— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: HZN.AX (ASX) · $vol 0M

HZNFF OTC

Horizon Oil Limited
1W: +0.3% 1M: +5.6% 3M: +0.0% YTD: +18.8% 1Y: +67.9% 3Y: +163.9% 5Y: +546.7%
$0.19
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Tech Score Buy · Power 65 · $337.2M mcap · 1.10B float · 0.0002% daily turnover · Short 92% of daily vol

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
4
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. HZNFF receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROE (4/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-08-28 B- B
2026-07-25 B B-
2026-07-02 B- B
2026-06-30 None ADDED
2026-06-16 EXISTED None
2026-06-11 None ADDED
2026-06-09 EXISTED None
2026-06-04 None ADDED
2026-05-26 EXISTED None
2026-05-18 B- B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 39 Grade B
Profitability
59
Balance Sheet
58
Earnings Quality
51
Growth
4
Value
58
Momentum
40
Safety
15
Cash Flow
86
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. HZNFF scores highest in Cash Flow (86/100) and lowest in Growth (4/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.17
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
2.80
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.82
Bankruptcy prob: 0.3%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB-
Score: 54.8/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 3.61x
Accruals: -23.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. HZNFF scores 1.17, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HZNFF scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. HZNFF's score of 2.80 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HZNFF's implied 0.3% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HZNFF receives an estimated rating of BBB- (score: 54.8/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). HZNFF's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
24.08x
PEG
-1.66x
P/S
3.29x
P/B
3.86x
P/FCF
4.78x
P/OCF
3.90x
EV/EBITDA
3.31x
EV/Revenue
1.75x
EV/EBIT
10.28x
EV/FCF
4.93x
Earnings Yield
7.10%
FCF Yield
20.94%
Shareholder Yield
20.32%
Graham Number
$0.11
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 24.1x earnings, HZNFF commands a growth premium. An earnings yield of 7.1% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $0.11 per share, 74% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.025
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.689
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.170
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.752
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.350
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
30.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HZNFF's ROE of 30.3% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.35x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.03 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$0.11
Price/Value
1.66x
Margin of Safety
-65.76%
Premium
65.76%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with HZNFF's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. HZNFF trades at a 66% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $0.11, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 24.1x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$0.19
Median 1Y
$0.13
5th Pctile
$0.02
95th Pctile
$0.89
Ann. Volatility
117.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
ROE -1.1% -1.1% -83.0% -3.7% 31.8% 38.8% -3.3% -6.2% -33.0% -41.1% 16.3% 31.2% 50.6% 65.4% 78.0% 77.3% 71.5% 48.1% 30.8% 30.3% 30.29%
ROA -46.9% -49.3% -37.9% -1.2% 10.7% 18.0% -1.5% -2.3% -12.2% -23.0% 9.1% 16.0% 23.0% 36.4% 43.6% 36.4% 30.0% 21.3% 12.2% 9.0% 9.04%
ROIC -58.4% -64.6% -61.8% -1.8% 31.0% 41.0% -36.0% -25.2% 45.3% 19.7% 22.7% 57.1% 87.2% 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 1.3% 91.1% 49.3% 43.8% 43.79%
ROCE -64.0% -51.5% -49.1% 26.0% 32.9% 44.3% 44.0% 55.4% 39.2% 6.2% 10.8% 29.5% 50.1% 67.2% 77.7% 58.5% 56.1% 41.3% 25.1% 13.0% 13.03%
Gross Margin 27.7% 43.3% 37.5% 48.3% 41.7% 48.5% 32.3% 27.4% 4.6% 1.4% 45.7% 46.5% 43.9% 49.3% 45.8% 40.3% 30.6% 23.1% 16.2% 20.7% 20.71%
Operating Margin 14.6% 31.8% 23.6% 35.2% 33.4% 35.6% 27.5% 14.5% -9.7% 2.4% 39.3% 42.5% 40.3% 45.4% 41.9% 36.2% 26.3% 16.3% 11.3% 12.4% 12.36%
Net Margin -16.0% 12.8% -26.2% 10.9% 31.6% 26.7% -1.2% 24.3% 18.0% 8.8% 19.9% 24.0% 25.0% 32.6% 27.6% 16.9% 11.8% 11.5% 5.3% 21.0% 20.97%
EBITDA Margin 55.3% 69.3% 60.8% 67.4% 54.4% 77.1% 53.4% 48.6% 34.5% 2.5% 71.3% 64.2% 63.4% 67.4% 67.2% 59.2% 79.5% 28.1% 85.3% 12.4% 12.36%
FCF Margin 29.3% 32.1% 32.3% 28.5% 29.4% 37.5% 37.5% 45.8% 44.9% 40.5% 43.2% 46.3% 37.6% 33.5% 34.9% 26.4% 27.7% 23.2% 20.4% 35.5% 35.49%
OCF Margin 63.6% 55.5% 54.1% 55.3% 53.7% 58.6% 55.2% 54.6% 53.1% 54.2% 62.4% 59.5% 51.5% 49.5% 47.5% 51.4% 53.0% 46.7% 48.1% 43.5% 43.47%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 49.20%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 27.41%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 19.20%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 53.67%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 30.43%
Cash ROA snapshot only 27.74%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 1.07%
CROIC snapshot only 87.16%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 17.83%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 11.73%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 4.26%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
P/E Ratio -0.08 -0.06 -0.19 -10.67 1.75 0.73 -7.71 -3.60 -0.72 -0.77 2.72 2.54 1.85 1.44 1.70 2.05 2.50 5.15 11.81 14.09 24.084
P/S Ratio 0.07 0.06 0.15 0.18 0.21 0.11 0.10 0.08 0.11 0.35 0.56 0.55 0.43 0.38 0.47 0.54 0.59 0.92 1.34 1.69 3.291
P/B Ratio 0.15 0.11 0.26 0.42 0.58 0.25 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.36 0.51 0.73 0.92 1.02 1.46 1.74 1.95 3.05 5.01 4.83 3.863
P/FCF 0.25 0.19 0.47 0.62 0.70 0.31 0.27 0.17 0.24 0.86 1.30 1.18 1.16 1.13 1.34 2.06 2.14 3.95 6.58 4.78 4.775
P/OCF 0.12 0.11 0.28 0.32 0.38 0.20 0.18 0.14 0.20 0.64 0.90 0.92 0.84 0.76 0.98 1.05 1.12 1.96 2.79 3.90 3.898
EV/EBITDA 1.20 0.98 2.14 0.86 0.83 0.31 0.29 0.12 0.17 0.13 0.43 0.36 0.45 0.36 0.47 0.68 0.73 1.43 2.22 3.31 3.306
EV/Revenue 0.68 0.58 0.69 0.55 0.52 0.20 0.18 0.07 0.10 0.07 0.24 0.22 0.30 0.24 0.31 0.44 0.50 0.85 1.39 1.75 1.751
EV/EBIT -1.15 -0.91 -1.09 2.37 2.12 0.58 0.56 0.23 0.35 0.78 1.39 0.68 0.77 0.59 0.76 1.15 1.35 2.92 6.88 10.28 10.284
EV/FCF 2.31 1.79 2.14 1.94 1.76 0.53 0.49 0.16 0.23 0.16 0.55 0.48 0.80 0.71 0.89 1.68 1.80 3.67 6.82 4.93 4.933
Earnings Yield -11.9% -16.3% -5.4% -9.4% 57.2% 1.4% -13.0% -27.8% -1.4% -1.3% 36.8% 39.3% 54.0% 69.3% 58.7% 48.8% 40.0% 19.4% 8.5% 7.1% 7.10%
FCF Yield 4.0% 5.2% 2.1% 1.6% 1.4% 3.3% 3.7% 6.0% 4.2% 1.2% 76.6% 84.8% 86.6% 88.7% 74.9% 48.6% 46.7% 25.3% 15.2% 20.9% 20.94%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 4.828
EV/OCF snapshot only 4.027
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 7.600
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 10.272
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 20.32%
Graham Number snapshot only $0.11
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.33 1.10 1.10 0.44 0.44 1.55 1.55 1.66 1.66 2.24 2.24 1.87 1.31 2.34 3.05 2.32 2.77 2.31 1.83 1.36 1.364
Quick Ratio 0.31 1.05 1.05 0.41 0.41 1.33 1.33 1.51 1.51 2.15 2.15 1.76 1.19 2.24 2.86 2.00 2.50 2.17 1.73 1.14 1.140
Debt/Equity 1.38 1.17 1.17 1.18 1.18 0.34 0.34 0.30 0.30 0.11 0.11 0.01 0.19 0.08 0.00 0.31 0.33 0.39 0.86 0.73 0.726
Net Debt/Equity 1.23 0.94 0.94 0.89 0.89 0.19 0.19 -0.01 -0.01 -0.29 -0.29 -0.43 -0.28 -0.37 -0.49 -0.32 -0.31 -0.22 0.18 0.16 0.160
Debt/Assets 0.50 0.46 0.46 0.36 0.36 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.14 0.06 0.06 0.01 0.08 0.04 0.00 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.24 0.16 0.163
Debt/EBITDA 1.20 1.09 2.09 0.78 0.66 0.24 0.24 0.16 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.01 0.13 0.05 0.00 0.15 0.15 0.20 0.37 0.48 0.481
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.07 0.88 1.68 0.59 0.50 0.13 0.13 -0.01 -0.01 -0.57 -0.58 -0.52 -0.20 -0.21 -0.24 -0.15 -0.14 -0.11 0.08 0.11 0.106
Interest Coverage — — — — — — 51.50 20.54 11.47 1.84 4.03 13.23 19.25 18.09 18.64 19.08 13.47 8.50 3.92 2.22 2.224
Equity Multiplier 2.74 2.55 2.55 3.25 3.25 1.86 1.86 2.07 2.07 1.69 1.69 1.84 2.33 1.92 1.91 2.47 2.46 2.76 3.61 4.47 4.466
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.762
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 6.917
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.780
FCF to Debt snapshot only 1.392
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1764.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.53 0.49 0.47 0.75 0.91 1.15 1.18 1.08 0.82 0.51 0.44 0.75 0.98 1.39 1.59 1.38 1.26 1.20 1.07 0.75 0.752
Inventory Turnover 42.78 43.92 39.60 53.67 62.18 48.29 50.41 46.94 38.64 21.08 17.25 21.10 18.97 50.07 46.22 21.27 21.33 41.92 38.90 14.12 14.116
Receivables Turnover 16.77 18.62 17.67 17.67 21.33 42.53 43.56 22.31 16.83 10.37 9.00 10.17 10.48 15.92 18.53 20.93 14.73 13.26 12.31 17.00 16.998
Payables Turnover 31.82 128.43 115.79 30.70 35.57 288.37 301.02 42.72 35.16 46.07 37.70 115.43 203.70 82.94 97.31 176.23 278.58 227.85 597.14 37.68 37.683
DSO 22 20 21 21 17 9 8 16 22 35 41 36 35 23 20 17 25 28 30 21 21.5 days
DIO 9 8 9 7 6 8 7 8 9 17 21 17 19 7 8 17 17 9 9 26 25.9 days
DPO 11 3 3 12 10 1 1 9 10 8 10 3 2 4 4 2 1 2 1 10 9.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 19 25 27 16 13 15 14 16 21 45 52 50 52 26 24 33 41 35 38 38 37.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 402.075
Operating Cycle snapshot only 47.3 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 5.031
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.567
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue -8.1% -30.7% -30.3% -4.1% 27.2% 57.2% 69.7% 16.3% -27.3% -62.8% -68.5% -49.3% -7.1% 1.3% 1.9% 1.0% 32.2% -15.4% -32.4% -29.5% -29.54%
Net Income -7.7% -6.3% -6.3% 97.8% 1.2% 1.2% 97.3% -48.8% -1.9% -2.1% 6.0% 6.1% 2.5% 2.3% 2.8% 1.5% 33.5% -42.6% -72.0% -68.0% -67.96%
EPS -7.8% -6.2% -6.2% 97.8% 1.1% 1.2% 97.3% -48.3% -1.9% -2.1% 5.0% 5.1% 2.5% 2.3% 2.8% 1.5% 33.9% -41.7% -71.7% -68.8% -68.83%
FCF 1.6% 2.0% 8.7% 16.8% 27.7% 83.7% 97.0% 86.9% 11.0% -59.7% -63.7% -48.7% -22.2% 86.3% 1.3% 14.7% -2.5% -41.5% -60.5% -5.1% -5.13%
EBITDA 12.5% -16.9% -68.0% 15.4% 40.1% 74.9% 2.4% 10.3% -29.8% -71.8% -72.4% -48.4% 2.6% 2.0% 2.4% 1.1% 36.2% -23.9% -35.5% -42.4% -42.43%
Op. Income -5.4% -4.7% -5.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 26.5% -45.9% -80.8% -81.1% -45.7% 63.8% 4.6% 5.1% 1.6% 21.5% -37.9% -64.3% -71.0% -71.02%
OCF Growth snapshot only -40.45%
Asset Growth snapshot only 43.47%
Equity Growth snapshot only -20.78%
Debt Growth snapshot only 85.26%
Shares Change snapshot only 2.80%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -11.67%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 37.6% 22.0% 19.5% 27.0% 33.3% 44.8% 28.4% 9.0% -5.3% -26.0% -28.0% -17.3% -4.9% 9.7% 15.8% 5.9% -3.7% -10.8% -14.8% -10.4% -10.38%
Revenue 5Y — — — 4.6% 1.3% 1.1% 57.7% 36.0% 19.2% 1.2% -1.8% 3.8% 9.8% 20.6% 14.1% 5.8% 0.9% -5.0% -6.1% -4.3% -4.31%
EPS 3Y — — — — -1.2% 44.9% — — — — — — — — — — 22.2% -6.6% — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — -25.9% -14.1% 5.6% 33.5% 53.8% 27.0% 10.2% -3.5% — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — 11.4% 62.9% — — — — — — — — — — 21.7% -7.0% — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — -20.6% -7.8% 13.3% 43.4% 61.1% 32.8% 15.3% 1.0% — — —
EBITDA 3Y 4.9% -5.2% -20.0% 13.0% 24.6% 45.4% 35.8% 17.7% 3.4% -25.7% -33.3% -13.1% 0.3% 14.1% 46.6% 6.3% -0.6% -13.6% -15.4% -14.4% -14.38%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — 45.7% 16.3% 2.6% -15.9% -13.9% -3.9% 6.9% 21.2% 18.7% 12.2% 9.1% -1.3% -8.2% -4.4% -4.41%
Gross Profit 3Y -6.1% -17.4% -14.8% -0.0% 6.1% 19.7% 21.5% 5.7% -6.7% -34.8% -33.8% -12.7% 10.7% 30.0% 31.7% 9.5% -4.3% -17.3% -27.0% -25.5% -25.52%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — 99.3% 78.9% 35.5% 14.7% -1.7% -21.3% -20.8% -11.1% -3.1% 8.3% 11.7% 6.4% 4.1% -5.8% -12.0% -10.9% -10.86%
Op. Income 3Y — — — -8.1% 8.2% 28.3% 31.2% 21.4% 6.3% -25.1% -18.4% — — — — 20.7% 2.5% -12.7% -25.4% -26.2% -26.18%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — 37.4% 6.0% -11.3% -29.5% -27.0% -11.8% 2.3% 17.8% 21.3% 19.9% 19.0% 7.8% 3.5% — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.3% 11.3% 18.8% 3.2% -5.6% -24.0% -30.5% -17.7% -17.68%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y 31.0% 11.7% 15.7% 34.0% 49.8% 82.7% 47.9% 17.8% 0.5% -24.8% -26.3% -16.5% -11.4% 5.6% 10.9% 3.4% -4.1% -17.3% -18.6% -16.9% -16.95%
OCF 5Y — — — — 2.1% 1.4% 51.2% 27.2% 11.6% -4.5% -0.9% 8.8% 16.8% 34.0% 20.6% 9.5% 4.5% -6.9% -9.5% -9.6% -9.56%
Assets 3Y 18.6% -2.5% -2.5% -4.1% -4.1% -18.0% -18.0% -30.7% -30.7% -29.1% -29.1% -14.0% -11.0% -12.3% -13.7% -12.8% -16.4% -11.8% -10.6% 19.7% 19.72%
Assets 5Y — — — 26.7% 26.7% 13.4% 13.4% 0.0% 0.0% -8.6% -8.6% -12.3% -10.4% -17.4% -18.2% -16.8% -18.9% -19.2% -18.5% 0.5% 0.54%
Equity 3Y -2.9% -11.2% -11.2% -16.2% -16.2% -5.4% -5.4% -28.1% -28.1% -24.5% -24.5% -1.7% -6.0% -3.5% -5.0% -4.4% -8.3% -22.7% -28.3% -7.3% -7.33%
Book Value 3Y -6.7% -15.1% -15.0% -19.5% -25.7% -15.9% -5.4% -28.1% -34.5% -30.2% -29.9% -9.0% -13.3% -10.6% -12.0% -11.4% -7.9% -22.4% -33.4% -14.8% -14.77%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 60.9% 29.1% -2.1% -10.9% -10.95%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.81 0.45 0.45 0.91 0.92 0.80 0.81 0.85 0.50 0.03 0.03 0.09 0.22 0.23 0.13 0.02 0.07 0.15 0.09 0.06 0.058
Earnings Stability 0.38 0.36 0.64 0.19 0.10 0.07 0.30 0.15 0.15 0.18 0.08 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.19 0.31 0.20 0.14 0.41 0.61 0.611
Margin Stability 0.46 0.48 0.53 0.00 0.49 0.51 0.53 0.51 0.46 0.42 0.49 0.56 0.53 0.52 0.76 0.93 0.88 0.78 0.78 0.76 0.764
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.80 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.15 0.71 0.46 0.00 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend -1.93 -1.94 -1.39 0.74 1.17 1.19 0.72 0.77 0.38 0.28 0.91 0.34 0.50 0.77 0.78 0.74 0.71 0.48 -0.10 -0.22 -0.224
Gross Margin Trend -0.32 -0.30 -0.13 0.03 0.11 0.12 0.09 0.03 -0.01 -0.11 -0.08 -0.02 0.07 0.11 0.10 0.06 0.02 -0.00 -0.11 -0.19 -0.190
FCF Margin Trend 1.24 1.29 0.92 0.64 0.37 0.32 0.23 0.32 0.16 0.06 0.08 0.09 0.00 -0.05 -0.05 -0.20 -0.14 -0.14 -0.19 -0.01 -0.008
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — 31.8% 38.8% — — — — 16.3% 31.2% 30.8% 33.6% 23.8% -0.1% -14.8% -38.6% -58.6% -55.6% -55.61%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — 11.9% 21.9% — — — — 10.1% 19.1% 16.3% 23.0% 15.3% — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.72 -0.55 -0.66 -33.44 4.57 3.74 -42.09 -25.82 -3.56 -1.20 3.01 2.77 2.19 1.89 1.73 1.94 2.23 2.63 4.23 3.61 3.615
FCF/OCF 0.46 0.58 0.60 0.52 0.55 0.64 0.68 0.84 0.85 0.75 0.69 0.78 0.73 0.68 0.73 0.51 0.52 0.50 0.42 0.82 0.816
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.951
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.821
CapEx/Revenue 34.3% 23.4% 21.8% 26.8% 24.3% 21.1% 17.6% 8.8% 8.2% 13.6% 19.1% 13.2% 13.9% 16.0% 12.6% 25.1% 25.2% 23.5% 27.7% 8.0% 7.99%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.222
Accruals Ratio -0.81 -0.77 -0.63 -0.43 -0.38 -0.49 -0.66 -0.62 -0.56 -0.51 -0.18 -0.28 -0.27 -0.32 -0.32 -0.34 -0.37 -0.35 -0.39 -0.24 -0.236
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.360
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.033
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 21.1% 33.7% 40.8% 48.8% 48.2% 35.0% 24.6% 20.1% 13.33%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.01 $0.02 $0.03 $0.04 $0.04 $0.04 $0.04 $0.04 $0.02
Payout Ratio — — — — 0.0% 0.0% — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 39.1% 48.7% 69.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.8% 2.9% 2.8% 2.84%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 24.4% 38.0% 54.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 96.1% 96.10%
Total Payout Ratio — — — — 0.0% 0.0% — — — — 1.8% 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 93.5% 1.3% 1.3% 1.9% 3.0% 2.9% 2.86%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.60 1.48 0.42 0.11 0.109
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 66.1% 52.4% 67.8% 53.0% 14.1% 12.8% 1.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.19%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -28.3% 41.5% 33.4% 47.6% 50.6% 11.0% 9.9% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -28.3% 41.5% 33.4% 68.7% 84.3% 51.8% 58.8% 48.6% 35.3% 24.8% 20.1% 20.12%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.94 0.99 0.95 -2.21 0.76 0.75 -0.27 -0.26 1.81 0.98 1.05 0.84 0.71 0.69 0.70 0.73 0.70 0.69 0.69 1.03 1.025
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.59 1.62 1.35 0.03 0.64 0.61 0.15 0.26 -0.28 -5.42 1.15 0.79 0.84 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.93 0.88 0.81 0.69 0.689
EBIT Margin -0.59 -0.63 -0.63 0.23 0.24 0.34 0.33 0.31 0.30 0.09 0.17 0.32 0.39 0.40 0.41 0.38 0.37 0.29 0.20 0.17 0.170
Asset Turnover 0.53 0.49 0.47 0.75 0.91 1.15 1.18 1.08 0.82 0.51 0.44 0.75 0.98 1.39 1.59 1.38 1.26 1.20 1.07 0.75 0.752
Equity Multiplier 2.45 2.19 2.19 2.98 2.98 2.15 2.15 2.70 2.70 1.79 1.79 1.94 2.20 1.80 1.79 2.12 2.39 2.26 2.52 3.35 3.350
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.15 $-0.15 $-0.12 $-0.00 $0.02 $0.03 $-0.00 $-0.00 $-0.02 $-0.03 $0.01 $0.02 $0.03 $0.04 $0.05 $0.04 $0.03 $0.02 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01
Book Value/Share $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.07 $0.06 $0.09 $0.11 $0.06 $0.05 $0.07 $0.07 $0.06 $0.05 $0.06 $0.06 $0.05 $0.04 $0.04 $0.03 $0.04 $0.06
Tangible Book/Share $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.07 $0.06 $0.09 $0.11 $0.06 $0.05 $0.07 $0.07 $0.06 $0.06 $0.07 $0.07 $0.05 $0.04 $0.04 $0.03 $0.04 $0.04
Revenue/Share $0.16 $0.15 $0.14 $0.17 $0.16 $0.19 $0.24 $0.20 $0.11 $0.07 $0.06 $0.08 $0.11 $0.16 $0.17 $0.16 $0.15 $0.13 $0.12 $0.11 $0.05
FCF/Share $0.05 $0.05 $0.05 $0.05 $0.05 $0.07 $0.09 $0.09 $0.05 $0.03 $0.03 $0.04 $0.04 $0.05 $0.06 $0.04 $0.04 $0.03 $0.02 $0.04 $0.03
OCF/Share $0.10 $0.08 $0.08 $0.10 $0.09 $0.11 $0.13 $0.11 $0.06 $0.04 $0.04 $0.05 $0.06 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.06 $0.06 $0.05 $0.03
Cash/Share $0.01 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02 $0.01 $0.02 $0.02 $0.01 $0.03 $0.03 $0.03 $0.02 $0.03 $0.03 $0.03 $0.03 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02
EBITDA/Share $0.09 $0.09 $0.05 $0.11 $0.10 $0.12 $0.15 $0.12 $0.07 $0.03 $0.03 $0.05 $0.07 $0.10 $0.11 $0.11 $0.10 $0.08 $0.07 $0.06 $0.06
Debt/Share $0.11 $0.10 $0.10 $0.09 $0.07 $0.03 $0.04 $0.02 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.00 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.02 $0.01 $0.02 $0.03 $0.03 $0.03
Net Debt/Share $0.10 $0.08 $0.08 $0.06 $0.05 $0.02 $0.02 $-0.00 $-0.00 $-0.02 $-0.02 $-0.03 $-0.01 $-0.02 $-0.03 $-0.02 $-0.01 $-0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.175
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.825
Piotroski F-Score 4 4 4 7 8 8 7 5 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 7 7 4 4 3 3
Beneish M-Score -6.36 -8.68 -8.02 -3.78 -3.33 -3.92 -4.79 -6.95 -2.19 132.73 -2.62 -2.87 -2.01 62.67 -3.23 -4.16 -4.71 -3.49 -2.60 2.80 2.801
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.821
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 1.75%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-0.08
EVA snapshot only $25847375.49
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q4'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB-
Credit Score 44.10 47.25 42.60 65.75 65.75 79.25 81.75 81.75 73.25 54.75 61.00 74.25 75.50 90.50 96.50 86.00 84.75 77.75 70.50 54.75 54.750
Credit Grade snapshot only 10
Credit Trend snapshot only -31.250
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 350.000

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