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Also trades as: NHPEF (OTC) · $vol 0M

NHC.AX ASX

New Hope Corporation Limited
1W: +2.1% 1M: -4.3% 3M: +18.0% YTD: +22.7% 1Y: +38.8% 3Y: +18.7% 5Y: +266.7%
A$5.81 ($4.04)
+0.09 (+1.57%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±5.0%
A$5 A$6 A$6 A$6 A$6
ASX · Energy · Coal · Tech Score Sell · Power 43 · A$4.9B mcap · 485M float · 0.531% daily turnover

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
3
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. NHC.AX receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-08-28 A- B+
2026-08-27 B+ A-
2026-08-25 A- B+
2026-08-17 B+ A-
2026-08-11 A- B+
2026-08-10 B+ A-
2026-06-22 A- B+
2026-04-30 B+ A-
2026-04-28 A- B+
2026-04-24 B+ A-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 54 Grade A+
Profitability
67
Balance Sheet
94
Earnings Quality
67
Growth
6
Value
86
Momentum
42
Safety
100
Cash Flow
62
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. NHC.AX scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Growth (6/100). An overall grade of A+ places NHC.AX among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
5.67
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-3.39
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-11.04
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AAA
Score: 96.7/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 1.89x
Accruals: -15.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. NHC.AX scores 5.67, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. NHC.AX scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. NHC.AX's score of -3.39 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. NHC.AX's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. NHC.AX receives an estimated rating of AAA (score: 96.7/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). NHC.AX's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
29.99x
PEG
-0.48x
P/S
2.80x
P/B
1.88x
P/FCF
6.78x
P/OCF
3.86x
EV/EBITDA
2.98x
EV/Revenue
1.12x
EV/EBIT
4.39x
EV/FCF
6.18x
Earnings Yield
13.71%
FCF Yield
14.74%
Shareholder Yield
13.03%
Graham Number
$7.04
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 30.0x earnings, NHC.AX commands a growth premium. An earnings yield of 13.7% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $7.04 per share, suggesting a potential 21% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.963
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.685
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.256
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.002
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.373
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
23.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. NHC.AX's ROE of 23.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.002), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.96 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$27.39
Price/Value
0.19x
Margin of Safety
81.05%
Premium
-81.05%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with NHC.AX's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. NHC.AX actually compounded EPS at 122.6% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. At an intrinsic value of $27.39, NHC.AX appears undervalued with a 81% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 30.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$5.83
Median 1Y
$6.37
5th Pctile
$3.11
95th Pctile
$13.14
Ann. Volatility
43.1%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
ROE -4.1% 0.9% 4.7% 11.0% 20.6% 21.4% 21.0% 3.0% -6.7% -4.2% 9.2% 52.6% 85.9% 97.0% 88.3% 64.3% 47.9% 35.5% 28.1% 23.3% 23.28%
ROA -3.6% 0.8% 4.1% 9.4% 16.3% 16.4% 15.9% 2.2% -4.6% -2.8% 6.4% 34.9% 60.1% 68.8% 67.9% 45.3% 35.8% 27.0% 21.9% 17.0% 16.95%
ROIC 1.3% 2.1% 7.8% 15.2% 19.3% 19.7% 19.8% 16.4% 11.4% 14.4% 28.4% 63.9% 1.1% 1.1% 95.0% 75.3% 51.7% 31.1% 21.6% 18.0% 17.95%
ROCE 1.5% 4.0% 10.1% 16.7% 24.7% 24.6% 23.8% 6.4% -5.2% -2.4% 12.6% 54.1% 93.4% 1.0% 1.0% 79.4% 53.7% 43.8% 35.4% 29.4% 29.38%
Gross Margin 27.9% 43.1% 43.9% 50.6% 51.6% 39.0% 37.7% 23.4% 24.9% 44.9% 54.3% 66.2% 66.1% 62.9% 51.1% 48.4% 52.4% 40.4% 33.8% 38.2% 38.22%
Operating Margin -4.5% 20.8% 22.1% 33.9% 35.8% 21.6% 18.5% 9.1% -2.7% 32.0% 47.8% 61.6% 59.6% 53.4% 42.8% 37.1% 40.0% -1.3% 12.8% 18.6% 18.60%
Net Margin -18.7% 18.2% 15.4% 23.6% 19.5% 13.1% 11.3% -48.7% -13.7% 21.0% 32.2% 42.8% 42.8% 36.8% 29.4% 23.7% 33.5% 12.7% 6.7% 11.3% 11.29%
EBITDA Margin 14.7% 34.0% 32.3% 43.1% 44.3% 30.5% 30.2% 18.9% 1.5% 43.7% 53.8% 66.6% 65.9% 59.0% 51.6% 44.9% 46.8% 44.2% 27.1% 31.6% 31.62%
FCF Margin -10.1% -2.3% 9.0% 18.4% 25.6% 21.1% 17.9% 14.1% 10.6% 17.7% 29.0% 36.0% 45.8% 45.7% 38.3% 36.2% 22.6% 15.5% 18.9% 18.2% 18.18%
OCF Margin 9.2% 13.1% 21.2% 28.1% 34.2% 29.1% 25.6% 23.0% 19.7% 25.9% 34.7% 39.9% 49.5% 50.7% 46.1% 46.3% 35.9% 31.5% 33.4% 32.0% 31.97%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 43.44%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 28.83%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 30.89%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 34.03%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 13.62%
Cash ROA snapshot only 31.40%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 50.99%
CROIC snapshot only 29.00%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 11.25%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 17.55%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 17.98%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.15%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
P/E Ratio -9.03 47.01 8.61 5.94 5.33 3.22 2.53 13.68 -6.22 -15.03 8.21 2.89 2.40 1.82 1.95 2.34 3.27 3.71 5.09 7.29 29.990
P/S Ratio 0.66 0.66 0.54 0.73 1.03 0.57 0.42 0.31 0.35 0.55 0.59 0.85 0.90 0.72 0.77 0.81 1.02 0.94 1.03 1.23 2.804
P/B Ratio 0.39 0.42 0.40 0.64 1.04 0.66 0.52 0.43 0.45 0.67 0.75 1.32 1.72 1.50 1.56 1.44 1.52 1.29 1.40 1.67 1.881
P/FCF -6.52 -29.02 6.02 3.98 4.02 2.69 2.33 2.17 3.28 3.08 2.04 2.37 1.97 1.57 2.00 2.25 4.51 6.10 5.45 6.78 6.784
P/OCF 7.16 5.01 2.57 2.61 3.01 1.95 1.63 1.34 1.77 2.11 1.71 2.14 1.82 1.42 1.66 1.76 2.84 3.00 3.08 3.86 3.859
EV/EBITDA 3.47 2.72 1.41 1.60 2.76 1.87 1.55 1.45 2.31 2.38 1.38 1.37 1.17 0.96 1.11 1.25 1.78 1.81 2.33 2.98 2.980
EV/Revenue 0.58 0.54 0.38 0.53 1.08 0.70 0.57 0.46 0.52 0.63 0.50 0.71 0.71 0.60 0.69 0.71 0.91 0.85 0.96 1.12 1.124
EV/EBIT 21.79 7.63 2.50 2.40 3.57 2.51 2.16 6.89 -9.03 -21.12 4.08 1.62 1.30 1.05 1.22 1.42 2.20 2.29 3.19 4.39 4.388
EV/FCF -5.79 -23.65 4.22 2.85 4.22 3.31 3.18 3.27 4.91 3.54 1.74 1.96 1.55 1.30 1.80 1.97 4.02 5.50 5.10 6.18 6.181
Earnings Yield -11.1% 2.1% 11.6% 16.8% 18.8% 31.1% 39.5% 7.3% -16.1% -6.7% 12.2% 34.6% 41.6% 54.9% 51.2% 42.6% 30.6% 26.9% 19.7% 13.7% 13.71%
FCF Yield -15.3% -3.4% 16.6% 25.1% 24.9% 37.2% 42.9% 46.0% 30.5% 32.4% 48.9% 42.3% 50.8% 63.5% 50.0% 44.4% 22.1% 16.4% 18.3% 14.7% 14.74%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.713
EV/OCF snapshot only 3.516
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 2.691
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 5.908
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 13.03%
Graham Number snapshot only $7.04
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.06 2.80 3.61 3.23 1.26 1.23 1.67 1.97 2.04 3.82 2.68 2.56 2.21 2.90 4.07 2.05 2.26 2.08 2.10 2.12 2.117
Quick Ratio 1.58 2.06 3.05 2.79 0.88 0.78 1.09 1.39 1.56 3.38 2.52 2.45 2.09 2.75 3.66 1.86 2.00 1.78 1.84 1.87 1.872
Debt/Equity 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.11 0.18 0.22 0.25 0.30 0.34 0.14 0.12 0.06 0.03 0.03 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.149
Net Debt/Equity -0.04 -0.08 -0.12 -0.18 0.05 0.15 0.19 0.21 0.23 0.10 -0.11 -0.23 -0.37 -0.26 -0.16 -0.18 -0.17 -0.13 -0.09 -0.15 -0.149
Debt/Assets 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.08 0.13 0.15 0.17 0.19 0.22 0.10 0.08 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.108
Debt/EBITDA 0.09 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.27 0.42 0.48 0.58 1.00 1.07 0.31 0.16 0.06 0.03 0.03 0.15 0.18 0.22 0.26 0.29 0.291
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.44 -0.62 -0.60 -0.63 0.13 0.35 0.41 0.49 0.77 0.31 -0.24 -0.28 -0.32 -0.20 -0.13 -0.18 -0.22 -0.20 -0.16 -0.29 -0.291
Interest Coverage — — — — — 65.62 26.39 4.63 -2.57 -1.23 6.18 29.30 54.85 72.96 87.60 114.26 57.06 34.24 21.71 13.86 13.861
Equity Multiplier 1.15 1.17 1.18 1.21 1.37 1.43 1.47 1.54 1.55 1.59 1.40 1.48 1.35 1.29 1.22 1.36 1.33 1.35 1.34 1.38 1.382
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.497
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 20.411
Cash to Debt snapshot only 2.000
FCF to Debt snapshot only 1.658
Defensive Interval snapshot only 503.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.49 0.54 0.65 0.76 0.84 0.93 0.96 0.96 0.83 0.76 0.89 1.18 1.60 1.74 1.73 1.31 1.15 1.06 1.08 1.00 1.002
Inventory Turnover 11.49 10.70 13.83 16.19 13.72 13.69 17.00 19.58 16.31 16.51 20.09 23.35 24.23 29.22 25.84 21.06 17.97 18.22 18.50 16.96 16.958
Receivables Turnover 24.78 19.82 41.93 26.25 25.06 30.51 32.04 50.69 25.28 26.24 17.65 14.44 41.30 45.95 29.14 15.65 27.10 33.42 21.87 40.26 40.260
Payables Turnover 11.81 12.99 15.40 17.23 10.55 14.35 18.07 19.90 13.23 14.94 15.71 18.62 18.55 22.24 16.53 13.10 16.46 17.05 16.29 12.93 12.932
DSO 15 18 9 14 15 12 11 7 14 14 21 25 9 8 13 23 13 11 17 9 9.1 days
DIO 32 34 26 23 27 27 21 19 22 22 18 16 15 12 14 17 20 20 20 22 21.5 days
DPO 31 28 24 21 35 25 20 18 28 24 23 20 20 16 22 28 22 21 22 28 28.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 16 24 11 15 7 13 13 7 9 12 16 21 4 4 5 13 12 10 14 2 2.4 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.710
Operating Cycle snapshot only 30.6 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 4.561
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.018
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue -13.8% -0.8% 30.3% 65.5% 89.7% 99.9% 76.8% 44.3% 10.5% -6.7% 4.4% 50.7% 1.2% 1.5% 1.0% 25.1% -16.8% -31.5% -30.1% -21.2% -21.15%
Net Income -1.6% -60.6% 1.4% 11.3% 6.0% 24.2% 3.6% -73.8% -1.3% -1.2% -54.3% 18.8% 15.7% 27.7% 9.9% 47.1% -30.9% -55.8% -64.0% -61.6% -61.60%
EPS -1.6% -61.0% 1.4% 12.4% 5.6% 24.3% 3.6% -73.8% -1.3% -1.2% -59.0% 16.6% 14.0% 26.9% 10.9% 61.0% -28.4% -54.7% -66.3% -61.1% -61.11%
FCF -25.1% 64.5% 2.6% 7.1% 5.8% 19.6% 2.5% 10.6% -54.2% -21.8% 69.1% 2.8% 8.4% 5.4% 1.6% 25.6% -59.0% -76.8% -65.6% -60.4% -60.35%
EBITDA -38.9% -10.5% 88.8% 2.0% 3.4% 2.8% 1.4% 39.7% -36.4% -34.3% 4.1% 1.4% 4.9% 4.8% 2.4% 38.4% -30.0% -48.4% -53.6% -47.9% -47.85%
Op. Income -84.2% -55.8% 1.5% 4.7% 19.7% 10.0% 2.5% 54.3% -48.8% -45.6% 10.7% 2.1% 7.7% 7.5% 2.9% 39.0% -32.5% -62.5% -70.1% -70.1% -70.09%
OCF Growth snapshot only -45.61%
Asset Growth snapshot only 4.21%
Equity Growth snapshot only 2.82%
Debt Growth snapshot only 4.39%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.25%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -54.72%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -4.2% -1.4% 4.5% 10.6% 16.6% 21.2% 22.1% 23.1% 21.8% 22.7% 34.0% 53.2% 66.1% 66.3% 54.6% 39.6% 26.2% 16.4% 13.4% 14.1% 14.12%
Revenue 5Y 18.2% 20.8% 25.4% 27.4% 29.5% 26.6% 23.2% 18.6% 13.0% 12.3% 16.1% 24.1% 30.8% 32.5% 30.6% 28.6% 26.8% 25.6% 27.5% 28.8% 28.83%
EPS 3Y — -77.6% -49.8% -33.0% -17.3% -6.2% 18.5% -33.0% — — 65.1% 3.0% — 4.0% 1.8% 95.2% 44.0% 30.8% 18.1% 1.2% 1.23%
EPS 5Y — -31.0% -9.3% 6.4% 18.7% -18.3% -27.9% -52.0% — — -24.9% 6.8% 18.7% 32.4% 52.0% 53.5% 53.2% 85.7% 78.4% 1.1% 1.08%
Net Income 3Y — -77.5% -49.8% -33.0% -17.2% -6.2% 18.4% -33.2% — — 71.0% 3.0% — 4.1% 1.8% 97.0% 48.0% 31.4% 21.5% 1.2% 1.24%
Net Income 5Y — -30.6% -8.8% 6.6% 19.0% -18.2% -27.8% -51.9% — — -23.2% 9.4% 21.7% 33.5% 52.5% 54.0% 56.3% 86.4% 81.3% 1.0% 1.05%
EBITDA 3Y -61.0% -47.9% 16.4% 31.5% 47.4% 41.0% 41.2% 35.1% 19.8% 30.7% 67.5% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0% 67.9% 37.7% 25.5% 18.1% 20.9% 20.88%
EBITDA 5Y -23.6% -12.8% 11.7% 18.2% 24.7% -11.8% -21.3% -23.8% -30.1% -18.8% 31.4% 50.7% 64.3% 60.7% 58.5% 52.9% 47.8% 46.3% 49.3% 49.1% 49.05%
Gross Profit 3Y -11.6% -7.9% 0.5% 8.2% 17.4% 18.9% 17.7% 15.0% 9.1% 13.2% 33.9% 66.7% 92.3% 96.0% 80.3% 55.1% 31.5% 18.4% 13.6% 16.9% 16.86%
Gross Profit 5Y 10.6% 13.0% 18.1% 21.0% 24.9% 20.9% 16.8% 11.4% 3.9% 5.4% 14.5% 28.4% 37.7% 39.6% 37.0% 34.1% 31.4% 28.2% 29.1% 28.5% 28.54%
Op. Income 3Y -78.7% -66.1% 5.9% 24.3% 43.1% 35.7% 35.5% 32.1% 18.7% 38.1% 1.1% 2.0% 3.5% 2.7% 1.5% 87.8% 44.4% 19.9% 9.0% 8.7% 8.69%
Op. Income 5Y -45.8% -31.2% 3.9% 13.5% 22.7% -16.0% -25.7% -28.9% -36.6% -25.4% 35.6% 55.7% 67.2% 62.9% 60.9% 58.1% 58.0% 52.9% 62.5% 62.3% 62.28%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.5% 74.7% 21.0% 4.9% 15.5% 24.1% 24.11%
FCF 5Y — — — 1.2% 65.3% 38.9% 24.4% — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — 85.4% 80.6% 66.2% 53.3% 39.8% 44.4% 79.4% 1.1% 1.9% 1.6% 1.0% 65.0% 28.2% 19.4% 24.0% 27.4% 27.37%
OCF 5Y -10.2% 2.7% 23.8% 27.7% 31.2% 22.2% 14.6% — — — — — 86.0% 88.1% 76.8% 68.8% 55.4% 44.0% 50.7% 50.3% 50.26%
Assets 3Y -8.7% -7.4% -7.4% -5.5% 2.7% 6.4% 8.1% 6.5% 5.7% 9.6% 10.7% 18.8% 18.6% 15.5% 11.9% 14.4% 9.9% 8.1% 6.9% 10.8% 10.77%
Assets 5Y 26.3% 27.4% 20.8% 22.2% 21.9% 23.1% -5.2% -6.6% -0.6% 0.9% 0.5% 4.5% 6.5% 6.9% 6.1% 9.5% 10.1% 10.9% 11.0% 12.1% 12.10%
Equity 3Y -9.2% -8.2% -7.3% -6.3% -4.6% -2.3% -1.0% -4.3% -5.5% -2.4% 2.8% 8.5% 12.6% 11.7% 10.5% 10.0% 10.8% 10.2% 10.0% 14.9% 14.86%
Book Value 3Y -6.4% -8.4% -7.2% -6.4% -4.8% -2.4% -1.0% -4.0% -5.9% -2.9% -0.7% 7.4% 4.7% 10.4% 9.7% 9.0% 7.8% 9.7% 6.9% 14.3% 14.31%
Dividend 3Y -10.8% -20.3% -18.1% -13.4% 4.4% 22.8% 30.4% 30.8% 4.4% -10.3% -20.9% 8.7% 51.8% 91.3% 1.1% 52.2% 1.0% -13.8% -25.1% -23.9% -23.90%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.49 0.56 0.65 0.70 0.70 0.65 0.64 0.64 0.60 0.59 0.70 0.73 0.64 0.62 0.71 0.89 0.75 0.62 0.69 0.79 0.788
Earnings Stability 0.02 0.16 0.22 0.19 0.16 0.58 0.53 0.62 0.61 0.56 0.20 0.05 0.16 0.28 0.46 0.68 0.53 0.42 0.41 0.47 0.473
Margin Stability 0.88 0.88 0.87 0.89 0.86 0.85 0.84 0.88 0.84 0.87 0.95 0.87 0.77 0.76 0.80 0.83 0.78 0.78 0.81 0.81 0.814
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.81 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — 0.13 0.19 0.00 — 0.00 0.00 0.00 — — 0.26 0.00 — — 0.00 0.62 0.64 0.23 0.06 0.11 0.110
ROE Trend -0.23 -0.12 -0.02 0.06 0.18 0.19 0.17 -0.03 -0.15 -0.15 -0.03 0.39 0.65 0.74 0.65 0.37 0.14 -0.04 -0.17 -0.31 -0.307
Gross Margin Trend -0.07 -0.08 -0.06 -0.02 0.06 0.05 0.04 -0.04 -0.11 -0.08 -0.00 0.13 0.20 0.23 0.20 0.12 0.08 -0.00 -0.08 -0.15 -0.148
FCF Margin Trend -0.06 0.02 0.15 0.25 0.34 0.25 0.17 0.07 0.03 0.08 0.16 0.20 0.28 0.26 0.15 0.11 -0.06 -0.16 -0.15 -0.18 -0.179
Sustainable Growth Rate — -5.4% -1.6% 4.7% 11.6% 9.9% 7.5% -11.2% — — 2.1% 35.7% 45.9% 43.3% 28.8% 13.5% 11.8% 6.7% 4.1% 1.8% 1.84%
Internal Growth Rate — — — 4.2% 10.1% 8.2% 6.0% — — — 1.5% 31.1% 47.3% 44.3% 28.4% 10.5% 9.6% 5.3% 3.3% 1.4% 1.36%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -1.26 9.39 3.35 2.27 1.77 1.65 1.56 10.24 -3.52 -7.12 4.81 1.35 1.32 1.29 1.18 1.33 1.15 1.24 1.65 1.89 1.891
FCF/OCF -1.10 -0.17 0.43 0.66 0.75 0.73 0.70 0.61 0.54 0.68 0.83 0.90 0.93 0.90 0.83 0.78 0.63 0.49 0.56 0.57 0.569
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.075
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.848
CapEx/Revenue 19.2% 15.4% 12.1% 9.6% 8.6% 8.0% 7.7% 8.9% 9.1% 8.2% 5.7% 3.8% 3.7% 5.0% 7.8% 10.2% 13.3% 16.0% 14.6% 13.8% 13.79%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.139
Accruals Ratio -0.08 -0.06 -0.10 -0.12 -0.13 -0.11 -0.09 -0.20 -0.21 -0.23 -0.25 -0.12 -0.19 -0.20 -0.12 -0.15 -0.05 -0.06 -0.14 -0.15 -0.151
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.140
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.089
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Dividend Yield 21.3% 15.5% 15.5% 9.6% 8.2% 16.7% 25.4% 35.1% 25.3% 13.6% 9.4% 11.1% 19.4% 30.4% 34.5% 33.7% 23.1% 21.9% 16.8% 12.6% 7.72%
Dividend/Share $0.19 $0.14 $0.14 $0.14 $0.20 $0.26 $0.31 $0.31 $0.23 $0.19 $0.15 $0.37 $0.89 $1.33 $1.58 $1.45 $1.03 $0.88 $0.68 $0.66 $0.45
Payout Ratio — 7.3% 1.3% 56.9% 43.6% 53.6% 64.3% 4.8% — — 77.2% 32.1% 46.6% 55.4% 67.4% 79.1% 75.5% 81.3% 85.6% 92.1% 92.10%
FCF Payout Ratio — — 93.6% 38.1% 33.0% 44.7% 59.2% 76.3% 82.8% 41.9% 19.2% 26.3% 38.1% 47.8% 69.0% 75.9% 1.0% 1.3% 91.7% 85.7% 85.66%
Total Payout Ratio — 7.3% 1.3% 56.9% 43.6% 53.6% 64.3% 4.8% — — 77.2% 32.1% 48.3% 82.4% 95.5% 1.2% 1.2% 83.2% 88.1% 95.0% 95.05%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number -0.14 -0.34 -0.30 -0.25 0.23 1.02 1.47 1.57 0.40 -0.13 -0.36 0.44 3.54 6.56 8.83 2.96 0.35 -0.13 -0.37 -0.43 -0.427
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 14.8% 14.4% 15.4% 13.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.40%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 14.8% 14.4% 15.4% 13.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.09%
Total Shareholder Return 21.3% 15.5% 15.5% 9.6% 8.2% 16.7% 25.4% 35.1% 25.3% 13.6% 9.4% 11.1% 20.1% 45.2% 48.9% 49.1% 36.4% 22.4% 17.3% 12.7% 12.72%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.76 0.59 0.68 0.70 0.69 0.69 0.70 0.65 0.70 0.67 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.81 0.86 0.89 0.96 0.963
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -3.56 0.34 0.61 0.81 0.92 0.91 0.89 0.51 1.39 1.81 0.84 0.97 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.93 0.80 0.76 0.69 0.685
EBIT Margin 0.03 0.07 0.15 0.22 0.30 0.28 0.26 0.07 -0.06 -0.03 0.12 0.43 0.54 0.57 0.56 0.50 0.41 0.37 0.30 0.26 0.256
Asset Turnover 0.49 0.54 0.65 0.76 0.84 0.93 0.96 0.96 0.83 0.76 0.89 1.18 1.60 1.74 1.73 1.31 1.15 1.06 1.08 1.00 1.002
Equity Multiplier 1.13 1.14 1.15 1.17 1.26 1.30 1.33 1.37 1.45 1.50 1.43 1.51 1.43 1.41 1.30 1.42 1.34 1.32 1.28 1.37 1.373
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.10 $0.02 $0.10 $0.25 $0.46 $0.48 $0.48 $0.06 $-0.15 $-0.09 $0.20 $1.14 $1.90 $2.40 $2.35 $1.83 $1.36 $1.09 $0.79 $0.71 $0.71
Book Value/Share $2.32 $2.17 $2.23 $2.30 $2.34 $2.36 $2.35 $2.07 $2.00 $2.09 $2.17 $2.48 $2.66 $2.92 $2.95 $2.98 $2.93 $3.12 $2.87 $3.10 $3.10
Tangible Book/Share $2.24 $2.10 $2.16 $2.22 $2.23 $2.24 $2.23 $1.97 $1.90 $1.99 $2.09 $2.39 $2.58 $2.83 $2.87 $2.90 $2.86 $3.04 $2.80 $3.03 $3.03
Revenue/Share $1.37 $1.37 $1.66 $1.99 $2.36 $2.75 $2.92 $2.87 $2.62 $2.55 $2.74 $3.85 $5.06 $6.08 $5.99 $5.27 $4.36 $4.27 $3.92 $4.21 $2.08
FCF/Share $-0.14 $-0.03 $0.15 $0.37 $0.60 $0.58 $0.52 $0.41 $0.28 $0.45 $0.79 $1.39 $2.32 $2.78 $2.29 $1.91 $0.99 $0.66 $0.74 $0.76 $0.45
OCF/Share $0.13 $0.18 $0.35 $0.56 $0.81 $0.80 $0.75 $0.66 $0.52 $0.66 $0.95 $1.53 $2.51 $3.08 $2.76 $2.44 $1.57 $1.34 $1.31 $1.35 $0.67
Cash/Share $0.12 $0.18 $0.29 $0.42 $0.13 $0.07 $0.07 $0.08 $0.14 $0.51 $0.55 $0.87 $1.14 $0.85 $0.57 $0.96 $0.89 $0.84 $0.68 $0.92 $0.92
EBITDA/Share $0.23 $0.27 $0.45 $0.65 $0.92 $1.03 $1.07 $0.91 $0.59 $0.67 $1.00 $1.98 $3.07 $3.79 $3.73 $3.01 $2.22 $2.00 $1.62 $1.59 $1.59
Debt/Share $0.02 $0.01 $0.02 $0.01 $0.25 $0.43 $0.52 $0.53 $0.59 $0.71 $0.31 $0.31 $0.17 $0.10 $0.10 $0.44 $0.40 $0.44 $0.42 $0.46 $0.46
Net Debt/Share $-0.10 $-0.17 $-0.27 $-0.41 $0.12 $0.36 $0.44 $0.44 $0.45 $0.21 $-0.24 $-0.56 $-0.97 $-0.75 $-0.47 $-0.53 $-0.49 $-0.40 $-0.26 $-0.46 $-0.46
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 5.670
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 9.757
Piotroski F-Score 3 3 7 7 6 6 5 4 5 4 7 8 8 7 8 6 5 4 3 5 5
Beneish M-Score -1.56 -1.59 -1.81 -1.87 -2.17 -2.34 0.48 -1.70 -2.30 -2.75 -3.50 0.71 -1.27 -2.46 -2.48 -4.00 -2.97 -3.15 -3.12 -3.39 -3.388
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -11.042
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 34.22%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $0.12
EVA snapshot only $176941868.21
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'16 Q2'17 Q4'17 Q2'18 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Q4'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AAA
Credit Score 86.88 87.57 92.44 96.52 96.20 92.43 91.79 73.47 56.81 54.03 85.77 96.95 97.05 96.06 96.45 96.99 97.51 97.82 97.72 96.67 96.675
Credit Grade snapshot only 1
Credit Trend snapshot only -0.311
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 50.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 100
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 100

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