— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

ML NYSE

MoneyLion Inc.
1W: -0.3% 1M: -1.9% 3M: -0.9% 1Y: +18.6% 3Y: +31.9%
$85.90
Last traded 2025-04-16 — delisted
NYSE · Technology · Software - Application · $972.4M mcap · 9M float · 2.52% daily turnover · Short 31% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
54.7 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 9.5%
Cost Advantage
58
Intangibles
76
Switching Cost
40
Network Effect
67
Scale
27
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. ML shows a Weak competitive edge (54.7/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 9.5% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 3Hold: 3Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2024-12-11 Lake Street Jacob Stephan $109 $82 -27 -6.8% $88.02
2024-11-07 Oppenheimer Rayna Kumar Initiated $80 — +15.5% $69.24
2024-10-16 Northland Securities Mike Grondahl Initiated $60 — +24.1% $48.34
2024-05-07 Loop Capital Markets Jacob Stephan Initiated $109 — +45.9% $74.70
2024-04-15 Lake Street Jacob Stephan Initiated $109 — +37.1% $79.53
2024-04-03 Needham Kyle Peterson Initiated $90 — +34.1% $67.10

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 75 Grade A
Profitability
28
Balance Sheet
77
Earnings Quality
39
Growth
75
Value
36
Momentum
100
Safety
100
Cash Flow
99
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. ML scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Profitability (28/100). An overall grade of A places ML among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
27.05
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-4.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.52
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A-
Score: 68.9/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 21.98x
Accruals: -37.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. ML scores 27.05, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. ML scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. ML's score of -4.57 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. ML's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. ML receives an estimated rating of A- (score: 68.9/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). ML's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
102.26x
PEG
0.07x
P/S
1.78x
P/B
3.22x
P/FCF
53.86x
P/OCF
51.41x
EV/EBITDA
181.05x
EV/Revenue
18.89x
EV/EBIT
329.42x
EV/FCF
53.75x
Earnings Yield
0.09%
FCF Yield
1.86%
Shareholder Yield
0.04%
Graham Number
$2.04
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 102.3x earnings, ML is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $2.04 per share, 4118% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.963
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.303
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.057
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.056
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.886
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
3.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. ML's ROE of 3.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.056), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.96 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$0.65
Price/Value
132.93x
Margin of Safety
-13193.02%
Premium
13193.02%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with ML's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. ML trades at a 13193% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $0.65, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 102.3x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1174 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$85.90
Median 1Y
$45.52
5th Pctile
$10.31
95th Pctile
$202.57
Ann. Volatility
86.9%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
ROE -17.0% 98.5% -37.7% 1.0% -1.3% -1.8% -27.0% -63.9% -25.0% -1.1% -53.2% -58.2% -53.9% -25.5% -10.7% 0.7% 1.2% 3.3% 3.34%
ROA -68.6% -32.2% -33.0% -94.6% -74.5% -57.8% -17.5% -17.3% -12.9% -33.1% -27.7% -29.8% -27.9% -8.1% -5.3% 0.4% 0.6% 1.8% 1.77%
ROIC -2.2% 45.4% -1.5% 16.4% 1.2% -20.2% -14.3% -17.9% -18.1% -39.5% -15.7% -11.0% -5.6% -1.2% 1.9% 7.8% 5.9% 9.5% 9.52%
ROCE -16.1% -33.5% -30.3% -97.6% -38.4% -37.8% -16.0% -13.7% -12.8% -34.4% -30.5% -33.6% -30.7% -3.8% -1.0% 4.8% 5.8% 7.0% 6.97%
Gross Margin 94.9% 94.7% 70.1% 93.8% 95.9% 96.6% 69.6% 66.4% 67.5% 71.6% 68.2% 69.7% 65.3% 41.5% 43.4% 41.3% 66.9% 1.3% 1.34%
Operating Margin -5.2% -28.4% -1.3% -9.6% -42.0% -59.6% -50.3% -30.8% -26.7% -22.5% -3.7% -1.6% 1.0% -1.1% 9.1% 4.4% 3.0% 3.7% 3.69%
Net Margin -32.3% -1.4% -2.3% -1.1% -53.8% -63.7% 0.2% -26.4% -23.7% -1.4% -9.8% -26.0% -3.7% -3.7% 5.8% 2.4% -2.1% 1.1% 1.09%
EBITDA Margin -18.8% -1.3% -2.2% -50.6% -51.0% -52.3% -41.3% -10.8% -7.8% -1.2% 4.8% -13.6% 8.6% 6.9% 14.3% 11.0% 10.0% 7.4% 7.44%
FCF Margin 16.0% 11.3% 10.7% 8.2% -0.7% -5.3% -10.5% -10.1% -7.6% -1.6% 1.5% 11.0% 19.9% 26.1% 31.1% 32.0% 34.9% 35.1% 35.14%
OCF Margin 16.7% 12.0% 11.1% 8.6% -0.3% -5.0% -9.9% -8.8% -5.4% 1.0% 4.0% 13.3% 21.6% 27.5% 32.7% 33.6% 36.8% 36.8% 36.82%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -66.15%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -12.41%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -77.06%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 6.44%
Cash ROA snapshot only 38.76%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 74.59%
CROIC snapshot only 71.19%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 4.70%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 1.74%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 24.73%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 5.09%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
P/E Ratio -59.13 -12.76 -4.15 -3.06 -8.49 -5.20 -5.71 -3.80 -2.75 -0.89 -0.79 -0.57 -1.25 -14.43 -29.09 466.28 155.78 1129.91 102.262
P/S Ratio 19.07 11.12 6.11 4.14 10.74 5.40 2.79 1.21 0.73 0.47 0.41 0.29 0.55 1.54 1.87 1.87 1.00 18.93 1.781
P/B Ratio 10.08 -12.56 1.57 -3.09 6.38 3.96 1.31 0.75 0.54 1.63 0.56 0.44 0.86 2.54 3.11 3.19 1.78 35.52 3.220
P/FCF 119.37 98.36 57.19 50.47 -1568.08 -102.12 -26.59 -12.00 -9.50 -28.89 26.83 2.62 2.74 5.92 6.01 5.85 2.88 53.86 53.864
P/OCF 114.47 92.72 54.91 48.07 — — — — — 47.52 10.21 2.18 2.53 5.61 5.72 5.57 2.73 51.41 51.409
EV/EBITDA -101.60 -15.82 -5.73 -4.69 -8.63 -6.39 -6.37 -4.44 -4.50 -1.69 -2.01 -1.62 -2.71 105.65 47.50 20.36 10.61 181.05 181.051
EV/Revenue 19.07 11.72 7.65 5.00 8.92 5.31 3.06 1.55 1.11 0.81 0.72 0.57 0.79 1.79 2.11 2.09 1.12 18.89 18.891
EV/EBIT -95.32 -15.55 -5.67 -4.07 -7.60 -5.61 -5.19 -3.98 -3.69 -1.49 -1.69 -1.37 -2.25 -42.89 -195.17 41.79 20.45 329.42 329.415
EV/FCF 119.34 103.62 71.63 60.94 -1301.67 -100.44 -29.16 -15.35 -14.52 -49.90 46.81 5.15 3.98 6.86 6.77 6.55 3.22 53.75 53.752
Earnings Yield -1.7% -7.8% -24.1% -32.7% -11.8% -19.2% -17.5% -26.3% -36.3% -1.1% -1.3% -1.8% -80.1% -6.9% -3.4% 0.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.09%
FCF Yield 0.8% 1.0% 1.7% 2.0% -0.1% -1.0% -3.8% -8.3% -10.5% -3.5% 3.7% 38.2% 36.5% 16.9% 16.6% 17.1% 34.7% 1.9% 1.86%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.072
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 79.242
EV/OCF snapshot only 51.302
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 25.198
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 386.967
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.04%
Graham Number snapshot only $2.04
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Current Ratio -0.61 3.84 2.04 6.13 9.39 5.95 8.73 7.91 6.97 5.47 6.48 6.54 7.00 5.88 6.90 6.98 6.49 3.71 3.712
Quick Ratio -0.61 3.84 2.04 6.13 9.39 5.39 7.50 6.65 6.97 5.47 6.48 6.56 7.00 5.88 6.90 6.98 5.81 3.71 3.712
Debt/Equity 0.00 -1.15 0.40 -0.83 0.19 0.80 0.54 0.58 0.60 2.37 0.78 0.80 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.75 0.61 0.41 0.407
Net Debt/Equity -0.00 — 0.40 — -1.08 -0.07 0.13 0.21 0.29 1.19 0.42 0.42 0.39 0.41 0.40 0.38 0.21 -0.07 -0.074
Debt/Assets 0.00 0.38 0.35 0.77 0.09 0.38 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.39 0.37 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.38 0.32 0.23 0.229
Debt/EBITDA -0.00 -1.38 -1.16 -1.04 -0.31 -1.31 -2.42 -2.69 -3.26 -1.42 -1.60 -1.51 -1.64 27.45 10.46 4.28 3.23 2.08 2.081
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.03 -0.80 -1.16 -0.81 1.77 0.11 -0.56 -0.97 -1.55 -0.71 -0.86 -0.79 -0.84 14.59 5.36 2.17 1.12 -0.38 -0.376
Interest Coverage -5.35 -22.95 -35.80 -29.81 -29.04 -22.34 -10.23 -5.67 -3.78 -6.20 -4.96 -5.17 -4.76 -0.62 -0.17 0.87 1.03 1.29 1.291
Equity Multiplier 0.00 -3.06 1.14 -1.07 2.02 2.11 1.83 1.89 1.89 6.09 2.07 2.04 2.00 2.00 1.99 1.96 1.88 1.78 1.782
Cash Ratio snapshot only 2.025
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.349
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.181
FCF to Debt snapshot only 1.619
Defensive Interval snapshot only 244.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Asset Turnover 212.60 0.37 0.22 0.70 0.59 0.56 0.36 0.54 0.49 0.63 0.53 0.59 0.64 0.76 0.82 0.89 0.96 1.06 1.056
Inventory Turnover — — — — — 0.90 0.98 1.72 — 5.97 4.14 3.78 — — — — 13.97 — —
Receivables Turnover — 0.77 1.12 1.30 2.48 5.21 4.91 2.31 2.50 27.24 3.92 5.00 5.46 4.07 4.76 21.45 23.06 4.93 4.932
Payables Turnover — 0.11 36.64 0.78 0.81 0.55 1.23 1.57 1.77 2.24 5.24 2.53 2.56 3.01 8.20 5.44 11.24 5.22 5.216
DSO 0 477 326 281 147 70 74 158 146 13 93 73 67 90 77 17 16 74 74.0 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 407 372 212 0 61 88 96 0 0 0 -1 26 0 0.0 days
DPO 0 3213 10 470 451 661 296 232 206 163 70 144 143 121 45 67 32 70 70.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 0 -2736 316 -188 -304 -184 150 138 -60 -88 112 25 -76 -32 32 -51 9 4 4.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 329.255
Cash Velocity snapshot only 3.900
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.950
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue — — — — 5.0% 2.7% 1.6% 1.2% 1.2% 99.2% 75.6% 49.5% 34.5% 24.3% 23.6% 23.7% 23.4% 28.9% 28.92%
Net Income — — — — -22.4% -3.5% 12.6% 48.1% 54.6% -1.4% -87.0% -1.4% -1.2% 74.9% 84.7% 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 1.20%
EPS — — — — -3.8% 12.5% 81.7% 89.3% 59.3% 9.7% -63.4% -1.0% -78.3% 79.3% 88.6% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.02%
FCF — — — — -1.3% -2.8% -3.6% -3.7% -23.3% 38.9% 1.3% 2.6% 4.5% 21.0% 24.1% 2.6% 1.2% 73.9% 73.88%
EBITDA — — — — -31.9% -3.2% 5.3% 27.9% 48.0% -14.7% -30.4% -50.4% -59.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.4% 6.9% 6.95%
Op. Income — — — — -23.3% -6.3% -10.2% -8.7% -3.1% -91.8% 16.6% 55.8% 78.6% 95.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.8% 6.0% 5.99%
OCF Growth snapshot only 72.78%
Asset Growth snapshot only 0.65%
Equity Growth snapshot only 13.11%
Debt Growth snapshot only -39.75%
Shares Change snapshot only 10.54%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -1.00%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.6% 1.1% 78.8% 59.5% 53.6% 47.2% 47.22%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.3% 81.1% 54.6% 30.1% 25.7% 38.2% 38.18%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.8% 1.8% 1.6% 1.5% — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.8% 1.8% 1.6% 1.5% — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 15.8% 60.9% 15.3% 48.3% 4.2% 1.8% 1.80%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 80.2% — -4.2% — 6.7% 7.6% 7.65%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — -5.1% — -50.7% — -9.8% -57.0% -57.03%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 8.0% -49.9% -48.0% -64.3% -41.0% — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — — 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.982
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — — 0.18 0.76 0.61 0.10 0.43 0.00 0.12 0.30 0.00 0.18 0.176
Margin Stability — — — — — — — — 0.87 0.83 0.87 0.88 0.85 0.79 0.79 0.76 0.76 0.83 0.828
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — — 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — 0.26 — -0.40 — -0.22 1.13 0.36 0.49 0.46 1.04 1.039
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — -0.19 -0.24 -0.17 -0.14 -0.12 -0.19 -0.23 -0.27 -0.22 0.10 0.102
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — -0.15 -0.05 0.01 0.12 0.24 0.30 0.36 0.32 0.29 0.23 0.229
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -0.4% 0.1% 3.3% 3.34%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.0% 1.8% 1.80%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
OCF/Net Income -0.52 -0.14 -0.08 -0.06 0.00 0.05 0.20 0.28 0.21 -0.02 -0.08 -0.26 -0.49 -2.57 -5.09 83.77 57.06 21.98 21.979
FCF/OCF 0.96 0.94 0.96 0.95 2.17 1.06 1.06 1.15 1.40 -1.65 0.38 0.83 0.92 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.954
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 20.977
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 3.529
CapEx/Revenue 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 1.3% 2.2% 2.6% 2.5% 2.2% 1.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6% 1.9% 1.7% 1.68%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.357
Accruals Ratio -104.01 -0.37 -0.36 -1.01 -0.74 -0.55 -0.14 -0.13 -0.10 -0.34 -0.30 -0.38 -0.42 -0.29 -0.32 -0.30 -0.35 -0.37 -0.371
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.211
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 21.938
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 4.3% 3.9% 8.0% 4.0% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.13 $0.13 $0.13 $0.80 $0.66 $0.96 $0.87 $0.58 $0.51 $0.25 $0.25 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.6% 93.2% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — 1.0% 20.9% 11.0% 5.5% 4.3% 2.0% 1.7% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.2% 2.4% 45.9% 45.93%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — 4.72 7.68 7.65 -0.12 0.04 -0.66 -0.65 — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 2.4% 3.9% 7.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.04%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -18.9% -29.3% -46.9% -87.1% -1.9% -0.5% -0.3% 0.3% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.01%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -18.9% -29.3% -46.7% -86.8% -1.4% 3.8% 3.6% 8.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.01%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.36 1.11 1.06 1.07 1.07 1.08 0.80 0.75 0.72 0.85 1.02 1.02 1.05 1.09 1.13 0.51 1.03 0.96 0.963
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.19 1.04 1.03 1.03 1.01 1.02 1.03 1.09 1.22 1.14 1.20 1.19 1.18 2.35 5.26 0.16 0.11 0.30 0.303
EBIT Margin -0.20 -0.75 -1.35 -1.23 -1.17 -0.95 -0.59 -0.39 -0.30 -0.54 -0.42 -0.42 -0.35 -0.04 -0.01 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.057
Asset Turnover 212.60 0.37 0.22 0.70 0.59 0.56 0.36 0.54 0.49 0.63 0.53 0.59 0.64 0.76 0.82 0.89 0.96 1.06 1.056
Equity Multiplier 0.00 -3.06 1.14 -1.07 1.70 3.19 1.55 3.70 1.93 3.29 1.92 1.95 1.93 3.13 2.03 2.00 1.94 1.89 1.886
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-4.99 $-26.58 $-71.97 $-97.62 $-23.91 $-23.25 $-13.18 $-10.43 $-9.73 $-20.98 $-21.54 $-21.03 $-17.34 $-4.35 $-2.45 $0.16 $0.27 $0.08 $0.08
Book Value/Share $29.26 $-26.99 $190.87 $-96.70 $31.82 $30.52 $57.62 $52.55 $49.29 $11.40 $30.55 $27.47 $25.04 $24.70 $22.90 $23.03 $23.36 $2.42 $26.67
Tangible Book/Share $29.26 $-47.58 $172.01 $-115.22 $27.76 $20.36 $8.91 $5.46 $4.31 $-14.31 $5.99 $7.41 $7.34 $7.75 $8.30 $9.11 $9.68 $1.09 $1.09
Revenue/Share $15.46 $30.48 $48.89 $72.14 $18.90 $22.39 $27.00 $32.61 $36.95 $39.68 $41.45 $41.57 $39.66 $40.67 $38.17 $39.29 $41.37 $4.54 $50.05
FCF/Share $2.47 $3.45 $5.22 $5.91 $-0.13 $-1.18 $-2.83 $-3.30 $-2.82 $-0.64 $0.64 $4.59 $7.90 $10.60 $11.87 $12.57 $14.42 $1.60 $17.59
OCF/Share $2.58 $3.66 $5.44 $6.21 $-0.06 $-1.12 $-2.67 $-2.88 $-2.01 $0.39 $1.67 $5.51 $8.55 $11.17 $12.47 $13.21 $15.22 $1.67 $18.43
Cash/Share $0.07 $12.95 $0.37 $17.87 $40.48 $26.40 $24.05 $19.56 $15.49 $13.49 $11.00 $10.48 $9.22 $8.85 $8.63 $8.53 $9.26 $1.17 $12.83
EBITDA/Share $-2.90 $-22.57 $-65.29 $-76.80 $-19.54 $-18.61 $-12.96 $-11.40 $-9.10 $-19.01 $-14.77 $-14.63 $-11.61 $0.69 $1.69 $4.04 $4.38 $0.47 $0.47
Debt/Share $0.00 $31.10 $75.80 $79.79 $5.97 $24.41 $31.32 $30.63 $29.63 $27.02 $23.68 $22.10 $19.02 $18.90 $17.70 $17.29 $14.15 $0.99 $0.99
Net Debt/Share $-0.07 $18.15 $75.43 $61.92 $-34.51 $-1.99 $7.27 $11.07 $14.13 $13.53 $12.69 $11.62 $9.80 $10.04 $9.07 $8.77 $4.89 $-0.18 $-0.18
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 27.051
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 46.082
Piotroski F-Score 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 4 3 4 3 4 4 6 5 7 7 7 7
Beneish M-Score — — — — -3.17 -2.72 -2.01 -0.99 0.44 -2.77 -4.10 -4.64 -4.92 -3.57 -3.62 -3.43 -4.03 -4.57 -4.573
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.515
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 16.55%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $0.24
EVA snapshot only $-1292963.16
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A-
Credit Score 35.77 20.00 60.03 20.00 59.20 31.72 32.37 33.37 28.89 25.88 30.62 34.63 36.56 30.82 35.28 47.19 40.08 68.91 68.913
Credit Grade snapshot only 7
Credit Trend snapshot only 38.093
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 175.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 59
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 54

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