7% -4.3% 41.7% 91.8% 1.2% 1.6% 2.8% 10.5% 2.6% 3.5% 1.3% 94.7% 89.5% 89.52%
EPS — — -31.7% 31.0% 1.1% 58.1% 24.4% -47.6% -4.3% 41.8% 91.8% 1.2% 1.6% 2.8% 10.4% 2.6% 3.4% 1.3% 95.4% 91.2% 91.24%
FCF — -20.3% -1.7% -26.0% 97.9% 1.3% 1.6% 2.5% 56.4% 2.5% 93.6% -7.7% -15.2% -43.0% -45.7% -45.2% -68.1% -64.2% -73.4% -14.7% -14.69%
EBITDA — 3.3% 97.5% 20.0% 34.7% 14.5% 11.6% 1.6% 7.8% 14.2% 24.7% 39.6% 10.3% 18.2% 13.3% 10.2% 23.1% 17.8% 13.6% 12.6% 12.64%
Op. Income — 20.0% 1.1% -16.0% 1.8% 2.9% 1.4% 16.2% 75.0% 52.7% 1.4% 2.5% 31.1% 45.7% 14.9% 6.1% 40.6% 30.0% 23.0% 21.7% 21.71%
OCF Growth snapshot only -18.92%
Asset Growth snapshot only 0.83%
Equity Growth snapshot only 1.51%
Debt Growth snapshot only 3.03%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.90%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — — — — 65.3% 30.3% 12.2% 1.5% 1.1% 0.8% 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 2.0% 3.2% 3.18%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 36.5% 18.5% 8.9% 8.95%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.1% — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.1% — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — 77.2% 40.1% 19.4% 17.0% 15.6% 16.4% 16.1% 13.5% 16.7% 17.1% 20.1% 20.11%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 50.6% 28.7% 16.1% 16.14%
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — — 68.4% 34.4% 16.6% 7.7% 7.7% 7.2% 6.8% 6.1% 4.0% 4.3% 5.5% 5.52%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 39.7% 21.2% 11.0% 11.02%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — 4.0% 1.3% 50.0% 85.0% 1.0% 87.0% 62.1% 47.7% 42.5% 49.6% 64.6% 64.64%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.0% 76.6% 34.2% 34.21%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — 1.7% — — — — — — — -10.8% -34.6% -24.4% -24.44%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 33.1% — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — 1.1% — — — — — — 26.3% -4.0% -17.6% -17.0% -16.95%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 33.8% — — —
Assets 3Y — — — — — — — — — -1.9% -2.1% -2.8% -2.5% -3.1% -3.8% -3.4% -2.4% -1.6% -1.7% -1.3% -1.29%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -0.9% -1.3% -1.8% -1.76%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — — 46.8% 47.6% 47.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.8% 1.8% 2.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.90%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — — — 45.6% 45.0% -2.3% -0.3% -0.1% 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 1.7% 1.67%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — 0.79 0.77 0.74 0.74 0.63 0.63 0.62 0.49 0.39 0.81 0.73 0.47 0.70 0.74 0.85 0.855
Earnings Stability — — — — — 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.49 0.12 0.52 0.52 0.60 0.53 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.73 0.86 0.86 0.863
Margin Stability — — — — — 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.94 0.94 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.942
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence — — — — — 0.50 0.90 0.81 0.20 0.83 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.36 0.38 0.382
ROE Trend — — — — — 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.022
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.015
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — 0.08 0.13 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.12 0.07 0.04 -0.01 -0.02 -0.05 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.03 -0.030
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — 0.4% — — — — — — 0.5% 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.8% 3.1% 3.3% 3.0% 3.4% 3.39%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — 0.2% — — — — — — 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.6% 1.8% 1.6% 1.8% 1.77%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.37 2.88 2.19 1.87 14.53 -7.24 -6.51 -7.85 -16.92 -24.82 -111.96 33.02 24.56 10.63 9.28 7.13 3.13 2.61 2.40 3.05 3.050
FCF/OCF 1.66 1.47 1.80 2.62 -0.05 0.42 0.51 0.65 0.67 0.72 0.70 0.65 0.62 0.54 0.48 0.46 0.35 0.33 0.26 0.49 0.486
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.483
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.489
CapEx/Revenue 3.8% 3.6% 3.8% 3.9% 4.1% 4.7% 5.1% 5.3% 5.1% 4.5% 4.4% 4.7% 5.3% 5.8% 5.9% 5.5% 5.0% 4.5% 4.1% 4.0% 4.03%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.441
Accruals Ratio 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.01 -0.02 -0.05 -0.07 -0.10 -0.10 -0.10 -0.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.07 -0.06 -0.06 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.04 -0.036
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.031
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.947
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — 0.0% — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio — — — — 0.0% — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 23.0% 54.0% 79.3% 79.31%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 1.2% 2.0% 1.96%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1% -0.1% -0.4% -0.5% -0.3% -0.3% -0.0% -0.0% -0.1% 0.4% 1.1% 1.8% 1.83%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1% -0.1% -0.4% -0.5% -0.3% -0.3% -0.0% -0.0% -0.1% 0.4% 1.1% 1.8% 1.83%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.76 0.76 0.84 0.95 1.29 1.12 0.82 0.68 1.63 1.30 -0.26 0.27 0.51 0.65 0.65 0.66 0.72 0.71 0.70 0.73 0.727
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -25.60 -2.65 -1.76 -0.70 0.06 -0.37 -0.90 -1.65 -0.14 -0.12 0.10 0.27 0.21 0.31 0.33 0.36 0.47 0.50 0.48 0.51 0.511
EBIT Margin 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.069
Asset Turnover 0.54 0.57 0.56 0.56 0.57 0.59 0.58 0.57 0.59 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.64 0.66 0.67 0.68 0.677
Equity Multiplier 2.41 3.32 3.36 3.38 2.30 2.18 2.21 2.18 2.14 2.08 2.10 2.08 2.05 1.99 2.00 1.99 1.99 1.94 1.96 1.95 1.946
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.35 $-0.20 $-0.16 $-0.10 $0.02 $-0.08 $-0.12 $-0.14 $-0.07 $-0.05 $-0.01 $0.03 $0.04 $0.09 $0.09 $0.11 $0.19 $0.20 $0.18 $0.21 $0.21
Book Value/Share $6.37 $6.06 $6.01 $5.98 $6.00 $5.95 $5.89 $5.92 $5.90 $5.92 $5.94 $5.92 $5.93 $6.01 $5.99 $6.07 $6.16 $6.16 $6.18 $6.22 $6.25
Tangible Book/Share $-3.34 $-2.48 $-2.28 $-2.10 $-2.09 $-2.06 $-2.04 $-1.90 $-1.80 $-1.67 $-1.59 $-1.41 $-1.36 $-1.28 $-1.20 $-1.01 $-0.81 $-0.74 $-0.74 $-0.61 $-0.61
Revenue/Share $8.36 $7.51 $7.46 $7.45 $7.62 $7.64 $7.57 $7.46 $7.53 $7.58 $7.56 $7.44 $7.39 $7.49 $7.51 $7.58 $7.69 $7.78 $7.95 $8.14 $8.18
FCF/Share $-0.79 $-0.85 $-0.64 $-0.48 $-0.01 $0.25 $0.41 $0.72 $0.77 $0.88 $0.78 $0.66 $0.65 $0.50 $0.42 $0.36 $0.21 $0.18 $0.11 $0.31 $0.31
OCF/Share $-0.48 $-0.58 $-0.35 $-0.18 $0.30 $0.61 $0.79 $1.12 $1.16 $1.22 $1.12 $1.01 $1.04 $0.93 $0.87 $0.78 $0.59 $0.53 $0.44 $0.64 $0.64
Cash/Share $0.09 $0.08 $0.10 $0.09 $0.15 $0.16 $0.18 $0.19 $0.20 $0.20 $0.16 $0.27 $0.30 $0.23 $0.18 $0.17 $0.19 $0.14 $0.14 $0.18 $0.18
EBITDA/Share $0.75 $0.74 $0.72 $0.74 $0.88 $0.82 $0.80 $0.76 $0.93 $0.94 $0.99 $1.04 $1.02 $1.10 $1.11 $1.15 $1.25 $1.27 $1.27 $1.31 $1.31
Debt/Share $5.88 $5.31 $5.31 $5.21 $5.22 $4.98 $5.10 $4.74 $4.51 $4.29 $4.38 $4.20 $4.20 $4.03 $4.11 $3.91 $3.92 $4.15 $4.13 $4.07 $4.07
Net Debt/Share $5.80 $5.23 $5.21 $5.12 $5.07 $4.82 $4.92 $4.55 $4.31 $4.09 $4.22 $3.93 $3.90 $3.81 $3.93 $3.74 $3.74 $4.01 $3.99 $3.89 $3.89
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.816
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 2.780
Piotroski F-Score 1 3 4 5 7 7 6 5 5 6 6 7 6 6 6 6 8 6 8 7 7
Beneish M-Score — -2.44 -2.47 -2.57 -2.81 -2.96 -2.90 -2.96 -2.91 -2.86 -2.96 -2.95 -2.96 -2.78 -2.74 -2.67 -2.58 -2.44 -2.55 -2.56 -2.559
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.814
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-2.44
EVA snapshot only $-117394671.71
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB+
Credit Score 24.36 23.09 24.58 25.41 29.61 28.28 29.78 30.67 33.22 31.70 33.02 32.29 32.34 34.02 34.21 36.06 42.14 44.50 36.98 45.82 45.815
Credit Grade snapshot only 11
Credit Trend snapshot only 9.760
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 400.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 19
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 37

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