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MGHL OTC

Morgan Group Holding Co.
1W: +0.0% 1M: +0.0% 3M: +0.0% YTD: +8.9% 1Y: +51.7% 3Y: +37.5% 5Y: -64.8%
$2.20
+0.00 (+0.00%)
 
OTC · Financial Services · Financial - Capital Markets · Tech Score Sell · Power 49 · $1.3M mcap · 191842 float · 0.022% daily turnover · Short 62% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$7
Avg Target
$7
High
Based on 1 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 4Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$7.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-06-04 Morgan Stanley Sanjit Singh Initiated $7 — +180.0% $2.50

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
4
ROA
5
D/E
2
P/E
4
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. MGHL receives an overall rating of A. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROE (4/5), ROA (5/5), P/E (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-09-01 A+ A
2026-08-11 A A+
2026-07-31 A+ A
2026-07-02 B+ A+
2026-06-30 None ADDED
2026-06-22 EXISTED None
2026-06-17 None ADDED
2026-05-25 EXISTED None
2026-05-20 None ADDED
2026-05-19 EXISTED None

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 35 Grade D
Profitability
25
Balance Sheet
27
Earnings Quality
60
Growth
77
Value
41
Momentum
72
Safety
0
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. MGHL scores highest in Growth (77/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
-219.28
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.70
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-4.55
Bankruptcy prob: 1.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B
Score: 26.1/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 2.02x
Accruals: 7.5%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. MGHL scores -219.28, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MGHL scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. MGHL's score of -2.70 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MGHL's implied 1.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MGHL receives an estimated rating of B (score: 26.1/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
6.72x
PEG
-0.03x
P/S
0.50x
P/B
0.90x
P/FCF
-2.07x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
5.58x
EV/Revenue
-0.33x
EV/EBIT
5.54x
EV/FCF
2.65x
Earnings Yield
-23.88%
FCF Yield
-48.33%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 6.7x earnings, MGHL trades at a deep value multiple.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.000
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.035
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.059
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.214
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.694
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-12.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MGHL's ROE of -12.6% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.214), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.00 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$2.20
Median 1Y
$0.29
5th Pctile
$0.01
95th Pctile
$7.02
Ann. Volatility
191.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
4
-20.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$502,750
Rev: $2,011,000
Profit / Employee
$-237,250
NI: $-949,000
SGA / Employee
$256,892
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
ROE -1.3% -1.1% -99.7% -1.0% -26.9% -34.9% -48.4% -54.0% -41.1% -40.3% -34.8% -32.3% -37.1% -39.0% -48.1% -56.8% -51.0% -49.7% -30.6% -12.6% -12.57%
ROA -97.8% -93.4% -82.8% -83.7% -20.8% -29.0% -39.2% -42.6% -31.7% -31.0% -25.4% -22.2% -24.5% -24.8% -30.0% -34.9% -28.9% -25.9% -16.2% -7.4% -7.42%
ROIC 7.4% -39.1% -5.9% 12.2% 9.3% -11.2% -43.7% -32.9% -8.4% 4.5% 4.8% 2.8% 3.7% 1.3% 7.9% 8.2% 2.2% 1.6% 90.8% -52.9% -52.95%
ROCE -85.2% -73.9% -66.4% -68.1% -35.5% -43.9% -61.9% -64.2% -51.7% -50.4% -42.2% -38.5% -45.0% -48.0% -62.8% -78.5% -67.9% -65.7% -35.7% -13.0% -12.96%
Gross Margin — -0.2% -3.7% 5.2% -16.0% -28.8% -35.3% -2.2% 35.6% -9.6% -9.6% 5.4% 26.0% -2.0% -8.3% 1.0% 29.9% 3.3% 25.8% 24.2% 24.16%
Operating Margin — -29.0% -39.8% -30.1% -55.9% -82.9% -1.2% -73.4% 4.9% -68.2% -73.9% -45.7% -8.5% -55.6% -81.0% -47.6% 6.6% 7.7% -6.9% 28.3% 28.26%
Net Margin — -19.6% -28.0% -24.4% -71.5% -82.9% -1.2% -73.4% 4.8% -68.2% -73.9% -45.7% -10.1% -55.6% -81.0% -47.6% 5.9% -28.8% -6.9% 1.1% 1.14%
EBITDA Margin — -28.8% -39.5% -29.8% -55.6% -82.5% -1.2% -72.8% 5.1% -67.7% -73.4% -45.1% -8.1% -55.1% -80.5% -47.3% 6.7% -28.6% -6.7% 0.7% 0.70%
FCF Margin -66.0% -56.8% -82.6% -96.2% -41.5% -47.7% -53.3% -92.0% -57.4% -30.1% -23.6% -20.5% -30.0% -28.7% -49.2% -53.0% -51.2% -62.8% -29.0% -12.4% -12.36%
OCF Margin -66.0% -56.8% -82.6% -96.2% -41.5% -47.6% -53.3% -91.9% -57.4% -30.1% -23.6% -20.5% -30.0% -28.7% -49.2% -53.0% -51.2% -62.8% -29.0% -12.3% -12.32%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -43.74%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -51.46%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -26.59%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 12.70%
Cash ROA snapshot only -15.40%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 6.76%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -6.11%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 38.67%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
P/E Ratio -9.09 -7.30 -2.33 -1.45 -2.94 -2.81 -1.60 -1.42 -0.82 -0.71 -0.76 -1.16 -1.26 -1.11 -0.76 -0.69 -0.67 -0.79 -0.79 -4.19 6.722
P/S Ratio 5.63 4.00 1.30 1.07 0.95 1.31 1.08 1.23 0.43 0.34 0.28 0.36 0.60 0.49 0.35 0.32 0.27 0.26 0.13 0.26 0.504
P/B Ratio 6.09 4.17 1.18 0.75 0.91 1.19 1.02 1.05 0.42 0.36 0.32 0.45 0.58 0.54 0.48 0.55 0.46 0.52 0.29 0.56 0.904
P/FCF -8.53 -7.05 -1.58 -1.12 -2.28 -2.74 -2.02 -1.34 -0.76 -1.14 -1.18 -1.77 -1.99 -1.69 -0.70 -0.60 -0.52 -0.42 -0.46 -2.07 -2.069
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA -5.88 -4.32 -0.41 0.43 0.34 -0.50 -0.05 -0.09 1.03 1.46 1.80 1.75 1.17 1.61 0.94 0.68 1.16 1.09 2.46 5.58 5.579
EV/Revenue 4.62 3.06 0.30 -0.42 -0.12 0.24 0.03 0.08 -0.54 -0.70 -0.65 -0.54 -0.54 -0.69 -0.42 -0.30 -0.45 -0.36 -0.40 -0.33 -0.327
EV/EBIT -5.87 -4.31 -0.41 0.43 0.33 -0.50 -0.05 -0.09 1.02 1.45 1.78 1.72 1.15 1.59 0.92 0.67 1.15 1.08 2.43 5.54 5.544
EV/FCF -7.00 -5.38 -0.36 0.43 0.30 -0.50 -0.06 -0.08 0.94 2.33 2.75 2.63 1.80 2.40 0.85 0.57 0.88 0.57 1.39 2.65 2.647
Earnings Yield -11.0% -13.7% -42.9% -69.2% -34.0% -35.6% -62.5% -70.6% -1.2% -1.4% -1.3% -86.2% -79.1% -90.4% -1.3% -1.4% -1.5% -1.3% -1.3% -23.9% -23.88%
FCF Yield -11.7% -14.2% -63.4% -89.6% -43.8% -36.4% -49.4% -74.8% -1.3% -88.0% -84.9% -56.4% -50.3% -59.0% -1.4% -1.7% -1.9% -2.4% -2.2% -48.3% -48.33%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.562
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only -1.515
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only -3.824
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Current Ratio 3.72 5.68 5.60 5.25 5.37 5.52 4.36 4.98 2.81 3.13 2.80 2.47 2.46 2.22 2.19 2.42 1.91 1.79 1.82 2.18 2.178
Quick Ratio 3.72 5.68 5.60 5.25 5.37 5.52 4.36 4.98 2.81 3.13 2.80 2.47 2.46 2.22 2.19 2.42 1.91 1.79 1.82 2.18 2.178
Debt/Equity 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.37 0.21 0.21 0.213
Net Debt/Equity -1.09 -0.99 -0.91 -1.04 -1.03 -0.97 -0.99 -0.98 -0.95 -1.09 -1.07 -1.11 -1.10 -1.30 -1.06 -1.08 -1.24 -1.23 -1.15 -1.28 -1.280
Debt/Assets 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.17 0.10 0.12 0.121
Debt/EBITDA -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.48 -0.56 -0.61 -1.65 -1.653
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.28 1.34 1.38 1.54 2.93 2.22 1.61 1.42 1.85 2.18 2.57 2.92 2.46 2.74 1.71 1.38 1.84 1.89 3.27 9.94 9.939
Interest Coverage — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -177.27 -150.47 -78.87 -28.80 -28.799
Equity Multiplier 1.35 1.20 1.21 1.23 1.22 1.21 1.27 1.34 1.42 1.44 1.51 1.62 1.64 1.78 1.76 1.64 1.97 2.15 2.06 1.76 1.757
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.973
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -28.618
Cash to Debt snapshot only 7.012
FCF to Debt snapshot only -1.275
Defensive Interval snapshot only 995.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Asset Turnover 1.58 1.70 1.48 1.13 0.65 0.62 0.58 0.49 0.60 0.64 0.70 0.71 0.52 0.56 0.66 0.76 0.73 0.78 0.97 1.21 1.214
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 16.16 40.06 20.09 48.74 9.46 14.03 9.36 14.15 25.18 14.75 14.07 10.76 8.78 7.18 5.72 8.73 6.25 4.93 4.29 13.65 13.654
Payables Turnover 71070.23 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DSO 23 9 18 7 39 26 39 26 14 25 26 34 42 51 64 42 58 74 85 27 26.7 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Cash Conversion Cycle 23 9 18 7 39 26 39 26 14 25 26 34 42 51 64 42 58 74 85 27 —
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 448.141
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.470
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.800
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Revenue — 2.0% 19.6% -44.4% -32.1% -38.7% -36.4% -30.2% -33.0% -23.6% -14.3% 3.9% -32.4% -28.7% -26.0% -21.6% 6.5% 8.1% 13.7% 12.2% 12.23%
Net Income -71.6% -2.1% -46.3% -21.8% 64.7% 48.0% 23.3% 18.3% -9.9% 20.7% 53.5% 62.4% 39.6% 35.2% 8.0% -14.8% 10.7% 18.0% 58.1% 85.1% 85.08%
EPS -4.9% 75.1% -33.7% -11.3% 64.7% 48.0% 23.3% 18.3% -9.9% 20.7% 53.5% 62.4% 39.6% 35.2% 8.0% -14.8% 10.7% 18.0% 58.1% 85.1% 85.08%
FCF -50.5% -78.9% -1.2% -75.0% 57.3% 48.7% 59.0% 33.3% 7.2% 51.7% 62.0% 76.8% 64.7% 32.1% -54.0% -1.0% -81.8% -1.4% 32.9% 73.8% 73.82%
EBITDA -87.8% -2.2% -50.4% -25.4% 68.4% 58.4% 43.3% 41.2% 3.9% 23.9% 52.4% 60.5% 40.4% 36.1% 8.9% -14.1% 10.1% 17.3% 58.3% 85.4% 85.39%
Op. Income -88.0% -2.2% -50.4% -25.4% 68.2% 58.3% 43.2% 41.1% 3.9% 23.7% 52.1% 60.2% 40.2% 35.9% 8.9% -13.7% 10.3% 39.4% 79.3% 1.2% 1.21%
OCF Growth snapshot only 73.91%
Asset Growth snapshot only -5.54%
Equity Growth snapshot only -11.86%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.00%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — — — — 12.3% -13.3% -26.1% -32.5% -30.6% -26.1% -17.1% -21.6% -16.2% -10.4% -2.9% -2.93%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.7% -11.3% -18.7% -18.70%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 68.3% 1.2% — — — — —
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y 3.9% 4.4% 4.7% 5.3% 5.8% 1.9% 2.0% 2.0% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.4% -25.1% -22.6% -27.4% -32.4% -24.2% -21.7% -20.1% -22.5% -22.52%
Assets 5Y 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 1.9% 72.6% 73.4% 68.2% 77.9% 82.5% 83.7% 83.6% 83.61%
Equity 3Y 3.5% 4.1% 4.4% 5.0% 6.2% 1.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% -29.8% -32.0% -35.9% -38.6% -35.4% -35.4% -31.9% -29.2% -29.20%
Book Value 3Y 71.1% 94.1% 1.1% 1.3% 1.7% 13.1% 20.3% 18.3% 21.6% 24.0% 1.7% 2.0% -29.8% -32.0% -35.9% -38.6% -35.4% -35.4% -31.9% -29.2% -29.20%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Revenue Stability 0.41 0.60 0.68 0.48 0.55 0.63 0.59 0.28 0.36 0.36 0.26 0.06 0.04 0.05 0.10 0.26 0.11 0.02 0.91 0.72 0.723
Earnings Stability 0.42 0.62 0.71 0.71 0.39 0.61 0.76 0.75 0.29 0.37 0.31 0.24 0.05 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.28 0.73 0.82 0.818
Margin Stability — — — — — 0.08 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.91 0.50 0.81 0.91 0.93 0.96 0.92 0.50 0.50 0.84 0.86 0.97 0.94 0.96 0.93 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend 1.71 4.29 8.86 15.34 0.23 4.55 8.79 15.18 -0.03 -0.01 0.15 0.25 -0.04 -0.02 -0.10 -0.23 -0.20 -0.17 0.17 0.45 0.455
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — 0.16 0.02 -0.11 0.13 0.15 0.20 0.24 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.05 0.02 0.07 0.12 0.118
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — 0.29 0.11 -0.29 -0.04 0.22 0.44 0.74 0.19 0.10 -0.11 0.03 -0.08 -0.33 0.07 0.24 0.244
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.07 1.04 1.48 1.30 1.29 1.02 0.79 1.06 1.09 0.62 0.65 0.65 0.64 0.65 1.08 1.15 1.29 1.88 1.73 2.02 2.017
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.003
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.024
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.04%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.988
Accruals Ratio 0.06 0.03 0.40 0.25 0.06 0.01 -0.08 0.02 0.03 -0.12 -0.09 -0.08 -0.09 -0.09 0.02 0.05 0.08 0.23 0.12 0.08 0.075
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.075
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -298.407
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 9.0% 13.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 7.6% 11.6% -8.0% -13.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 7.6% 11.6% -8.0% -13.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.79 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.88 0.96 1.03 1.06 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.03 1.035
EBIT Margin -0.79 -0.71 -0.73 -0.97 -0.37 -0.48 -0.65 -0.82 -0.53 -0.48 -0.37 -0.31 -0.47 -0.43 -0.45 -0.46 -0.39 -0.33 -0.17 -0.06 -0.059
Asset Turnover 1.58 1.70 1.48 1.13 0.65 0.62 0.58 0.49 0.60 0.64 0.70 0.71 0.52 0.56 0.66 0.76 0.73 0.78 0.97 1.21 1.214
Equity Multiplier 1.34 1.20 1.20 1.23 1.29 1.20 1.23 1.27 1.30 1.30 1.37 1.46 1.51 1.58 1.60 1.63 1.76 1.91 1.88 1.69 1.694
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-6.74 $-5.48 $-4.61 $-4.50 $-2.38 $-2.85 $-3.53 $-3.67 $-2.62 $-2.26 $-1.64 $-1.38 $-1.58 $-1.46 $-1.51 $-1.58 $-1.41 $-1.20 $-0.63 $-0.24 $-0.24
Book Value/Share $10.06 $9.59 $9.07 $8.63 $7.68 $6.74 $5.54 $4.96 $5.06 $4.48 $3.90 $3.58 $3.48 $3.02 $2.38 $2.00 $2.07 $1.82 $1.75 $1.76 $2.43
Tangible Book/Share $10.06 $9.59 $9.07 $8.63 $7.68 $6.74 $5.54 $4.96 $5.06 $4.48 $3.90 $3.58 $3.48 $3.02 $2.38 $2.00 $2.07 $1.82 $1.75 $1.76 $1.76
Revenue/Share $10.89 $9.99 $8.25 $6.06 $7.39 $6.12 $5.24 $4.23 $4.96 $4.67 $4.49 $4.39 $3.35 $3.33 $3.32 $3.44 $3.57 $3.60 $3.78 $3.87 $4.36
FCF/Share $-7.19 $-5.68 $-6.82 $-5.83 $-3.07 $-2.92 $-2.79 $-3.89 $-2.85 $-1.41 $-1.06 $-0.90 $-1.01 $-0.96 $-1.63 $-1.83 $-1.83 $-2.26 $-1.10 $-0.48 $0.21
OCF/Share $-7.19 $-5.68 $-6.82 $-5.83 $-3.07 $-2.91 $-2.79 $-3.89 $-2.85 $-1.41 $-1.06 $-0.90 $-1.01 $-0.96 $-1.63 $-1.83 $-1.83 $-2.26 $-1.09 $-0.48 $0.21
Cash/Share $10.98 $9.45 $8.27 $9.01 $7.91 $6.53 $5.48 $4.88 $4.81 $4.87 $4.17 $3.97 $3.81 $3.92 $2.53 $2.15 $3.23 $2.90 $2.40 $2.63 $3.19
EBITDA/Share $-8.56 $-7.08 $-6.01 $-5.86 $-2.70 $-2.94 $-3.41 $-3.45 $-2.60 $-2.24 $-1.62 $-1.36 $-1.55 $-1.43 $-1.48 $-1.55 $-1.39 $-1.18 $-0.62 $-0.23 $-0.23
Debt/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.67 $0.67 $0.37 $0.37 $0.37
Net Debt/Share $-10.98 $-9.45 $-8.27 $-9.01 $-7.91 $-6.53 $-5.48 $-4.88 $-4.81 $-4.87 $-4.17 $-3.97 $-3.81 $-3.92 $-2.53 $-2.15 $-2.56 $-2.24 $-2.02 $-2.25 $-2.25
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -219.282
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -89.191
Piotroski F-Score 1 2 2 3 3 2 3 1 2 4 4 5 3 4 2 2 3 4 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score — 82.21 1.89 -2.82 — -3.24 -4.07 -3.62 -1.81 -2.30 -1.50 -3.43 -1.43 -1.10 -2.35 -0.61 -2.46 -1.71 -2.30 -2.70 -2.703
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.554
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -14.46%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $1.57
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B
Credit Score 33.58 33.22 33.44 33.02 32.94 31.92 31.97 32.26 32.31 32.37 33.09 32.45 33.41 32.58 33.12 32.48 23.78 23.55 24.98 26.11 26.113
Credit Grade snapshot only 15
Credit Trend snapshot only -6.362
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 750.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 11
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 12

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