— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 8411.T (JPX) · $vol 521M · MZHOF (OTC) · $vol 1M

MFG NYSE

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc.
1W: -1.7% 1M: -1.7% 3M: +5.1% YTD: +46.8% 1Y: +67.1% 3Y: +228.7% 5Y: +342.3%
$10.89
+0.13 (+1.21%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.3%
$10 $10 $11 $11 $12
NYSE · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · Tech Score Neutral · Power 51 · $132.7B mcap · 2.44B float · 0.148% daily turnover · Short 62% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 3Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2023-01-04 Mizuho Securities — $7 $10 +3 +250.9% $2.85
2023-01-04 Mizuho Securities — $8 $7 -1 +145.6% $2.85
2022-12-12 Mizuho Securities — $2 $8 +6 +223.9% $2.47
2022-11-16 Mizuho Securities — $3 $2 -0 +10.6% $2.26
2022-11-16 Mizuho Securities — Initiated $3 — +32.7% $2.26

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
4
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. MFG receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROE (4/5), ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B- B+
2026-07-25 B B-
2026-07-01 B- B
2026-05-20 B B-
2026-05-18 B- B
2026-04-22 B B-
2026-04-21 B+ B
2026-04-14 A- B+
2026-04-08 B+ A-
2026-04-02 A- B+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade D
Profitability
41
Balance Sheet
52
Earnings Quality
63
Growth
56
Value
—
Momentum
0
Safety
—
Cash Flow
8

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
2.22
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-3.05
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.36
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB-
Score: 50.1/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: -1.82x
Accruals: 1.2%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. MFG scores 2.22, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MFG scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. MFG's score of -3.05 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MFG's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MFG receives an estimated rating of BBB- (score: 50.1/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). MFG's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
15.06x
PEG
0.25x
P/S
2.30x
P/B
1.79x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$1467.14
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 15.1x earnings, MFG trades at a reasonable valuation. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $1467.14 per share, suggesting a potential 13372% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.770
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.000
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.188
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.030
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
26.911
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
11.5%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MFG's ROE of 11.5% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 26.91x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$3953.60
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with MFG's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. MFG actually compounded EPS at 32.8% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. MFG trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $3953.60, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 15.1x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$10.88
Median 1Y
$12.99
5th Pctile
$7.88
95th Pctile
$21.39
Ann. Volatility
29.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
52,427
-0.2% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$181,019,913
Rev: $9,490,330,969,000
Profit / Employee
$25,252,910
NI: $1,323,934,306,000
SGA / Employee
—
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
ROE 6.7% 7.0% 6.5% 5.8% 4.8% 5.2% 6.5% 6.1% 7.0% 6.9% 7.0% 7.0% 7.3% 8.2% 8.8% 8.6% 8.5% 9.3% 9.7% 11.5% 11.49%
ROA 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.43%
ROIC 5.7% 9.8% 8.0% -41.2% 91.9% -14.0% -7.4% -4.4% -16.3% 40.9% -65.4% -18.0% 15.7% 2.0% -4.6% -7.3% -4.4% -4.8% -6.7% -8.5% -8.48%
ROCE 1.6% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 1.5% 1.8% 2.2% 2.1% 1.9% 2.2% 2.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.63%
Gross Margin 90.1% 83.8% 76.7% 71.3% 69.5% 60.5% 48.8% 41.7% 40.8% 36.7% 39.8% 30.1% 39.9% 45.4% 41.3% 47.0% 44.8% 49.0% 44.3% 51.7% 51.71%
Operating Margin 36.1% 26.4% 14.4% 7.6% 24.7% 20.8% 18.3% 5.7% 17.7% 14.7% 16.9% 1.5% 17.2% 18.6% 15.7% 1.2% 18.8% 24.2% 19.0% 13.4% 13.41%
Net Margin 36.7% 17.8% 12.3% 8.1% 19.0% 15.3% 15.7% 0.8% 13.8% 8.9% 11.8% 1.6% 12.5% 13.1% 12.1% 1.6% 14.4% 18.6% 14.8% 10.3% 10.26%
EBITDA Margin 36.1% 26.4% 14.4% 7.6% 24.7% 20.8% 18.3% 5.7% 17.7% 14.7% 16.9% 1.5% 17.2% 18.6% 15.7% 1.2% 18.8% 24.2% 19.0% 13.4% 13.41%
FCF Margin 3.2% 4.5% 5.6% 4.8% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 88.1% 61.4% 39.4% 17.9% 2.0% -15.0% -32.0% -50.0% -30.4% -30.44%
OCF Margin 3.3% 4.6% 5.7% 4.8% 3.6% 2.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 90.7% 64.0% 42.2% 20.8% 5.2% -11.4% -28.2% -45.9% -26.3% -26.27%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.71%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 7.61%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.32%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 1.61%
Cash ROA snapshot only -0.75%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 14.53%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 18.79%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 17.42%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 15.063
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.302
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.788
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.253
Graham Number snapshot only $1467.14
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.23 0.26 0.25 0.28 0.27 0.26 0.28 0.34 0.29 0.28 0.30 0.34 0.31 0.32 0.40 0.39 0.40 0.41 0.39 2.04 2.044
Quick Ratio 0.23 0.26 0.25 0.28 0.27 0.26 0.28 0.34 0.29 0.28 0.30 0.34 0.31 0.32 0.40 0.39 0.40 0.41 0.39 2.04 2.044
Debt/Equity 4.66 4.64 4.73 4.51 5.11 4.71 4.44 4.96 5.05 5.60 5.66 5.76 6.44 5.74 5.64 5.83 5.45 5.53 5.76 5.88 5.882
Net Debt/Equity 0.13 -0.30 -0.19 -1.15 -0.94 -1.39 -1.91 -2.39 -1.42 -0.84 -1.10 -1.37 -0.55 -0.96 -2.86 -2.16 -2.93 -2.93 -2.41 -2.31 -2.306
Debt/Assets 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.17 0.18 0.16 0.16 0.18 0.18 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.220
Debt/EBITDA 60.35 57.79 63.82 67.84 80.57 69.78 53.84 58.20 54.10 57.67 55.23 61.72 63.99 53.36 49.35 51.16 49.05 46.85 47.86 41.07 41.073
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.75 -3.72 -2.53 -17.21 -14.89 -20.63 -23.11 -28.01 -15.19 -8.61 -10.76 -14.68 -5.48 -8.93 -25.04 -18.98 -26.33 -24.82 -20.00 -16.10 -16.103
Interest Coverage 2.08 2.42 2.26 1.91 1.29 0.72 0.52 0.35 0.29 0.24 0.24 0.20 0.20 0.22 0.22 0.24 0.25 0.28 0.31 0.36 0.362
Equity Multiplier 24.27 23.86 24.28 26.12 28.13 28.70 28.12 27.84 28.04 28.42 27.49 27.23 28.32 25.97 27.17 27.13 26.43 26.26 26.63 26.71 26.708
Cash Ratio snapshot only 2.044
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.362
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.392
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.039
Defensive Interval snapshot only 13655.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.030
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover — 13.66 — 14.41 — — — — — — — — — — 8.60 8.43 8.56 8.72 4.23 8.33 8.333
Payables Turnover — 0.40 — 0.37 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DSO 0 27 0 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 42 43 43 42 86 44 43.8 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 0 907 0 988 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Cash Conversion Cycle 0 -880 0 -962 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 42 43 43 42 86 44 —
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 7.583
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.093
Capital Intensity snapshot only 35.044
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue -19.0% -11.2% -1.2% -1.8% 7.7% 18.8% 35.9% 72.4% 94.4% 95.4% 81.3% 60.7% 44.4% 30.4% 26.5% 11.6% 0.7% -1.3% -8.2% -1.2% -1.17%
Net Income 46.7% 70.3% 49.2% 12.6% -26.7% -25.3% -0.0% 4.7% 46.0% 33.1% 10.0% 22.2% 12.7% 30.1% 36.3% 30.4% 22.6% 21.7% 17.7% 41.5% 41.49%
EPS 46.7% 70.4% 49.2% 12.7% -26.7% -25.3% 0.0% 4.7% 46.0% 33.0% 9.9% 22.2% 12.7% 30.2% 36.3% 31.5% 23.7% 23.9% 20.3% 45.7% 45.74%
FCF 17.1% 22.1% 8.8% 1.5% 17.2% -39.6% -70.9% -57.3% -36.4% 0.3% 81.8% 20.3% -23.4% -56.0% -81.3% -97.4% -1.2% -1.8% -3.6% -15.7% -15.69%
EBITDA 25.1% 36.5% 18.1% -7.4% -21.8% -21.3% 7.2% 29.0% 56.7% 54.4% 36.8% 22.6% 17.4% 23.6% 18.8% 24.6% 12.7% 12.9% 12.1% 36.8% 36.78%
Op. Income 25.1% 36.5% 18.1% -7.4% -21.8% -21.3% 7.2% 29.0% 56.7% 54.4% 36.8% 22.6% 17.4% 23.6% 18.8% 24.6% 12.7% 12.9% 12.1% 36.8% 36.78%
OCF Growth snapshot only -5.96%
Asset Growth snapshot only 7.14%
Equity Growth snapshot only 8.84%
Debt Growth snapshot only 9.81%
Shares Change snapshot only -2.91%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 1.53%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -8.2% -5.7% -2.3% -6.7% -5.1% -1.2% 0.4% 10.9% 19.2% 27.3% 34.5% 39.6% 44.6% 44.7% 46.1% 45.7% 41.4% 36.0% 28.1% 21.0% 21.01%
Revenue 5Y 1.0% 3.7% 7.2% -1.2% -1.9% -3.3% -1.6% 7.4% 10.1% 14.3% 18.1% 17.6% 19.1% 19.7% 18.3% 19.6% 19.8% 21.6% 23.1% 24.6% 24.58%
EPS 3Y -1.1% 4.4% 5.3% 76.5% 64.9% 1.7% 87.3% 7.4% 16.3% 19.2% 17.9% 13.0% 6.5% 9.0% 14.4% 19.0% 26.7% 29.0% 21.7% 32.8% 32.81%
EPS 5Y -1.4% -0.9% -1.9% -2.5% -5.7% -5.0% 0.7% -0.7% 0.7% 2.5% 5.1% 47.7% 49.2% 1.0% 58.0% 14.8% 17.0% 22.3% 21.9% 22.5% 22.55%
Net Income 3Y -1.1% 4.4% 5.2% 76.4% 64.9% 1.7% 87.3% 7.4% 16.2% 19.2% 17.9% 13.0% 6.5% 9.0% 14.4% 18.6% 26.4% 28.2% 20.8% 31.1% 31.14%
Net Income 5Y -1.5% -0.7% -1.9% -2.5% -5.7% -5.0% 0.7% -0.7% 0.7% 2.5% 5.1% 47.7% 49.1% 1.0% 58.0% 14.6% 16.8% 21.8% 21.3% 21.6% 21.61%
EBITDA 3Y -6.2% 0.2% -0.3% 73.2% 68.9% 1.6% 84.7% 8.0% 15.3% 18.4% 20.1% 13.6% 12.9% 14.5% 20.4% 25.4% 27.5% 29.2% 22.1% 27.8% 27.85%
EBITDA 5Y -5.0% -2.9% -4.1% -5.1% -5.1% -7.3% -1.9% -0.5% 0.3% 4.1% 7.8% 52.4% 54.7% 1.0% 59.3% 14.0% 15.2% 18.3% 18.2% 20.1% 20.07%
Gross Profit 3Y -5.9% -1.1% 5.9% 1.4% 1.8% 3.0% -1.9% 3.9% 5.6% 6.4% 8.3% 8.3% 10.6% 12.2% 14.7% 18.3% 18.6% 18.6% 17.4% 16.8% 16.83%
Gross Profit 5Y 0.7% 4.0% 8.9% -1.2% -3.2% -6.5% -7.8% -0.5% -0.0% 2.4% 7.5% 5.5% 7.5% 9.5% 7.1% 10.5% 10.2% 11.2% 11.5% 12.8% 12.80%
Op. Income 3Y -6.2% 0.2% -0.3% 73.2% 68.9% 1.6% 84.7% 8.0% 15.3% 18.4% 20.1% 13.6% 12.9% 14.5% 20.4% 25.4% 27.5% 29.2% 22.1% 27.8% 27.85%
Op. Income 5Y -5.0% -2.9% -4.1% -5.1% -5.1% -7.3% -1.9% -0.5% 0.3% 4.1% 7.8% 52.4% 54.7% 1.0% 59.3% 14.0% 15.2% 18.3% 18.2% 20.1% 20.07%
FCF 3Y 37.0% 59.7% 81.8% 1.2% — — — — — 1.4% 73.4% 9.0% -17.0% -35.6% -53.7% -76.3% — — — — —
FCF 5Y 12.5% 23.7% 34.1% 28.1% 21.3% 13.0% 2.1% 8.1% 13.9% 19.8% 26.1% 38.7% — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y 34.2% 56.1% 77.6% 1.1% 3.0% — — — — 1.2% 67.1% 8.5% -16.6% -34.5% -51.6% -67.8% — — — — —
OCF 5Y 11.5% 22.2% 32.3% 26.4% 19.6% 11.5% 1.0% 6.8% 12.5% 18.3% 24.5% 35.4% 1.0% — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y 3.0% 3.1% 3.8% 5.7% 7.3% 7.8% 7.3% 5.8% 6.5% 7.2% 7.6% 7.3% 8.8% 6.9% 8.2% 6.1% 3.6% 4.1% 5.7% 6.1% 6.08%
Assets 5Y 2.8% 3.4% 2.0% 3.4% 4.5% 4.2% 3.9% 4.4% 5.1% 5.6% 6.1% 6.8% 7.6% 6.3% 7.0% 5.7% 4.8% 5.5% 6.4% 6.1% 6.12%
Equity 3Y 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 2.2% 3.2% 2.8% 3.5% 3.4% 3.4% 3.9% 4.2% 4.8% 5.8% 7.2% 7.7% 7.6% 7.56%
Book Value 3Y 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 2.2% 3.3% 2.9% 3.5% 3.4% 3.4% 3.9% 4.2% 5.1% 6.1% 7.9% 8.4% 8.9% 8.94%
Dividend 3Y 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 1.6% 1.9% 2.1% 2.6% 3.0% 3.5% 3.9% 5.6% 7.0% 8.5% 9.8% 36.6% 36.63%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.04 0.17 0.24 0.09 0.37 0.59 0.23 0.13 0.20 0.36 0.52 0.52 0.58 0.64 0.64 0.75 0.79 0.84 0.85 0.91 0.910
Earnings Stability 0.11 0.09 0.11 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.12 0.21 0.39 0.80 0.76 0.79 0.89 0.86 0.78 0.82 0.92 0.85 0.849
Margin Stability 0.87 0.87 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.87 0.86 0.83 0.80 0.77 0.75 0.71 0.69 0.68 0.69 0.68 0.70 0.71 0.70 0.69 0.691
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.81 0.50 0.80 0.95 0.89 0.90 1.00 0.98 0.82 0.87 0.96 0.91 0.95 0.88 0.85 0.88 0.91 0.91 0.93 0.83 0.834
Earnings Smoothness 0.62 0.48 0.61 0.88 0.69 0.71 1.00 0.95 0.63 0.72 0.90 0.80 0.88 0.74 0.69 0.74 0.80 0.80 0.84 0.66 0.656
ROE Trend 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.035
Gross Margin Trend 0.17 0.17 0.11 0.09 0.01 -0.08 -0.18 -0.27 -0.32 -0.34 -0.31 -0.30 -0.25 -0.16 -0.11 -0.01 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.077
FCF Margin Trend 3.33 4.59 5.70 4.07 2.00 -0.05 -1.89 -2.13 -2.24 -2.21 -2.21 -2.09 -1.73 -1.33 -1.03 -1.01 -1.04 -1.10 -1.19 -0.76 -0.755
Sustainable Growth Rate 4.5% 4.9% 4.4% 3.7% 2.7% 3.1% 4.4% 3.9% 4.8% 4.7% 4.7% 4.8% 5.1% 5.9% 6.5% 6.1% 5.9% 6.7% 6.9% 5.8% 5.81%
Internal Growth Rate 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.22%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 15.45 20.18 27.91 25.81 24.51 16.38 8.26 10.63 10.75 12.36 13.55 10.49 7.43 4.38 2.11 0.52 -1.09 -2.37 -3.64 -1.82 -1.816
FCF/OCF 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.96 0.93 0.86 0.39 1.31 1.13 1.09 1.16 1.159
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -2.104
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only -1.398
CapEx/Revenue 8.1% 7.8% 7.4% 6.9% 5.9% 4.7% 3.5% 3.1% 2.8% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.8% 2.8% 3.2% 3.6% 3.8% 4.1% 4.2% 4.17%
Accruals Ratio -0.04 -0.05 -0.07 -0.06 -0.04 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.012
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.623
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -2.321
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.75%
Dividend/Share $15.02 $15.03 $15.03 $15.15 $15.28 $15.40 $15.53 $15.78 $16.03 $16.27 $16.52 $17.02 $17.53 $18.03 $18.53 $20.07 $21.46 $23.06 $24.54 $50.76 $29.50
Payout Ratio 31.8% 29.7% 32.0% 36.2% 44.1% 40.8% 33.1% 36.0% 31.7% 32.4% 32.0% 31.8% 30.7% 27.5% 26.3% 28.5% 30.4% 28.4% 29.0% 49.4% 49.43%
FCF Payout Ratio 2.1% 1.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 2.5% 4.1% 3.5% 3.0% 2.7% 2.4% 3.1% 4.3% 6.7% 14.4% 1.4% — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 35.2% 31.9% 33.2% 37.3% 45.1% 41.5% 33.4% 36.4% 32.0% 32.7% 32.4% 32.2% 31.1% 27.9% 26.7% 31.7% 36.4% 36.2% 38.8% 89.8% 89.81%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.83 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.78 0.79 0.81 0.71 0.72 0.69 0.65 0.71 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.74 0.76 0.78 0.78 0.77 0.770
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
EBIT Margin 0.26 0.27 0.24 0.21 0.19 0.18 0.19 0.16 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.19 0.188
Asset Turnover 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.030
Equity Multiplier 24.90 24.46 24.37 25.23 26.15 26.20 26.16 26.98 28.09 28.56 27.79 27.52 28.19 27.13 27.33 27.18 27.37 26.12 26.89 26.91 26.911
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $47.27 $50.59 $46.96 $41.86 $34.66 $37.78 $46.96 $43.83 $50.62 $50.27 $51.63 $53.56 $57.06 $65.44 $70.39 $70.46 $70.56 $81.08 $84.65 $102.69 $102.69
Book Value/Share $737.60 $751.43 $732.61 $716.25 $703.01 $704.17 $706.52 $720.65 $748.90 $755.33 $777.87 $807.23 $814.55 $842.86 $828.70 $830.99 $838.85 $883.38 $901.01 $931.60 $950.92
Tangible Book/Share $689.49 $703.81 $685.60 $668.80 $655.55 $656.01 $659.26 $675.46 $702.76 $708.03 $723.64 $750.02 $755.22 $783.24 $766.19 $766.62 $774.44 $814.13 $830.43 $858.97 $858.97
Revenue/Share $219.30 $224.20 $229.82 $223.69 $236.20 $266.33 $312.41 $385.65 $459.14 $520.11 $565.95 $619.75 $662.86 $678.68 $716.25 $697.46 $673.29 $682.18 $671.47 $710.00 $733.46
FCF/Share $712.41 $1003.12 $1293.58 $1064.59 $835.55 $606.27 $377.05 $454.04 $531.18 $607.90 $684.92 $545.91 $406.85 $267.65 $128.46 $14.29 $-100.98 $-218.31 $-335.86 $-216.11 $0.00
OCF/Share $730.28 $1020.59 $1310.64 $1080.13 $849.57 $618.78 $388.04 $465.90 $543.90 $621.48 $699.37 $561.82 $424.22 $286.48 $148.74 $36.49 $-77.03 $-192.36 $-308.05 $-186.50 $0.00
Cash/Share $3338.68 $3714.20 $3605.72 $4052.45 $4257.17 $4297.53 $4485.52 $5298.51 $4840.08 $4863.39 $5258.75 $5756.40 $5694.54 $5651.41 $7048.59 $6643.12 $7026.35 $7471.34 $7363.69 $7628.68 $4341.42
EBITDA/Share $56.97 $60.39 $54.34 $47.65 $44.59 $47.53 $58.30 $61.46 $69.85 $73.37 $79.70 $75.34 $81.97 $90.73 $94.75 $94.71 $93.21 $104.25 $108.53 $133.42 $133.42
Debt/Share $3438.19 $3489.81 $3468.09 $3232.25 $3592.99 $3316.84 $3138.41 $3577.18 $3779.05 $4231.34 $4401.55 $4650.09 $5245.34 $4841.24 $4676.35 $4845.40 $4572.27 $4883.86 $5193.61 $5480.11 $5480.11
Net Debt/Share $99.50 $-224.39 $-137.62 $-820.20 $-664.17 $-980.69 $-1347.11 $-1721.33 $-1061.02 $-632.05 $-857.20 $-1106.31 $-449.20 $-810.18 $-2372.24 $-1797.72 $-2454.08 $-2587.49 $-2170.09 $-2148.57 $-2148.57
Per Employee
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Employee Count snapshot only 52,427
Revenue/Employee snapshot only $165220478.70
Income/Employee snapshot only $23896717.76
EBITDA/Employee snapshot only $31048488.30
FCF/Employee snapshot only $-50290577.49
Assets/Employee snapshot only $5789972871.42
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.216
Piotroski F-Score 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 7 6 6 5 6 8 8 7 7 6 4 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.88 -3.53 -2.63 -3.67 -2.27 -1.88 -1.47 -0.81 -1.14 -1.59 -2.06 -1.95 -2.23 -2.54 -2.32 -2.83 -2.71 -2.51 -2.59 -3.05 -3.047
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.362
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 3.34%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-16313.64
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Q4'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB-
Credit Score 34.70 35.30 44.90 43.10 30.65 32.00 31.40 37.40 31.40 31.40 36.80 36.20 34.70 38.45 37.55 37.55 36.05 36.05 36.05 50.15 50.150
Credit Grade snapshot only 10
Credit Trend snapshot only 12.600
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 350.000

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