Also trades as: 9866.HK (HKSE) · $vol 16M · 0A1K.L (LSE) · $vol 1M · N3IA.F (FSX) · $vol 0M · NIOIF (OTC) · $vol 0M
NIO NYSE
NIO Inc.
1W: -3.8%
1M: -8.9%
3M: -30.3%
YTD: -36.6%
1Y: -52.7%
3Y: -57.6%
5Y: -91.8%
$3.29
+0.03 (+0.92%)
After Hours: $3.27 (-0.02, -0.46%)
Weekly Expected Move ±5.8%
$3
$3
$3
$3
$4
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 66% of companies Debt: 35.7% of company value Bonds: $65.0M held by 9 funds, 19 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
If the stock fell to about $0.16 (down 95%), NIO Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.36B against a stock market value of $7.85B.
Distance to default 3.74 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.30B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 49.4%; Altman Z'' -0.06. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Total debt $4.36B against a stock market value of $7.85B.
Distance to default 3.74 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.30B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 49.4%; Altman Z'' -0.06. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Overview
Chart
Smart Money
Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+65.3% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-67.7% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+65.3%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-67.7%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-36.0%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
83%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛈️
+1.4%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.2%
38% win
72% vol
Feb
20yr
⛈️
-3.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-16.4%
62% win
67% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
-18.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-15.3%
25% win
95% vol
Apr
20yr
⛈️
-26.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-47.7%
62% win
64% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
-26.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-47.5%
38% win
77% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
-8.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-36.2%
50% win
74% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+19.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-39.7%
62% win
80% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+38.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-40.5%
38% win
69% vol
Sep
20yr
🌫️
+49.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-52.9%
44% win
124% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+66.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-71.1%
22% win
83% vol
Now:
-4.1%
Nov
20yr
💨
+163.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-61.8%
50% win
96% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+3.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-20.5%
25% win
95% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -36.0%