MAT NASDAQ
Mattel, Inc.
1W: -6.3%
1M: +19.0%
3M: +2.5%
YTD: -21.1%
1Y: -17.5%
3Y: -23.7%
5Y: -21.1%
$15.43
-0.39 (-2.47%)
Weekly Expected Move ±10.5%
$13
$15
$16
$18
$20
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 59% of companies Debt: 37.8% of company value Bonds: $59.2M held by 151 funds, 144 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.66 (down 96%), Mattel, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.75B against a stock market value of $4.52B.
Distance to default 4.32 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.17B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 44.8%; Altman Z 2.92. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.66 (down 96%), Mattel, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.75B against a stock market value of $4.52B.
Distance to default 4.32 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.17B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 44.8%; Altman Z 2.92. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Revenue by Segment (5-Year Trend)
Income Trends
Revenue
$5.3B
-0.6% ▼
5Y CAGR: +3.1%
Gross Profit
$2.6B
-4.4% ▼
5Y CAGR: +3.1%
Operating Income
$620M
-10.7% ▼
5Y CAGR: +10.6%
Net Income
$398M
-26.6% ▼
5Y CAGR: +26.3%
EPS (Diluted)
$1.24
-21.5% ▼
5Y CAGR: +28.8%
EBITDA
$774M
-21.6% ▼
5Y CAGR: +6.3%
Profit Margins
Year-over-Year Growth
View Full Income Statement
| Line Item | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.5B | $5.4B | $5.4B | $5.4B | $5.3B |
| YoY Growth | +18.9% | -0.4% | +0.1% | -1.1% | -0.6% |
| Cost of Revenue | $2.8B | $3.0B | $2.9B | $2.6B | $2.7B |
| Gross Profit | $2.6B | $2.5B | $2.6B | $2.7B | $2.6B |
| Gross Margin | 48.1% | 45.7% | 47.5% | 50.8% | 48.9% |
| R&D Expenses | $0 | $0 | $0 | $194M | $0 |
| SG&A Expenses | $1.9B | $1.8B | $2.0B | $2.0B | $2.0B |
| Operating Expenses | $1.9B | $1.8B | $2.0B | $2.0B | $2.0B |
| Operating Income | $730M | $676M | $562M | $694M | $620M |
| Operating Margin | 13.4% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 11.6% |
| Interest Expense | $254M | $133M | $124M | $119M | $119M |
| Income Before Tax | $483M | $530M | $484M | $647M | $487M |
| Tax Expense | -$420M | $136M | $269M | $106M | $90M |
| Net Income | $903M | $394M | $214M | $542M | $398M |
| Net Margin | 16.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% |
| EPS (Diluted) | $2.53 | $1.10 | $0.60 | $1.58 | $1.24 |
| EBITDA | $956M | $875M | $818M | $987M | $774M |
| Shares Outstanding | 357M | 360M | 357M | 343M | 318M |