MUSA NYSE
Murphy USA Inc.
1W: -0.8%
1M: +5.2%
3M: -10.5%
YTD: +33.0%
1Y: +42.5%
3Y: +49.1%
5Y: +226.1%
$531.00
-8.14 (-1.51%)
After Hours: $537.50 (+6.50, +1.22%)
Weekly Expected Move ±2.9%
$504
$519
$535
$550
$565
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 61% of companies Debt: 21.6% of company value Bonds: $118.8M held by 168 funds, 110 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $9.61 (down 98%), Murphy USA Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.74B against a stock market value of $9.91B.
Distance to default 6.38 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.10B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 39.5%; Altman Z'' 4.19. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $9.61 (down 98%), Murphy USA Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.74B against a stock market value of $9.91B.
Distance to default 6.38 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.10B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 39.5%; Altman Z'' 4.19. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Institutions
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Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+17.4% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+27.0% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+17.4%
Day 205 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+27.0%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+33.0%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
33%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
🌧️
-0.9%
Midterm
☁️
-0.6%
38% win
26% vol
Feb
20yr
🌫️
-0.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-6.6%
54% win
33% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+2.8%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.5%
77% win
38% vol
Apr
20yr
⛅
+3.1%
Midterm
☁️
-0.9%
46% win
34% vol
May
20yr
⛅
+5.3%
Midterm
☀️
+10.2%
54% win
35% vol
Jun
20yr
☀️
+8.1%
Midterm
☀️
+9.7%
54% win
29% vol
Jul
20yr
☀️
+13.5%
Midterm
☀️
+20.0%
77% win
29% vol
Aug
20yr
🌧️
+14.4%
Midterm
☀️
+26.9%
64% win
25% vol
Sep
20yr
⛅
+15.1%
Midterm
☀️
+24.1%
50% win
27% vol
Oct
20yr
⛅
+18.2%
Midterm
☀️
+31.9%
57% win
33% vol
Now:
+6.8%
Nov
20yr
☀️
+25.8%
Midterm
☀️
+35.0%
69% win
28% vol
Dec
20yr
🌧️
-0.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-0.9%
46% win
25% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +33.0%