— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

LUNA OTC

Luna Innovations Incorporated
1W: -0.7% 1M: +1.5% 3M: +9.8% YTD: +16.5% 1Y: +41.0% 3Y: -78.5% 5Y: -87.3%
$1.34
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Technology · Hardware, Equipment & Parts · Tech Score Buy · Power 59 · $46.5M mcap · 34M float · 0.154% daily turnover · Short 49% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 3Hold: 2Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2023-05-22 Needham Alex Henderson Initiated $10 — +17.1% $8.54

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 32 Grade D
Profitability
21
Balance Sheet
49
Earnings Quality
43
Growth
44
Value
31
Momentum
44
Safety
65
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. LUNA scores highest in Safety (65/100) and lowest in Profitability (21/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.90
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-1.91
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.23
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB
Score: 41.4/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 6.32x
Accruals: 7.3%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. LUNA scores 2.90, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. LUNA scores 2/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. LUNA's score of -1.91 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. LUNA's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. LUNA receives an estimated rating of BB (score: 41.4/100), with a improving trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-76.57x
PEG
-0.77x
P/S
0.42x
P/B
0.47x
P/FCF
-12.99x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
34.28x
EV/Revenue
2.06x
EV/EBIT
544.09x
EV/FCF
-15.13x
Earnings Yield
-1.03%
FCF Yield
-7.70%
Shareholder Yield
0.24%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. LUNA currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.380
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-3.482
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.004
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.752
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.701
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-2.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. LUNA's ROE of -2.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.752), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.38 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$1.34
Median 1Y
$0.69
5th Pctile
$0.13
95th Pctile
$3.61
Ann. Volatility
98.2%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Scott A. Graeff
$450,000 $850,007 $1,717,672
Eugene Nestro
$325,000 $794,922 $1,279,612
Brian Soller
$290,000 $753,002 $1,168,756

CEO Pay Ratio

7:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $1,178,828
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $170,754
Employees: 337

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
337
-12.5% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$324,917
Rev: $109,497,000
Profit / Employee
$27,534
NI: $9,279,000
SGA / Employee
$170,754
Avg labor cost proxy
R&D / Employee
$32,157
Innovation spend

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
ROE 19.7% 21.0% 20.1% 6.6% 8.2% 4.7% 5.4% 7.9% 4.6% 5.7% 3.4% -0.3% 1.8% 0.4% -2.8% -1.8% -2.6% -2.9% -1.5% -2.3% -2.33%
ROA 15.5% 16.4% 16.0% 5.3% 6.6% 3.7% 4.2% 6.2% 3.0% 3.8% 2.3% -0.2% 1.1% 0.3% -1.7% -1.1% -1.6% -1.8% -0.9% -1.4% -1.37%
ROIC 9.5% 5.5% 4.9% 5.5% 10.5% 10.1% 10.3% 14.6% 5.1% 5.8% 0.8% -1.2% -0.7% -1.7% -2.7% -1.7% -2.3% -2.0% -0.5% -0.7% -0.72%
ROCE 1.7% 1.1% 2.3% 3.5% 5.3% 6.9% 7.2% 6.4% 4.0% 2.0% -1.8% -3.2% -2.7% -2.9% -3.3% -2.0% -1.5% -1.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.34%
Gross Margin 48.5% 45.6% 49.1% 50.4% 53.3% 48.8% 51.2% 52.0% 51.5% 51.1% 49.9% 61.9% 58.3% 63.5% 61.0% 58.0% 61.0% 59.8% 57.8% 57.4% 57.42%
Operating Margin 3.1% -6.1% 5.7% 8.1% 8.8% 2.3% 9.7% 10.7% 2.0% -3.0% -3.6% -0.0% 4.3% -10.5% -9.4% 5.1% 0.1% -8.5% -0.7% 3.8% 3.75%
Net Margin 6.9% 7.6% 4.7% 6.7% 11.0% -6.5% 7.4% 14.7% -0.2% -1.2% -0.8% 1.7% 6.5% -6.0% -11.2% 4.1% 2.7% -7.4% -5.5% 1.5% 1.50%
EBITDA Margin 4.0% -0.7% 9.2% 12.1% 12.6% 6.2% 13.4% 9.4% 5.5% -1.3% -3.2% 5.7% 8.7% -5.3% -3.4% 9.5% 12.7% -2.5% 3.4% 8.5% 8.53%
FCF Margin -8.7% -0.5% -1.2% 0.0% 5.7% 3.0% 4.3% 3.9% 2.2% -1.2% -1.5% 2.5% 2.7% 2.9% -2.6% -2.9% -10.5% -11.8% -12.6% -13.6% -13.63%
OCF Margin -7.4% 0.8% 0.2% 1.2% 6.8% 4.0% 5.1% 5.0% 3.5% 0.2% -0.1% 4.0% 4.5% 5.3% 0.3% -0.0% -7.8% -9.6% -10.4% -11.5% -11.51%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.43%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 1.91%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -0.84%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -0.70%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -0.70%
Cash ROA snapshot only -8.13%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -10.43%
CROIC snapshot only -12.35%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -0.80%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -1.32%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 9.53%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 46.80%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 3.62%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
P/E Ratio 8.54 11.65 12.88 44.96 43.95 64.56 52.29 35.23 98.56 80.73 136.98 -1248.70 205.60 696.34 -80.40 -100.02 -135.05 -87.63 -220.84 -97.17 -76.571
P/S Ratio 1.87 2.64 2.66 2.88 3.33 2.75 2.58 2.54 3.92 3.59 3.37 3.19 2.88 2.62 2.03 1.48 2.76 2.14 2.67 1.77 0.425
P/B Ratio 1.51 2.18 2.32 2.86 3.48 2.95 2.72 2.64 4.36 4.31 4.38 4.07 3.47 2.70 2.14 1.72 3.23 2.55 3.23 2.18 0.468
P/FCF -21.51 -522.51 -224.00 12770.47 58.90 91.02 59.70 65.07 180.61 -305.95 -221.05 129.19 104.66 89.78 -77.70 -51.24 -26.25 -18.11 -21.17 -12.99 -12.986
P/OCF — 345.25 1249.17 233.39 48.94 69.04 50.60 50.87 113.58 1467.21 — 80.45 63.38 49.29 639.70 — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA 28.19 63.69 44.18 38.64 34.34 23.68 19.91 21.06 48.12 63.20 166.81 247.69 143.51 227.43 178.60 60.53 68.79 50.38 47.14 34.28 34.282
EV/Revenue 1.04 2.18 2.27 2.57 3.02 2.40 2.23 2.21 4.06 3.83 3.57 3.28 2.92 2.80 2.26 1.66 2.96 2.37 2.94 2.06 2.062
EV/EBIT 47.23 153.17 83.71 70.93 57.66 36.34 29.65 32.39 83.74 172.21 -200.42 -108.35 -111.42 -79.34 -56.56 -75.77 -186.69 -185.75 517.86 544.09 544.088
EV/FCF -11.96 -431.44 -191.31 11399.14 53.46 79.55 51.64 56.61 187.05 -325.90 -234.06 132.52 106.25 96.10 -86.55 -57.46 -28.19 -20.10 -23.34 -15.13 -15.133
Earnings Yield 11.7% 8.6% 7.8% 2.2% 2.3% 1.5% 1.9% 2.8% 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% -0.1% 0.5% 0.1% -1.2% -1.0% -0.7% -1.1% -0.5% -1.0% -1.03%
FCF Yield -4.6% -0.2% -0.4% 0.0% 1.7% 1.1% 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% -0.3% -0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 1.1% -1.3% -2.0% -3.8% -5.5% -4.7% -7.7% -7.70%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 4.002
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.495
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.24%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Current Ratio 5.62 3.29 3.74 3.49 3.41 3.74 4.14 4.37 2.51 2.72 2.70 2.45 2.52 2.55 2.57 2.38 2.61 2.75 3.12 2.86 2.861
Quick Ratio 5.05 2.68 3.06 2.88 2.81 3.01 3.35 3.57 1.74 1.79 1.79 1.70 1.83 1.60 1.53 1.42 1.53 1.54 1.73 1.62 1.624
Debt/Equity 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.05 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.36 0.44 0.41 0.29 0.26 0.31 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.32 0.37 0.42 0.424
Net Debt/Equity -0.67 -0.38 -0.34 -0.31 -0.32 -0.37 -0.37 -0.34 0.16 0.28 0.26 0.10 0.05 0.19 0.24 0.21 0.24 0.28 0.33 0.36 0.360
Debt/Assets 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.21 0.26 0.25 0.18 0.16 0.20 0.19 0.18 0.19 0.20 0.22 0.24 0.243
Debt/EBITDA 0.39 0.14 0.49 0.34 0.54 0.15 0.11 0.15 3.86 5.99 14.80 17.32 10.67 24.18 22.38 9.36 6.01 5.66 4.84 5.72 5.721
Net Debt/EBITDA -22.50 -13.44 -7.55 -4.65 -3.49 -3.42 -3.11 -3.15 1.66 3.87 9.27 6.22 2.15 14.96 18.26 6.55 4.73 4.99 4.38 4.86 4.862
Interest Coverage 8.90 7.95 25.66 68.39 282.55 2310.43 1826.26 2603.11 160.48 12.15 -6.24 -7.63 -5.41 -7.47 -8.51 -4.10 -1.93 -1.24 0.40 0.22 0.219
Equity Multiplier 1.21 1.31 1.26 1.28 1.28 1.25 1.31 1.30 1.76 1.68 1.66 1.64 1.59 1.57 1.60 1.65 1.62 1.62 1.64 1.74 1.745
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.172
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 3.469
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.150
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.396
Defensive Interval snapshot only 280.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Asset Turnover 0.71 0.72 0.77 0.82 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.85 0.76 0.86 0.92 0.89 0.76 0.69 0.69 0.74 0.78 0.76 0.77 0.75 0.752
Inventory Turnover 4.08 3.52 3.62 4.40 4.12 3.40 3.44 3.47 2.43 2.43 2.69 2.54 1.96 1.47 1.29 1.41 1.46 1.31 1.29 1.26 1.263
Receivables Turnover 4.33 4.89 4.90 4.99 4.09 5.02 4.86 4.35 3.67 4.68 4.93 5.31 3.79 3.80 3.39 4.18 3.27 3.85 3.58 3.40 3.400
Payables Turnover 12.53 7.98 8.87 13.47 13.64 9.70 12.52 12.74 14.36 13.52 14.73 16.37 15.80 11.91 9.24 10.24 7.88 10.95 6.62 5.98 5.981
DSO 84 75 75 73 89 73 75 84 100 78 74 69 96 96 108 87 112 95 102 107 107.4 days
DIO 89 104 101 83 89 107 106 105 150 150 136 143 186 248 284 259 251 279 283 289 289.0 days
DPO 29 46 41 27 27 38 29 29 25 27 25 22 23 31 39 36 46 33 55 61 61.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 144 132 134 129 151 142 152 161 224 201 185 190 259 314 352 310 316 340 329 335 335.4 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 9.046
Operating Cycle snapshot only 396.4 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 19.345
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.416
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue -2.6% 4.4% 11.9% 29.6% 40.6% 37.9% 29.4% 18.0% 17.2% 26.1% 37.5% 31.8% 19.5% 3.4% -7.9% 1.5% 10.8% 18.0% 23.5% 14.3% 14.31%
Net Income -24.7% -25.7% -32.5% -60.6% -51.5% -74.1% -69.1% 33.0% -38.4% 31.9% -31.4% -1.0% -58.0% -91.3% -1.9% -4.9% -2.6% -8.7% 41.0% -40.3% -40.29%
EPS -14.7% -39.6% -36.8% -59.5% -57.7% -73.4% -68.0% 31.8% -39.6% 36.9% -29.2% -1.0% -59.0% -91.5% -1.9% -4.8% -2.6% -8.4% 43.0% -35.9% -35.85%
FCF -3.7% 92.3% 74.2% 1.0% 1.9% 9.2% 5.7% 203.6% -55.0% -1.5% -1.5% -16.6% 51.2% 3.6% -57.9% -2.2% -5.2% -5.8% -4.9% -4.4% -4.38%
EBITDA 63.1% 31.2% 1.4% 2.7% 2.3% 3.1% 1.8% 86.4% 12.5% -24.7% -73.7% -83.4% -71.2% -79.0% -45.5% 1.1% 1.3% 3.5% 5.1% 1.5% 1.50%
Op. Income 3.2% 1.1% -25.0% 23.8% 64.2% 3.6% 3.8% 2.0% 50.1% -17.5% -81.7% -1.2% -1.2% -1.6% -4.9% -81.4% -3.3% -32.3% 77.6% 49.1% 49.11%
OCF Growth snapshot only -418.44%
Asset Growth snapshot only 13.66%
Equity Growth snapshot only 7.69%
Debt Growth snapshot only 52.87%
Shares Change snapshot only 3.27%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue 3Y 4.5% 0.1% -0.2% 3.2% 6.0% 7.7% 8.7% 12.0% 17.1% 22.0% 25.8% 26.3% 25.3% 21.6% 17.9% 16.4% 15.8% 15.4% 16.1% 15.2% 15.22%
Revenue 5Y 17.9% 19.1% 21.7% 25.3% 27.1% 26.9% 22.3% 17.0% 13.4% 11.8% 12.1% 11.3% 10.8% 10.2% 10.2% 13.4% 16.3% 17.2% 17.8% 18.5% 18.52%
EPS 3Y 66.9% 41.3% 25.4% -12.1% — — — -27.4% -39.8% -39.6% -47.7% — -52.9% -68.6% — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — 4.3% 0.4% -17.1% -16.7% — — — 3.5% 0.6% -14.9% — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y 68.1% 50.9% 34.0% -7.6% — — — -27.6% -39.2% -36.7% -47.7% — -49.9% -69.0% — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — 18.9% 18.3% -3.5% -2.3% — — — 7.3% 3.3% -12.6% — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — 1.0% 50.3% 56.4% 51.4% 44.1% 83.1% 59.2% 21.0% 4.9% 2.7% -13.5% -26.1% -13.2% -8.8% -10.6% -4.5% -4.3% -4.31%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — 20.3% 1.9% -9.5% -13.1% 0.9% 32.9% 30.8% 42.5% 43.5% 43.51%
Gross Profit 3Y 10.0% 7.5% 10.2% 14.9% 17.4% 19.5% 20.5% 24.3% 29.0% 33.2% 35.9% 37.0% 35.0% 32.3% 28.6% 25.0% 23.6% 22.2% 21.9% 20.6% 20.61%
Gross Profit 5Y 22.4% 23.8% 28.2% 32.8% 35.0% 33.8% 28.3% 23.5% 20.7% 19.9% 20.9% 20.9% 20.0% 20.6% 21.5% 24.6% 27.6% 27.4% 27.0% 27.1% 27.10%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — 99.9% -13.0% — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — -45.7% 22.0% — 33.9% 1.3% 57.9% 46.1% — — — — 1.3% 34.7% — — — — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — 55.5% — 33.1% -0.1% — — — — — —
Assets 3Y 9.2% 14.3% 14.8% 15.8% 16.3% 17.9% 21.0% 12.9% 25.5% 27.0% 25.7% 20.7% 19.9% 20.1% 20.0% 20.6% 20.4% 21.4% 19.4% 19.9% 19.86%
Assets 5Y 30.9% 24.9% 25.6% 26.0% 25.7% 26.6% 13.9% 15.3% 17.6% 18.2% 18.9% 19.4% 18.8% 22.8% 22.4% 16.9% 17.9% 19.3% 18.9% 17.5% 17.47%
Equity 3Y 19.1% 21.5% 23.0% 23.3% 24.3% 26.0% 27.5% 13.9% 14.5% 15.4% 14.6% 8.9% 9.5% 12.9% 10.8% 10.6% 11.5% 11.5% 10.8% 8.8% 8.78%
Book Value 3Y 18.2% 13.7% 15.1% 17.3% 24.8% 19.1% 27.6% 14.3% 13.3% 10.0% 14.7% 8.1% 3.1% 14.3% 12.1% 8.4% 9.1% 10.7% 9.5% 5.8% 5.81%
Dividend 3Y 19.7% 12.9% 12.8% 14.6% 3.9% -2.1% 3.6% 3.8% — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Revenue Stability 0.64 0.59 0.59 0.67 0.72 0.77 0.84 0.91 0.81 0.66 0.60 0.65 0.71 0.76 0.75 0.91 0.99 0.98 0.91 0.96 0.965
Earnings Stability 0.41 0.37 0.37 0.18 0.12 0.31 0.31 0.16 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.40 0.03 0.06 0.15 0.93 0.97 0.91 0.89 0.87 0.873
Margin Stability 0.92 0.91 0.88 0.86 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.86 0.85 0.84 0.84 0.85 0.84 0.83 0.84 0.84 0.85 0.84 0.86 0.861
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.87 0.85 0.87 0.87 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.84 0.839
Earnings Smoothness 0.72 0.71 0.61 0.13 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.72 0.52 0.73 0.63 — 0.18 0.00 — — — — — — —
ROE Trend 0.06 0.06 0.04 -0.17 -0.16 -0.21 -0.21 -0.04 -0.08 -0.06 -0.08 -0.07 -0.04 -0.05 -0.07 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 -0.02 -0.01 -0.012
Gross Margin Trend 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.07 0.10 0.08 0.08 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.024
FCF Margin Trend -0.06 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.11 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.04 -0.02 -0.03 0.01 -0.01 0.02 -0.04 -0.06 -0.13 -0.13 -0.11 -0.13 -0.134
Sustainable Growth Rate -4.4% -4.3% -4.2% -4.0% -4.3% -4.3% -4.2% -4.0% 4.6% 5.7% 3.4% — 1.8% 0.4% — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — 3.1% 4.0% 2.3% — 1.1% 0.3% — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.34 0.03 0.01 0.19 0.90 0.94 1.03 0.69 0.87 0.06 -0.04 -15.52 3.24 14.13 -0.13 0.02 3.83 3.91 8.61 6.32 6.319
FCF/OCF 1.17 -0.66 -5.58 0.02 0.83 0.76 0.85 0.78 0.63 -4.80 16.41 0.62 0.61 0.55 -8.23 92.34 1.34 1.24 1.21 1.18 1.184
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 7.482
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only -1.913
CapEx/Revenue 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.8% 2.4% 2.9% 2.9% 2.7% 2.3% 2.2% 2.1% 2.12%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.445
Accruals Ratio 0.21 0.16 0.16 0.04 0.01 0.00 -0.00 0.02 0.00 0.04 0.02 -0.04 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.07 0.073
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.083
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -5.434
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Dividend Yield 2.7% 1.8% 1.7% 1.4% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $9.17 $7.69 $7.65 $8.01 $8.86 $8.77 $8.78 $8.81 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 23.4% 21.5% 21.9% 62.2% 53.4% 92.1% 78.7% 51.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — — 17676.3% 71.6% 129.8% 89.8% 95.8% 0.0% — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 23.4% 21.5% 21.9% 62.7% 53.9% 92.8% 79.3% 52.0% 13.7% 16.0% 21.8% — 33.2% 1.5% — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number 3.49 2.60 2.45 2.14 1.33 1.54 1.61 1.58 — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.24%
Net Buyback Yield -2.1% -1.4% -1.3% -1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.24%
Total Shareholder Return 60.8% 41.2% 37.9% 31.7% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.24%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 4.49 7.66 6.99 1.65 1.45 0.63 1.04 1.31 1.11 4.95 -2.69 0.08 -0.47 -0.10 0.57 0.56 0.89 1.11 1.62 1.38 1.380
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 2.22 2.08 1.09 1.07 1.00 1.01 0.63 0.81 0.74 0.40 0.51 1.09 1.13 1.10 1.12 1.21 1.45 1.73 -1.32 -3.48 -3.482
EBIT Margin 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.05 0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0.01 0.00 0.004
Asset Turnover 0.71 0.72 0.77 0.82 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.85 0.76 0.86 0.92 0.89 0.76 0.69 0.69 0.74 0.78 0.76 0.77 0.75 0.752
Equity Multiplier 1.27 1.29 1.26 1.24 1.25 1.28 1.28 1.29 1.53 1.48 1.49 1.48 1.67 1.62 1.63 1.65 1.60 1.59 1.62 1.70 1.701
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.39 $0.36 $0.35 $0.13 $0.17 $0.10 $0.11 $0.17 $0.10 $0.13 $0.08 $-0.01 $0.04 $0.01 $-0.07 $-0.04 $-0.07 $-0.08 $-0.04 $-0.06 $-0.06
Book Value/Share $2.22 $1.91 $1.94 $2.02 $2.09 $2.08 $2.15 $2.27 $2.27 $2.44 $2.47 $2.33 $2.43 $2.85 $2.73 $2.58 $2.72 $2.82 $2.82 $2.69 $2.87
Tangible Book/Share $2.10 $1.27 $1.30 $1.37 $1.45 $1.46 $1.53 $1.66 $1.10 $1.23 $1.27 $1.25 $1.36 $1.26 $1.22 $1.22 $1.39 $1.46 $1.49 $1.46 $1.46
Revenue/Share $1.79 $1.58 $1.69 $2.01 $2.19 $2.24 $2.27 $2.35 $2.52 $2.93 $3.21 $2.97 $2.93 $2.95 $2.87 $2.99 $3.19 $3.36 $3.42 $3.31 $3.36
FCF/Share $-0.16 $-0.01 $-0.02 $0.00 $0.12 $0.07 $0.10 $0.09 $0.05 $-0.03 $-0.05 $0.07 $0.08 $0.09 $-0.08 $-0.09 $-0.33 $-0.40 $-0.43 $-0.45 $-0.35
OCF/Share $-0.13 $0.01 $0.00 $0.02 $0.15 $0.09 $0.12 $0.12 $0.09 $0.01 $-0.00 $0.12 $0.13 $0.16 $0.01 $-0.00 $-0.25 $-0.32 $-0.36 $-0.38 $-0.26
Cash/Share $1.51 $0.73 $0.70 $0.67 $0.78 $0.81 $0.82 $0.82 $0.47 $0.38 $0.38 $0.44 $0.51 $0.33 $0.15 $0.23 $0.18 $0.11 $0.10 $0.17 $0.18
EBITDA/Share $0.07 $0.05 $0.09 $0.13 $0.19 $0.23 $0.25 $0.25 $0.21 $0.18 $0.07 $0.04 $0.06 $0.04 $0.04 $0.08 $0.14 $0.16 $0.21 $0.20 $0.20
Debt/Share $0.03 $0.01 $0.04 $0.05 $0.10 $0.03 $0.03 $0.04 $0.82 $1.06 $1.02 $0.68 $0.64 $0.88 $0.81 $0.77 $0.82 $0.90 $1.03 $1.14 $1.14
Net Debt/Share $-1.49 $-0.73 $-0.66 $-0.62 $-0.67 $-0.78 $-0.79 $-0.78 $0.35 $0.69 $0.64 $0.24 $0.13 $0.54 $0.66 $0.54 $0.65 $0.79 $0.93 $0.97 $0.97
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.901
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 5.578
Piotroski F-Score 5 4 4 5 4 6 8 7 2 6 3 4 7 5 4 1 3 2 3 2 2
Beneish M-Score -1.20 -0.08 -0.11 2.03 -0.25 -2.51 -2.44 -2.34 -2.09 -1.63 -1.85 -2.74 -2.71 -2.67 -2.48 -1.85 -1.75 -1.94 -1.88 -1.91 -1.906
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.234
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 0.57%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $0.84
EVA snapshot only $-13802420.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB
Credit Score 79.85 83.87 86.71 91.07 94.98 95.78 95.80 95.49 81.00 72.06 45.47 48.52 49.71 46.28 41.15 35.40 49.19 45.98 53.47 41.42 41.422
Credit Grade snapshot only 12
Credit Trend snapshot only 6.019
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 475.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 21
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 28

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms