MAT NASDAQ
Mattel, Inc.
1W: -6.3%
1M: +19.0%
3M: +2.5%
YTD: -21.1%
1Y: -17.5%
3Y: -23.7%
5Y: -21.1%
$15.55
-0.27 (-1.71%)
Weekly Expected Move ±10.5%
$13
$15
$16
$18
$20
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 59% of companies Debt: 37.8% of company value Bonds: $59.2M held by 151 funds, 144 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.66 (down 96%), Mattel, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.75B against a stock market value of $4.52B.
Distance to default 4.32 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.17B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 44.8%; Altman Z 2.92. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.66 (down 96%), Mattel, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.75B against a stock market value of $4.52B.
Distance to default 4.32 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.17B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 44.8%; Altman Z 2.92. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Technical Signal Summary
Technical Signal
LEAN BULLISH
+19
BearishNeutralBullish
Trend (30%)
80
Momentum (25%)
25
Volume (20%)
75
Volatility (10%)
67
Patterns (15%)
50
Price vs SMA 20$16.13
Price vs SMA 50$14.92
Price vs SMA 200$15.59
EMA 9/21 Cross16.53/16.05
SMA 50/200 CrossDeath
ADX DirectionADX 39
Supertrend$15.23
Parabolic SAR$14.25
SMA Slope0.120
RSI50.0
Stochastic K/D45/67
Williams %R-90
CCI-8
TSI vs Signal29.3
CMO0.0
ROC-5.61%
OBV SignalDistrib
Chaikin MF0.040
MFI58
Force Index392.8K
Elder Ray Bull0.51
MAT is trading above its 50-day and 200-day but below its 20-day moving average, showing a mixed trend. The 50-day MA is below the 200-day MA (death cross active). RSI at 50 is neutral. Volume analysis shows OBV is declining (distribution) with Chaikin Money Flow near zero at 0.040. The squeeze is off with positive momentum, suggesting upward pressure. ADX at 39 confirms a trending market. Price is 29.6% below its 52-week high. No significant candlestick patterns detected today.
Moving Average Ribbon & Trend
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $16.13 | $0.31 | -1.92% | Bearish |
| SMA 50 | $14.92 | +$0.90 | +6.03% | Bullish |
| SMA 200 | $15.59 | +$0.23 | +1.48% | Bullish |
| EMA 9 | $16.53 | $0.71 | -4.30% | Bearish |
| EMA 21 | $16.05 | $0.23 | -1.43% | Bearish |
| EMA 50 | $15.31 | +$0.51 | +3.33% | Bullish |
| EMA 200 | $15.56 | +$0.26 | +1.67% | Bullish |
| VWMA 20 | $15.87 | $0.05 | -0.32% | Bearish |
| WMA 20 | $16.58 | $0.76 | -4.58% | Bearish |
| DEMA 21 | $16.89 | $1.07 | -6.34% | Bearish |
| TEMA 21 | $17.15 | $1.33 | -7.76% | Bearish |
Momentum Dashboard
Volume & Flow Analysis
Mixed Volume Signals
OBV: Distribution
CMF: Neutral Flow
Volatility & Range
52-Week
29.6% from high
20-Day
9.2% from high
Bollinger
44th pctile
Donchian
68th pctile
Turtle Long Stop: $15.52
Turtle Short Stop: $14.31
S2
$16.12
S1
$16.26
Pivot
$16.56
R1
$16.70
R2
$17.00
Candlestick Pattern Scanner
No candlestick patterns detected today.
Bullish Patterns
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3 White Soldiers
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Morning Star
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Bullish Engulfing
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Hammer
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Inverted Hammer
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Piercing Line
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Bullish Harami
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Abandoned Baby
Bearish Patterns
—
3 Black Crows
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Evening Star
—
Bearish Engulfing
—
Dark Cloud Cover
—
Bearish Harami
—
2 Black Gapping
Neutral
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Doji