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Also trades as: LNW (NASDAQ) · $vol 190M · LNW.AX (ASX) · $vol 20M

LNWO OTC

Light & Wonder, Inc.
1W: -0.4% 1M: -15.3% 3M: +2.4% YTD: -25.5%
$76.80
+2.55 (+3.43%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.8%
$69 $73 $77 $81 $84
OTC · Consumer Cyclical · Gambling, Resorts & Casinos · Tech Score Strong Sell · Power 39 · $6.0B mcap · 78M float · 0.030% daily turnover · Short 30% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 10Hold: 5Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Consensus Change History
DateFieldFromTo
2026-01-07 _new_coverage None ADDED

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. LNWO receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B B+
2026-09-02 B- B
2026-08-11 B B-
2026-08-10 B+ B
2026-08-05 B- B+
2026-07-01 B B-
2026-04-01 B- B
2026-03-23 B B-
2026-03-16 B- B
2026-03-02 B B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 38 Grade C
Profitability
70
Balance Sheet
18
Earnings Quality
58
Growth
—
Value
29
Momentum
—
Safety
30
Cash Flow
59
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. LNWO scores highest in Profitability (70/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (18/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.42
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
—
—
Ohlson O-Score
-5.63
Bankruptcy prob: 0.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 35.3/100
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 4.45x
Accruals: -8.5%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. LNWO scores 1.42, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. LNWO scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. LNWO's implied 0.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. LNWO receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 35.3/100). The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). LNWO's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
22.65x
PEG
-0.97x
P/S
1.80x
P/B
19.68x
P/FCF
13.72x
P/OCF
8.82x
EV/EBITDA
14.12x
EV/Revenue
4.45x
EV/EBIT
24.39x
EV/FCF
24.88x
Earnings Yield
2.55%
FCF Yield
7.29%
Shareholder Yield
10.86%
Graham Number
$13.16
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 22.7x earnings, LNWO commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $13.16 per share, 484% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.748
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.459
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.183
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.394
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
21.073
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
52.0%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. LNWO's ROE of 52.0% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 21.07x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$17.00
Price/Value
4.62x
Margin of Safety
-361.76%
Premium
361.76%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with LNWO's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. LNWO trades at a 362% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $17.00, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 22.7x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 193 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$76.80
Median 1Y
$46.53
5th Pctile
$19.78
95th Pctile
$109.96
Ann. Volatility
50.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Matthew Wilson
Chief Executive Officer
$1,323,750 $3,899,989 $6,864,653
Siobhan Lane President,
Vice President, Group Chief Executive, Gaming
$763,702 $3,499,846 $5,062,744
James Sottile President,
Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary
$708,750 $1,224,984 $2,510,515
Oliver Chow President,
Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
$625,000 $1,093,654 $2,186,635

CEO Pay Ratio

54:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $6,864,653
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $127,794
Employees: 6,800

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
6,800
0.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$487,353
Rev: $3,314,000,000
Profit / Employee
$40,588
NI: $276,000,000
SGA / Employee
$127,794
Avg labor cost proxy
R&D / Employee
$37,059
Innovation spend

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE -6.1% 11.9% 52.0% 51.99%
ROA -0.2% 0.6% 2.5% 2.47%
ROIC 3.8% 5.2% 9.4% 9.38%
ROCE 1.4% 4.0% 8.1% 8.11%
Gross Margin 61.1% 61.8% 74.6% 74.64%
Operating Margin 29.1% 23.3% 26.9% 26.93%
Net Margin -1.7% 6.6% 14.5% 14.49%
EBITDA Margin 21.3% 32.0% 42.0% 42.03%
FCF Margin 25.4% 17.3% 17.9% 17.90%
OCF Margin 35.8% 27.3% 27.9% 27.87%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 9.21%
Cash ROA snapshot only 10.98%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 13.16%
CROIC snapshot only 8.45%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 19.85%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 8.37%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 7.50%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 26.83%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only -2.31%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio -549.81 178.26 39.25 22.655
P/S Ratio 9.27 3.93 2.46 1.804
P/B Ratio 33.66 21.21 20.40 19.683
P/FCF 36.49 22.67 13.72 13.724
P/OCF 25.85 14.40 8.82 8.816
EV/EBITDA 70.10 26.03 14.12 14.123
EV/Revenue 14.97 6.86 4.45 4.454
EV/EBIT 162.43 50.81 24.39 24.391
EV/FCF 58.93 39.63 24.88 24.880
Earnings Yield -0.2% 0.6% 2.5% 2.55%
FCF Yield 2.7% 4.4% 7.3% 7.29%
EV/OCF snapshot only 15.982
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 6.770
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 16.774
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 10.86%
Graham Number snapshot only $13.16
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.60 1.78 1.73 1.734
Quick Ratio 1.39 1.51 1.46 1.464
Debt/Equity 21.38 16.68 17.08 17.076
Net Debt/Equity 20.70 15.87 16.59 16.586
Debt/Assets 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.810
Debt/EBITDA 27.57 11.71 6.52 6.520
Net Debt/EBITDA 26.69 11.14 6.33 6.332
Interest Coverage 0.98 1.36 1.85 1.847
Equity Multiplier 26.38 20.47 21.07 21.073
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.207
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 3.190
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.029
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.087
Defensive Interval snapshot only 307.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.14 0.26 0.39 0.394
Inventory Turnover 2.05 3.50 4.45 4.446
Receivables Turnover 1.29 2.55 3.69 3.688
Payables Turnover 1.83 4.41 4.31 4.312
DSO 283 143 99 99.0 days
DIO 178 104 82 82.1 days
DPO 199 83 85 84.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 261 164 96 96.4 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 6.514
Operating Cycle snapshot only 181.1 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 16.946
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.537
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — —
Earnings Stability — — — —
Margin Stability — — — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — — —
Earnings Smoothness — — — —
ROE Trend — — — —
Gross Margin Trend — — — —
FCF Margin Trend — — — —
Sustainable Growth Rate — 11.9% 52.0% 51.99%
Internal Growth Rate — 0.6% 2.5% 2.53%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -21.27 12.38 4.45 4.452
FCF/OCF 0.71 0.64 0.64 0.642
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.860
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.884
CapEx/Revenue 10.4% 9.9% 10.0% 9.97%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.751
Accruals Ratio -0.05 -0.07 -0.09 -0.085
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.017
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.796
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio — 14.1% 4.3% 4.26%
Div. Increase Streak — — — —
Chowder Number — — — —
Buyback Yield 6.1% 7.9% 10.9% 10.86%
Net Buyback Yield 6.1% 7.9% 10.9% 10.86%
Total Shareholder Return 6.1% 7.9% 10.9% 10.86%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 7.50 0.62 0.75 0.748
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -0.02 0.26 0.46 0.459
EBIT Margin 0.09 0.14 0.18 0.183
Asset Turnover 0.14 0.26 0.39 0.394
Equity Multiplier 26.38 20.47 21.07 21.073
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.19 $0.47 $2.00 $2.00
Book Value/Share $3.06 $3.93 $3.85 $3.90
Tangible Book/Share $-49.17 $-48.33 $-48.25 $-48.25
Revenue/Share $11.12 $21.21 $31.95 $43.27
FCF/Share $2.83 $3.67 $5.72 $7.16
OCF/Share $3.99 $5.78 $8.90 $11.41
Cash/Share $2.09 $3.14 $1.89 $1.91
EBITDA/Share $2.38 $5.59 $10.08 $10.08
Debt/Share $65.49 $65.48 $65.69 $65.69
Net Debt/Share $63.40 $62.34 $63.81 $63.81
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — 1.418
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 2.273
Piotroski F-Score 3 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score — — — —
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.629
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-61.43
EVA snapshot only $-33185714.29
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 26.80 31.10 35.30 35.300
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms