KNF NYSE
Knife River Corporation
1W: +7.2%
1M: +2.8%
3M: -28.0%
YTD: -24.6%
1Y: -12.7%
3Y: +10.0%
$54.83
+1.92 (+3.63%)
Weekly Expected Move ±6.3%
$46
$50
$53
$57
$60
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 66% of companies Debt: 34.9% of company value Bonds: $50.4M held by 76 funds, 251 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $2.57 (down 95%), Knife River Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.67B against a stock market value of $3.11B.
Distance to default 3.76 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $817.3M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 50.6%; Altman Z 2.30. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $2.57 (down 95%), Knife River Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.67B against a stock market value of $3.11B.
Distance to default 3.76 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $817.3M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 50.6%; Altman Z 2.30. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+29.1% YTD avg
2026 Now
☁️
Cloudy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+29.1%
Day 144 of 252
2026 YTD
+0.4%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
33%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛈️
+6.1%
33% win
43% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+8.5%
67% win
52% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+20.2%
33% win
41% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+15.7%
67% win
55% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
+16.3%
33% win
42% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+17.0%
50% win
48% vol
Jul
20yr
🌫️
+0.5%
50% win
35% vol
Aug
20yr
🌫️
+0.4%
25% win
46% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
-4.1%
25% win
38% vol
Oct
20yr
🌫️
-0.2%
75% win
33% vol
Now:
+8.8%
Nov
20yr
💨
+16.2%
100% win
48% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+1.0%
33% win
28% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +0.4%