— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: LUG.TO (TSX) · $vol 39M · LUG.ST (STO) · $vol 8M · 0R4M.L (LSE) · $vol 0M

LUGDF OTC

Lundin Gold Inc.
1W: -5.0% 1M: -11.2% 3M: +8.6% YTD: -19.9% 1Y: -0.4% 3Y: +520.3% 5Y: +802.2%
$61.53
+0.57 (+0.94%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.7%
$56 $59 $62 $64 $67
OTC · Basic Materials · Gold · Tech Score Sell · Power 39 · $14.9B mcap · 99M float · 0.054% daily turnover · Short 63% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 3Hold: 2Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
2
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. LUGDF receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/E (2/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-03-20 B B+
2026-03-19 B+ B
2026-03-12 B B+
2026-03-11 B+ B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 89 Grade A+
Profitability
100
Balance Sheet
90
Earnings Quality
71
Growth
88
Value
71
Momentum
97
Safety
100
Cash Flow
89
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. LUGDF scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Earnings Quality (71/100). An overall grade of A+ places LUGDF among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
11.18
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.17
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.66
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA
Score: 89.0/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 1.15x
Accruals: -8.7%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. LUGDF scores 11.18, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. LUGDF scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. LUGDF's score of -2.17 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. LUGDF's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. LUGDF receives an estimated rating of AA (score: 89.0/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). LUGDF's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
15.95x
PEG
0.32x
P/S
7.39x
P/B
27.45x
P/FCF
13.15x
P/OCF
12.05x
EV/EBITDA
8.56x
EV/Revenue
6.17x
EV/EBIT
9.42x
EV/FCF
12.63x
Earnings Yield
7.22%
FCF Yield
7.61%
Shareholder Yield
7.36%
Graham Number
$13.89
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 16.0x earnings, LUGDF trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 7.2% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $13.89 per share, 343% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.673
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.052
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.655
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.248
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.744
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
100.8%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. LUGDF's ROE of 100.8% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.248), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$147.60
Price/Value
0.36x
Margin of Safety
64.01%
Premium
-64.01%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with LUGDF's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. LUGDF actually compounded EPS at 103.4% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. LUGDF trades at a -64% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $147.60, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 16.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$61.53
Median 1Y
$76.85
5th Pctile
$34.82
95th Pctile
$171.68
Ann. Volatility
50.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 27.7% 31.6% 20.9% 20.1% 20.0% 8.8% 11.8% 11.9% 10.7% 19.9% 18.3% 22.9% 29.4% 39.2% 47.3% 52.3% 55.5% 61.6% 68.5% 1.0% 1.01%
ROA 12.4% 13.9% 9.8% 10.1% 10.4% 4.4% 6.4% 6.9% 6.4% 11.4% 11.4% 15.6% 21.4% 28.4% 34.5% 40.8% 45.6% 47.9% 53.0% 57.8% 57.79%
ROIC 23.2% 23.0% 24.8% 21.6% 22.1% 14.3% 16.5% 19.8% 20.2% 29.5% 25.6% 30.2% 41.9% 54.9% 66.9% 82.3% 86.0% 1.1% 1.4% 23.9% 23.94%
ROCE 20.1% 21.9% 18.9% 20.9% 24.1% 19.3% 21.0% 21.6% 19.0% 23.8% 22.6% 53.0% 56.9% 67.3% 73.5% 65.2% 71.7% 80.3% 94.2% 1.1% 1.05%
Gross Margin 46.9% 49.2% 51.4% 46.4% 42.3% 43.7% 51.7% 51.2% 47.8% 39.8% 50.2% 57.0% 73.5% 72.8% 65.5% 77.2% 64.7% 67.2% 74.1% 66.8% 66.84%
Operating Margin 46.9% 39.6% 51.4% 46.4% 56.5% 39.1% 47.2% 51.2% 47.8% 39.8% 41.9% 57.0% 68.7% 64.5% 59.2% 70.7% 62.0% 62.5% 68.9% 66.5% 66.45%
Net Margin 29.7% 15.4% 10.7% 31.5% 31.6% -32.4% 20.0% 25.9% 25.8% 5.6% 18.6% 39.6% 42.0% 37.8% 43.1% 43.4% 46.5% 44.5% 48.2% 46.0% 46.03%
EBITDA Margin 57.6% 29.7% 46.3% 69.5% 72.5% -4.1% 50.0% 56.7% 57.1% 27.8% 51.2% 64.3% 69.5% 68.8% 69.1% 71.6% 71.2% 69.3% 74.7% 72.5% 72.51%
FCF Margin 45.2% 49.2% 51.2% 43.5% 45.2% 46.3% 46.6% 54.4% 55.4% 50.4% 45.9% 41.0% 44.4% 47.6% 49.7% 51.8% 47.7% 52.6% 56.0% 48.8% 48.81%
OCF Margin 55.0% 57.0% 58.0% 50.4% 51.4% 53.0% 52.5% 59.9% 60.9% 55.8% 52.1% 47.0% 51.2% 54.5% 56.6% 58.3% 52.9% 57.5% 60.2% 53.3% 53.26%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 80.01%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 53.98%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 37.42%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.19%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 1.75%
Cash ROA snapshot only 66.80%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 29.11%
CROIC snapshot only 26.68%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 43.81%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 68.86%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 2.46%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.22%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 7.76 7.28 10.68 8.44 8.25 26.80 23.17 22.55 23.40 14.82 17.56 13.85 15.18 10.95 12.77 19.14 21.61 24.15 19.50 13.86 15.954
P/S Ratio 2.02 2.20 2.09 1.80 1.81 2.45 2.80 2.70 2.55 2.94 3.41 3.36 4.47 3.91 5.19 7.99 9.29 10.73 8.92 6.42 7.387
P/B Ratio 1.89 1.98 2.00 1.53 1.53 2.31 2.66 2.66 2.46 2.78 3.07 2.98 4.08 3.84 5.27 9.03 11.20 14.07 13.07 23.74 27.448
P/FCF 4.47 4.47 4.09 4.14 3.99 5.30 5.99 4.97 4.59 5.83 7.43 8.19 10.08 8.22 10.44 15.42 19.45 20.38 15.93 13.15 13.147
P/OCF 3.67 3.86 3.60 3.57 3.51 4.63 5.32 4.51 4.18 5.27 6.54 7.15 8.73 7.18 9.17 13.70 17.55 18.67 14.82 12.05 12.049
EV/EBITDA 5.34 5.14 5.55 4.38 3.94 6.26 6.66 6.42 6.30 5.92 6.99 6.30 7.56 5.61 7.13 10.95 12.76 14.76 11.93 8.56 8.562
EV/Revenue 2.70 2.81 2.56 2.21 2.14 2.80 3.06 2.84 2.58 2.88 3.42 3.27 4.25 3.62 4.85 7.65 8.98 10.38 8.56 6.17 6.165
EV/EBIT 7.54 6.84 7.87 6.06 5.28 9.46 9.91 9.67 9.88 8.55 10.09 5.05 6.32 4.89 6.30 12.57 14.48 16.54 13.21 9.42 9.417
EV/FCF 5.98 5.71 5.01 5.08 4.73 6.04 6.55 5.21 4.66 5.71 7.44 7.96 9.59 7.61 9.75 14.77 18.80 19.71 15.30 12.63 12.630
Earnings Yield 12.9% 13.7% 9.4% 11.9% 12.1% 3.7% 4.3% 4.4% 4.3% 6.7% 5.7% 7.2% 6.6% 9.1% 7.8% 5.2% 4.6% 4.1% 5.1% 7.2% 7.22%
FCF Yield 22.4% 22.4% 24.5% 24.2% 25.1% 18.9% 16.7% 20.1% 21.8% 17.2% 13.5% 12.2% 9.9% 12.2% 9.6% 6.5% 5.1% 4.9% 6.3% 7.6% 7.61%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.315
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 23.739
EV/OCF snapshot only 11.576
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 8.999
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 9.466
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 7.36%
Graham Number snapshot only $13.89
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.42 1.70 1.80 1.81 1.78 1.44 2.13 1.99 2.23 2.85 3.08 1.97 3.83 3.13 3.40 3.32 3.23 2.53 2.26 2.27 2.271
Quick Ratio 1.20 1.43 1.55 1.49 1.49 1.24 1.73 1.66 1.89 2.38 2.62 1.66 3.18 2.72 3.02 2.95 2.88 2.29 2.05 1.99 1.985
Debt/Equity 0.92 0.88 0.85 0.68 0.61 0.75 0.49 0.43 0.35 0.23 0.34 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Net Debt/Equity 0.64 0.55 0.45 0.35 0.28 0.32 0.25 0.13 0.03 -0.05 0.00 -0.08 -0.20 -0.29 -0.35 -0.38 -0.37 -0.46 -0.52 -0.93 -0.932
Debt/Assets 0.44 0.42 0.41 0.37 0.35 0.38 0.29 0.26 0.22 0.15 0.22 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Debt/EBITDA 1.94 1.78 1.92 1.59 1.33 1.78 1.11 0.99 0.89 0.49 0.76 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.35 1.12 1.02 0.81 0.62 0.77 0.57 0.30 0.09 -0.12 0.01 -0.18 -0.38 -0.45 -0.50 -0.48 -0.44 -0.50 -0.49 -0.35 -0.350
Interest Coverage 5.43 5.89 3.96 3.36 3.33 0.99 1.11 1.18 1.07 3.55 3.95 1.95 2.45 3.31 4.00 — — — — — —
Equity Multiplier 2.08 2.07 2.05 1.83 1.77 1.96 1.66 1.63 1.59 1.54 1.55 1.33 1.19 1.26 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.31 1.34 2.95 2.949
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.450
Defensive Interval snapshot only 3661.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.48 0.46 0.50 0.47 0.48 0.48 0.53 0.57 0.58 0.58 0.59 0.64 0.73 0.80 0.85 0.98 1.06 1.08 1.16 1.25 1.248
Inventory Turnover 5.46 5.21 5.06 4.63 4.95 4.97 5.11 5.10 5.18 5.24 5.01 5.48 5.25 4.74 4.77 4.72 5.53 6.17 6.37 6.71 6.714
Receivables Turnover 9.00 7.74 8.96 8.85 7.87 8.79 8.25 9.78 9.56 10.09 7.70 8.27 9.34 9.58 9.20 10.69 10.58 10.07 11.71 14.33 14.331
Payables Turnover 13.99 27.16 8.18 8.11 10.77 31.19 7.90 7.21 7.72 30.31 12.63 11.28 11.89 24.05 31.59 23.85 34.24 33.38 34.96 30.04 30.043
DSO 41 47 41 41 46 42 44 37 38 36 47 44 39 38 40 34 34 36 31 25 25.5 days
DIO 67 70 72 79 74 73 71 72 70 70 73 67 70 77 77 77 66 59 57 54 54.4 days
DPO 26 13 45 45 34 12 46 51 47 12 29 32 31 15 12 15 11 11 10 12 12.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 81 104 68 75 86 103 70 58 61 94 91 78 78 100 105 96 90 84 78 68 67.7 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.650
Operating Cycle snapshot only 79.8 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 3.968
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.797
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3.4% 1.0% 75.6% 16.1% 5.9% 9.6% 4.2% 18.0% 18.1% 12.6% 3.6% 2.3% 13.7% 31.7% 51.3% 58.2% 52.3% 49.8% 51.0% 36.3% 36.34%
Net Income 3.2% 5.7% 2.3% 1.3% -10.9% -66.8% -35.8% -33.8% -41.3% 1.4% 66.8% 1.1% 2.1% 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 1.2% 86.2% 69.9% 51.3% 51.33%
EPS 3.2% 5.7% 2.3% 1.3% -10.9% -66.8% -35.8% -34.4% -42.0% 1.4% 64.7% 1.1% 2.0% 1.4% 2.1% 1.7% 1.2% 85.4% 69.3% 49.5% 49.54%
FCF 4.0% 5.9% 2.4% 23.3% 6.0% 3.2% -5.1% 47.6% 44.7% 22.6% 1.9% -22.8% -9.0% 24.4% 63.8% 99.7% 63.9% 65.6% 70.0% 28.5% 28.47%
EBITDA 849.5% 11.2% 1.4% 22.7% 13.6% -10.4% 3.5% 3.3% -10.9% 22.6% 10.3% 20.1% 56.0% 74.7% 1.1% 1.1% 90.4% 63.3% 59.3% 40.5% 40.51%
Op. Income 4.8% 1.1% 74.8% 7.4% 5.8% 14.9% 3.5% 23.4% 12.8% 9.1% -0.3% 0.8% 32.2% 67.2% 1.1% 1.2% 81.2% 60.8% 59.9% 34.5% 34.45%
OCF Growth snapshot only 24.55%
Asset Growth snapshot only -1.02%
Equity Growth snapshot only -58.34%
Shares Change snapshot only 1.20%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 1.49%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — 1.8% 1.6% 76.0% 36.2% 23.7% 11.9% 12.4% 17.6% 17.8% 24.1% 26.9% 30.5% 33.3% 30.2% 30.22%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.0% 96.7% 56.6% 37.9% 34.1% 24.8% 24.78%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — 51.6% 11.0% 16.4% 23.6% 49.2% 54.5% 57.6% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 1.03%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 79.3% 41.1% 41.08%
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — 52.2% 11.6% 17.2% 24.4% 50.2% 55.2% 58.9% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 1.04%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 80.1% 41.8% 41.77%
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — 8.5% 1.4% 39.1% 15.0% 16.5% 24.3% 34.0% 38.3% 38.3% 51.8% 54.7% 53.2% 53.24%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.8% 1.1% 55.3% 35.5% 35.48%
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — 2.4% 2.4% 82.9% 36.1% 22.5% 11.2% 18.2% 29.4% 30.3% 41.8% 44.6% 49.2% 53.5% 47.0% 46.99%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.4% 1.5% 72.4% 48.1% 44.3% 32.5% 32.54%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — 90.1% 37.6% 21.7% 10.1% 16.4% 28.0% 28.9% 39.7% 39.3% 43.2% 49.1% 43.8% 43.76%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 75.1% 47.6% 43.1% 31.6% 31.55%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — 1.1% 48.4% 12.0% 11.8% 16.3% 16.6% 31.5% 29.2% 36.2% 41.6% 25.6% 25.61%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 78.0% 55.6% 29.2% 29.25%
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — 2.5% 65.5% 37.6% 9.3% 9.8% 15.9% 16.8% 30.3% 28.1% 34.0% 39.4% 25.2% 25.24%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.3% 55.9% 47.0% 26.1% 26.12%
Assets 3Y 17.4% 18.5% 17.7% 7.4% 6.7% 5.8% 1.5% 2.4% 1.5% -0.8% 0.1% -4.3% -5.8% -3.2% -2.4% -0.9% 0.1% 2.2% 7.7% 2.0% 2.03%
Assets 5Y 40.3% 43.3% 42.5% 29.3% 30.4% 28.2% 8.2% 8.7% 8.5% 7.7% 7.2% 0.8% 0.3% 1.6% 2.8% 2.8% 2.4% 3.5% 4.0% 0.1% 0.15%
Equity 3Y 9.0% 10.8% 11.3% 17.2% 21.0% 22.2% 18.3% 17.7% 16.9% 17.7% 13.2% 12.8% 13.4% 14.3% 15.4% 12.7% 12.8% 16.9% 15.4% -16.3% -16.27%
Book Value 3Y 9.0% 10.8% 11.3% 17.2% 21.0% 22.2% 18.3% 17.4% 16.5% 17.2% 12.7% 12.2% 12.7% 13.6% 14.6% 12.3% 11.9% 16.0% 14.5% -16.7% -16.69%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — 17.7% 28.8% 11.6% 0.7% 17.8% 13.8% 25.4% 57.2% 61.4% 65.3% 64.0% 35.4% 35.45%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.55 0.66 0.70 0.71 0.77 0.84 0.86 0.86 0.89 0.95 0.90 0.88 0.90 0.93 0.90 0.93 0.95 0.92 0.86 0.83 0.826
Earnings Stability 0.25 0.34 0.48 0.41 0.51 0.37 0.58 0.48 0.49 0.55 0.64 0.63 0.72 0.78 0.78 0.73 0.73 0.77 0.77 0.73 0.734
Margin Stability — — 0.71 0.59 0.94 0.97 0.76 0.67 0.94 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.91 0.83 0.71 0.62 0.80 0.81 0.79 0.80 0.797
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.86 0.86 0.83 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — 0.00 0.99 0.89 0.00 0.56 0.59 0.48 0.16 0.50 0.30 0.00 0.19 0.00 0.07 0.24 0.40 0.48 0.59 0.592
ROE Trend 0.41 0.44 0.26 0.21 0.14 -0.01 -0.01 -0.08 -0.11 0.01 0.02 0.07 0.12 0.21 0.27 0.31 0.33 0.31 0.38 1.37 1.370
Gross Margin Trend — — 0.11 0.13 0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 0.00 0.01 -0.00 0.02 0.09 0.18 0.20 0.24 0.17 0.12 0.13 0.07 0.074
FCF Margin Trend — — 4.82 2.52 0.55 0.14 0.08 0.12 0.10 0.03 -0.03 -0.08 -0.06 -0.01 0.03 0.04 -0.02 0.04 0.08 0.02 0.024
Sustainable Growth Rate 27.7% 31.6% 20.9% 20.1% 14.9% 3.5% 3.9% 1.9% 3.0% 9.3% 8.0% 13.2% 17.9% 26.0% 30.4% 20.3% 13.6% 9.9% 3.2% -1.9% -1.92%
Internal Growth Rate 14.2% 16.1% 10.9% 11.3% 8.4% 1.8% 2.2% 1.1% 1.8% 5.6% 5.3% 9.9% 15.0% 23.2% 28.4% 18.8% 12.6% 8.4% 2.5% — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.11 1.89 2.96 2.36 2.35 5.79 4.35 5.00 5.59 2.81 2.68 1.94 1.74 1.53 1.39 1.40 1.23 1.29 1.32 1.15 1.150
FCF/OCF 0.82 0.86 0.88 0.86 0.88 0.87 0.89 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.88 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.88 0.89 0.90 0.92 0.93 0.92 0.917
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.054
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.740
CapEx/Revenue 9.8% 7.8% 6.8% 6.9% 6.2% 6.7% 5.9% 5.5% 5.4% 5.4% 6.2% 5.9% 6.9% 6.9% 6.9% 6.5% 5.2% 4.8% 4.2% 4.4% 4.45%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.680
Accruals Ratio -0.14 -0.12 -0.19 -0.14 -0.14 -0.21 -0.21 -0.27 -0.29 -0.21 -0.19 -0.15 -0.16 -0.15 -0.14 -0.16 -0.11 -0.14 -0.17 -0.09 -0.087
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.155
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.031
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.1% 2.2% 2.9% 3.7% 3.1% 3.6% 3.2% 3.1% 2.6% 3.1% 2.8% 3.2% 3.5% 3.5% 4.9% 7.4% 6.46%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.18 $0.19 $0.29 $0.38 $0.30 $0.40 $0.40 $0.40 $0.50 $0.59 $0.80 $1.57 $2.13 $2.74 $3.59 $3.91 $3.99
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 25.6% 60.2% 66.7% 84.3% 71.8% 53.3% 56.3% 42.3% 39.0% 33.7% 35.8% 61.1% 75.5% 83.9% 95.4% 1.0% 1.02%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.4% 11.9% 17.2% 18.6% 14.1% 20.9% 23.8% 25.0% 25.9% 25.3% 29.3% 49.2% 68.0% 70.8% 77.9% 96.7% 96.69%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 25.6% 62.0% 72.0% 94.7% 85.7% 60.3% 63.5% 45.1% 40.3% 34.7% 37.9% 62.9% 75.6% 85.2% 95.4% 1.0% 1.02%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — 0.68 1.20 0.44 0.07 0.70 0.53 1.04 2.96 3.34 3.66 3.57 1.60 1.596
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -1.1% -1.2% -1.1% -1.0% -0.8% -0.5% -0.2% -0.0% -0.0% -0.1% 0.1% 0.1% -0.0% -0.1% -0.0% -0.1% -0.1% -0.0% -0.1% -0.0% -0.03%
Total Shareholder Return -1.1% -1.2% -1.1% -1.0% 2.3% 1.7% 2.7% 3.7% 3.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.1% 2.5% 3.0% 2.8% 3.1% 3.3% 3.4% 4.8% 7.3% 7.32%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.83 0.86 0.79 0.74 0.69 0.41 0.46 0.47 0.46 0.63 0.63 0.66 0.68 0.67 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.70 0.70 0.67 0.673
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.87 0.85 0.76 0.79 0.78 0.75 0.85 0.87 0.90 0.93 0.91 0.57 0.64 0.72 0.77 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.05 1.052
EBIT Margin 0.36 0.41 0.33 0.36 0.41 0.30 0.31 0.29 0.26 0.34 0.34 0.65 0.67 0.74 0.77 0.61 0.62 0.63 0.65 0.65 0.655
Asset Turnover 0.48 0.46 0.50 0.47 0.48 0.48 0.53 0.57 0.58 0.58 0.59 0.64 0.73 0.80 0.85 0.98 1.06 1.08 1.16 1.25 1.248
Equity Multiplier 2.23 2.28 2.14 1.98 1.91 2.01 1.85 1.73 1.68 1.74 1.60 1.47 1.37 1.38 1.37 1.28 1.22 1.28 1.29 1.74 1.744
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.81 $0.93 $0.67 $0.69 $0.72 $0.31 $0.43 $0.46 $0.42 $0.75 $0.71 $0.94 $1.27 $1.76 $2.22 $2.56 $2.82 $3.27 $3.76 $3.83 $3.83
Book Value/Share $3.31 $3.44 $3.57 $3.84 $3.89 $3.60 $3.74 $3.87 $3.98 $3.99 $4.04 $4.36 $4.74 $5.03 $5.38 $5.44 $5.44 $5.61 $5.61 $2.24 $2.25
Tangible Book/Share $3.31 $3.44 $3.57 $3.84 $3.89 $3.60 $3.74 $3.87 $3.98 $3.99 $4.04 $4.36 $4.74 $5.03 $5.38 $5.44 $5.44 $5.61 $5.61 $2.24 $2.24
Revenue/Share $3.11 $3.09 $3.42 $3.26 $3.29 $3.39 $3.56 $3.81 $3.84 $3.78 $3.64 $3.87 $4.33 $4.93 $5.47 $6.14 $6.56 $7.36 $8.22 $8.28 $8.36
FCF/Share $1.40 $1.52 $1.75 $1.42 $1.49 $1.57 $1.66 $2.07 $2.13 $1.90 $1.67 $1.59 $1.92 $2.35 $2.72 $3.18 $3.13 $3.87 $4.60 $4.04 $4.06
OCF/Share $1.71 $1.76 $1.98 $1.64 $1.69 $1.80 $1.87 $2.28 $2.34 $2.11 $1.90 $1.82 $2.22 $2.69 $3.09 $3.58 $3.47 $4.23 $4.95 $4.41 $4.43
Cash/Share $0.94 $1.11 $1.42 $1.27 $1.28 $1.53 $0.89 $1.15 $1.26 $1.12 $1.35 $0.99 $0.93 $1.45 $1.87 $2.06 $2.03 $2.59 $2.90 $2.09 $2.10
EBITDA/Share $1.57 $1.69 $1.58 $1.64 $1.79 $1.52 $1.64 $1.68 $1.57 $1.84 $1.78 $2.00 $2.43 $3.18 $3.72 $4.29 $4.62 $5.17 $5.90 $5.96 $5.96
Debt/Share $3.06 $3.01 $3.04 $2.61 $2.38 $2.70 $1.81 $1.66 $1.40 $0.90 $1.36 $0.62 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Net Debt/Share $2.12 $1.90 $1.61 $1.34 $1.10 $1.17 $0.93 $0.51 $0.14 $-0.21 $0.01 $-0.36 $-0.93 $-1.45 $-1.87 $-2.06 $-2.03 $-2.59 $-2.90 $-2.09 $-2.09
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 11.181
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 19.140
Piotroski F-Score 8 8 8 7 7 6 8 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 6 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.35 -2.66 -2.88 -2.78 -3.41 -3.43 -3.75 -3.98 -4.12 -3.91 -3.51 -3.28 -3.39 -3.11 -3.04 -3.25 -2.62 -2.67 -2.63 -2.17 -2.173
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.656
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 1.09%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-1.09
EVA snapshot only $876786065.96
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA
Credit Score 67.50 70.65 67.50 67.50 67.50 56.25 72.25 73.75 73.75 85.50 85.50 80.25 80.00 83.75 83.75 89.00 89.00 89.00 89.00 89.00 89.000
Credit Grade snapshot only 3
Credit Trend snapshot only 0.000
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 80.000

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms