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LSI NYSE

Life Storage, Inc.
1W: -1.8% 1M: +3.4% 3M: -1.8% 1Y: +23.2% 3Y: +134.9% 5Y: +148.5%
$133.10
Last traded 2023-07-19 — delisted
NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Industrial · $11.3B mcap · 85M float · 0.928% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
43.7 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 6.5%  ·  5Y Avg: 5.4%
Cost Advantage
46
Intangibles
36
Switching Cost
33
Network Effect
55
Scale ★
60
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. LSI shows a Weak competitive edge (43.7/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 6.5% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 8Hold: 24Sell: 2Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2023-01-02 Jefferies Jonathan Petersen $152 $97 -55 -1.5% $98.50
2022-08-29 Evercore ISI Steve Sakwa Initiated $138 — +2.9% $134.08
2022-08-16 Raymond James Jonathan Hughes Initiated $145 — +6.0% $136.76
2022-08-15 Truist Financial Ki Bin Kim Initiated $138 — +0.9% $136.76
2021-11-28 Jefferies Jonathan Petersen Initiated $152 — +14.4% $132.81
2021-11-02 Berenberg Bank Keegan Carl Initiated $158 — +20.4% $131.22
2021-09-15 Citigroup Smedes Rose Initiated $140 — +14.8% $121.90
2021-05-27 Wells Fargo Todd Stender Initiated $102 — +4.7% $97.39

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 74 Grade A
Profitability
73
Balance Sheet
37
Earnings Quality
91
Growth
76
Value
48
Momentum
100
Safety
50
Cash Flow
85
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. LSI scores highest in Momentum (100/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (37/100). An overall grade of A places LSI among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.04
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.40
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.15
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB+
Score: 49.3/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.72x
Accruals: -3.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. LSI scores 2.04, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. LSI scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. LSI's score of -2.40 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. LSI's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. LSI receives an estimated rating of BB+ (score: 49.3/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). LSI's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
43.21x
PEG
2.05x
P/S
11.12x
P/B
3.10x
P/FCF
18.30x
P/OCF
18.30x
EV/EBITDA
20.87x
EV/Revenue
13.62x
EV/EBIT
29.45x
EV/FCF
23.90x
Earnings Yield
3.18%
FCF Yield
5.46%
Shareholder Yield
3.91%
Graham Number
$62.13
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 43.2x earnings, LSI is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $62.13 per share, 114% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.937
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.766
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.462
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.150
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.008
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
10.0%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. LSI's ROE of 10.0% is driven by a balanced combination of operating margin, asset efficiency, and leverage. A tax burden ratio of 0.94 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
3.39%
Fair P/E
15.28x
Intrinsic Value
$62.79
Price/Value
2.06x
Margin of Safety
-105.65%
Premium
105.65%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with LSI's realized 3.4% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. LSI trades at a 106% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $62.79, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 15.3x compares to the current market P/E of 43.2x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$133.32
Median 1Y
$146.20
5th Pctile
$95.22
95th Pctile
$224.61
Ann. Volatility
26.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
ROE 6.4% 6.7% 10.1% 10.2% 10.3% 14.8% 12.3% 12.4% 12.3% 7.0% 6.7% 6.9% 7.6% 8.0% 8.7% 9.1% 10.0% 9.2% 8.7% 10.0% 9.97%
ROA 3.3% 3.5% 5.3% 5.3% 5.3% 7.6% 6.4% 6.3% 6.1% 3.5% 3.4% 3.5% 3.9% 4.2% 4.4% 4.7% 5.1% 4.9% 4.4% 5.0% 4.96%
ROIC 2.5% 2.6% 4.6% 4.5% 4.5% 7.0% 5.6% 5.6% 5.7% 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% 3.6% 4.1% 3.9% 4.4% 5.2% 5.4% 5.6% 6.5% 6.55%
ROCE 12.2% 12.5% 12.9% 13.0% 12.2% 12.7% 10.3% 10.4% 10.2% 7.3% 7.2% 7.3% 7.8% 8.0% 3.3% 3.1% 2.9% 3.1% 7.1% 7.4% 7.42%
Gross Margin 63.9% 64.5% 64.7% 61.9% 62.3% 62.4% 62.5% 62.3% 62.5% 61.6% 63.7% 62.3% 65.0% 66.0% 70.2% 67.7% 70.5% 69.2% 71.0% 68.6% 68.64%
Operating Margin 44.4% 43.9% 85.0% 41.6% 44.3% 1.2% 46.8% 41.8% 42.1% 39.9% 43.8% 42.6% 45.6% 48.3% 45.4% 42.7% 46.8% 47.0% 45.8% 42.9% 42.86%
Net Margin 31.2% 31.9% 71.5% 27.8% 30.8% 1.1% 32.6% 27.3% 27.4% 26.4% 27.7% 30.6% 34.0% 37.3% 34.2% 32.2% 36.6% 27.4% 24.6% 44.4% 44.43%
EBITDA Margin 64.9% 65.9% 62.3% 94.9% 96.5% 34.2% 87.1% 91.6% 92.4% 64.2% 79.7% 93.5% 98.3% 79.8% -1.1% 64.2% 66.1% 65.5% 65.6% 63.8% 63.81%
FCF Margin 50.3% 50.2% 51.9% 52.7% 52.6% 54.3% 53.8% 54.8% 54.1% 53.8% 53.7% 55.5% 57.2% 59.7% 59.5% 58.8% 58.1% 58.8% 57.6% 57.0% 56.99%
OCF Margin 50.3% 50.2% 51.9% 52.7% 52.6% 54.3% 53.8% 54.8% 54.1% 53.8% 53.7% 55.5% 57.2% 59.7% 59.5% 58.8% 58.1% 58.8% 57.6% 57.0% 56.99%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.05%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 9.28%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.04%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.74%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 6.54%
Cash ROA snapshot only 8.17%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 8.69%
CROIC snapshot only 8.69%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 42.97%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 35.41%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 7.65%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.81%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
P/E Ratio 28.74 27.25 17.65 18.61 18.25 13.87 17.11 14.99 15.52 29.32 35.10 36.76 41.91 39.16 47.71 40.50 28.99 29.09 26.96 31.43 43.214
P/S Ratio 7.48 7.37 7.21 7.59 7.40 8.30 8.54 7.41 7.54 8.33 9.55 10.33 12.52 12.81 16.31 13.90 10.16 9.44 8.09 10.43 11.124
P/B Ratio 1.85 1.84 1.77 1.88 1.86 2.00 2.08 1.82 1.87 2.00 2.24 2.34 2.86 2.67 3.52 3.21 2.56 2.53 2.27 3.09 3.098
P/FCF 14.88 14.66 13.90 14.41 14.07 15.30 15.88 13.53 13.93 15.49 17.79 18.61 21.89 21.47 27.42 23.63 17.48 16.07 14.03 18.30 18.301
P/OCF 14.88 14.66 13.90 14.41 14.07 15.30 15.88 13.53 13.93 15.49 17.79 18.61 21.89 21.47 27.42 23.63 17.48 16.07 14.03 18.30 18.301
EV/EBITDA 33.99 32.33 16.55 15.48 13.71 16.69 15.71 14.56 14.87 14.80 16.40 17.16 19.19 18.15 31.60 30.43 26.14 25.36 17.42 20.87 20.872
EV/Revenue 10.95 10.84 10.58 11.12 10.95 12.00 12.29 11.31 11.40 12.37 13.39 14.17 16.26 15.92 19.90 17.47 13.61 12.78 11.39 13.62 13.618
EV/EBIT 12.26 11.86 11.21 11.80 11.74 11.98 15.19 14.15 14.55 20.06 22.48 23.46 25.89 23.84 68.69 70.61 64.38 61.09 24.54 29.45 29.450
EV/FCF 21.78 21.57 20.39 21.10 20.81 22.11 22.83 20.64 21.07 22.98 24.95 25.53 28.45 26.67 33.44 29.71 23.42 21.75 19.76 23.90 23.897
Earnings Yield 3.5% 3.7% 5.7% 5.4% 5.5% 7.2% 5.8% 6.7% 6.4% 3.4% 2.8% 2.7% 2.4% 2.6% 2.1% 2.5% 3.4% 3.4% 3.7% 3.2% 3.18%
FCF Yield 6.7% 6.8% 7.2% 6.9% 7.1% 6.5% 6.3% 7.4% 7.2% 6.5% 5.6% 5.4% 4.6% 4.7% 3.6% 4.2% 5.7% 6.2% 7.1% 5.5% 5.46%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 2.053
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 3.109
EV/OCF snapshot only 23.897
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 19.502
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 29.865
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 3.91%
Graham Number snapshot only $62.13
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Current Ratio 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.11 0.66 0.28 0.21 0.16 0.12 1.11 0.61 0.26 0.20 1.07 1.26 0.30 0.15 0.09 0.08 0.09 0.090
Quick Ratio 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.11 0.66 0.28 0.21 0.16 0.12 1.11 0.61 0.26 0.20 1.07 1.26 -23.73 0.15 0.09 0.08 0.09 0.090
Debt/Equity 0.86 0.87 0.83 0.88 0.92 0.90 0.92 0.97 0.96 1.02 0.92 0.88 0.87 0.69 0.82 0.84 0.88 0.90 0.93 0.95 0.955
Net Debt/Equity 0.86 0.86 0.83 0.88 0.89 0.89 0.91 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.90 0.87 0.86 0.65 0.77 0.83 0.87 0.89 0.93 0.95 0.946
Debt/Assets 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.48 0.48 0.49 0.46 0.45 0.45 0.39 0.42 0.43 0.44 0.45 0.46 0.46 0.461
Debt/EBITDA 10.81 10.43 5.31 4.94 4.55 5.19 4.83 5.07 5.07 5.07 4.82 4.68 4.48 3.78 6.07 6.34 6.70 6.67 5.08 4.93 4.935
Net Debt/EBITDA 10.76 10.35 5.26 4.91 4.44 5.14 4.79 5.02 5.04 4.83 4.70 4.65 4.42 3.54 5.69 6.23 6.63 6.62 5.05 4.89 4.887
Interest Coverage 6.69 6.66 6.81 6.77 6.72 7.03 5.57 5.47 5.27 4.23 4.17 4.39 4.82 5.46 2.51 2.26 2.02 2.04 4.46 4.27 4.267
Equity Multiplier 1.92 1.93 1.89 1.93 1.98 1.96 1.98 2.02 2.02 2.08 1.99 1.93 1.93 1.78 1.94 1.95 1.98 2.01 2.04 2.07 2.069
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.041
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 6.021
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.010
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.177
Defensive Interval snapshot only 81.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Asset Turnover 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.150
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.08 — — — 0.10 0.096
Receivables Turnover 61.77 59.94 57.64 52.58 52.26 49.72 46.41 44.37 45.68 37.08 37.07 41.39 45.38 39.41 42.09 46.78 48.55 47.84 46.46 49.07 49.071
Payables Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DSO 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 10 10 9 8 9 9 8 8 8 8 7 7.4 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4634 0 0 0 3803 3802.6 days
DPO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Cash Conversion Cycle 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 10 10 9 8 9 9 4642 8 8 8 3810 —
Operating Cycle snapshot only 3810.0 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 32.267
Capital Intensity snapshot only 6.977
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Revenue 2.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.3% 3.2% 2.6% 2.5% 3.8% 2.7% 5.1% 7.5% 9.7% 16.4% 22.7% 30.9% 38.8% 44.0% 45.7% 39.6% 31.7% 31.67%
Net Income 1.4% 44.9% 1.1% 88.6% 60.8% 1.3% 25.2% 25.8% 22.9% -50.1% -41.4% -37.7% -28.4% 41.2% 64.5% 69.5% 69.0% 44.5% 22.5% 27.3% 27.32%
EPS 1.4% 44.5% 1.1% 88.2% 60.6% 1.3% 25.1% 25.5% 22.2% -50.8% -44.0% -42.1% -34.8% 26.5% 46.1% 52.7% 54.6% 34.0% 17.7% 25.0% 25.02%
FCF 3.9% -2.0% 5.5% 7.0% 8.0% 10.9% 6.3% 8.0% 5.6% 4.2% 7.2% 11.1% 23.0% 36.1% 45.1% 47.1% 46.4% 43.5% 35.3% 27.6% 27.60%
EBITDA -40.9% -43.7% 1.2% 1.4% 1.6% 1.2% 25.4% 12.3% -1.4% 22.1% 12.3% 16.6% 28.7% 28.8% 0.9% -3.5% -11.5% -16.3% 45.0% 49.6% 49.63%
Op. Income 89.3% 40.1% 59.0% 46.7% 32.8% 77.5% 21.7% 22.6% 20.5% -39.3% -29.6% -27.4% -20.5% 30.3% 42.4% 49.4% 52.9% 46.7% 39.8% 32.4% 32.43%
OCF Growth snapshot only 27.60%
Asset Growth snapshot only 9.13%
Equity Growth snapshot only 2.60%
Debt Growth snapshot only 16.55%
Shares Change snapshot only 1.84%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 34.82%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Revenue 3Y 15.3% 14.3% 13.7% 12.5% 11.4% 8.5% 6.1% 4.5% 2.9% 3.2% 4.0% 5.2% 7.2% 9.8% 13.0% 16.5% 19.9% 23.4% 25.3% 26.1% 26.09%
Revenue 5Y 15.2% 14.9% 14.3% 13.6% 12.9% 11.9% 11.1% 10.9% 10.2% 10.0% 10.1% 10.1% 10.5% 10.5% 10.9% 11.7% 12.8% 14.4% 15.5% 16.3% 16.32%
EPS 3Y -1.0% -1.2% 12.7% 13.2% 12.3% 46.3% 44.5% 49.6% 68.4% 17.3% 14.4% 11.0% 8.6% 12.3% 0.8% 3.5% 7.2% -5.8% -1.3% 3.4% 3.39%
EPS 5Y 6.3% 7.0% 13.9% 13.6% 13.3% 20.9% 16.2% 15.4% 13.7% 1.5% 0.0% 1.1% 2.5% 14.3% 19.8% 24.2% 36.9% 22.3% 20.8% 21.2% 21.16%
Net Income 3Y 8.3% 7.8% 22.4% 20.5% 16.1% 46.9% 44.8% 50.0% 68.9% 18.0% 16.3% 14.0% 12.3% 17.0% 6.5% 10.0% 14.1% 0.6% 5.7% 10.4% 10.40%
Net Income 5Y 15.0% 15.7% 22.8% 22.0% 21.4% 29.3% 23.9% 22.5% 20.2% 7.2% 6.1% 6.5% 6.6% 17.4% 23.9% 28.9% 42.3% 27.4% 25.9% 26.1% 26.14%
EBITDA 3Y -6.0% -6.1% 33.4% 35.8% 38.1% 34.9% 18.2% 16.0% 14.2% 14.8% 45.3% 46.6% 48.1% 51.3% 12.4% 8.1% 3.9% 9.6% 18.0% 19.0% 18.97%
EBITDA 5Y 15.0% 14.6% 29.6% 31.5% 32.9% 28.2% 18.0% 17.3% 15.9% 17.4% 27.3% 26.8% 27.3% 31.0% 13.4% 11.9% 11.2% 10.3% 35.0% 35.4% 35.41%
Gross Profit 3Y 14.3% 13.5% 12.8% 11.4% 10.1% 7.0% 4.5% 3.2% 1.8% 2.3% 3.5% 4.9% 7.3% 10.2% 14.4% 18.7% 23.2% 27.5% 30.0% 30.9% 30.92%
Gross Profit 5Y 14.2% 14.2% 13.8% 13.2% 12.7% 11.5% 10.5% 10.2% 9.4% 9.1% 9.1% 9.1% 9.7% 10.1% 11.3% 12.6% 14.2% 16.4% 17.7% 18.7% 18.66%
Op. Income 3Y 16.5% 15.3% 22.8% 21.5% 20.4% 44.0% 40.4% 41.5% 44.7% 14.7% 10.9% 9.3% 8.4% 12.0% 6.9% 10.0% 13.6% 5.1% 11.9% 12.8% 12.82%
Op. Income 5Y 18.0% 17.3% 21.8% 21.5% 21.0% 27.7% 23.3% 22.1% 20.4% 10.5% 9.7% 9.8% 10.8% 18.7% 22.6% 25.2% 29.8% 23.6% 22.1% 20.9% 20.90%
FCF 3Y 14.6% 12.5% 12.1% 11.5% 10.9% 12.2% 7.3% 10.2% 5.8% 4.2% 6.3% 8.7% 11.9% 16.3% 18.3% 20.8% 23.9% 26.7% 28.2% 27.7% 27.75%
FCF 5Y 8.9% 0.8% 16.8% 15.7% 15.5% 14.3% 13.8% 12.8% 11.4% 10.5% 9.9% 10.7% 12.1% 14.9% 14.0% 17.0% 16.4% 17.2% 18.7% 19.2% 19.22%
OCF 3Y 14.6% 12.5% 12.1% 11.5% 10.9% 12.2% 7.3% 10.2% 5.8% 4.2% 6.3% 8.7% 11.9% 16.3% 18.3% 20.8% 23.9% 26.7% 28.2% 27.7% 27.75%
OCF 5Y 18.2% 16.7% 16.8% 15.7% 15.5% 14.3% 13.8% 12.8% 11.4% 10.5% 9.9% 10.7% 12.1% 14.9% 14.0% 17.0% 16.4% 17.2% 18.7% 19.2% 19.22%
Assets 3Y 23.6% 22.5% 22.4% 17.4% 5.6% 2.9% 3.1% 4.0% 3.5% 6.5% 6.8% 8.4% 10.4% 13.5% 19.0% 19.5% 20.0% 20.1% 20.4% 19.3% 19.35%
Assets 5Y 20.9% 20.5% 20.0% 19.2% 18.3% 18.7% 17.9% 17.0% 16.1% 17.4% 17.4% 15.0% 8.7% 8.0% 11.2% 11.9% 12.4% 13.3% 13.8% 13.8% 13.78%
Equity 3Y 21.5% 20.4% 19.6% 11.9% -1.6% 0.5% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 3.3% 5.4% 8.1% 10.2% 16.6% 18.0% 19.3% 19.9% 19.1% 19.3% 18.4% 18.40%
Book Value 3Y 11.1% 10.4% 10.1% 5.1% -4.8% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 2.7% 3.8% 5.3% 6.6% 11.8% 11.7% 12.3% 12.6% 11.5% 11.5% 10.9% 10.89%
Dividend 3Y -7.3% -7.5% -7.6% -6.0% -3.1% -0.2% -0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% -0.1% 0.4% 2.5% 4.6% 6.7% 5.9% 4.1% 4.09%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Revenue Stability 0.95 0.97 0.96 0.94 0.92 0.92 0.90 0.88 0.83 0.85 0.88 0.92 0.94 0.90 0.80 0.71 0.66 0.67 0.72 0.77 0.766
Earnings Stability 0.20 0.69 0.52 0.52 0.41 0.56 0.70 0.69 0.61 0.35 0.42 0.46 0.50 0.38 0.54 0.64 0.77 0.48 0.55 0.66 0.663
Margin Stability 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.948
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.82 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.90 0.90 0.91 0.50 0.83 0.85 0.89 0.84 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.82 0.91 0.89 0.891
Earnings Smoothness 0.16 0.63 0.27 0.39 0.53 0.22 0.78 0.77 0.79 0.33 0.48 0.54 0.67 0.66 0.51 0.48 0.49 0.64 0.80 0.76 0.760
ROE Trend 0.02 0.02 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.09 0.05 0.04 0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.027
Gross Margin Trend -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.049
FCF Margin Trend -0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.01 -0.00 -0.002
Sustainable Growth Rate -2.8% -2.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 5.8% 3.4% 3.4% 3.0% -2.0% -2.3% -1.9% -1.3% -0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% -0.5% -1.3% -0.5% -0.53%
Internal Growth Rate — — 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 3.1% 1.8% 1.7% 1.5% — — — — — 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.93 1.86 1.27 1.29 1.30 0.91 1.08 1.11 1.11 1.89 1.97 1.98 1.91 1.82 1.74 1.71 1.66 1.81 1.92 1.72 1.718
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.718
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.873
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.000
Accruals Ratio -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.036
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.103
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.631
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Dividend Yield 5.0% 5.0% 5.1% 4.8% 4.9% 4.4% 4.2% 4.9% 4.9% 4.4% 3.8% 3.5% 2.8% 2.6% 2.0% 2.4% 3.3% 3.6% 4.3% 3.3% 3.29%
Dividend/Share $2.66 $2.66 $2.66 $2.66 $2.67 $2.67 $2.66 $2.71 $2.75 $2.78 $2.76 $2.76 $2.78 $2.81 $2.92 $3.21 $3.51 $3.86 $4.09 $4.33 $4.38
Payout Ratio 1.4% 1.4% 90.0% 90.0% 89.4% 60.7% 72.1% 72.9% 75.5% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.0% 96.7% 97.6% 95.6% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.05%
FCF Payout Ratio 74.1% 73.9% 70.8% 69.6% 68.9% 66.9% 66.9% 65.7% 67.7% 67.8% 67.7% 64.9% 61.1% 56.3% 55.6% 57.0% 57.6% 58.1% 59.8% 61.3% 61.30%
Total Payout Ratio 5.6% 5.4% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 60.7% 72.2% 73.0% 95.9% 4.6% 4.7% 4.4% 3.7% 1.0% 97.1% 97.9% 95.8% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.23%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.09 0.08 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.09 0.10 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.16 0.21 0.32 0.41 0.52 0.50 0.41 0.406
Buyback Yield 14.4% 14.9% 1.6% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 11.4% 9.6% 8.5% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 0.56%
Net Buyback Yield 14.2% 14.9% 1.6% 1.5% 1.5% -0.0% -0.0% -0.5% 0.8% 7.9% 4.0% 0.9% -1.9% -11.1% -8.6% -8.3% -8.8% -4.3% -2.2% -0.8% -0.77%
Total Shareholder Return 19.2% 19.9% 6.7% 6.3% 6.4% 4.4% 4.2% 4.3% 5.6% 12.3% 7.8% 4.4% 0.9% -8.5% -6.5% -5.9% -5.5% -0.6% 2.1% 2.6% 2.58%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.92 0.86 0.71 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.71 0.79 0.85 0.92 0.90 0.83 0.94 0.937
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.29 0.30 0.44 0.43 0.44 0.60 0.62 0.67 0.72 0.65 0.71 0.71 0.70 0.69 1.50 1.63 1.81 1.72 0.78 0.77 0.766
EBIT Margin 0.89 0.91 0.94 0.94 0.93 1.00 0.81 0.80 0.78 0.62 0.60 0.60 0.63 0.67 0.29 0.25 0.21 0.21 0.46 0.46 0.462
Asset Turnover 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.150
Equity Multiplier 1.91 1.91 1.90 1.93 1.95 1.94 1.94 1.98 2.00 2.02 1.99 1.97 1.97 1.91 1.96 1.94 1.96 1.90 1.99 2.01 2.008
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.86 $1.94 $2.95 $2.96 $2.98 $4.39 $3.69 $3.72 $3.64 $2.16 $2.07 $2.15 $2.38 $2.74 $3.02 $3.29 $3.67 $3.67 $3.56 $4.11 $4.11
Book Value/Share $28.82 $28.73 $29.41 $29.26 $29.19 $30.51 $30.46 $30.63 $30.31 $31.71 $32.45 $33.76 $34.87 $40.19 $40.95 $41.45 $41.70 $42.25 $42.18 $41.76 $45.34
Tangible Book/Share $28.58 $28.50 $29.16 $29.02 $28.94 $30.28 $30.18 $30.34 $30.05 $31.40 $32.16 $33.46 $34.57 $39.88 $40.58 $41.11 $41.39 $41.98 $41.94 $41.54 $41.54
Revenue/Share $7.13 $7.16 $7.22 $7.26 $7.35 $7.34 $7.40 $7.52 $7.51 $7.61 $7.60 $7.66 $7.96 $8.37 $8.84 $9.58 $10.49 $11.30 $11.86 $12.38 $12.07
FCF/Share $3.59 $3.60 $3.75 $3.83 $3.87 $3.99 $3.98 $4.12 $4.06 $4.10 $4.08 $4.25 $4.55 $4.99 $5.26 $5.63 $6.09 $6.64 $6.83 $7.06 $6.96
OCF/Share $3.59 $3.60 $3.75 $3.83 $3.87 $3.99 $3.98 $4.12 $4.06 $4.10 $4.08 $4.25 $4.55 $4.99 $5.26 $5.63 $6.09 $6.64 $6.83 $7.06 $6.96
Cash/Share $0.10 $0.19 $0.19 $0.13 $0.66 $0.23 $0.25 $0.30 $0.14 $1.55 $0.74 $0.18 $0.39 $1.72 $2.08 $0.60 $0.39 $0.26 $0.28 $0.38 $0.29
EBITDA/Share $2.30 $2.40 $4.62 $5.21 $5.87 $5.28 $5.79 $5.84 $5.76 $6.36 $6.21 $6.33 $6.75 $7.34 $5.56 $5.50 $5.46 $5.69 $7.75 $8.08 $8.08
Debt/Share $24.84 $25.03 $24.50 $25.74 $26.72 $27.40 $27.96 $29.61 $29.17 $32.26 $29.93 $29.62 $30.23 $27.72 $33.75 $34.84 $36.59 $37.98 $39.39 $39.87 $39.87
Net Debt/Share $24.74 $24.84 $24.30 $25.61 $26.06 $27.17 $27.71 $29.32 $29.03 $30.71 $29.19 $29.44 $29.84 $26.00 $31.66 $34.24 $36.21 $37.71 $39.11 $39.49 $39.49
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.035
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 2.904
Piotroski F-Score 6 7 8 5 6 4 5 6 5 4 6 6 7 7 8 8 7 6 6 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.37 -2.56 -2.55 -2.22 -2.32 -2.06 -1.97 -2.36 -2.38 -2.22 -2.41 -2.40 -2.41 -2.55 -2.38 -2.25 -2.12 -2.16 -2.29 -2.40 -2.400
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.147
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-41.04
EVA snapshot only $-239397694.61
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB+
Credit Score 40.17 38.91 42.18 42.93 44.62 44.65 42.58 40.94 41.05 42.99 39.63 37.33 47.11 64.35 52.65 37.20 30.82 31.98 37.71 49.33 49.326
Credit Grade snapshot only 11
Credit Trend snapshot only 12.126
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 400.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 49
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 62

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