— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 9866.HK (HKSE) · $vol 16M · 0A1K.L (LSE) · $vol 1M · N3IA.F (FSX) · $vol 0M · NIOIF (OTC) · $vol 0M

NIO Smart Money

NIO Inc.
1W: -4.1% 1M: -8.4% 3M: -30.9% YTD: -36.0% 1Y: -52.3% 3Y: -56.6% 5Y: -91.8%
$3.29
+0.03 (+0.92%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±5.8%
$3 $3 $3 $3 $4
NYSE · Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturers · Tech Score Sell · Power 36 · $7.9B mcap · 1.90B float · 1.59% daily turnover · Short 51% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 66% of companies Debt: 35.5% of company value Bonds: $65.0M held by 9 funds, 19 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
If the stock fell to about $0.16 (down 95%), NIO Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.36B against a stock market value of $7.91B.
Distance to default 3.75 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.30B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 49.4%; Altman Z'' -0.06. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.

🏦 Institutional Activity

Latest: Q2 2026
498
Institutions Holding
-9 vs prior
17.3%
Ownership
-3.39%
59 New
107 Increased
199 Reduced
64 Closed

👔 Insider Trades

6 records
Date Name Title Type Shares Price Value Filing
2026-09-01 Qu Yu officer: chief financial officer F-Tax Withholding 22,500 $4.23 $95K Filing
2026-09-01 Qu Yu officer: chief financial officer F-Tax Withholding 100,000 $4.23 $423K Filing
2026-09-01 Qin Lihong officer: president F-Tax Withholding 150,000 $4.23 $635K Filing
2026-06-01 Zhou Xin officer: executive vice president F-Tax Withholding 100,000 $5.60 $560K Filing
2026-06-01 Qu Yu officer: chief financial officer F-Tax Withholding 100,000 $5.60 $560K Filing
2026-06-01 Qin Lihong officer: president F-Tax Withholding 150,000 $5.60 $840K Filing

🏛️ Congressional Trades

6 records
Date Politician Chamber Type Amount Filing
2021-01-20 Pete Sessions House Buy $1,001 - $15,000 Filing
2020-07-06 Brian Mast House Sell $50,001 - $100,000 Filing
2020-07-02 Brian Mast House Sell $15,001 - $50,000 Filing
2019-03-15 Brian Mast House Buy $1,001 - $15,000 Filing
2019-02-28 Brian Mast House Buy $15,001 - $50,000 Filing
2019-02-27 Brian Mast House Buy $1,001 - $15,000 Filing

🏦 Top Institutional Holders

20 holders
Holder Shares Value Date Reported Filing
MORGAN STANLEY 27,411,634 $139M +12,690,265 2026-06-30 Filing
UBS Group AG 19,271,326 $98M +6,924,086 2026-06-30 Filing
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE 18,998,920 $96M +4,770,004 2026-06-30 Filing
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. 18,204,968 $92M -20,124,300 2026-06-30 Filing
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC 16,161,048 $82M +1,708,917 2026-06-30 Filing
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC 15,446,712 $78M +1,662,884 2026-06-30 Filing
Aspex Management (HK) Ltd 13,141,609 $66M — 2026-06-30 Filing
BNP PARIBAS FINANCIAL MARKETS 12,397,069 $63M -944,262 2026-06-30 Filing
BlackRock, Inc. 9,461,793 $48M -1,266,266 2026-06-30 Filing
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP 9,031,336 $46M -4,299,526 2026-06-30 Filing
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC 8,759,358 $44M -4,475,813 2026-06-30 Filing
SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP 8,292,496 $42M +6,044,533 2026-06-30 Filing
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC 6,785,809 $34M +5,646,740 2026-06-30 Filing
MACKENZIE FINANCIAL CORP 6,153,021 $31M +3,387,573 2026-06-30 Filing
Legal & General Group Plc 5,624,516 $28M -364,145 2026-06-30 Filing
STATE STREET CORP 4,810,903 $24M +506,832 2026-06-30 Filing
MARSHALL WACE, LLP 4,733,908 $24M -3,635,194 2026-06-30 Filing
Assenagon Asset Management S.A. 3,756,576 $19M +3,756,576 2026-06-30 Filing
Ghisallo Capital Management LLC 3,500,000 $18M -500,000 2026-06-30 Filing
Point72 Asset Management, L.P. 3,382,983 $17M -3,250,415 2026-06-30 Filing

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms