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Also trades as: HTFB (NYSE) · $vol 0M

HRZN NASDAQ

Horizon Technology Finance Corporation
1W: -4.6% 1M: -13.9% 3M: -9.3% YTD: -39.0% 1Y: -32.2% 3Y: -53.3% 5Y: -61.9%
$3.91
-0.03 (-0.76%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.8%
$4 $4 $4 $4 $4
NASDAQ · Financial Services · Asset Management · Tech Score Strong Sell · Power 32 · $262.1M mcap · 67M float · 0.895% daily turnover · Short 52% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: not rated, financial company (lending is its business) Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Not rated: lending and leverage are a financial company's business, which the model misreads.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
37.0 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 8.9%  ·  5Y Avg: 1.1%
Cost Advantage ★
53
Intangibles
43
Switching Cost
32
Network Effect
24
Scale
27
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. HRZN has No discernible competitive edge (37.0/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 8.9% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$4
Low
$5
Avg Target
$6
High
Based on 3 analysts since Aug 4, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 5Hold: 15Sell: 2Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$5.00
Analysts3
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-09-01 UBS — $4 $4 +0 -3.4% $4.66
2026-08-26 Compass Point — $8 $6 -3 +14.8% $4.79
2026-08-07 Oppenheimer — Initiated $5 — +7.4% $4.66
2026-05-18 UBS Doug Harter $6 $4 -2 +4.8% $4.05
2025-11-19 UBS Doug Harter $6 $6 +0 -0.6% $6.54
2025-10-14 UBS — Initiated $6 — +2.1% $6.12
2025-06-06 Compass Point Casey Alexander Initiated $8 — +11.0% $7.43

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
1
ROA
2
D/E
2
P/E
3
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. HRZN receives an overall rating of C+. Strongest factors: P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROE (1/5), ROA (2/5), D/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-26 B- C+
2026-10-01 C+ B-
2026-08-18 B- C+
2026-08-10 C+ B-
2026-08-05 B C+
2026-05-11 B+ B
2026-05-05 C- B+
2026-03-18 B+ C-
2026-03-06 A B+
2026-03-04 C A

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 45 Grade D
Profitability
42
Balance Sheet
53
Earnings Quality
62
Growth
—
Value
41
Momentum
—
Safety
15
Cash Flow
88
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. HRZN scores highest in Cash Flow (88/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.27
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
—
—
Ohlson O-Score
-7.78
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B
Score: 28.9/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 21.46x
Accruals: -13.3%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. HRZN scores 0.27, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HRZN scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HRZN's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HRZN receives an estimated rating of B (score: 28.9/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). HRZN's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
9.81x
PEG
0.01x
P/S
2.39x
P/B
0.61x
P/FCF
2.83x
P/OCF
2.83x
EV/EBITDA
25.78x
EV/Revenue
5.24x
EV/EBIT
26.58x
EV/FCF
5.29x
Earnings Yield
1.65%
FCF Yield
35.38%
Shareholder Yield
23.96%
Graham Number
$3.36
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 9.8x earnings, HRZN trades at a deep value multiple. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $3.36 per share, 16% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.898
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.261
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.197
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.141
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.223
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
1.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HRZN's ROE of 1.4% is driven by a balanced combination of operating margin, asset efficiency, and leverage.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$0.66
Price/Value
7.13x
Margin of Safety
-613.43%
Premium
613.43%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with HRZN's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. HRZN trades at a 613% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $0.66, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 9.8x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$3.91
Median 1Y
$3.39
5th Pctile
$1.76
95th Pctile
$6.55
Ann. Volatility
42.1%
Analyst Target
$5.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
—
Revenue / Employee
—
Rev: $40,905,000
Profit / Employee
—
NI: $45,476,000
SGA / Employee
—
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 12.6% 12.1% 10.2% 10.2% 7.1% 7.5% 7.6% 4.8% -0.8% -5.3% -4.2% -6.8% -1.1% -1.7% -11.2% -15.5% -7.3% -0.8% 6.7% 1.4% 1.45%
ROA 6.3% 6.0% 5.0% 4.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.5% 2.1% -0.3% -2.2% -1.8% -2.9% -0.5% -0.7% -4.5% -6.3% -3.1% -0.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.65%
ROIC 5.9% 6.0% 4.9% 4.4% 3.0% 2.9% 3.1% 2.1% -0.2% -1.0% -0.6% -1.7% 0.5% -0.4% -3.7% -5.3% -2.9% -0.2% 4.1% 8.9% 8.87%
ROCE 5.7% 5.6% 4.8% 4.1% 3.0% 2.9% 3.1% 2.2% -0.2% -1.1% -0.7% -1.9% 0.6% -0.5% -4.8% -7.0% -3.6% -0.2% 4.0% 2.9% 2.86%
Gross Margin 81.8% 54.3% 58.9% 67.4% 57.4% 48.3% 49.7% 19.1% 3.1% 86.7% 56.4% -12.1% 53.3% 4.4% 1.8% 1.8% 81.0% 58.1% 76.9% 87.4% 87.43%
Operating Margin 75.1% 35.0% 43.5% 59.6% 48.6% 36.8% 38.8% 3.7% 3.5% -10.9% 48.2% -14.5% 45.0% 5.0% 1.9% 2.1% 74.8% 45.7% 51.8% 61.7% 61.70%
Net Margin 74.8% 31.8% 42.3% 58.8% 47.8% 33.4% 37.5% 1.7% 3.5% -39.5% 46.2% -15.1% 42.8% 5.2% 2.0% 2.1% 73.9% 46.1% 11.6% -1.5% -1.49%
EBITDA Margin 75.1% 35.0% 43.5% 59.6% 48.6% 36.8% 38.8% 3.7% 3.5% -10.9% 48.2% -14.5% 45.0% 5.0% 1.9% 2.1% 74.8% 49.2% 45.8% -1.2% -1.17%
FCF Margin -6.6% 2.5% -76.3% -2.1% -2.2% -4.0% -2.3% -1.1% -2.8% 22.9% 11.0% 16.8% 69.5% 13.4% 1.5% -7.6% 2.3% 1.9% 1.0% 99.1% 99.13%
OCF Margin -6.6% 2.5% -76.3% -2.1% -2.2% -4.0% -2.3% -1.1% -2.8% 22.9% 11.0% 16.8% 69.5% 13.4% 1.5% -7.6% 2.3% 1.9% 1.0% 99.1% 99.13%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -7.50%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -1.83%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -2.95%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.18%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 7.43%
Cash ROA snapshot only 13.07%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 15.88%
CROIC snapshot only 15.88%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 55.40%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 5.15%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 6.09%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 6.96 7.10 7.38 6.73 8.54 9.79 9.45 16.27 -110.85 -18.98 -21.14 -14.53 -81.70 -48.32 -9.21 -5.67 -11.09 -102.65 9.24 60.64 9.807
P/S Ratio 4.40 4.36 4.27 3.87 4.05 4.52 4.20 5.29 8.77 7.00 5.72 7.83 4.98 8.02 74.71 -44.14 14.38 6.82 2.66 2.80 2.389
P/B Ratio 0.82 0.80 0.67 0.61 0.54 0.65 0.67 0.71 0.80 1.01 0.88 1.02 0.92 0.81 1.08 0.95 0.84 0.86 0.60 0.74 0.609
P/FCF -66.89 176.37 -5.60 -1.88 -1.82 -1.12 -1.86 -4.74 -3.15 30.50 51.89 46.69 7.17 59.92 49.66 5.80 6.36 3.55 2.59 2.83 2.826
P/OCF — 176.37 — — — — — — — 30.50 51.89 46.69 7.17 59.92 49.66 5.80 6.36 3.55 2.59 2.83 2.826
EV/EBITDA 15.23 14.79 16.51 18.25 25.13 28.38 26.82 39.49 -436.95 -83.09 -129.65 -48.12 140.55 -161.10 -22.29 -14.59 -24.90 -692.60 19.68 25.78 25.782
EV/Revenue 9.76 9.20 9.73 10.70 12.24 13.53 12.32 13.56 21.44 15.91 13.64 16.25 11.01 19.74 173.31 -109.91 30.26 16.01 8.18 5.24 5.240
EV/EBIT 15.23 14.79 16.51 18.25 25.13 28.38 26.82 39.49 -436.95 -83.09 -129.65 -48.12 140.55 -161.10 -22.29 -14.59 -24.90 -401.16 20.12 26.58 26.583
EV/FCF -148.54 372.58 -12.75 -5.18 -5.51 -3.36 -5.45 -12.16 -7.70 69.38 123.86 96.92 15.84 147.45 115.21 14.44 13.39 8.33 7.95 5.29 5.285
Earnings Yield 14.4% 14.1% 13.5% 14.9% 11.7% 10.2% 10.6% 6.1% -0.9% -5.3% -4.7% -6.9% -1.2% -2.1% -10.9% -17.6% -9.0% -1.0% 10.8% 1.6% 1.65%
FCF Yield -1.5% 0.6% -17.9% -53.3% -54.9% -89.3% -53.9% -21.1% -31.7% 3.3% 1.9% 2.1% 14.0% 1.7% 2.0% 17.2% 15.7% 28.1% 38.6% 35.4% 35.38%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.008
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.736
EV/OCF snapshot only 5.285
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 6.754
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 8.489
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 23.96%
Graham Number snapshot only $3.36
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.78 4.14 2.01 5.21 2.48 2.59 2.17 0.74 3.41 3.92 3.74 6.38 4.31 5.08 0.71 0.56 0.00 1.24 3.34 1.97 1.966
Quick Ratio 2.78 4.14 2.01 5.21 2.48 2.59 2.17 0.74 3.41 3.92 3.74 6.38 4.31 5.08 0.71 0.56 0.00 1.24 3.34 1.97 1.966
Debt/Equity 1.09 1.05 0.89 1.26 1.17 1.36 1.37 1.18 1.26 1.43 1.36 1.35 1.27 1.39 1.53 1.50 1.34 1.49 1.34 0.96 0.964
Net Debt/Equity 1.00 0.89 0.85 1.07 1.09 1.30 1.31 1.11 1.16 1.28 1.22 1.10 1.11 1.18 1.42 1.41 0.93 1.15 1.24 0.64 0.641
Debt/Assets 0.51 0.50 0.46 0.55 0.53 0.57 0.56 0.53 0.55 0.58 0.56 0.56 0.55 0.57 0.59 0.58 0.56 0.58 0.56 0.48 0.484
Debt/EBITDA 9.11 9.14 9.74 13.68 18.01 19.85 18.52 25.58 -280.61 -51.79 -84.04 -30.55 87.48 -112.53 -13.64 -9.27 -18.90 -511.38 14.38 18.05 18.052
Net Debt/EBITDA 8.37 7.79 9.25 11.65 16.82 18.91 17.69 24.09 -258.17 -46.56 -75.33 -24.94 76.93 -95.63 -12.68 -8.73 -13.07 -397.31 13.27 12.00 11.996
Interest Coverage 2.55 2.34 2.02 1.90 1.23 1.14 1.04 0.63 -0.06 -0.31 -0.18 -0.47 0.16 -0.13 -1.04 -1.39 -0.68 -0.05 0.94 0.68 0.678
Equity Multiplier 2.13 2.09 1.93 2.30 2.21 2.41 2.42 2.22 2.30 2.48 2.42 2.39 2.32 2.44 2.58 2.56 2.40 2.55 2.37 1.99 1.993
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.799
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.699
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.335
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.270
Defensive Interval snapshot only 3096.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.01 -0.01 0.02 0.05 0.09 0.14 0.141
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 7.00 8.16 6.18 5.99 4.71 4.65 4.67 3.97 2.52 3.39 3.36 2.71 4.23 2.23 0.27 -0.39 1.17 2.79 5.13 8.16 8.164
Payables Turnover — — — — 4.10 — — — 6.98 — — — — — — — — 4.36 20.65 8.16 8.160
DSO 52 45 59 61 77 79 78 92 145 108 108 135 86 164 1366 -931 313 131 71 45 44.7 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 0 0 0 0 89 0 0 0 52 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 84 18 45 44.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 52 45 59 61 -12 79 78 92 93 108 108 135 86 164 1366 — 313 47 53 -0 -0.0 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.812
Capital Intensity snapshot only 7.585
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 83.0% 1.3% 58.8% 66.9% -7.3% 1.2% 18.3% 4.6% -22.7% 1.7% -1.0% -9.8% 1.0% -27.2% -91.4% -1.1% -70.9% 17.9% 16.0% 19.0% 19.02%
Net Income 1.6% 3.4% 93.1% 1.2% -30.5% -23.9% -9.3% -40.9% -1.1% -1.8% -1.6% -2.5% -54.3% 67.2% -1.6% -1.0% -5.2% 52.8% 1.6% 1.1% 1.11%
EPS 1.2% 3.0% 70.8% 79.6% -45.3% -41.7% -29.6% -51.7% -1.1% -1.7% -1.5% -2.3% -37.0% 69.7% -1.2% -76.1% -3.9% 59.7% 1.5% 1.1% 1.07%
FCF -1.1% -94.0% -6.3% -16.2% -30.3% -166.2% -2.5% 43.5% 3.2% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.5% -57.5% 17.5% 5.4% -5.3% 15.9% 10.6% 1.3% 1.35%
EBITDA 1.6% 3.3% 92.3% 1.2% -29.6% -22.4% -7.7% -38.7% -1.1% -1.4% -1.2% -1.9% 4.2% 53.4% -5.4% -2.2% -5.5% 77.8% 1.9% 1.5% 1.49%
Op. Income 1.6% 3.3% 92.3% 1.2% -29.6% -22.4% -7.7% -38.7% -1.1% -1.4% -1.2% -1.9% 4.2% 53.4% -5.4% -2.2% -5.5% 61.6% 1.9% 2.5% 2.48%
OCF Growth snapshot only 1.35%
Asset Growth snapshot only 14.48%
Equity Growth snapshot only 47.11%
Debt Growth snapshot only -5.34%
Shares Change snapshot only 57.62%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -12.83%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 45.4% 44.9% 45.2% 37.4% 24.9% 18.5% 23.8% 14.2% 9.4% 32.6% 23.0% 16.4% 12.8% -9.2% -53.5% — -23.3% -4.4% 13.1% 32.1% 32.10%
Revenue 5Y 95.9% — 1.6% 1.1% 34.0% 29.9% 35.5% 29.1% 17.1% 25.6% 29.1% 19.6% 24.7% 4.2% -30.5% — -5.2% 14.9% 22.1% 32.1% 32.13%
EPS 3Y 8.9% 6.1% 0.1% -1.0% -13.3% -15.7% -4.8% -22.8% — — — — — — — — — — -17.5% -46.9% -46.87%
EPS 5Y — — — — 5.9% -1.2% 1.9% -11.0% — — — — — — — — — — -7.6% -33.5% -33.50%
Net Income 3Y 31.5% 28.8% 23.5% 20.3% 6.7% 2.7% 13.3% -6.9% — — — — — — — — — — -2.1% -31.1% -31.06%
Net Income 5Y — — — — 24.4% 17.1% 21.8% 7.6% — — — — — — — — — — 10.5% -15.7% -15.69%
EBITDA 3Y 32.3% 24.2% 28.6% 24.8% 10.6% 9.4% 14.0% -5.5% — — — — -44.0% — — — — — 9.4% 10.9% 10.91%
EBITDA 5Y — — — 26.9% 1.2% 6.5% 11.3% 4.7% — — — — -19.6% — — — — — 18.4% 12.7% 12.75%
Gross Profit 3Y 49.1% 47.7% 48.1% 38.9% 19.8% 10.0% 15.2% -2.0% -35.1% 27.9% 13.3% -1.0% 2.6% -63.0% — — — -35.3% 16.2% 57.6% 57.62%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — 34.4% 25.3% 31.3% 18.9% -16.6% 15.9% 21.4% 6.6% 20.0% -39.0% — — — -6.9% 21.2% 38.6% 38.63%
Op. Income 3Y 19.1% 9.1% 2.8% 5.8% -6.4% -3.0% 14.0% -5.5% — — — — -44.0% — — — — — 10.3% 60.6% 60.61%
Op. Income 5Y 10.4% 10.6% 10.0% 13.3% 7.7% 12.2% 10.8% -1.0% — — — — -27.2% — — — — — 18.9% 40.8% 40.80%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — -17.0% — — — 59.5% — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — -53.7% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 15.4% 32.7% — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — -17.0% — — — 59.5% — — — — — — —
OCF 5Y — -53.7% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 15.4% 32.7% — — —
Assets 3Y 26.1% 24.4% 22.5% 32.2% 28.0% 30.6% 26.7% 25.0% 28.3% 25.4% 19.5% 20.1% 16.2% 16.9% 13.4% 2.9% 3.7% 1.9% 0.6% 1.9% 1.86%
Assets 5Y 15.7% 16.5% 18.7% 27.6% 27.2% 26.8% 27.2% 26.5% 25.9% 24.6% 22.2% 22.2% 19.5% 19.0% 15.6% 12.5% 15.0% 14.8% 11.0% 12.9% 12.87%
Equity 3Y 20.9% 22.3% 21.4% 22.7% 22.3% 20.1% 18.5% 20.9% 19.1% 15.1% 15.1% 13.6% 13.0% 11.1% 2.9% -0.8% 0.9% 0.0% 1.2% 5.5% 5.51%
Book Value 3Y 0.2% 0.7% -1.6% 1.0% -0.6% -1.5% -0.5% 0.2% -3.5% -4.9% -4.2% -6.4% -7.2% -7.8% -15.9% -16.8% -16.8% -14.0% -14.8% -18.7% -18.68%
Dividend 3Y -13.4% -13.6% -15.6% -12.9% -13.4% -12.5% -8.3% -9.0% -10.4% -8.5% -9.6% -10.0% -12.0% -13.2% -14.1% -13.9% -14.7% -10.0% -12.3% -14.3% -14.32%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.91 0.85 0.96 0.91 0.88 0.79 0.95 0.89 0.52 0.81 0.93 0.79 0.57 0.16 0.04 0.21 0.03 0.29 0.09 0.16 0.156
Earnings Stability 0.79 0.58 0.82 0.71 0.57 0.35 0.77 0.22 0.06 0.17 0.15 0.34 0.40 0.39 0.57 0.68 0.69 0.33 0.15 0.32 0.320
Margin Stability 0.00 0.85 0.00 0.00 0.90 0.85 0.91 0.83 0.55 0.81 0.86 0.75 0.55 0.45 0.00 0.69 0.00 0.36 0.00 0.68 0.681
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.88 0.90 0.96 0.84 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness 0.11 0.00 0.36 0.25 0.64 0.73 0.90 0.49 — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend 0.04 0.05 0.02 0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 -0.03 -0.10 -0.14 -0.12 -0.14 -0.04 -0.02 -0.13 -0.15 -0.07 0.03 0.14 0.13 0.131
Gross Margin Trend 0.10 0.11 0.05 0.03 -0.08 -0.04 -0.11 -0.19 -0.55 -0.19 -0.14 -0.20 0.20 -0.47 -6.97 — -1.13 -0.08 3.58 — —
FCF Margin Trend 0.57 0.18 -0.37 -1.87 -2.61 -4.51 -1.80 0.02 -1.64 2.23 1.62 1.76 3.20 2.04 2.58 — 3.30 1.74 0.22 — —
Sustainable Growth Rate 2.2% 1.4% 0.1% -0.1% -3.1% -3.1% -3.2% -6.0% — — — — — — — — — — -10.5% -17.8% -17.78%
Internal Growth Rate 1.1% 0.7% 0.0% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.10 0.04 -1.32 -3.59 -4.69 -8.74 -5.09 -3.43 35.19 -0.62 -0.41 -0.31 -11.40 -0.81 -0.19 -0.98 -1.74 -28.89 3.57 21.46 21.457
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 21.457
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 4.878
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.000
Accruals Ratio 0.07 0.06 0.12 0.21 0.19 0.32 0.21 0.09 0.12 -0.04 -0.02 -0.04 -0.06 -0.01 -0.05 -0.12 -0.08 -0.10 -0.07 -0.13 -0.133
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.135
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.613
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 11.8% 12.4% 13.4% 14.9% 16.8% 14.4% 15.1% 13.8% 13.6% 12.4% 14.3% 13.5% 14.7% 17.0% 14.8% 18.2% 19.3% 19.4% 27.6% 21.9% 27.37%
Dividend/Share $1.13 $1.19 $1.14 $1.08 $1.08 $1.11 $1.16 $1.17 $1.16 $1.22 $1.25 $1.28 $1.27 $1.28 $1.21 $1.19 $1.12 $1.25 $1.16 $1.04 $1.07
Payout Ratio 82.3% 88.4% 99.1% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 2.2% — — — — — — — — — — 2.6% 13.3% 13.30%
FCF Payout Ratio — 21.9% — — — — — — — 3.8% 7.4% 6.3% 1.1% 10.2% 7.4% 1.1% 1.2% 69.1% 71.5% 62.0% 61.98%
Total Payout Ratio 82.3% 88.4% 99.1% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 2.2% — — — — — — — — — — 2.6% 14.5% 14.53%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.26 0.28 0.26 0.33 0.38 0.36 0.45 0.46 0.49 0.48 0.43 0.44 0.38 0.31 0.31 0.27 0.30 0.34 0.41 0.59 0.593
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 2.03%
Net Buyback Yield -14.5% -15.2% -34.0% -38.6% -48.4% -40.9% -24.7% -34.7% -29.6% -20.0% -23.9% -12.8% -15.1% -24.4% -17.6% -15.2% -12.4% -5.2% -5.3% -1.4% -1.40%
Total Shareholder Return -2.6% -2.8% -20.5% -23.6% -31.7% -26.5% -9.7% -20.9% -16.0% -7.5% -9.6% 0.7% -0.4% -7.3% -2.8% 3.1% 6.8% 14.3% 22.4% 20.5% 20.53%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.95 1.61 1.03 1.06 1.04 1.40 1.35 1.04 1.03 1.07 1.67 0.97 0.90 0.898
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.86 2.43 1.53 -0.56 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.73 0.26 0.261
EBIT Margin 0.64 0.62 0.59 0.59 0.49 0.48 0.46 0.34 -0.05 -0.19 -0.11 -0.34 0.08 -0.12 -7.78 7.53 -1.22 -0.04 0.41 0.20 0.197
Asset Turnover 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.01 -0.01 0.02 0.05 0.09 0.14 0.141
Equity Multiplier 2.00 2.01 2.03 2.18 2.18 2.27 2.19 2.25 2.26 2.44 2.42 2.30 2.31 2.46 2.50 2.47 2.36 2.49 2.47 2.22 2.223
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.38 $1.35 $1.15 $1.08 $0.75 $0.79 $0.81 $0.52 $-0.08 $-0.52 $-0.41 $-0.65 $-0.11 $-0.16 $-0.89 $-1.15 $-0.52 $-0.06 $0.46 $0.08 $0.08
Book Value/Share $11.72 $11.90 $12.78 $11.96 $11.95 $11.83 $11.40 $11.95 $10.68 $9.72 $9.89 $9.28 $9.37 $9.31 $7.59 $6.88 $6.89 $7.52 $7.06 $6.43 $6.43
Tangible Book/Share $11.72 $11.90 $12.78 $11.96 $11.95 $11.83 $11.40 $11.95 $10.68 $9.72 $9.89 $9.28 $9.37 $9.31 $7.59 $6.88 $6.89 $7.52 $7.06 $6.43 $6.43
Revenue/Share $2.18 $2.20 $1.99 $1.87 $1.59 $1.70 $1.83 $1.60 $0.97 $1.40 $1.52 $1.21 $1.73 $0.94 $0.11 $-0.15 $0.40 $0.95 $1.58 $1.69 $1.69
FCF/Share $-0.14 $0.05 $-1.52 $-3.86 $-3.54 $-6.87 $-4.14 $-1.78 $-2.71 $0.32 $0.17 $0.20 $1.20 $0.13 $0.16 $1.12 $0.91 $1.82 $1.63 $1.67 $2.32
OCF/Share $-0.14 $0.05 $-1.52 $-3.86 $-3.54 $-6.87 $-4.14 $-1.78 $-2.71 $0.32 $0.17 $0.20 $1.20 $0.13 $0.16 $1.12 $0.91 $1.82 $1.63 $1.67 $2.32
Cash/Share $1.03 $1.85 $0.57 $2.24 $0.93 $0.77 $0.70 $0.82 $1.07 $1.40 $1.40 $2.30 $1.43 $1.95 $0.82 $0.60 $2.86 $2.49 $0.73 $2.08 $2.08
EBITDA/Share $1.40 $1.37 $1.17 $1.10 $0.77 $0.81 $0.84 $0.55 $-0.05 $-0.27 $-0.16 $-0.41 $0.14 $-0.12 $-0.85 $-1.11 $-0.49 $-0.02 $0.66 $0.34 $0.34
Debt/Share $12.72 $12.49 $11.44 $15.01 $13.95 $16.13 $15.58 $14.05 $13.42 $13.86 $13.48 $12.49 $11.87 $12.96 $11.62 $10.31 $9.25 $11.17 $9.45 $6.19 $6.19
Net Debt/Share $11.69 $10.65 $10.87 $12.78 $13.02 $15.36 $14.87 $13.23 $12.35 $12.47 $12.08 $10.20 $10.44 $11.01 $10.80 $9.72 $6.39 $8.68 $8.72 $4.12 $4.12
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.274
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.377
Piotroski F-Score 4 5 4 4 1 1 2 2 1 4 5 3 4 5 2 2 3 4 7 7 7
Beneish M-Score 93.18 -1.92 -1.30 -1.07 -0.47 -0.07 -0.79 0.17 — -2.17 -2.42 7.70 — — — — -2.19 — — — —
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.777
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 29.83%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-4.11
EVA snapshot only $-7716695.57
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B
Credit Score 30.59 31.85 31.51 28.87 25.84 26.49 26.09 13.73 32.33 32.88 33.57 32.84 29.65 32.85 15.64 18.53 15.92 26.07 30.37 28.87 28.868
Credit Grade snapshot only 15
Credit Trend snapshot only 10.339
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 750.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 18
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 11

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