— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 0J4X.L (LSE) · $vol 0M · HSY.BA (BUE) · $vol 0M

HSY NYSE

The Hershey Company
1W: -3.0% 1M: +0.0% 3M: -10.6% YTD: -9.2% 1Y: -7.6% 3Y: -7.9% 5Y: +1.6%
$164.51
-3.72 (-2.21%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.2%
$156 $163 $170 $177 $184
NYSE · Consumer Defensive · Food Confectioners · Tech Score Neutral · Power 57 · $33.1B mcap · 197M float · 0.820% daily turnover · Short 71% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 82% of companies Debt: 14.5% of company value Bonds: $40.1M held by 122 funds, 36 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.67 (down 99%), The Hershey Company would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $5.61B against a stock market value of $33.05B.
Distance to default 10.08 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-28, debt counted $2.76B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 27.5%; Altman Z 4.10. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+9.5% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+11.0% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+9.5%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+11.0%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-9.2%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
25%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
☁️
+0.2%
Midterm
☁️
+0.2%
50% win 22% vol
Feb
20yr
☀️
+3.2%
Midterm
⛅
+2.8%
75% win 23% vol
Mar
20yr
☀️
+5.3%
Midterm
⛅
+4.9%
75% win 30% vol
Apr
20yr
⛅
+6.6%
Midterm
☀️
+5.1%
55% win 22% vol
May
20yr
⛅
+8.1%
Midterm
☀️
+6.9%
65% win 20% vol
Jun
20yr
☁️
+8.4%
Midterm
☀️
+7.3%
60% win 24% vol
Jul
20yr
☀️
+10.9%
Midterm
☀️
+6.6%
55% win 21% vol
Aug
20yr
☁️
+10.2%
Midterm
☀️
+7.1%
45% win 22% vol
Sep
20yr
☁️
+10.1%
Midterm
☀️
+8.5%
45% win 20% vol
Oct
20yr
🌧️
+8.6%
Midterm
☀️
+11.5%
43% win 25% vol
Now: +4.4%
Nov
20yr
⛅
+9.2%
Midterm
☀️
+12.0%
55% win 21% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+0.7%
Midterm
🌧️
-0.8%
50% win 20% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -9.2%

Sign in to InsiderStreet

You'll also get our free weekly newsletter with
smart money signals, market insights, and alpha ideas.
Unsubscribe anytime.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms