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Also trades as: 2702.T (JPX) · $vol 33M

MDNDF OTC

McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan), Ltd.
1W: +0.0% 1M: +0.0% 3M: -6.2% YTD: +13.9% 1Y: +13.9% 3Y: +28.9% 5Y: +6.0%
$47.86
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · Tech Score Neutral · Power 54 · $6.4B mcap · 85M float · 0.0000% daily turnover · Short 100% of daily vol

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
4
ROA
5
D/E
2
P/E
2
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. MDNDF receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: ROE (4/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (2/5), P/E (2/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 A- B+
2026-06-30 None ADDED
2026-05-16 EXISTED None
2026-05-11 None ADDED
2026-02-04 EXISTED None
2026-01-30 None ADDED

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade A
Profitability
43
Balance Sheet
94
Earnings Quality
85
Growth
49
Value
—
Momentum
79
Safety
—
Cash Flow
53

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.53
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-12.82
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA-
Score: 82.8/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.45x
Accruals: -4.7%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MDNDF scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. MDNDF's score of -2.53 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MDNDF's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MDNDF receives an estimated rating of AA- (score: 82.8/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). MDNDF's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
26.90x
PEG
3.13x
P/S
2.37x
P/B
3.38x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$3671.88
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 26.9x earnings, MDNDF commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $3671.88 per share, suggesting a potential 7572% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.652
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.990
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.139
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.170
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.281
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
13.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MDNDF's ROE of 13.4% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.170), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$10557.37
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with MDNDF's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. MDNDF actually compounded EPS at 22.3% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. MDNDF trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $10557.37, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 26.9x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$47.86
Median 1Y
$47.44
5th Pctile
$32.60
95th Pctile
$69.18
Ann. Volatility
22.4%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 12.7% 12.7% 12.3% 13.0% 13.1% 12.7% 11.6% 9.9% 9.6% 9.9% 10.9% 11.6% 12.2% 12.8% 12.6% 13.3% 13.6% 13.6% 13.4% 13.4% 13.41%
ROA 9.8% 9.8% 9.7% 9.7% 10.2% 9.8% 9.2% 7.4% 7.4% 7.6% 8.6% 8.5% 9.6% 9.9% 10.0% 9.9% 10.8% 10.6% 10.8% 10.5% 10.48%
ROIC 17.8% 19.2% 18.0% 21.1% 19.4% 19.8% 17.1% 14.8% 12.6% 13.5% 14.4% 16.4% 15.5% 16.7% 15.4% 17.9% 16.9% 18.3% 16.3% 16.8% 16.77%
ROCE 17.6% 17.6% 17.1% 16.2% 16.6% 16.1% 14.7% 14.6% 14.1% 14.5% 15.9% 16.5% 17.6% 18.4% 17.6% 18.4% 18.6% 18.6% 18.4% 19.0% 19.00%
Gross Margin 21.0% 20.1% 22.4% 16.3% 19.9% 18.1% 18.7% 16.5% 17.7% 18.6% 21.9% 17.4% 19.7% 20.4% 20.8% 18.9% 20.0% 21.8% 23.7% 21.7% 21.70%
Operating Margin 12.2% 10.6% 13.3% 7.4% 11.4% 9.3% 10.5% 7.2% 9.1% 10.7% 14.4% 8.5% 11.1% 12.5% 13.1% 10.7% 11.8% 14.0% 16.0% 13.5% 13.55%
Net Margin 7.7% 6.8% 8.2% 7.4% 7.3% 5.8% 6.3% 3.4% 5.7% 6.7% 8.7% 5.1% 6.6% 8.2% 9.1% 7.6% 7.5% 9.0% 10.6% 8.6% 8.65%
EBITDA Margin 15.9% 14.6% 16.6% 11.2% 15.1% 13.4% 12.8% 9.5% 13.3% 14.4% 17.7% 11.4% 11.1% 16.8% 16.9% 14.9% 16.3% 18.5% 20.5% 18.4% 18.42%
FCF Margin 6.0% 4.1% 2.2% 3.0% 3.7% 4.4% 3.4% 1.7% 2.6% 3.4% 5.8% 8.2% 7.1% 6.0% 5.0% 3.6% 3.3% 2.9% 2.9% 3.2% 3.24%
OCF Margin 12.5% 10.7% 9.0% 9.6% 10.2% 10.8% 9.9% 8.2% 7.4% 6.7% 7.4% 8.2% 9.1% 10.1% 11.0% 12.2% 12.5% 12.7% 12.9% 13.0% 13.01%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 12.09%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 11.65%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 9.24%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 12.89%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 13.03%
Cash ROA snapshot only 14.76%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 24.14%
CROIC snapshot only 6.01%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 9.04%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 13.72%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 7.96%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 26.901
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.370
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.380
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 3.133
Graham Number snapshot only $3671.88
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.98 1.96 2.03 1.76 1.82 1.87 1.94 1.42 1.53 1.52 1.68 1.39 1.60 1.52 1.66 1.47 1.60 1.69 1.55 1.69 1.690
Quick Ratio 1.95 1.94 2.01 1.73 1.80 1.85 1.91 1.40 1.51 1.50 1.66 1.37 1.58 1.50 1.63 1.45 1.57 1.67 1.53 1.67 1.671
Debt/Equity 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Net Debt/Equity -0.31 -0.36 -0.33 -0.38 -0.32 -0.35 -0.30 -0.29 -0.21 -0.24 -0.22 -0.29 -0.21 -0.24 -0.22 -0.28 -0.22 -0.28 -0.21 -0.24 -0.245
Debt/Assets 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Debt/EBITDA 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.001
Net Debt/EBITDA -1.24 -1.45 -1.34 -1.61 -1.30 -1.47 -1.36 -1.37 -0.98 -1.12 -0.95 -1.19 -0.88 -0.99 -0.95 -1.18 -0.85 -1.10 -0.83 -0.94 -0.945
Interest Coverage 2304.79 2549.00 2784.00 3635.56 4736.71 6580.20 7735.25 6236.40 6027.80 4549.57 4572.50 4847.00 4618.78 5598.62 7419.00 11998.75 24364.00 — 53514.92 28228.58 28228.578
Equity Multiplier 1.28 1.29 1.28 1.34 1.29 1.30 1.26 1.34 1.29 1.29 1.27 1.37 1.27 1.29 1.25 1.33 1.27 1.27 1.24 1.24 1.236
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.146
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 37606.455
Cash to Debt snapshot only 930.314
FCF to Debt snapshot only 172.623
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1068.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.34 1.34 1.37 1.29 1.37 1.36 1.37 1.31 1.40 1.38 1.39 1.30 1.41 1.38 1.37 1.25 1.33 1.28 1.24 1.17 1.170
Inventory Turnover 229.04 236.96 240.45 213.31 244.20 244.82 238.61 215.63 249.99 238.00 241.56 205.85 253.38 248.38 244.46 200.24 249.82 257.95 251.39 225.89 225.887
Receivables Turnover 14.64 17.30 15.12 15.05 15.29 18.00 16.25 17.38 14.87 16.35 14.45 14.24 13.68 15.10 14.57 12.66 14.38 15.17 16.21 15.05 15.049
Payables Turnover 344.93 10621.07 5821.60 286.33 213.61 489.64 817.29 279.17 210.92 525.43 602.58 223.29 258.26 6688.04 1376.44 316.88 197.87 8015.70 568.77 1721.89 1721.895
DSO 25 21 24 24 24 20 22 21 25 22 25 26 27 24 25 29 25 24 23 24 24.3 days
DIO 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 1.6 days
DPO 1 0 0 1 2 1 0 1 2 1 1 2 1 0 0 1 2 0 1 0 0.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 25 23 26 25 24 21 24 21 24 23 26 26 27 26 26 29 25 25 23 26 25.7 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.446
Operating Cycle snapshot only 25.9 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 5.727
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.881
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 2.4% 5.6% 9.1% 10.2% 11.7% 11.4% 9.5% 10.9% 10.4% 9.5% 9.9% 8.4% 8.7% 9.3% 7.6% 6.1% 3.6% 1.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.45%
Net Income 32.5% 33.5% 11.9% 18.6% 13.9% 9.7% 3.6% -16.7% -21.2% -15.6% 1.9% 26.2% 39.3% 41.4% 26.3% 27.0% 23.5% 18.1% 21.3% 14.1% 14.08%
EPS 32.5% 33.5% 11.9% 18.6% 13.9% 9.7% 3.6% -16.7% -21.2% -15.6% 1.9% 26.2% 39.3% 41.4% 26.3% 27.0% 23.5% 18.1% 21.3% 14.1% 14.07%
FCF -29.7% -54.3% -76.0% -58.8% -31.2% 20.7% 71.6% -36.2% -23.8% -15.7% 86.1% 4.1% 2.0% 93.0% -8.5% -52.8% -51.6% -50.0% -40.4% -10.3% -10.33%
EBITDA 19.3% 19.8% 8.9% 10.4% 7.5% 4.9% -2.6% -3.9% -6.5% -3.2% 15.6% 22.0% 21.3% 24.6% 9.4% 11.4% 23.4% 19.1% 27.2% 24.3% 24.34%
Op. Income 20.1% 20.0% 8.3% 10.3% 6.5% 3.0% -4.0% -2.1% -6.8% -1.2% 18.0% 20.9% 34.5% 35.7% 16.9% 17.5% 11.3% 8.3% 17.9% 17.5% 17.51%
OCF Growth snapshot only 6.99%
Asset Growth snapshot only 6.50%
Equity Growth snapshot only 14.82%
Debt Growth snapshot only -70.93%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.00%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 14.51%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 4.0% 4.2% 5.0% 5.3% 6.0% 6.7% 6.9% 7.7% 8.1% 8.8% 9.5% 9.8% 10.3% 10.1% 9.0% 8.5% 7.5% 6.8% 6.3% 5.0% 4.95%
Revenue 5Y 7.8% 7.5% 7.5% 7.0% 6.7% 6.6% 6.5% 6.8% 6.8% 6.7% 6.8% 7.0% 7.4% 7.7% 7.6% 7.6% 7.3% 7.5% 7.5% 7.2% 7.15%
EPS 3Y -4.1% -6.5% -8.9% 3.0% 7.0% 10.0% 15.8% 5.7% 6.0% 7.3% 5.7% 7.6% 7.7% 9.4% 10.0% 10.1% 10.7% 12.1% 16.0% 22.3% 22.29%
EPS 5Y — — — 34.9% 13.0% 8.6% 5.3% -3.7% -4.6% -5.4% -4.4% 2.8% 6.1% 9.7% 14.8% 13.6% 15.4% 15.6% 12.6% 12.6% 12.55%
Net Income 3Y -4.1% -6.5% -8.9% 3.0% 7.0% 10.0% 15.8% 5.7% 6.0% 7.3% 5.7% 7.6% 7.7% 9.4% 10.0% 10.1% 10.7% 12.1% 16.0% 22.3% 22.29%
Net Income 5Y — — — 34.9% 13.0% 8.6% 5.3% -3.7% -4.6% -5.4% -4.4% 2.8% 6.1% 9.7% 14.8% 13.6% 15.4% 15.6% 12.6% 12.6% 12.55%
EBITDA 3Y 24.7% 23.6% 20.3% 21.4% 19.4% 14.6% 12.4% 6.1% 6.2% 6.8% 7.0% 9.0% 6.8% 8.2% 7.2% 9.3% 11.8% 12.8% 17.2% 19.1% 19.09%
EBITDA 5Y — — 89.6% 43.3% 27.4% 22.3% 18.2% 17.3% 14.3% 13.9% 14.4% 16.0% 14.0% 12.7% 12.4% 10.2% 12.4% 12.5% 11.3% 12.4% 12.38%
Gross Profit 3Y 7.4% 6.3% 6.7% 6.0% 6.5% 6.1% 4.9% 4.7% 4.8% 5.1% 6.3% 7.5% 8.3% 9.0% 7.3% 8.5% 8.1% 8.9% 11.5% 11.4% 11.37%
Gross Profit 5Y 39.9% 26.7% 19.5% 15.1% 11.2% 9.2% 7.5% 7.2% 5.7% 5.1% 5.9% 6.3% 7.4% 8.1% 7.9% 7.6% 7.9% 8.1% 8.2% 8.8% 8.81%
Op. Income 3Y 15.3% 13.9% 10.4% 11.3% 12.5% 9.7% 10.1% 6.5% 6.0% 6.9% 7.0% 9.3% 10.1% 11.4% 9.8% 11.6% 11.7% 13.2% 17.6% 18.6% 18.62%
Op. Income 5Y — — 97.1% 37.9% 21.5% 16.3% 12.7% 12.3% 8.7% 8.5% 8.8% 10.3% 12.3% 12.1% 13.0% 11.4% 12.3% 12.4% 11.1% 12.5% 12.52%
FCF 3Y 18.4% -3.7% -25.8% -19.2% -14.2% -10.3% -18.6% -36.3% -28.3% -22.5% -8.4% 10.6% 16.1% 25.2% 43.0% 15.7% 3.3% -6.7% 0.5% 29.7% 29.66%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — 21.2% -4.3% -2.7% -1.9% 5.5% 11.6% 7.5% 3.3% -1.6% -8.9% -11.8% -14.8% -16.0% -10.6% -10.55%
OCF 3Y 12.1% 3.6% -4.5% -2.1% -0.0% 1.9% -0.9% -8.3% -12.5% -16.7% -14.7% -8.5% -0.7% 7.8% 16.7% 17.4% 14.9% 12.7% 16.0% 22.5% 22.47%
OCF 5Y — — — — 66.6% 26.4% 11.4% 4.8% 0.6% -3.2% -2.7% -1.0% 1.3% 3.4% 4.9% 5.8% 4.9% 4.0% 3.3% 5.4% 5.43%
Assets 3Y 6.3% 6.0% 6.7% 7.3% 8.9% 8.8% 8.0% 7.8% 8.4% 8.8% 9.3% 10.2% 8.7% 9.0% 8.5% 9.0% 8.8% 9.3% 11.3% 9.0% 8.98%
Assets 5Y 5.5% 6.3% 6.6% 7.6% 7.5% 7.1% 6.9% 7.2% 7.2% 7.0% 7.3% 8.1% 8.4% 8.7% 8.5% 8.7% 9.0% 9.4% 10.4% 9.0% 9.03%
Equity 3Y 9.7% 9.5% 9.1% 9.9% 9.3% 9.2% 9.3% 9.1% 9.0% 9.1% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 9.2% 9.2% 9.2% 9.6% 10.0% 12.0% 12.0% 12.01%
Book Value 3Y 9.7% 9.5% 9.1% 9.9% 9.3% 9.2% 9.3% 9.1% 9.0% 9.1% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 9.2% 9.2% 9.2% 9.6% 10.0% 12.0% 12.0% 12.01%
Dividend 3Y 1.6% 2.4% 3.2% 3.2% 3.1% 3.0% -6.5% -18.9% -36.1% — — — 2.7% — — — 60.8% 28.4% 14.4% 4.6% 4.62%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.92 0.94 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.93 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.95 0.97 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.95 0.950
Earnings Stability 0.48 0.40 0.33 0.33 0.27 0.08 0.01 0.05 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.27 0.43 0.66 0.89 0.76 0.72 0.79 0.85 0.80 0.795
Margin Stability 0.63 0.72 0.81 0.85 0.91 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.93 0.932
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.87 0.87 0.95 0.93 0.94 0.96 0.99 0.93 0.92 0.94 0.99 0.90 0.84 0.83 0.89 0.89 0.91 0.93 0.91 0.94 0.944
Earnings Smoothness 0.72 0.71 0.89 0.83 0.87 0.91 0.97 0.82 0.76 0.83 0.98 0.77 0.67 0.66 0.77 0.76 0.79 0.83 0.81 0.87 0.868
ROE Trend 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.007
Gross Margin Trend 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.024
FCF Margin Trend -0.02 -0.04 -0.07 -0.05 -0.04 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.02 -0.01 0.03 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.027
Sustainable Growth Rate 10.2% 10.2% 9.8% 10.5% 10.7% 10.2% 9.8% 8.8% 9.0% 9.9% 10.9% 11.6% 11.6% 11.6% 10.9% 11.1% 11.4% 11.4% 11.2% 11.2% 11.19%
Internal Growth Rate 8.5% 8.5% 8.4% 8.6% 9.0% 8.6% 8.4% 7.0% 7.5% 8.3% 9.4% 9.3% 10.0% 9.9% 9.5% 9.0% 9.9% 9.8% 9.9% 9.6% 9.57%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.71 1.47 1.27 1.28 1.38 1.50 1.48 1.45 1.40 1.21 1.20 1.24 1.34 1.40 1.51 1.55 1.54 1.52 1.49 1.45 1.453
FCF/OCF 0.48 0.38 0.25 0.31 0.36 0.41 0.35 0.21 0.35 0.51 0.78 1.00 0.77 0.60 0.45 0.30 0.26 0.23 0.23 0.25 0.249
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.362
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.705
CapEx/Revenue 6.4% 6.6% 6.8% 6.7% 6.5% 6.4% 6.5% 6.5% 4.8% 3.3% 1.6% 0.0% 2.1% 4.0% 6.0% 8.6% 9.2% 9.7% 10.0% 9.8% 9.77%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 2.123
Accruals Ratio -0.07 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.05 -0.047
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.033
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.156
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.75%
Dividend/Share $31.49 $32.24 $33.00 $33.75 $34.50 $35.25 $27.00 $18.00 $9.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $9.75 $19.50 $29.25 $39.75 $40.50 $41.25 $43.76 $45.52 $56.00
Payout Ratio 19.7% 19.6% 19.9% 18.7% 18.9% 19.5% 15.7% 12.0% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.9% 9.0% 13.3% 16.5% 16.4% 16.2% 16.4% 16.6% 16.60%
FCF Payout Ratio 23.7% 35.0% 64.1% 47.3% 37.8% 31.7% 30.6% 39.5% 12.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.7% 10.8% 19.4% 35.9% 40.3% 45.6% 48.8% 45.9% 45.86%
Total Payout Ratio 19.7% 19.6% 19.9% 18.7% 18.9% 19.5% 15.7% 12.0% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.9% 9.0% 13.3% 16.5% 16.4% 16.2% 16.4% 16.6% 16.60%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.74 0.64 0.63 0.64 0.64 0.65 0.64 0.64 0.65 0.68 0.69 0.68 0.69 0.65 0.652
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.02 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.96 0.99 0.990
EBIT Margin 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.139
Asset Turnover 1.34 1.34 1.37 1.29 1.37 1.36 1.37 1.31 1.40 1.38 1.39 1.30 1.41 1.38 1.37 1.25 1.33 1.28 1.24 1.17 1.170
Equity Multiplier 1.29 1.30 1.27 1.34 1.29 1.30 1.27 1.34 1.29 1.30 1.27 1.36 1.28 1.29 1.26 1.35 1.27 1.28 1.24 1.28 1.281
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $160.10 $164.78 $165.61 $180.09 $182.37 $180.84 $171.50 $149.95 $143.69 $152.63 $174.68 $189.25 $200.14 $215.75 $220.61 $240.39 $247.08 $254.70 $267.58 $274.22 $274.22
Book Value/Share $1324.51 $1362.83 $1415.61 $1460.77 $1450.39 $1487.17 $1530.63 $1554.79 $1555.50 $1601.23 $1666.71 $1704.83 $1713.43 $1774.75 $1845.10 $1903.23 $1911.45 $1980.43 $2149.59 $2185.24 $2201.19
Tangible Book/Share $1252.91 $1289.82 $1343.11 $1386.32 $1372.59 $1406.74 $1445.88 $1469.69 $1469.53 $1514.73 $1582.97 $1620.78 $1631.09 $1692.86 $1763.91 $1821.62 $1832.04 $1900.86 $2065.22 $2103.23 $2103.23
Revenue/Share $2195.70 $2259.00 $2342.19 $2389.42 $2452.60 $2516.99 $2565.26 $2649.69 $2708.15 $2756.76 $2818.96 $2872.98 $2943.03 $3012.40 $3032.28 $3049.73 $3048.50 $3067.12 $3082.16 $3063.37 $3138.91
FCF/Share $132.72 $92.09 $51.45 $71.37 $91.28 $111.19 $88.32 $45.53 $69.59 $93.74 $164.39 $234.25 $207.61 $180.90 $150.47 $110.68 $100.53 $90.39 $89.75 $99.25 $0.00
OCF/Share $273.89 $241.79 $209.70 $230.34 $250.99 $271.63 $254.62 $216.97 $200.75 $184.60 $209.82 $234.25 $268.55 $302.78 $333.29 $372.52 $380.43 $388.36 $397.40 $398.53 $0.00
Cash/Share $417.15 $495.76 $468.54 $566.09 $463.38 $526.38 $461.26 $461.51 $327.52 $389.40 $373.34 $490.68 $357.26 $427.11 $405.40 $536.47 $423.16 $562.76 $449.31 $534.87 $538.77
EBITDA/Share $329.02 $338.91 $345.81 $348.22 $353.65 $355.36 $336.90 $334.75 $330.54 $344.16 $389.37 $408.36 $400.95 $428.79 $425.93 $454.75 $494.64 $510.51 $541.79 $565.42 $565.42
Debt/Share $9.99 $5.61 $5.34 $4.90 $4.47 $4.27 $3.94 $3.61 $3.29 $3.72 $3.31 $2.95 $2.50 $2.58 $2.12 $1.98 $1.69 $1.45 $0.93 $0.57 $0.57
Net Debt/Share $-407.16 $-490.15 $-463.20 $-561.19 $-458.91 $-522.11 $-457.31 $-457.90 $-324.22 $-385.68 $-370.03 $-487.73 $-354.76 $-424.53 $-403.27 $-534.50 $-421.47 $-561.31 $-448.38 $-534.30 $-534.30
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 7 7 9 7 6 9 6 8 7 7 7
Beneish M-Score -2.73 -2.66 -2.56 -2.83 -2.79 -2.74 -3.59 -2.32 -2.14 -2.09 -2.46 -1.66 -2.57 -2.17 -2.40 -2.98 -2.42 -3.03 -2.63 -2.53 -2.532
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -12.817
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 26.96%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $274.09
EVA snapshot only $14864228012.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA-
Credit Score 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 80.25 82.75 82.75 82.750
Credit Grade snapshot only 4
Credit Trend snapshot only 0.000
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 100.000

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