— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: HOT.DE (XETRA) · $vol 31M · HOT.SW (SIX) · $vol 0M

HOCFF OTC

Hochtief AG
1W: +2.8% 1M: -5.2% 3M: -17.0% YTD: +15.4% 1Y: +70.9% 3Y: +397.5% 5Y: +586.5%
$464.94
+11.00 (+2.42%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±8.6%
$385 $425 $465 $505 $545
OTC · Industrials · Engineering & Construction · Tech Score Sell · Power 48 · $35.0B mcap · 15M float · 0.0018% daily turnover · Short 74% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
5
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. HOCFF receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROE (5/5), ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-07-01 B+ B
2026-06-30 None ADDED
2026-06-30 EXISTED None
2026-06-22 None ADDED
2026-06-22 EXISTED None
2026-06-09 None ADDED
2026-06-09 EXISTED None
2026-06-01 None ADDED
2026-05-31 EXISTED None
2026-05-26 None ADDED

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade D
Profitability
30
Balance Sheet
50
Earnings Quality
64
Growth
61
Value
—
Momentum
80
Safety
—
Cash Flow
62

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-1.40
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.72
Bankruptcy prob: 0.3%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB+
Score: 47.4/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 2.66x
Accruals: -5.7%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HOCFF scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. HOCFF's score of -1.40 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HOCFF's implied 0.3% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HOCFF receives an estimated rating of BB+ (score: 47.4/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). HOCFF's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
34.50x
PEG
4.13x
P/S
0.77x
P/B
23.66x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$67.62
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 34.5x earnings, HOCFF commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $67.62 per share, 588% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.615
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.843
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.043
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.561
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
25.456
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
88.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HOCFF's ROE of 88.3% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 25.46x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$454.99
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with HOCFF's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. HOCFF actually compounded EPS at 20.9% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. HOCFF trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $454.99, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 34.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$464.94
Median 1Y
$528.16
5th Pctile
$250.81
95th Pctile
$1112.27
Ann. Volatility
45.5%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 49.7% 28.3% 28.2% 30.2% 26.0% 49.8% 51.9% 49.3% 39.6% 44.1% 39.6% 72.5% 69.6% 67.2% 70.9% 1.1% 1.0% 77.1% 58.0% 88.3% 88.28%
ROA 2.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 2.8% 2.9% 2.7% 2.7% 2.8% 2.9% 3.3% 3.4% 3.6% 4.5% 3.5% 3.6% 3.6% 3.3% 3.5% 3.47%
ROIC -15.9% 39.3% -12.8% -11.4% -13.1% 35.7% -25.7% -20.9% -23.5% 70.7% 24.4% -14.4% -32.2% 31.5% -31.0% -25.5% -15.8% 40.8% 30.7% 50.6% 50.64%
ROCE 12.7% 9.0% 9.6% 6.8% 7.5% 9.0% 8.6% 11.8% 11.2% 12.4% 11.0% 10.0% 11.5% 13.5% 16.0% 17.9% 16.6% 16.5% 16.1% 14.6% 14.64%
Gross Margin 24.7% 23.2% 24.8% 22.5% 24.2% 25.0% 25.6% 24.9% 26.0% 5.0% 7.2% 1.3% 31.1% 26.1% 26.7% 22.6% 27.9% 7.0% 8.9% 7.1% 7.08%
Operating Margin 4.0% 0.1% 4.1% 3.8% 3.2% 2.4% 4.3% 4.1% 3.3% 1.9% 2.1% 3.2% 10.9% -2.6% 5.1% 3.2% 3.5% 5.0% 3.9% 3.9% 3.89%
Net Margin 1.9% -1.5% 2.0% 2.0% 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 2.0% 1.6% 1.9% 2.0% 3.8% 1.6% 2.0% 3.5% 1.8% 1.8% 2.4% 2.2% 2.4% 2.40%
EBITDA Margin 2.3% 1.9% -2.8% 1.7% 4.5% 3.8% 3.7% 2.8% 3.1% 3.2% 3.3% 7.1% 6.0% 6.1% 6.9% 6.3% 6.0% 6.7% 5.5% 5.4% 5.40%
FCF Margin 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 1.5% 3.3% 1.6% 2.7% 3.4% 4.1% 4.7% 4.9% 4.7% 5.0% 4.2% 3.9% 4.1% 4.3% 4.9% 4.7% 4.69%
OCF Margin 2.0% 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 2.1% 4.0% 2.4% 3.6% 4.3% 4.8% 5.4% 5.7% 5.8% 6.4% 5.7% 5.3% 5.6% 5.5% 6.1% 5.9% 5.90%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 90.05%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 68.51%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.22%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 10.99%
Cash ROA snapshot only 8.38%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 1.05%
CROIC snapshot only 83.19%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 2.86%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 3.61%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 3.73%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 34.496
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.766
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 23.657
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 4.132
Graham Number snapshot only $67.62
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.20 1.12 1.05 1.06 1.02 1.11 1.12 1.12 1.14 1.12 1.20 1.15 1.13 1.12 1.11 1.06 1.13 1.13 1.14 1.17 1.174
Quick Ratio 1.17 1.09 1.02 1.03 0.99 1.07 1.08 1.09 1.11 1.09 1.17 1.10 1.09 1.08 1.06 1.02 1.09 1.11 1.11 1.15 1.148
Debt/Equity 0.43 6.02 0.54 0.52 0.40 5.00 0.37 0.41 0.34 4.45 4.15 1.08 1.09 7.65 0.57 0.93 0.65 6.83 5.53 7.66 7.659
Net Debt/Equity -5.50 0.32 -5.61 -5.20 -3.77 0.64 -3.20 -4.03 -3.30 -0.22 0.63 -6.87 -6.57 1.82 -4.23 -7.17 -5.06 1.25 1.22 0.75 0.746
Debt/Assets 0.02 0.30 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.31 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.29 0.32 0.04 0.03 0.33 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.35 0.34 0.35 0.352
Debt/EBITDA 0.31 6.23 1.09 2.46 1.20 10.14 0.48 0.45 0.50 6.26 6.91 0.70 0.51 4.31 0.31 0.29 0.27 3.50 3.59 4.19 4.187
Net Debt/EBITDA -3.95 0.33 -11.38 -24.65 -11.44 1.30 -4.15 -4.49 -4.88 -0.31 1.04 -4.41 -3.07 1.03 -2.27 -2.22 -2.09 0.64 0.80 0.41 0.408
Interest Coverage 6.91 4.45 4.51 2.67 2.47 2.52 2.09 2.88 2.88 2.90 2.83 2.93 2.84 3.03 3.78 3.68 3.68 3.84 3.30 3.24 3.241
Equity Multiplier 19.31 20.27 23.43 20.37 16.02 16.14 14.45 16.23 13.84 15.38 13.06 29.77 33.37 23.00 19.15 32.06 23.99 19.67 16.36 21.78 21.777
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.543
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 4.473
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.903
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.190
Defensive Interval snapshot only 2021.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.17 1.29 1.29 1.31 1.39 1.52 1.57 1.48 1.44 1.49 1.55 1.40 1.45 1.53 1.67 1.58 1.59 1.54 1.59 1.56 1.561
Inventory Turnover 43.06 51.65 50.58 53.01 54.42 56.23 56.22 58.04 55.43 61.41 62.08 57.18 59.48 59.11 51.84 46.86 47.74 64.19 59.71 68.98 68.984
Receivables Turnover 3.69 7.05 4.96 4.25 4.25 8.03 4.73 4.52 4.13 7.51 4.51 4.54 4.38 8.05 4.85 4.90 4.67 6.57 4.50 4.53 4.529
Payables Turnover 2.31 2.95 2.32 2.61 2.88 3.27 3.18 2.80 2.76 3.23 3.46 2.88 3.16 3.48 3.17 2.47 2.50 3.32 2.96 2.88 2.878
DSO 99 52 74 86 86 45 77 81 88 49 81 80 83 45 75 74 78 56 81 81 80.6 days
DIO 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 7 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 5.3 days
DPO 158 124 157 140 127 112 115 130 132 113 106 127 116 105 115 148 146 110 123 127 126.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -51 -65 -77 -47 -34 -60 -31 -43 -37 -59 -19 -40 -26 -53 -33 -65 -60 -49 -36 -41 -40.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 23.811
Operating Cycle snapshot only 85.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 4.474
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.704
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue -17.5% -6.9% 0.2% 8.3% 20.7% 22.6% 24.3% 18.4% 10.2% 5.9% 4.6% 7.7% 12.8% 20.0% 25.2% 26.0% 22.2% 14.8% 9.3% 8.1% 8.10%
Net Income 2.2% -51.3% -42.8% -39.5% -32.3% 1.3% 1.2% 98.3% 88.6% 8.5% 4.9% 38.5% 42.1% 48.4% 80.0% 17.7% 18.2% 16.3% -15.3% 8.4% 8.40%
EPS 2.2% -51.6% -42.7% -40.8% -38.6% 1.1% 100.0% 83.7% 88.5% 8.5% 4.9% 38.5% 42.1% 48.3% 80.0% 17.6% 18.2% 16.3% -15.3% 8.4% 8.39%
FCF -68.3% -0.7% 1.0% -22.2% 62.6% 1.8% 19.6% 87.2% 1.5% 30.3% 2.0% 93.5% 55.8% 47.2% 11.9% 0.4% 5.6% -1.5% 26.9% 29.6% 29.65%
EBITDA 24.6% -56.5% -77.7% -87.2% -66.6% -27.7% 1.6% 4.3% 1.3% 57.1% -6.8% 22.2% 68.9% 1.2% 1.6% 87.9% 54.3% 30.0% 3.8% 1.7% 1.67%
Op. Income 2.6% -44.6% -38.0% -31.2% -24.4% 42.6% 44.5% 38.0% 35.6% 5.9% -12.5% -17.9% 57.3% 20.4% 77.5% 89.9% -43.9% 44.1% 6.4% 10.8% 10.79%
OCF Growth snapshot only 19.51%
Asset Growth snapshot only 21.94%
Equity Growth snapshot only 79.53%
Debt Growth snapshot only 13.84%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.01%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 53.72%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -4.2% -3.6% -3.7% -2.3% -0.4% 0.5% 1.0% 1.9% 3.2% 6.5% 9.2% 11.4% 14.5% 15.9% 17.6% 17.1% 14.9% 13.4% 12.7% 13.6% 13.61%
Revenue 5Y 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 1.3% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 3.6% 3.2% 3.1% 3.1% 3.5% 4.2% 5.2% 6.2% 7.5% 8.6% 10.7% 12.3% 13.5% 13.47%
EPS 3Y -10.5% -27.1% -25.5% -24.2% -24.8% — — — — 3.3% 6.3% 14.6% 18.0% 50.1% 55.7% 44.1% 46.8% 23.2% 16.9% 20.9% 20.87%
EPS 5Y 5.9% -9.4% -9.0% -8.7% -10.5% -0.4% -0.0% -1.4% -3.7% -2.4% -2.8% 2.0% 2.6% — — — — 13.7% 12.9% 13.9% 13.95%
Net Income 3Y -8.7% -27.4% -26.4% -24.6% -23.2% — — — — 7.0% 9.8% 18.5% 21.9% 55.1% 61.0% 47.9% 46.9% 23.3% 17.0% 20.9% 20.89%
Net Income 5Y 7.2% -8.3% -8.0% -7.2% -7.6% 2.7% 3.2% 1.8% -0.6% -0.7% -1.6% 3.3% 3.9% — — — — 16.1% 15.1% 16.2% 16.21%
EBITDA 3Y -8.5% -21.4% -40.9% -52.7% -39.9% 28.6% 58.4% 93.6% 1.7% -20.9% -18.3% -6.2% 8.9% 34.9% 85.8% 1.3% 81.4% 64.1% 36.5% 32.7% 32.67%
EBITDA 5Y 3.6% -5.6% -20.2% -29.4% -19.4% -14.7% -5.3% -5.6% -10.1% -11.3% -12.8% -7.4% -3.5% 48.6% 57.6% 75.5% 1.2% 6.8% 8.3% 9.5% 9.55%
Gross Profit 3Y -10.1% -6.5% -7.3% -6.6% -5.7% -2.7% -1.5% -0.1% 2.8% 0.1% -4.5% -16.5% -6.9% 3.8% 13.6% 21.6% 18.4% 7.9% -0.9% -9.6% -9.56%
Gross Profit 5Y -0.9% 1.0% -0.8% -1.4% -1.1% -0.1% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% -3.0% -7.8% -15.6% -11.9% -3.0% 2.5% 7.6% 8.8% 7.4% 4.6% 0.4% 0.37%
Op. Income 3Y 6.9% -7.4% -8.3% -10.3% -14.3% — — — — -5.7% -7.8% -8.0% 17.3% 22.0% 30.9% 29.1% 6.2% 22.5% 18.3% 20.0% 19.99%
Op. Income 5Y 11.7% -0.5% -2.4% -1.5% -2.4% 2.7% 4.5% 4.0% 4.6% 3.7% -0.5% -3.9% 6.1% — — — — 7.8% 8.2% 10.4% 10.40%
FCF 3Y -39.1% -31.6% -25.0% -25.3% -22.2% -5.2% -19.6% 8.0% 8.1% 53.6% 93.9% 41.3% 83.8% 75.2% 59.4% 53.8% 59.2% 23.6% 62.6% 36.1% 36.07%
FCF 5Y -22.4% -19.3% -17.4% -18.6% -15.8% -3.2% -16.9% -6.6% -2.1% 3.1% 8.9% 8.6% 12.4% 10.3% 12.0% 19.6% 15.8% 39.4% 59.6% 29.7% 29.70%
OCF 3Y -34.3% -34.4% -31.0% -30.3% -26.8% -13.1% -21.9% -3.5% -1.2% 23.6% 45.6% 30.7% 64.3% 76.5% 65.5% 58.0% 59.7% 25.6% 52.9% 34.0% 34.02%
OCF 5Y -18.0% -19.9% -18.9% -19.3% -16.1% -5.2% -14.7% -7.1% -3.9% -0.6% 2.3% 2.7% 6.2% 5.9% 7.9% 12.6% 11.8% 24.1% 36.6% 25.6% 25.62%
Assets 3Y -17.8% 4.0% 3.2% 4.7% 2.6% 0.7% -2.5% -2.0% 0.1% 3.8% 4.0% 12.8% 13.3% 14.9% 11.6% 7.5% 6.7% 10.9% 13.0% 15.5% 15.48%
Assets 5Y 5.4% 2.9% 3.9% 6.4% 7.7% 6.5% 8.7% -8.6% -8.9% 5.6% 4.2% 7.9% 6.0% 6.6% 4.5% 3.5% 4.8% 8.0% 8.5% 11.3% 11.29%
Equity 3Y -2.0% -25.1% -28.9% -19.1% -14.2% -3.9% 1.1% 17.0% 22.1% 22.7% 17.5% 1.3% -5.6% 10.2% 19.3% -7.6% -6.7% 3.8% 8.4% 4.7% 4.69%
Book Value 3Y -3.9% -24.8% -28.1% -18.7% -16.0% -5.8% -1.0% 14.1% 18.6% 18.5% 13.7% -1.9% -8.7% 6.7% 15.4% -9.9% -6.7% 3.8% 8.4% 4.7% 4.67%
Dividend 3Y -14.5% -10.5% -9.8% -10.4% -17.8% -21.9% -21.9% -22.3% 19.4% 28.5% 28.8% 28.8% 2.0% -7.7% -7.7% -7.0% -53.8% 15.4% 15.4% 15.4% 15.39%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.13 0.08 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.07 0.16 0.20 0.35 0.34 0.40 0.42 0.46 0.48 0.60 0.75 0.90 0.94 0.96 0.959
Earnings Stability 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.17 0.19 0.76 0.82 0.81 0.83 0.78 0.72 0.85 0.847
Margin Stability 0.92 0.95 0.94 0.92 0.90 0.93 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.89 0.81 0.68 0.73 0.84 0.82 0.68 0.74 0.87 0.80 0.60 0.604
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.97 0.98 0.85 0.83 0.81 0.50 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.97 0.966
Earnings Smoothness — 0.31 0.46 0.51 0.61 0.21 0.25 0.34 0.39 0.92 0.95 0.68 0.65 0.61 0.43 0.84 0.83 0.85 0.83 0.92 0.919
ROE Trend 0.54 0.02 0.19 0.20 0.22 -0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.08 -0.00 0.51 0.70 0.30 0.38 0.48 0.18 0.14 -0.05 -0.32 -0.320
Gross Margin Trend -0.04 -0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 -0.04 -0.09 -0.15 -0.12 -0.04 0.02 0.09 0.07 0.02 -0.02 -0.06 -0.056
FCF Margin Trend -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.003
Sustainable Growth Rate 10.2% -15.2% -11.3% -7.8% 8.0% 33.1% 35.2% 33.5% 12.5% 12.0% 11.0% 32.9% 30.3% 38.5% 46.2% 64.5% 95.3% 33.6% 21.4% 37.8% 37.77%
Internal Growth Rate 0.5% — — — 0.5% 1.9% 2.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 2.1% 3.0% 2.1% 3.5% 1.6% 1.2% 1.5% 1.51%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.02 1.86 1.97 1.97 1.93 2.18 1.32 1.95 2.31 2.55 2.91 2.42 2.48 2.75 2.14 2.41 2.48 2.31 2.94 2.66 2.655
FCF/OCF 0.58 0.80 0.82 0.80 0.73 0.82 0.67 0.76 0.80 0.84 0.87 0.86 0.81 0.78 0.74 0.73 0.73 0.78 0.80 0.80 0.796
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.113
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.998
CapEx/Revenue 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.21%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.740
Accruals Ratio -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.01 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.06 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.057
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.054
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.382
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.62%
Dividend/Share $4.63 $4.68 $4.69 $4.58 $2.48 $2.15 $2.15 $2.15 $4.61 $5.07 $5.07 $5.07 $5.40 $4.40 $4.40 $4.40 $0.53 $6.76 $6.76 $6.76 $6.60
Payout Ratio 79.4% 1.5% 1.4% 1.3% 69.4% 33.6% 32.2% 32.2% 68.4% 72.9% 72.2% 54.7% 56.4% 42.7% 34.8% 40.3% 4.7% 56.4% 63.2% 57.2% 57.21%
FCF Payout Ratio 1.3% 1.0% 86.2% 80.2% 49.1% 18.7% 36.5% 21.7% 37.2% 33.9% 28.4% 26.4% 27.9% 20.0% 22.0% 22.8% 2.6% 31.2% 26.7% 27.1% 27.08%
Total Payout Ratio 81.4% 1.6% 3.0% 5.2% 4.4% 33.6% 1.0% 2.3% 2.6% 72.9% 72.2% 54.7% 56.4% 42.7% 34.8% 40.3% 4.7% 56.4% 63.2% 57.2% 57.21%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.53 0.48 0.50 0.53 0.55 0.71 0.72 0.71 0.71 0.81 0.89 0.99 0.95 0.82 0.77 0.67 0.65 0.64 0.61 0.62 0.615
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.83 0.75 0.75 1.08 1.01 1.04 1.20 0.87 0.87 0.74 0.68 0.69 0.67 0.72 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.78 0.78 0.84 0.843
EBIT Margin 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.043
Asset Turnover 1.17 1.29 1.29 1.31 1.39 1.52 1.57 1.48 1.44 1.49 1.55 1.40 1.45 1.53 1.67 1.58 1.59 1.54 1.59 1.56 1.561
Equity Multiplier 22.01 22.59 20.89 20.92 17.39 17.85 17.81 18.08 14.87 15.75 13.70 21.83 20.63 18.92 15.86 30.86 27.96 21.20 17.60 25.46 25.456
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $5.83 $3.05 $3.35 $3.64 $3.58 $6.41 $6.69 $6.69 $6.74 $6.95 $7.02 $9.27 $9.58 $10.31 $12.64 $10.90 $11.33 $11.99 $10.70 $11.82 $11.82
Book Value/Share $12.57 $11.74 $10.63 $13.11 $16.11 $15.08 $16.13 $14.99 $17.97 $16.43 $19.29 $10.58 $9.58 $14.25 $16.35 $9.58 $13.06 $16.85 $20.54 $17.20 $18.43
Tangible Book/Share $-3.04 $-4.25 $-5.88 $-3.53 $0.15 $0.22 $1.55 $0.45 $3.09 $1.77 $4.43 $-33.93 $-35.83 $-29.91 $-31.07 $-35.86 $-33.25 $-29.65 $-28.00 $-31.55 $-31.55
Revenue/Share $302.60 $313.43 $319.68 $330.85 $331.34 $348.71 $360.09 $362.88 $365.07 $369.03 $376.58 $390.72 $411.70 $442.68 $471.37 $492.03 $502.83 $508.13 $514.94 $531.86 $531.65
FCF/Share $3.43 $4.52 $5.44 $5.72 $5.06 $11.48 $5.90 $9.92 $12.42 $14.95 $17.84 $19.19 $19.34 $22.01 $19.96 $19.26 $20.43 $21.67 $25.33 $24.97 $24.79
OCF/Share $5.93 $5.68 $6.60 $7.19 $6.91 $13.98 $8.82 $13.04 $15.57 $17.75 $20.43 $22.42 $23.81 $28.31 $27.06 $26.26 $28.12 $27.70 $31.50 $31.38 $30.81
Cash/Share $74.59 $67.04 $65.42 $74.96 $67.15 $65.76 $57.61 $66.59 $65.35 $76.76 $68.06 $84.16 $73.47 $83.08 $78.48 $77.53 $74.71 $93.97 $88.54 $118.88 $119.06
EBITDA/Share $17.52 $11.35 $5.25 $2.77 $5.31 $7.44 $12.45 $13.48 $12.16 $11.68 $11.59 $16.47 $20.53 $25.28 $30.49 $30.94 $31.68 $32.85 $31.65 $31.46 $31.46
Debt/Share $5.40 $70.74 $5.71 $6.79 $6.37 $75.44 $5.98 $6.13 $6.06 $73.13 $80.14 $11.46 $10.49 $109.04 $9.36 $8.88 $8.54 $114.97 $113.70 $131.70 $131.70
Net Debt/Share $-69.19 $3.70 $-59.71 $-68.17 $-60.78 $9.67 $-51.63 $-60.46 $-59.30 $-3.63 $12.08 $-72.71 $-62.98 $25.96 $-69.12 $-68.65 $-66.16 $21.00 $25.16 $12.82 $12.82
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 7 6 5 4 4 6 7 8 8 7 6 5 5 7 7 7 7 6 5 4 4
Beneish M-Score -2.42 -2.52 -2.59 -2.16 -2.18 -2.48 -2.38 -3.64 -2.77 -0.42 -2.22 7.19 -2.96 -3.80 -3.04 -3.02 -2.36 -0.93 -1.47 -1.40 -1.396
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.718
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-99.14
EVA snapshot only $917957420.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB+
Credit Score 74.25 44.25 69.00 63.75 66.25 44.60 67.75 66.75 67.75 46.50 48.45 66.75 66.75 48.85 69.00 69.00 69.00 48.85 50.35 47.35 47.350
Credit Grade snapshot only 11
Credit Trend snapshot only -21.650
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 400.000

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