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Also trades as: LTR.AX (ASX) · $vol 20M

LINRF OTC

Liontown Resources Limited
1W: -13.5% 1M: -32.5% 3M: -48.5% YTD: -42.5% 1Y: -4.4% 3Y: -68.8%
$0.59
-0.17 (-22.00%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±12.4%
$0 $1 $1 $1 $1
OTC · Basic Materials · Industrial Materials · Tech Score Sell · Power 39 · $1.9B mcap · 2.00B float · 0.0005% daily turnover · Short 94% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$2
Avg Target
$2
High
Based on 1 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 0Hold: 1Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$1.75
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-04-09 Goldman Sachs Hugo Nicolaci Initiated $2 — +32.6% $1.32

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B-
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
4
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. LINRF receives an overall rating of B-. Strongest factors: ROE (4/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-09-08 None ADDED
2026-09-06 EXISTED None
2026-07-28 None ADDED
2026-07-27 EXISTED None
2026-07-21 None ADDED
2026-07-21 EXISTED None
2026-06-30 None ADDED
2026-06-30 EXISTED None
2026-06-01 None ADDED
2026-06-01 EXISTED None

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade C
Profitability
46
Balance Sheet
78
Earnings Quality
50
Growth
60
Value
—
Momentum
57
Safety
—
Cash Flow
22

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
—
—
Ohlson O-Score
-8.54
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB+
Score: 49.4/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -1.73x
Accruals: -15.4%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. LINRF scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. LINRF's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. LINRF receives an estimated rating of BB+ (score: 49.4/100), with a improving trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
37.86x
PEG
-1.16x
P/S
3.95x
P/B
1.72x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 37.9x earnings, LINRF commands a growth premium.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.477
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.905
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.116
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.534
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.569
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-8.9%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. LINRF's ROE of -8.9% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.534), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.48 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1027 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$0.59
Median 1Y
$0.31
5th Pctile
$0.06
95th Pctile
$1.59
Ann. Volatility
98.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
ROE -1.5% -4.9% -6.6% -11.3% -15.6% -50.1% -52.6% -8.9% -8.87%
ROA -1.4% -3.4% -4.3% -6.3% -8.7% -23.3% -26.6% -5.7% -5.65%
ROIC -12.4% -10.2% -8.6% -6.9% -6.0% -15.8% -18.9% -7.7% -7.67%
ROCE -1.3% -3.0% -4.3% -6.2% -7.8% -20.5% -20.5% -5.6% -5.63%
Gross Margin 29.8% — -21.6% 1.0% 0.0% 6.9% -23.9% 31.3% 31.25%
Operating Margin -65.9% — -1247.5% 1171.8% -23.9% -82.1% -33.3% 27.1% 27.14%
Net Margin -36.5% — -1240.8% 1356.0% -15.2% -90.3% -88.6% 64.1% 64.07%
EBITDA Margin -31.2% — -1224.9% 1147.6% -23.0% 12.4% 10.9% 36.3% 36.28%
FCF Margin -338.1% -1314.0% -2718.8% -5075.2% -10.4% -3.5% -1.6% -31.2% -31.21%
OCF Margin -27.7% -86.3% -163.3% -334.4% -76.1% -15.6% -16.3% 18.3% 18.33%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -5.54%
Cash ROA snapshot only 8.07%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 12.17%
CROIC snapshot only -20.72%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -11.56%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -22.17%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 8.09%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — 37.857
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — 3.954
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — 1.718
P/FCF — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — —
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Current Ratio 9.17 4.28 5.36 1.31 0.81 0.44 0.91 3.48 3.481
Quick Ratio 9.17 4.28 5.34 1.15 0.52 0.39 0.74 3.04 3.038
Debt/Equity 0.00 0.27 0.39 0.60 1.11 1.43 1.10 0.34 0.343
Net Debt/Equity -0.83 -0.41 -0.25 0.40 0.86 1.12 0.56 -0.04 -0.039
Debt/Assets 0.00 0.19 0.26 0.33 0.50 0.53 0.45 0.24 0.237
Debt/EBITDA -0.05 -7.22 -6.67 -6.06 -9.05 -14.33 -176.17 2.79 2.786
Net Debt/EBITDA 64.89 10.97 4.23 -4.09 -6.98 -11.20 -89.86 -0.32 -0.315
Interest Coverage — — -5.96 -9.61 -8.84 -4.74 -3.93 -1.30 -1.304
Equity Multiplier 1.10 1.46 1.54 1.80 2.23 2.69 2.44 1.45 1.449
Cash Ratio snapshot only 2.964
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.162
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.113
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.580
Defensive Interval snapshot only 883.3 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.27 0.33 0.53 0.534
Inventory Turnover — — 0.64 0.04 1.56 22.88 10.79 15.72 15.716
Receivables Turnover — — 0.02 0.03 13.08 64.76 20.13 113.91 113.914
Payables Turnover 0.00 0.12 0.01 0.17 2.00 22.22 5.67 65.95 65.950
DSO 0 0 24046 10734 28 6 18 3 3.2 days
DIO 0 0 573 9384 234 16 34 23 23.2 days
DPO 114149 3134 42231 2103 183 16 64 6 5.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -114149 -3134 -17612 18015 80 5 -12 21 20.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.697
Operating Cycle snapshot only 26.4 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.670
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.271
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue — — — — 528.9% 1569.3% 2353.3% 4952.3% 4952.30%
Net Income — — — — -12.8% -10.6% -6.7% -14.0% -14.02%
EPS — — — — -10.9% -9.5% -5.1% 10.8% 10.78%
FCF — — — — -15.3% -3.2% -42.5% 69.5% 69.54%
EBITDA — — — — -14.8% -2.5% 89.9% 3.4% 3.38%
Op. Income — — — — -7.5% -6.2% -3.4% -45.2% -45.17%
OCF Growth snapshot only 3.72%
Asset Growth snapshot only 53.90%
Equity Growth snapshot only 91.04%
Debt Growth snapshot only 9.53%
Shares Change snapshot only 27.81%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — — —
Margin Stability — — — — — — — — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — —
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — —
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.76 0.74 0.66 0.73 0.80 0.18 0.20 -1.73 -1.732
FCF/OCF 12.19 15.23 16.65 15.18 13.64 22.52 10.12 -1.70 -1.702
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.949
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.950
CapEx/Revenue 310.4% 1227.7% 2555.5% 4740.8% 9.6% 3.3% 1.5% 49.5% 49.54%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.601
Accruals Ratio -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.19 -0.21 -0.15 -0.154
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.078
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.370
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.48 0.477
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.14 1.31 1.11 1.12 1.00 1.18 1.60 1.90 1.905
EBIT Margin -31.91 -90.30 -225.17 -410.65 -0.95 -0.73 -0.51 -0.12 -0.116
Asset Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.27 0.33 0.53 0.534
Equity Multiplier 1.10 1.46 1.54 1.80 1.80 2.15 1.98 1.57 1.569
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.00 $-0.01 $-0.02 $-0.04 $-0.04 $-0.11 $-0.15 $-0.03 $-0.03
Book Value/Share $0.21 $0.20 $0.36 $0.31 $0.30 $0.24 $0.27 $0.46 $0.46
Tangible Book/Share $0.21 $0.20 $0.36 $0.31 $0.30 $0.24 $0.27 $0.46 $0.46
Revenue/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.04 $0.12 $0.18 $0.30 $0.20
FCF/Share $-0.03 $-0.11 $-0.26 $-0.39 $-0.41 $-0.43 $-0.30 $-0.09 $0.02
OCF/Share $-0.00 $-0.01 $-0.02 $-0.03 $-0.03 $-0.02 $-0.03 $0.05 $0.06
Cash/Share $0.17 $0.14 $0.23 $0.06 $0.08 $0.07 $0.15 $0.18 $0.18
EBITDA/Share $-0.00 $-0.01 $-0.02 $-0.03 $-0.04 $-0.02 $-0.00 $0.06 $0.06
Debt/Share $0.00 $0.06 $0.14 $0.19 $0.33 $0.34 $0.30 $0.16 $0.16
Net Debt/Share $-0.17 $-0.08 $-0.09 $0.13 $0.26 $0.27 $0.15 $-0.02 $-0.02
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 6 6
Beneish M-Score — — — — 469.23 — 7444.04 — —
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.536
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -6.02%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-0.00
EVA snapshot only $-249920504.69
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB+
Credit Score 61.00 60.00 50.00 42.95 36.35 33.80 36.35 49.40 49.400
Credit Grade snapshot only 11
Credit Trend snapshot only 6.450
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 400.000

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms