— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 0A3R.L (LSE) · $vol 8M

NKLA NASDAQ

Nikola Corporation
1W: +6.5% 1M: -67.5% 3M: -90.1% 1Y: -99.3% 3Y: -100.0% 5Y: -100.0%
$0.18
Last traded 2025-03-24 — delisted
NASDAQ · Industrials · Agricultural - Machinery · $15.5M mcap · 82M float · 25.83% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
46.0 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: -230.4%  ·  5Y Avg: -136.0%
Cost Advantage
12
Intangibles
52
Switching Cost
84
Network Effect
24
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. NKLA shows a Weak competitive edge (46.0/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. Negative ROIC of -230.4% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 4Hold: 9Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2024-08-08 D.A. Davidson Michael Shlisky $1 $12 +11 +63.7% $7.33
2024-07-03 Robert W. Baird Ben Kallo Initiated $14 — +74.1% $8.04
2024-06-12 D.A. Davidson Michael Shlisky Initiated $1 — -93.3% $14.97
2024-05-16 Bryan Garnier & Co Ltd Thomas Mordelle Initiated $1 — -94.0% $16.60
2022-09-14 BTIG Gregory Lewis Initiated $12 — -92.0% $149.40
2022-08-24 Deutsche Bank Emmanuel Rosner Initiated $8 — -95.4% $173.10
2022-06-28 Evercore ISI Chris McNally Initiated $10 — -93.6% $157.20
2022-05-10 Wedbush Daniel Ives Initiated $10 — -93.9% $164.70

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 25 Grade D
Profitability
0
Balance Sheet
0
Earnings Quality
18
Growth
71
Value
33
Momentum
66
Safety
0
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. NKLA scores highest in Growth (71/100) and lowest in Profitability (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-14.38
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-5.76
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
1.47
Bankruptcy prob: 81.3%
High Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 17.7/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 0.54x
Accruals: -46.7%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. NKLA scores -14.38, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. NKLA scores 2/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. NKLA's score of -5.76 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. NKLA's implied 81.3% bankruptcy probability signals significant financial distress. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. NKLA receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 17.7/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-0.01x
PEG
-0.00x
P/S
0.22x
P/B
0.09x
P/FCF
-0.13x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
-0.20x
EV/Revenue
2.59x
EV/EBIT
-0.19x
EV/FCF
-0.31x
Earnings Yield
-1256.63%
FCF Yield
-745.46%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. NKLA currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.990
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.037
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-13.559
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.074
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.264
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-231.8%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. NKLA's ROE of -231.8% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.074), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.99 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1706 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$0.12
Median 1Y
$0.02
5th Pctile
$0.00
95th Pctile
$0.13
Ann. Volatility
111.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
ROE 5.4% -28.9% -40.0% -65.0% -1.4% -60.7% -75.9% -82.1% -94.1% -1.0% -1.1% -1.3% -1.3% -1.5% -1.7% -1.6% -1.7% -1.6% -1.3% -2.3% -2.32%
ROA -38.6% -27.8% -38.3% -59.9% -76.0% -55.9% -63.5% -67.6% -75.5% -70.4% -66.4% -68.7% -75.7% -71.9% -88.4% -76.9% -81.8% -76.6% -58.1% -1.0% -1.02%
ROIC 24.5% -67.1% -1.2% -1.8% -2.3% -1.7% -3.7% -2.4% -2.0% -1.4% -1.0% -87.5% -76.7% -88.8% -1.1% -98.7% -1.0% -1.1% -86.3% -2.3% -2.30%
ROCE -42.5% -17.6% -24.0% -36.8% -48.9% -58.0% -88.3% -84.8% -98.6% -81.4% -79.8% -87.4% -82.0% -74.9% -96.4% -76.1% -89.7% -96.0% -87.4% -2.7% -2.66%
Gross Margin 25.9% 16.7% — 0.0% — — — — 22.8% -1.6% -1.2% -7.0% -3.0% -1.8% 72.5% -3.9% -7.7% -2.1% -2.5% -14.2% -14.16%
Operating Margin -552.0% -2406.7% — -146839.0% — — — — -80.2% -9.5% -9.5% -29.8% -13.6% -11.0% 130.6% -10.9% -19.4% -4.1% -7.1% -32.4% -32.44%
Net Margin -571.8% -2406.8% — -147096.0% — — — — -80.4% -9.5% -9.7% -31.6% -15.2% -14.2% 245.8% -13.3% -19.7% -4.3% -7.9% -98.1% -98.06%
EBITDA Margin -527.4% -2364.0% — -130838.0% — — — — -77.8% -9.0% -9.1% -29.0% -10.9% -7.6% 205.4% -12.3% -18.0% -3.8% -7.0% -94.1% -94.11%
FCF Margin -243.7% -232.2% -857.1% -1821.1% -6305.2% -311530.0% -381824.0% — -298.9% -31.8% -16.4% -14.7% -13.6% -13.6% -21.9% -17.0% -15.8% -10.7% -7.6% -8.3% -8.25%
OCF Margin -169.5% -174.9% -704.4% -1586.1% -5078.0% -230722.0% -261000.0% — -201.0% -22.7% -12.3% -11.3% -10.4% -10.3% -16.7% -13.7% -13.2% -9.4% -6.8% -7.6% -7.57%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -3.91%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -2.62%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -99.47%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.53%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -1.52%
Cash ROA snapshot only -87.46%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -2.49%
CROIC snapshot only -2.71%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -7.01%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -14.05%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 2.30%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 2.40%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 36.79%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
P/E Ratio -31.54 -126.95 -29.40 -15.32 -11.56 -13.50 -6.30 -5.82 -6.16 -2.70 -2.15 -1.39 -0.85 -1.18 -1.32 -0.98 -1.21 -0.44 -0.37 -0.08 -0.010
P/S Ratio 6954.27 46730.39 54177.00 62001.16 147342.77 7126072.72 4270460.82 — 2356.27 101.12 34.87 20.94 11.08 17.07 42.98 25.99 35.05 7.87 3.12 1.11 0.224
P/B Ratio -13.13 23.27 7.18 5.96 5.98 8.31 6.03 5.80 7.15 3.38 2.74 2.02 1.22 1.87 2.23 1.31 1.95 0.73 0.62 0.71 0.093
P/FCF -28.53 -201.23 -63.21 -34.05 -23.37 -22.87 -11.18 -8.27 -7.88 -3.18 -2.12 -1.42 -0.81 -1.25 -1.97 -1.53 -2.22 -0.73 -0.41 -0.13 -0.134
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA -33.39 -129.83 -26.73 -13.99 -10.47 -12.90 -5.68 -5.24 -5.82 -2.56 -2.23 -1.68 -1.28 -1.72 -1.61 -1.04 -1.44 -0.40 -0.68 -0.20 -0.201
EV/Revenue 6784.24 45150.48 47859.30 53339.50 127100.01 6508030.72 3708865.82 — 2180.32 93.30 34.58 23.88 14.81 19.52 40.23 20.99 33.07 6.22 5.12 2.59 2.590
EV/EBIT -32.05 -125.87 -26.15 -13.76 -10.32 -12.73 -5.62 -5.17 -5.74 -2.51 -2.17 -1.63 -1.23 -1.65 -1.53 -0.99 -1.37 -0.38 -0.63 -0.19 -0.191
EV/FCF -27.84 -194.43 -55.84 -29.29 -20.16 -20.89 -9.71 -7.30 -7.29 -2.93 -2.10 -1.62 -1.09 -1.43 -1.84 -1.23 -2.09 -0.58 -0.67 -0.31 -0.314
Earnings Yield -3.2% -0.8% -3.4% -6.5% -8.6% -7.4% -15.9% -17.2% -16.2% -37.1% -46.5% -71.9% -1.2% -84.7% -75.8% -1.0% -82.6% -2.3% -2.7% -12.6% -12.57%
FCF Yield -3.5% -0.5% -1.6% -2.9% -4.3% -4.4% -8.9% -12.1% -12.7% -31.5% -47.1% -70.2% -1.2% -79.9% -50.9% -65.4% -45.1% -1.4% -2.4% -7.5% -7.45%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.719
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Current Ratio 3.31 25.23 22.47 17.16 11.33 7.82 2.41 2.91 2.28 2.15 1.75 1.14 1.20 1.75 1.61 2.20 1.73 1.53 1.17 1.08 1.080
Quick Ratio 3.25 25.17 22.47 17.16 11.33 7.80 2.40 2.84 2.14 1.95 1.46 0.82 0.75 1.37 1.41 1.96 1.46 1.24 0.89 0.79 0.787
Debt/Equity -0.02 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.48 0.54 0.73 0.63 0.70 0.46 0.40 0.48 0.36 0.93 1.96 1.961
Net Debt/Equity — -0.79 -0.84 -0.83 -0.82 -0.72 -0.79 -0.68 -0.53 -0.26 -0.02 0.28 0.41 0.27 -0.14 -0.25 -0.11 -0.15 0.40 0.95 0.950
Debt/Assets 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.24 0.26 0.31 0.30 0.32 0.24 0.22 0.24 0.17 0.34 0.35 0.353
Debt/EBITDA -0.06 -0.03 -0.02 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.39 -0.44 -0.53 -0.50 -0.56 -0.35 -0.39 -0.38 -0.25 -0.62 -0.24 -0.237
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.84 4.54 3.53 2.27 1.67 1.23 0.86 0.69 0.47 0.21 0.02 -0.21 -0.32 -0.22 0.11 0.25 0.09 0.11 -0.26 -0.11 -0.115
Interest Coverage — — — — -50631.78 -5060.14 -3014.14 -1426.97 -1049.58 -218.82 -63.91 -42.04 -26.42 -20.35 -10.53 -10.16 -11.54 -12.50 -27.99 -40.91 -40.909
Equity Multiplier -1.08 1.05 1.05 1.07 1.10 1.12 1.41 1.43 1.46 1.95 2.06 2.35 2.12 2.18 1.90 1.77 1.97 2.12 2.73 5.55 5.550
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.442
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -38.888
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.515
FCF to Debt snapshot only -2.698
Defensive Interval snapshot only 145.3 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Asset Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.07 0.07 0.074
Inventory Turnover 0.27 0.28 — 0.08 1.98 1.80 3.27 1.42 0.61 1.96 2.49 2.31 2.65 2.79 3.81 2.88 2.94 4.06 4.08 4.81 4.807
Receivables Turnover 1.86 2.07 1.15 0.29 0.17 0.00 0.01 0.00 2.82 2.39 1.85 2.96 4.15 3.12 1.07 1.46 1.27 1.62 2.42 2.68 2.682
Payables Turnover 0.06 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.08 0.11 0.18 0.14 0.13 0.73 1.41 1.73 2.55 2.91 3.72 3.90 4.70 6.77 5.78 6.62 6.625
DSO 196 176 318 1264 2205 77380 45442 — 130 152 197 123 88 117 341 250 287 225 151 136 136.1 days
DIO 1346 1315 0 4617 185 203 112 257 598 186 147 158 138 131 96 127 124 90 89 76 75.9 days
DPO 5843 5358 16030 85028 4860 3228 2068 2580 2739 498 259 211 143 126 98 94 78 54 63 55 55.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -4300 -3867 -15713 -79147 -2471 74355 43486 — -2011 -159 84 70 82 122 338 283 334 261 177 157 156.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.298
Operating Cycle snapshot only 212.0 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.634
Capital Intensity snapshot only 8.658
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 2.4% 2.2% -67.0% -80.3% -91.1% -99.8% -99.3% -1.0% 50.0% 20020.0% 44261.0% — 30.8% 1.9% -29.3% -28.6% -45.6% -15.1% 1.4% 89.8% 89.81%
Net Income -114.3% -9.1% -7.4% -5.7% -4.1% -2.3% -1.6% -79.6% -53.1% -42.1% -5.8% -10.8% -8.4% -10.4% -42.3% -26.3% -20.7% -3.9% 37.8% 0.8% 0.83%
EPS -102.4% -7.7% -4.8% -3.6% -2.6% -1.5% -1.4% -70.2% -44.8% -31.9% 3.5% 8.3% 18.1% 33.7% 27.2% 42.3% 39.7% 47.5% 65.4% 44.4% 44.39%
FCF -1.4% -45.2% -25.6% -44.3% -1.3% -2.1% -2.1% -1.8% -1.4% -1.0% -90.5% -53.7% -45.1% -22.7% 5.9% 17.5% 36.9% 33.2% 16.3% 7.8% 7.82%
EBITDA -66.4% -8.7% -8.1% -5.9% -4.3% -2.3% -1.5% -87.2% -57.4% -44.7% -5.3% -6.3% 1.8% 10.9% -14.2% -2.1% -7.9% -15.4% 27.2% -20.6% -20.65%
Op. Income -353.7% -8.1% -7.7% -5.6% -4.2% -2.3% -1.6% -81.2% -53.6% -44.9% -5.7% -8.0% -3.3% 1.8% -3.5% 10.2% 11.0% 15.9% 21.9% 9.1% 9.09%
OCF Growth snapshot only -5.09%
Asset Growth snapshot only -53.24%
Equity Growth snapshot only -85.06%
Debt Growth snapshot only -26.05%
Shares Change snapshot only 78.31%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — — — 1.5% 4.3% 3.7% 3.7% 4.2% 4.1% 5.0% 6.3% 8.6% 35.5% 41.3% — —
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.0% 2.2% 1.8% 1.7% 1.70%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y — — — — — — — — 56.5% 70.0% 69.4% 75.3% 69.5% 7.1% 0.4% 6.6% 4.7% 4.8% 1.2% -15.5% -15.55%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 37.1% 36.1% 34.1% 21.0% 21.04%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — 49.5% 36.2% 33.3% 39.1% — -16.0% -17.6% -10.0% -13.7% -15.2% -18.8% -46.3% -46.30%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — 25.1% 15.6% 12.1% 13.7% — -36.7% -37.3% -36.1% -38.8% -44.4% -48.2% -68.0% -67.98%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — 0.05 0.09 0.96 0.89 0.54 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.62 0.84 0.63 0.64 0.49 0.76 0.75 0.75 0.749
Earnings Stability — — — — 0.89 0.94 0.97 1.00 0.96 0.98 0.92 0.94 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.92 0.65 0.91 0.906
Margin Stability — — — — 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.021
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.83 0.98 0.96 0.97 0.96 0.83 0.89 0.92 0.98 0.85 1.00 0.997
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend — — — — — -0.49 -0.77 -0.65 — -0.85 -0.67 -0.76 -0.59 -0.65 -0.58 -0.12 -0.31 -0.23 -0.19 -7.52 -7.522
Gross Margin Trend — — — — -49.07 -3710.39 -5959.33 — 20.94 1853.13 2978.02 — 23.60 1853.45 2972.79 — -5.10 -4.03 1.34 0.53 0.528
FCF Margin Trend — — — — -6013.84 -311157.61 -381282.76 — 2975.51 155849.31 191324.11 — 3288.42 155767.27 190898.36 — 140.46 11.98 11.56 7.60 7.598
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.77 0.48 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.44 0.38 0.44 0.53 0.61 0.76 0.75 0.80 0.71 0.51 0.51 0.46 0.53 0.81 0.54 0.544
FCF/OCF 1.44 1.33 1.22 1.15 1.24 1.35 1.46 1.58 1.49 1.40 1.34 1.30 1.31 1.32 1.31 1.24 1.20 1.14 1.11 1.09 1.090
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.593
CapEx/Revenue 74.2% 57.4% 152.7% 235.0% 1227.2% 80808.0% 120824.0% — 98.0% 9.1% 4.2% 3.4% 3.2% 3.3% 5.1% 3.3% 2.6% 1.3% 73.9% 68.3% 68.27%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.024
Accruals Ratio -0.09 -0.15 -0.24 -0.36 -0.46 -0.31 -0.39 -0.38 -0.36 -0.28 -0.16 -0.17 -0.15 -0.21 -0.43 -0.37 -0.44 -0.36 -0.11 -0.47 -0.467
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.362
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -11.091
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% -0.2% -0.6% -1.6% -1.8% -0.8% -3.0% -4.2% -4.3% -14.2% -20.4% -27.1% -53.6% -39.9% -25.5% -39.8% -24.4% -52.8% -72.2% -1.9% -1.89%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% -0.2% -0.6% -1.6% -1.8% -0.8% -3.0% -4.2% -4.3% -14.2% -20.4% -27.1% -53.6% -39.9% -25.5% -39.8% -24.4% -52.8% -72.2% -1.9% -1.89%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.26 1.20 1.22 1.19 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.990
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.04 1.03 1.01 1.04 1.03 1.03 1.02 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.02 1.02 1.07 0.97 1.03 1.03 1.00 1.09 1.05 1.04 1.037
EBIT Margin -211.67 -358.70 -1830.27 -3876.45 -12315.84 -511074.00 -660097.00 — -379.90 -37.15 -15.90 -14.67 -12.04 -11.83 -26.32 -21.28 -24.20 -16.36 -8.10 -13.56 -13.559
Asset Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.07 0.07 0.074
Equity Multiplier -13.95 1.04 1.04 1.08 1.79 1.09 1.20 1.22 1.25 1.46 1.70 1.82 1.77 2.05 1.98 2.02 2.04 2.15 2.22 2.26 2.264
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-10.12 $-15.96 $-20.90 $-29.87 $-36.03 $-40.15 $-50.83 $-50.84 $-52.17 $-52.93 $-49.07 $-46.60 $-42.71 $-35.08 $-35.70 $-26.89 $-25.76 $-18.43 $-12.35 $-14.95 $-14.95
Book Value/Share $-24.31 $87.06 $85.63 $76.75 $69.73 $65.24 $53.06 $51.07 $44.96 $42.27 $38.60 $32.06 $29.79 $22.13 $21.12 $20.01 $15.98 $11.21 $7.38 $1.68 $1.97
Tangible Book/Share $-31.78 $80.37 $80.26 $72.45 $65.51 $61.04 $45.38 $43.53 $37.56 $35.17 $31.83 $25.98 $24.41 $18.11 $17.87 $17.48 $13.55 $9.34 $6.37 $1.66 $1.66
Revenue/Share $0.05 $0.04 $0.01 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.14 $1.41 $3.03 $3.10 $3.28 $2.42 $1.10 $1.01 $0.89 $1.04 $1.47 $1.07 $1.26
FCF/Share $-11.19 $-10.07 $-9.72 $-13.45 $-17.83 $-23.69 $-28.62 $-35.81 $-40.76 $-44.92 $-49.77 $-45.52 $-44.66 $-33.07 $-23.95 $-17.16 $-14.08 $-11.18 $-11.15 $-8.87 $-10.42
OCF/Share $-7.78 $-7.58 $-7.99 $-11.71 $-14.36 $-17.54 $-19.56 $-22.62 $-27.40 $-32.09 $-37.17 $-35.12 $-34.13 $-24.98 $-18.33 $-13.81 $-11.77 $-9.83 $-10.07 $-8.14 $-9.56
Cash/Share $8.33 $68.97 $71.97 $65.36 $58.38 $48.10 $44.00 $36.61 $26.02 $31.16 $21.60 $14.21 $6.61 $9.60 $12.70 $12.98 $9.46 $5.71 $3.92 $1.69 $1.99
EBITDA/Share $-9.33 $-15.08 $-20.31 $-28.16 $-34.35 $-38.35 $-48.92 $-49.93 $-51.11 $-51.46 $-47.01 $-43.88 $-37.92 $-27.51 $-27.45 $-20.47 $-20.43 $-16.05 $-11.12 $-13.85 $-13.85
Debt/Share $0.53 $0.47 $0.33 $1.40 $1.13 $1.11 $1.90 $2.02 $2.03 $20.11 $20.74 $23.32 $18.87 $15.53 $9.68 $7.93 $7.69 $3.99 $6.87 $3.29 $3.29
Net Debt/Share $-7.80 $-68.49 $-71.65 $-63.96 $-57.25 $-46.99 $-42.10 $-34.59 $-23.99 $-11.04 $-0.87 $9.11 $12.26 $5.94 $-3.02 $-5.05 $-1.76 $-1.71 $2.94 $1.59 $1.59
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -14.382
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -32.177
Piotroski F-Score 2 4 2 3 3 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 4 3 2 3 2 2
Beneish M-Score -14.22 -5.00 — -111.33 — — — — — — — — 1.08 -2.40 — -3.77 -5.32 -3.71 — -5.76 -5.761
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only 1.467
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -3.73%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-3.49
EVA snapshot only $-503592880.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 20.00 74.58 74.86 73.70 62.99 61.88 60.04 61.22 60.94 28.36 24.74 20.83 19.96 24.59 26.67 28.93 26.80 27.36 22.56 17.69 17.688
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -11.247
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 10
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 4

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