— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: MTLRP.ME (MCX) · $vol 1M · MTL (NYSE) · $vol 1M · MTL-P (NYSE)

MTLR.ME MCX

Mechel PAO
1W: -2.8% 1M: +4.8% 3M: +10.1% YTD: -45.9% 1Y: -43.8% 3Y: -87.8% 5Y: -65.4%
₽39.36 ($0.47)
-0.08 (-0.20%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.7%
₽37 ₽38 ₽40 ₽41 ₽43
MCX · Basic Materials · Steel · Tech Score Neutral · Power 54 · ₽7.7B mcap · 202M float · 9.22% daily turnover

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 0Hold: 4Sell: 2Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B-
Oct 04, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
5
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. MTLR.ME receives an overall rating of B-. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROE (5/5). Areas of concern: ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-09-14 None ADDED
2026-07-06 EXISTED None
2026-04-26 C- C
2026-04-21 C C-
2026-04-14 C- C
2026-04-13 C C-
2026-04-12 C- C
2026-02-24 D+ C-
2026-01-05 None ADDED
2026-01-04 EXISTED None

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 10 Grade D
Profitability
3
Balance Sheet
0
Earnings Quality
30
Growth
12
Value
23
Momentum
20
Safety
0
Cash Flow
42
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. MTLR.ME scores highest in Cash Flow (42/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-3.03
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.81
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
2.99
Bankruptcy prob: 95.2%
High Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 9.5/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -1.67x
Accruals: -33.2%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. MTLR.ME scores -3.03, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MTLR.ME scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. MTLR.ME's score of -2.81 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MTLR.ME's implied 95.2% bankruptcy probability signals significant financial distress. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MTLR.ME receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 9.5/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-0.37x
PEG
0.00x
P/S
0.19x
P/B
-0.06x
P/FCF
0.43x
P/OCF
0.34x
EV/EBITDA
25.03x
EV/Revenue
1.27x
EV/EBIT
-17.50x
EV/FCF
7.54x
Earnings Yield
-174.79%
FCF Yield
230.23%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. MTLR.ME currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.129
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.560
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.073
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.968
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
-1.467
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
18.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MTLR.ME's ROE of 18.2% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.968), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.13 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$39.65
Median 1Y
$32.05
5th Pctile
$12.66
95th Pctile
$81.00
Ann. Volatility
55.9%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE -1.0% 17.9% 0.1% 10.3% -0.3% -17.7% -10.0% -30.8% -39.6% -53.8% -62.9% -64.3% -47.9% -20.0% 7.5% -7.0% -25.2% -47.2% -3.0% 18.2% 18.19%
ROA 0.8% -14.2% -0.1% -9.8% 0.3% 17.2% 11.1% 33.5% 37.4% 48.5% 52.9% 39.7% 25.7% 10.4% -3.9% 2.4% 8.5% 9.4% 2.2% -12.4% -12.40%
ROIC 7.0% 14.8% 16.6% 15.1% 22.2% 23.3% 55.1% 73.2% 83.4% 96.9% 99.4% 77.1% 55.2% 39.2% -50.5% 43.9% 40.5% 27.2% 52.2% 6.0% 5.98%
ROCE -31.4% 0.9% -0.2% 12.0% 5.5% -14.2% -27.9% -62.5% -87.9% -1.0% -1.0% -1.8% -1.3% -90.5% -57.7% 36.5% 36.5% 7.1% 4.3% 8.7% 8.65%
Gross Margin 32.6% 38.9% 32.0% 38.0% 33.9% 41.8% 45.3% 45.0% 44.3% 44.3% 44.3% 36.7% 36.7% 37.7% 37.7% 38.9% 38.9% 99.4% 11.5% 11.5% 11.48%
Operating Margin 3.7% 10.3% -2.1% 9.9% 16.0% 17.1% 27.9% 28.1% 26.6% 28.2% 28.2% 16.2% 16.2% 16.9% 16.9% 18.3% 18.3% 87.4% -14.5% -14.5% -14.49%
Net Margin -14.3% -54.0% 74.2% -40.3% 23.9% 10.4% 22.0% 20.7% 24.1% 27.9% 27.9% -3.5% -3.5% -1.8% -1.8% 12.2% 12.2% -35.1% -35.3% -35.3% -35.34%
EBITDA Margin 7.2% -34.3% 28.9% -21.5% 30.7% 23.8% 35.8% 32.7% 29.1% 31.0% 31.0% 17.5% 17.5% 20.8% 20.8% 19.2% 19.2% -97.0% -7.6% -7.6% -7.63%
FCF Margin 17.3% 18.1% 17.6% 14.6% 12.5% 11.3% 11.8% 12.6% 16.7% 15.7% 15.4% 17.1% 15.1% 15.0% 14.9% 12.4% 10.1% 11.3% 13.3% 16.9% 16.88%
OCF Margin 19.4% 20.6% 20.0% 16.7% 14.3% 12.8% 13.3% 14.2% 18.3% 17.3% 17.1% 19.4% 18.0% 18.8% 19.7% 17.7% 15.8% 17.1% 18.7% 21.5% 21.46%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.05%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 10.83%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 5.98%
Cash ROA snapshot only 25.32%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 1.57%
CROIC snapshot only 1.23%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 0.82%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -11.35%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 22.36%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 13.08 -0.66 -232.35 -1.18 47.85 0.73 1.65 1.06 0.75 0.39 0.42 0.35 0.68 2.35 -7.33 13.26 5.64 1.45 5.33 -0.57 -0.367
P/S Ratio 0.11 0.10 0.12 0.11 0.15 0.12 0.12 0.21 0.15 0.09 0.11 0.07 0.10 0.15 0.19 0.21 0.31 0.11 0.10 0.07 0.190
P/B Ratio -0.13 -0.11 -0.14 -0.12 -0.16 -0.14 -0.17 -0.38 -0.37 -0.25 -0.31 -0.33 -0.43 -0.61 -0.71 -1.06 -1.63 94.82 -0.11 -0.07 -0.064
P/FCF 0.61 0.58 0.67 0.78 1.17 1.08 0.98 1.64 0.89 0.59 0.70 0.42 0.65 1.02 1.29 1.68 3.07 1.00 0.75 0.43 0.434
P/OCF 0.55 0.51 0.59 0.68 1.02 0.95 0.87 1.46 0.82 0.53 0.63 0.37 0.55 0.81 0.97 1.18 1.96 0.66 0.53 0.34 0.342
EV/EBITDA 7.08 40.81 25.80 -26.08 157.61 8.04 5.33 3.34 2.72 2.20 2.27 2.06 2.55 3.42 1.05 4.23 4.63 3.59 8.15 25.03 25.035
EV/Revenue 1.46 1.58 1.25 1.39 1.38 1.29 1.08 1.05 0.84 0.71 0.70 0.57 0.64 0.77 0.20 0.83 0.92 0.71 1.09 1.27 1.273
EV/EBIT 9.41 -272.24 696.91 -14.01 -32.27 12.57 7.07 3.88 3.05 2.43 2.50 2.60 3.98 6.05 2.33 9.88 11.38 13.27 -36.28 -17.50 -17.498
EV/FCF 8.44 8.72 7.13 9.51 11.03 11.45 9.12 8.33 5.01 4.51 4.56 3.34 4.27 5.11 1.36 6.67 9.14 6.28 8.21 7.54 7.539
Earnings Yield 7.6% -1.5% -0.4% -84.8% 2.1% 1.4% 60.7% 94.4% 1.3% 2.6% 2.4% 2.8% 1.5% 42.6% -13.7% 7.5% 17.7% 69.1% 18.8% -1.7% -1.75%
FCF Yield 1.6% 1.7% 1.5% 1.3% 85.7% 92.7% 1.0% 61.0% 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 2.4% 1.5% 98.0% 77.7% 59.4% 32.6% 99.8% 1.3% 2.3% 2.30%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.005
EV/OCF snapshot only 5.932
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 5.205
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 122.986
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.14 0.16 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.20 0.23 0.26 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.66 0.66 1.26 0.17 0.17 0.170
Quick Ratio 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.19 0.19 0.17 0.17 0.26 0.26 1.26 0.09 0.09 0.086
Debt/Equity -1.66 -1.55 -1.35 -1.31 -1.34 -1.36 -1.46 -1.59 -1.81 -1.81 -1.81 -2.52 -2.61 -2.65 -0.25 -3.24 -3.32 499.16 -1.13 -1.13 -1.131
Net Debt/Equity — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 499.16 — — —
Debt/Assets 1.30 1.34 1.61 1.73 1.69 1.57 1.49 1.39 1.24 1.24 1.24 0.99 1.03 1.00 0.09 0.92 0.94 0.76 1.42 1.42 1.418
Debt/EBITDA 6.63 38.75 23.71 -24.24 141.73 7.34 4.84 2.72 2.38 2.04 2.04 1.98 2.38 2.97 0.34 3.25 3.16 3.02 7.42 23.64 23.636
Net Debt/EBITDA 6.57 38.10 23.36 -23.94 140.93 7.28 4.75 2.69 2.23 1.92 1.92 1.80 2.16 2.74 0.05 3.16 3.07 3.02 7.41 23.59 23.592
Interest Coverage 1.36 -0.05 0.02 -1.15 -0.47 1.31 2.23 4.27 4.73 7.25 10.55 15.98 — — — — — 1570.49 -774.75 -1548.40 -1548.400
Equity Multiplier -1.27 -1.16 -0.84 -0.76 -0.79 -0.87 -0.98 -1.14 -1.46 -1.46 -1.46 -2.54 -2.54 -2.64 -2.64 -3.52 -3.52 655.70 -0.80 -0.80 -0.797
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.001
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 1082.271
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.002
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.140
Defensive Interval snapshot only 214.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.94 0.90 1.05 1.02 1.05 1.03 1.57 1.72 1.86 2.04 2.09 1.93 1.77 1.60 1.49 1.50 1.55 1.21 1.18 0.97 0.968
Inventory Turnover 4.52 4.27 4.27 4.09 4.17 3.79 4.20 4.09 4.28 4.48 4.63 4.42 4.17 3.86 3.72 3.68 3.77 5.77 3.72 3.24 3.242
Receivables Turnover 18.33 13.71 14.77 14.78 17.16 12.46 15.83 16.87 20.23 19.77 19.75 18.60 18.34 16.50 15.40 15.90 16.43 17.35 10.20 8.34 8.342
Payables Turnover 7.21 4.70 4.44 4.20 5.68 3.70 4.29 4.86 7.30 6.18 6.96 12.86 10.61 17.01 8.18 — 12.33 149.75 4.64 6.89 6.895
DSO 20 27 25 25 21 29 23 22 18 18 18 20 20 22 24 23 22 21 36 44 43.8 days
DIO 81 85 85 89 88 96 87 89 85 81 79 83 88 95 98 99 97 63 98 113 112.6 days
DPO 51 78 82 87 64 99 85 75 50 59 52 28 34 21 45 0 30 2 79 53 52.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 50 34 28 27 45 27 25 36 53 41 45 74 73 95 77 122 89 82 55 103 103.4 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.165
Operating Cycle snapshot only 156.3 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 453.173
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.847
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue -5.1% -7.2% -11.0% -12.9% -10.5% -5.8% 15.8% 35.0% 51.5% 65.0% 46.4% 27.7% 8.0% -9.7% -18.6% -13.8% -6.5% -24.2% -28.9% -43.2% -43.23%
Net Income -80.9% -3.2% -1.0% -2.8% -66.5% 2.0% 161.1% 3.7% 98.7% 1.4% 4.3% 34.5% -21.9% -75.3% -1.1% -93.4% -64.5% -9.2% 1.5% -5.6% -5.62%
EPS -84.1% -3.2% -1.0% -2.9% -65.7% 2.0% 164.6% 3.7% 98.7% 1.8% 5.4% 62.4% -5.7% -75.3% -1.1% -93.4% -64.5% -9.2% 1.5% -5.6% -5.62%
FCF -17.8% -12.3% -10.9% -23.2% -35.5% -41.4% -22.0% 16.5% 1.0% 1.3% 90.4% 73.5% -2.7% -13.6% -21.1% -37.5% -37.4% -43.0% -36.7% -22.8% -22.84%
EBITDA -15.1% -86.2% -83.1% -1.2% -96.2% 2.9% 3.8% 9.0% 52.5% 2.3% 1.2% 13.2% -11.6% -36.9% -49.5% -39.3% -26.1% -33.4% -50.4% -85.3% -85.26%
Op. Income -36.7% -41.4% -56.7% -52.8% -26.6% 5.0% 2.7% 4.7% 3.4% 3.3% 1.1% 38.8% -2.3% -34.7% -51.5% -41.9% -28.7% -32.5% -52.1% -96.6% -96.57%
OCF Growth snapshot only -31.24%
Asset Growth snapshot only -30.50%
Debt Growth snapshot only 7.02%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.00%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 2.4% -0.1% -2.3% -4.4% -3.9% -2.7% 1.3% 4.5% 8.8% 13.0% 14.7% 14.5% 13.5% 11.9% 11.3% 14.1% 15.2% 4.1% -5.4% -14.5% -14.53%
Revenue 5Y -3.6% -4.2% -5.6% -6.6% 1.0% 1.7% 4.4% 8.8% 7.8% 9.1% 9.6% 8.6% 7.7% 6.5% 4.4% 4.6% 5.4% -0.3% -2.7% -6.0% -6.00%
EPS 3Y -34.4% — — — -60.9% 2.7% 26.7% 73.1% 75.8% 85.8% 91.8% 1.0% 2.2% — — — 2.2% -13.9% -35.2% — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — 57.3% 39.8% 99.8% 50.0% 41.1% 1.0% — -11.1% 12.7% 7.5% -21.3% — —
Net Income 3Y -30.3% — — — -58.8% 2.6% 25.8% 82.6% 85.5% 73.2% 78.8% 89.3% 2.0% — — — 2.0% -19.2% -39.1% — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — 62.4% 39.0% 98.7% 49.1% 40.4% 94.7% — -11.6% 12.1% 3.1% -24.5% — —
EBITDA 3Y -1.3% -47.4% -41.9% — -69.0% -11.5% -4.1% 14.1% 19.8% 21.2% 22.4% 22.8% 21.5% 1.0% 76.1% — 2.3% 11.5% -17.6% -53.4% -53.40%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — 25.1% 14.3% 13.4% 16.3% 11.5% 7.2% 7.6% -0.1% 0.4% 2.4% -5.6% -14.4% -30.2% -30.21%
Gross Profit 3Y -5.7% -9.0% -11.8% -13.2% -11.9% -9.5% -3.1% 2.0% 9.7% 15.4% 19.2% 18.9% 17.9% 14.8% 13.6% 16.6% 17.9% 5.9% -11.7% -28.8% -28.78%
Gross Profit 5Y -3.8% -5.4% -7.9% -9.5% -1.4% -0.1% 3.8% 8.9% 6.5% 7.5% 8.1% 6.3% 5.1% 3.4% -0.0% 0.9% 2.9% -2.0% -6.2% -14.0% -14.01%
Op. Income 3Y -9.6% -20.2% -33.6% -37.7% -26.1% -17.9% 0.9% 12.5% 27.3% 38.3% 50.7% 55.3% 47.1% 43.4% 56.5% 66.4% 45.7% 23.7% -20.9% -69.7% -69.75%
Op. Income 5Y 35.0% 11.8% -4.6% -12.6% -0.8% 4.9% 16.8% 24.3% 19.2% 18.1% 18.2% 13.9% 11.9% 9.2% 1.2% 2.8% 7.5% 3.1% -4.5% -40.5% -40.49%
FCF 3Y 2.0% -0.7% -6.3% -13.3% -16.1% -19.3% -14.4% -11.6% 2.5% 5.7% 9.8% 15.8% 8.4% 5.2% 5.4% 8.1% 7.4% 4.1% -1.7% -5.7% -5.75%
FCF 5Y 25.2% 20.8% 25.5% 16.1% 46.9% 29.9% 16.5% 14.7% 6.8% 5.7% 4.1% 5.6% 3.2% 0.8% -1.2% -5.6% -8.1% -10.3% -7.9% -5.6% -5.62%
OCF 3Y 2.7% 0.5% -5.6% -12.6% -15.7% -19.0% -14.0% -10.9% 2.6% 6.0% 10.0% 15.8% 10.6% 8.6% 10.7% 16.4% 19.2% 14.6% 6.1% -1.8% -1.83%
OCF 5Y 6.9% 7.2% 8.9% 5.4% 30.6% 23.7% 17.8% 17.5% 6.7% 5.8% 4.0% 6.1% 4.3% 3.0% 2.4% -0.6% -1.1% -4.2% -3.4% -3.4% -3.41%
Assets 3Y -1.3% -0.7% -15.5% -15.1% -15.3% -13.9% -13.3% -11.7% -9.2% -9.7% -10.1% -7.9% -6.8% -5.8% 11.2% 11.3% 11.9% 5.5% -3.3% -4.8% -4.76%
Assets 5Y -3.5% -2.2% -11.5% -11.3% -10.7% -9.7% -9.3% -8.1% -6.1% -6.4% -6.1% -4.7% -4.5% -3.4% -3.4% -3.1% -3.1% -5.7% -10.4% -10.2% -10.22%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Dividend 3Y -3.0% -3.0% -3.0% — -45.2% -41.8% -41.8% — -34.1% -25.5% -25.5% — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.32 0.56 0.74 0.85 0.08 0.15 0.41 0.50 0.33 0.31 0.44 0.48 0.54 0.49 0.43 0.49 0.55 0.08 0.00 0.01 0.015
Earnings Stability 0.68 0.48 0.66 0.45 0.37 0.29 0.50 0.38 0.33 0.28 0.49 0.43 0.51 0.26 0.06 0.14 0.24 0.10 0.00 0.01 0.010
Margin Stability 0.88 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.89 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.90 0.91 0.92 0.89 0.80 0.800
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.91 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.96 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 — — — 0.00 — — — 0.00 0.19 0.00 0.71 0.75 0.00 — 0.00 0.05 0.90 — — —
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend -0.08 -0.07 -0.08 -0.06 -0.04 -0.03 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.04 0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.08 -0.16 -0.158
FCF Margin Trend -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.06 -0.07 -0.06 -0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.00 0.02 0.01 -0.02 -0.06 -0.04 -0.02 0.02 0.021
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate 0.3% — — — 0.2% 20.7% 12.2% 49.9% 59.5% 94.1% 1.1% 65.9% 34.5% 11.7% — 2.4% 9.3% 10.4% 2.3% — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 23.93 -1.30 -393.53 -1.73 46.97 0.77 1.89 0.73 0.91 0.73 0.68 0.94 1.24 2.88 -7.53 11.24 2.88 2.20 9.99 -1.67 -1.674
FCF/OCF 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.87 0.88 0.89 0.89 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.88 0.84 0.80 0.76 0.70 0.64 0.66 0.71 0.79 0.787
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -1.317
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 4.221
CapEx/Revenue 2.1% 2.4% 2.5% 2.1% 1.8% 1.6% 1.5% 1.6% 1.5% 1.6% 1.8% 2.3% 2.9% 3.8% 4.8% 5.3% 5.8% 5.9% 5.4% 4.6% 4.58%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.893
Accruals Ratio -0.18 -0.33 -0.21 -0.27 -0.15 0.04 -0.10 0.09 0.03 0.13 0.17 0.02 -0.06 -0.20 -0.33 -0.24 -0.16 -0.11 -0.20 -0.33 -0.332
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -1.135
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 4.690
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 4.8% 5.0% 4.7% 0.0% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $3.03 $3.03 $3.03 $0.00 $0.60 $0.60 $0.60 $0.80 $0.20 $0.24 $0.24 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 62.9% — — — 36.1% 0.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — —
FCF Payout Ratio 2.9% 2.9% 3.1% 0.0% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 62.9% — — — 1.4% 2.5% 5.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — —
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 — 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number 0.14 0.14 0.14 — -0.80 -0.80 -0.80 — -0.66 -0.66 -0.66 — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.8% 2.2% 2.5% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.8% 2.2% 2.5% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 4.8% 5.0% 4.7% 2.8% 2.9% 3.4% 3.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.20 1.24 0.00 0.48 -0.02 5.68 0.80 0.93 0.90 0.86 0.85 0.85 0.79 0.85 0.57 1.64 0.89 0.84 0.44 1.13 1.129
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.27 21.97 -61.07 2.02 3.32 0.29 0.58 0.78 0.81 0.95 1.07 1.10 1.13 0.60 -0.53 0.11 0.76 1.74 -1.43 1.56 1.560
EBIT Margin 0.16 -0.01 0.00 -0.10 -0.04 0.10 0.15 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.28 0.22 0.16 0.13 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.05 -0.03 -0.07 -0.073
Asset Turnover 0.94 0.90 1.05 1.02 1.05 1.03 1.57 1.72 1.86 2.04 2.09 1.93 1.77 1.60 1.49 1.50 1.55 1.21 1.18 0.97 0.968
Equity Multiplier -1.29 -1.26 -1.12 -1.05 -1.03 -1.03 -0.91 -0.92 -1.06 -1.11 -1.19 -1.62 -1.87 -1.91 -1.91 -2.97 -2.97 -5.01 -1.35 -1.47 -1.467
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $4.83 $-91.75 $-0.28 $-52.16 $1.65 $93.26 $45.87 $142.52 $164.85 $265.28 $291.96 $231.41 $155.51 $65.48 $-24.56 $15.29 $55.14 $59.43 $12.50 $-70.60 $-70.60
Book Value/Share $-491.23 $-559.76 $-468.45 $-531.87 $-499.83 $-482.95 $-435.78 $-392.49 $-333.39 $-402.55 $-402.55 $-246.42 $-246.42 $-252.74 $-252.74 $-190.88 $-190.88 $0.91 $-585.36 $-585.36 $-549.20
Tangible Book/Share $-518.57 $-587.32 $-489.23 $-553.19 $-521.08 $-504.21 $-456.96 $-414.38 $-355.25 $-428.95 $-428.95 $-314.35 $-314.35 $-311.69 $-270.39 $-241.62 $-241.62 $0.89 $-621.78 $-621.78 $-621.78
Revenue/Share $594.07 $581.00 $550.89 $540.57 $543.14 $558.93 $651.86 $730.61 $822.68 $1113.22 $1152.04 $1126.18 $1072.31 $1005.03 $937.75 $970.24 $1002.74 $762.28 $666.75 $550.83 $289.91
FCF/Share $102.91 $105.17 $96.79 $78.86 $67.77 $63.00 $77.09 $91.99 $137.76 $174.58 $177.26 $192.73 $161.81 $150.80 $139.80 $120.52 $101.24 $85.89 $88.54 $92.99 $57.72
OCF/Share $115.50 $119.40 $110.36 $90.05 $77.65 $71.77 $86.58 $103.46 $150.46 $192.55 $197.44 $218.50 $192.82 $188.85 $184.88 $171.90 $158.92 $130.54 $124.86 $118.19 $67.11
Cash/Share $7.76 $14.48 $9.47 $8.50 $3.78 $5.10 $10.72 $8.39 $36.42 $43.98 $43.98 $58.55 $58.69 $52.16 $52.38 $17.85 $18.11 $0.00 $1.22 $1.22 $1.22
EBITDA/Share $122.62 $22.46 $26.73 $-28.74 $4.74 $89.74 $131.99 $229.20 $253.73 $357.07 $356.30 $313.16 $270.97 $225.43 $179.90 $190.03 $200.16 $150.19 $89.20 $28.00 $28.00
Debt/Share $813.03 $870.40 $633.94 $696.64 $672.20 $658.50 $638.19 $623.92 $603.38 $728.54 $728.54 $620.99 $643.88 $669.22 $61.98 $618.50 $632.90 $453.06 $661.90 $661.90 $661.90
Net Debt/Share $805.27 $855.92 $624.47 $688.14 $668.42 $653.40 $627.48 $615.53 $566.95 $684.56 $684.56 $562.43 $585.19 $617.05 $9.60 $600.64 $614.80 $453.05 $660.69 $660.69 $660.69
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -3.026
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -15.953
Piotroski F-Score 4 3 5 6 7 7 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 5 7 7 7 5 3 3
Beneish M-Score -3.16 -4.01 -4.17 -4.59 -3.77 -2.38 -2.57 -1.60 -1.82 -1.52 -1.52 -1.75 -2.05 -2.86 -3.79 -3.56 -3.15 3001.80 -1.84 -2.81 -2.806
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only 2.995
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-858.35
EVA snapshot only $-1226138157.34
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 14.56 9.21 11.88 17.43 9.08 12.86 19.97 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 52.03 10.26 9.55 9.550
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -10.450
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 0
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 0

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