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Not Investment Advice

NLCP OTC

NewLake Capital Partners, Inc.
1W: -2.8% 1M: -9.0% 3M: -11.3% YTD: -10.5% 1Y: +7.2% 3Y: +27.9% 5Y: -28.1%
$14.10
-0.13 (-0.90%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±2.7%
$13 $14 $14 $14 $15
OTC · Real Estate · REIT - Specialty · Tech Score Sell · Power 37 · $290.2M mcap · 18M float · 0.421% daily turnover · Short 43% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$16
Avg Target
$16
High
Based on 4 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 2Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$16.25
Analysts4
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-13 Compass Point — $24 $17 -6 +17.9% $14.42
2025-12-12 UBS Craig Kucera Initiated $16 — +21.7% $13.15
2025-12-12 Capital One Financial Craig Kucera Initiated $16 — +21.4% $13.18
2025-12-12 Loop Capital Markets Craig Kicera Initiated $16 — +20.5% $13.28
2024-05-13 Compass Point Merill Ross $18 $24 +5 +15.4% $20.36
2024-03-14 Compass Point Merill Ross Initiated $18 — +11.2% $16.41

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A-
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
3
ROA
5
D/E
2
P/E
3
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. NLCP receives an overall rating of A-. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 A A-
2026-08-11 B+ A
2026-08-06 A+ B+
2026-08-03 A A+
2026-07-30 A+ A
2026-07-27 A A+
2026-07-25 A+ A
2026-07-01 A A+
2026-05-14 A+ A
2026-05-11 A- A+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 68 Grade A
Profitability
61
Balance Sheet
81
Earnings Quality
82
Growth
31
Value
81
Momentum
64
Safety
100
Cash Flow
89
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. NLCP scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Growth (31/100). An overall grade of A places NLCP among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
7.91
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
6.74
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-12.18
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AAA
Score: 98.3/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.71x
Accruals: -4.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. NLCP scores 7.91, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. NLCP scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. NLCP's score of 6.74 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. NLCP's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. NLCP receives an estimated rating of AAA (score: 98.3/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). NLCP's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
11.95x
PEG
-1.69x
P/S
5.88x
P/B
0.76x
P/FCF
8.02x
P/OCF
8.02x
EV/EBITDA
7.70x
EV/Revenue
6.41x
EV/EBIT
12.37x
EV/FCF
7.58x
Earnings Yield
7.29%
FCF Yield
12.47%
Shareholder Yield
10.74%
Graham Number
$21.79
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 11.9x earnings, NLCP trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 7.3% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $21.79 per share, suggesting a potential 55% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.983
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.970
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.518
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.117
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.085
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
6.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. NLCP's ROE of 6.3% is driven by EBIT Margin (0.518) as the dominant factor. A tax burden ratio of 0.98 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.47%
Fair P/E
9.43x
Intrinsic Value
$10.94
Price/Value
1.45x
Margin of Safety
-45.33%
Premium
45.33%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with NLCP's realized 0.5% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. NLCP trades at a 45% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $10.94, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 9.4x compares to the current market P/E of 11.9x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1285 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$14.10
Median 1Y
$12.57
5th Pctile
$7.85
95th Pctile
$20.13
Ann. Volatility
29.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Anthony Coniglio, President,
Chief Executive Officer and Director
$400,000 $544,734 $1,197,734
Lisa Meyer, Financial
ancial Officer, Treasurer, and Secretary
$350,000 $209,509 $792,509

CEO Pay Ratio

3:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $1,197,734
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $479,000
Employees: 7

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
7
-12.5% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$7,295,857
Rev: $51,071,000
Profit / Employee
$3,759,714
NI: $26,318,000
SGA / Employee
$479,000
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 0.6% 1.6% 2.8% 3.7% 4.6% 5.2% 5.4% 5.9% 5.8% 5.9% 6.2% 6.5% 6.7% 6.5% 6.4% 6.6% 6.7% 6.7% 6.6% 6.3% 6.29%
ROA 0.6% 1.5% 2.6% 3.5% 4.3% 4.8% 5.0% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.8% 6.0% 6.2% 6.0% 5.9% 6.0% 6.1% 6.2% 6.1% 5.8% 5.80%
ROIC 1.1% 2.4% 3.9% 4.2% 5.2% 5.8% 6.0% 6.6% 6.4% 6.4% 6.7% 6.9% 7.1% 7.0% 6.9% 7.1% 7.3% 7.3% 7.3% 7.0% 6.96%
ROCE 0.6% 1.6% 2.8% 3.7% 4.6% 5.2% 5.5% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.4% 6.7% 6.9% 6.8% 6.7% 6.9% 6.6% 6.5% 6.5% 6.2% 6.16%
Gross Margin 69.5% 99.4% 98.8% 73.3% 69.9% 99.0% 68.8% 68.6% 68.9% 72.6% 71.5% 70.7% 99.0% 99.5% 95.3% 99.6% 36.9% -91.4% 32.6% 34.5% 34.54%
Operating Margin 34.1% 48.8% 50.3% 36.1% 55.6% 56.7% 51.2% 50.9% 52.1% 59.1% 55.3% 55.9% 52.9% 49.7% 49.2% 58.5% 54.9% 50.9% 48.9% 50.8% 50.75%
Net Margin 33.3% 48.1% 49.4% 35.8% 53.9% 55.0% 51.4% 51.0% 51.8% 53.5% 54.5% 54.6% 51.2% 48.2% 47.7% 56.6% 53.0% 48.9% 46.9% 48.8% 48.78%
EBITDA Margin 64.5% 77.5% 77.1% 63.2% 85.6% 87.3% 84.3% 84.1% 84.7% 68.4% 84.4% 85.7% 82.5% 84.2% 78.6% 89.2% 85.6% 83.0% 80.9% 83.4% 83.38%
FCF Margin 52.0% 49.1% 41.1% -38.8% -37.8% -18.3% -9.1% 63.9% 72.6% 54.1% 43.0% 48.8% 56.1% 70.6% 85.7% 84.4% 83.9% 83.1% 85.1% 84.5% 84.51%
OCF Margin 73.3% 98.5% 84.6% 86.2% 82.5% 82.4% 84.5% 84.0% 88.4% 84.6% 86.2% 87.8% 89.1% 86.4% 85.7% 84.4% 83.9% 83.1% 85.1% 84.5% 84.51%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.54%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 5.86%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.03%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.95%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 6.52%
Cash ROA snapshot only 10.05%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 11.45%
CROIC snapshot only 11.45%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 51.38%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 50.26%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 5.56%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.43%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 144.87 61.34 31.65 18.02 10.93 11.86 9.09 9.55 9.86 11.47 13.32 13.76 14.00 12.83 11.08 11.27 10.58 12.71 11.77 13.71 11.949
P/S Ratio 48.30 25.21 13.98 7.54 5.14 5.80 4.49 5.05 5.16 5.96 7.03 7.38 7.48 6.68 5.58 5.73 5.43 6.55 6.05 6.77 5.883
P/B Ratio 0.91 1.01 0.89 0.67 0.50 0.62 0.49 0.57 0.59 0.70 0.84 0.91 0.95 0.84 0.72 0.75 0.71 0.86 0.79 0.87 0.762
P/FCF 92.96 51.30 34.03 -19.45 -13.59 -31.65 -49.45 7.90 7.10 11.02 16.32 15.11 13.33 9.46 6.51 6.80 6.48 7.88 7.11 8.02 8.016
P/OCF 65.86 25.60 16.52 8.74 6.23 7.04 5.32 6.01 5.84 7.04 8.15 8.40 8.39 7.74 6.51 6.80 6.48 7.88 7.11 8.02 8.016
EV/EBITDA 42.69 25.22 13.39 8.92 5.42 6.16 4.51 4.95 5.33 6.83 8.32 8.83 9.03 7.64 6.45 6.53 6.08 7.41 6.74 7.70 7.700
EV/Revenue 27.55 18.00 9.84 6.31 4.13 4.86 3.64 4.23 4.54 5.46 6.67 7.11 7.24 6.43 5.33 5.46 5.12 6.23 5.71 6.41 6.408
EV/EBIT 80.21 42.33 21.59 14.64 8.53 9.65 7.14 7.74 8.38 10.17 12.24 12.84 13.12 11.72 10.05 10.15 9.45 11.61 10.61 12.37 12.366
EV/FCF 53.04 36.64 23.97 -16.26 -10.93 -26.52 -40.04 6.62 6.24 10.09 15.49 14.57 12.91 9.10 6.22 6.47 6.11 7.49 6.71 7.58 7.583
Earnings Yield 0.7% 1.6% 3.2% 5.5% 9.1% 8.4% 11.0% 10.5% 10.1% 8.7% 7.5% 7.3% 7.1% 7.8% 9.0% 8.9% 9.5% 7.9% 8.5% 7.3% 7.29%
FCF Yield 1.1% 1.9% 2.9% -5.1% -7.4% -3.2% -2.0% 12.7% 14.1% 9.1% 6.1% 6.6% 7.5% 10.6% 15.4% 14.7% 15.4% 12.7% 14.1% 12.5% 12.47%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.909
EV/OCF snapshot only 7.583
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 203.395
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 12.472
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 10.74%
Graham Number snapshot only $21.79
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 16.62 10.10 9.61 4.20 2.60 2.47 2.57 2.50 2.06 3.20 1.18 0.94 0.90 0.92 0.94 1.02 1424.35 370.08 503.49 787.46 787.462
Quick Ratio 16.62 10.10 9.61 4.20 2.60 2.47 2.57 2.50 2.06 3.20 1.18 0.94 0.90 0.92 0.94 1.02 1424.35 370.08 503.49 787.46 787.462
Debt/Equity 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.020
Net Debt/Equity -0.39 -0.29 -0.26 -0.11 -0.10 -0.10 -0.09 -0.09 -0.07 -0.06 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.047
Debt/Assets 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.019
Debt/EBITDA 0.00 0.31 0.10 0.11 0.09 0.08 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.11 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.187
Net Debt/EBITDA -32.14 -10.09 -5.62 -1.75 -1.32 -1.19 -1.06 -0.96 -0.74 -0.63 -0.45 -0.33 -0.30 -0.30 -0.29 -0.33 -0.37 -0.38 -0.40 -0.44 -0.440
Interest Coverage — 1213.50 377.03 206.05 116.86 82.89 69.62 66.04 64.44 67.02 71.39 68.50 57.85 48.67 40.97 37.24 35.00 32.63 30.72 28.88 28.881
Equity Multiplier 1.05 1.08 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.09 1.085
Cash Ratio snapshot only 660.564
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 46.385
Cash to Debt snapshot only 3.354
FCF to Debt snapshot only 5.427
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.117
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover — 0.57 0.91 1.08 16.71 2.57 2.64 2.35 9.29 9.62 9.85 10.06 10.26 10.32 10.41 10.49 10.47 10.41 10.20 10.01 10.009
Payables Turnover — 1.79 — 2.01 6.72 4.36 15.88 5.26 7.29 10.28 14.50 12.26 9.71 5.65 5.11 0.90 6.78 22.84 37.36 46.40 46.401
DSO 0 640 401 338 22 142 138 155 39 38 37 36 36 35 35 35 35 35 36 36 36.5 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 0 204 0 182 54 84 23 69 50 36 25 30 38 65 71 404 54 16 10 8 7.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 0 436 401 156 -32 59 115 86 -11 2 12 7 -2 -29 -36 -369 -19 19 26 29 28.6 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.915
Capital Intensity snapshot only 8.411
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue — — — — 4.2% 1.6% 69.2% 24.5% 11.2% 5.3% 5.0% 5.4% 9.0% 6.0% 4.6% 3.3% 1.2% 1.9% -1.1% -3.7% -3.68%
Net Income — — — — 6.3% 2.1% 89.4% 57.3% 23.9% 11.9% 12.1% 6.9% 11.2% 6.2% -0.2% -2.0% -2.7% 0.8% 1.0% -6.5% -6.50%
EPS — — — — 5.5% 2.1% 90.6% 57.2% 25.2% 15.7% 16.7% 11.0% 14.5% 6.8% -0.3% -2.1% -2.8% 0.6% 0.8% -6.7% -6.68%
FCF — — — — -4.8% -2.0% -1.4% 3.1% 3.1% 4.1% 6.0% -19.4% -15.9% 38.3% 1.1% 78.5% 51.4% 19.9% -1.8% -3.5% -3.54%
EBITDA — — — — 5.1% 1.9% 85.6% 50.4% 24.3% 6.7% 4.3% -0.5% 2.6% 11.6% 8.0% 7.1% 6.5% 1.7% 1.3% -4.1% -4.09%
Op. Income — — — — 6.3% 2.1% 89.4% 57.2% 22.5% 12.4% 13.8% 9.4% 15.3% 5.9% -0.5% -2.6% -3.8% 1.7% 1.8% -5.8% -5.82%
OCF Growth snapshot only -3.54%
Asset Growth snapshot only -2.58%
Equity Growth snapshot only -2.66%
Debt Growth snapshot only 1.07%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.20%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 0.55%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 84.3% 43.1% 23.0% 10.7% 7.1% 4.4% 2.8% 1.6% 1.59%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.1% 57.1% 30.4% 19.5% 11.7% 7.5% 5.4% 0.5% 0.47%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.2% 54.8% 28.5% 18.1% 10.3% 6.2% 4.2% -0.7% -0.67%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 98.1% 51.2% 27.9% 17.0% 10.7% 6.6% 4.5% 0.7% 0.74%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 91.8% 43.0% 23.4% 15.9% 6.6% -21.0% -34.2% -65.0% -64.97%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.2% 55.2% 28.9% 18.8% 10.8% 6.6% 4.8% 0.1% 0.13%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 89.0% 61.5% 57.1% — — — — 11.5% 11.53%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 96.6% 37.0% 23.5% 9.9% 7.7% 4.7% 3.1% 1.8% 1.82%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — -1.3% -2.2% -2.1% -2.3% -2.3% -2.5% -2.3% -2.3% -2.34%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — -2.4% -2.5% -2.7% -2.7% -2.8% -2.9% -2.9% -2.9% -2.93%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — -4.6% -1.0% -1.2% -1.6% -1.6% -1.7% -1.7% -1.8% -1.82%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — -1.7% 2.7% 3.5% 3.6% 3.1% 2.3% 1.9% 1.4% 1.39%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — — 0.84 0.81 0.83 0.90 0.77 0.73 0.76 0.85 0.92 0.97 0.81 0.41 0.408
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — — 0.90 0.86 0.90 0.87 0.84 0.78 0.75 0.69 0.73 0.69 0.66 0.43 0.431
Margin Stability — — — — — — — — 0.90 0.89 0.87 0.91 0.92 0.91 0.88 0.86 0.96 0.67 0.52 0.34 0.340
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — — 0.90 0.95 0.95 0.97 0.96 0.98 1.00 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 0.97 0.974
Earnings Smoothness — — — — 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.55 0.79 0.89 0.89 0.93 0.89 0.94 1.00 0.98 0.97 0.99 0.99 0.93 0.933
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.003
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — -0.00 -0.15 -0.14 -0.10 -0.02 0.08 0.17 0.24 0.06 -0.41 -0.60 -0.82 -0.815
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — 0.66 0.39 0.27 0.36 0.39 0.53 0.69 0.28 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.18 0.179
Sustainable Growth Rate -0.8% -0.4% -0.7% -1.5% -0.9% -1.7% -1.9% -1.7% -2.1% -2.0% -1.8% -1.6% -1.6% -2.0% -2.3% -2.3% -2.3% -2.3% -2.5% -2.9% -2.91%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 2.20 2.40 1.92 2.06 1.76 1.68 1.71 1.59 1.69 1.63 1.63 1.64 1.67 1.66 1.70 1.66 1.63 1.61 1.65 1.71 1.710
FCF/OCF 0.71 0.50 0.49 -0.45 -0.46 -0.22 -0.11 0.76 0.82 0.64 0.50 0.56 0.63 0.82 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.710
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.015
CapEx/Revenue 21.4% 49.3% 43.6% 1.3% 1.2% 1.0% 93.6% 20.1% 15.8% 30.5% 43.1% 39.0% 33.0% 15.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.000
Accruals Ratio -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.03 -0.04 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.041
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.035
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.169
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.6% 2.0% 4.0% 7.8% 11.0% 11.2% 14.8% 13.5% 13.7% 11.7% 9.7% 9.0% 8.8% 10.2% 12.3% 12.1% 12.7% 10.6% 11.7% 10.7% 12.20%
Dividend/Share $0.32 $0.39 $0.69 $1.03 $1.08 $1.33 $1.41 $1.47 $1.52 $1.57 $1.57 $1.57 $1.60 $1.64 $1.66 $1.69 $1.68 $1.68 $1.69 $1.70 $1.72
Payout Ratio 2.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 1.46%
FCF Payout Ratio 1.5% 1.0% 1.4% — — — — 1.1% 97.5% 1.3% 1.6% 1.4% 1.2% 96.8% 80.3% 81.9% 82.2% 83.3% 83.4% 85.5% 85.53%
Total Payout Ratio 2.3% 15.9% 9.8% 7.9% 6.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 1.7% 1.6% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.47%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number — — — — 2.88 2.49 1.17 0.57 0.54 0.25 0.17 0.12 0.11 0.14 0.18 0.19 0.18 0.14 0.14 0.11 0.114
Buyback Yield 0.0% 23.9% 27.1% 36.3% 48.2% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 4.2% 4.2% 3.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.08%
Net Buyback Yield -23.9% -3.3% -3.7% -4.9% 37.0% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 4.2% 4.2% 3.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0% -0.1% -0.1% -0.0% 0.1% -0.1% -0.0% -0.03%
Total Shareholder Return -22.3% -1.3% 0.3% 2.9% 48.0% 11.5% 15.5% 14.4% 17.9% 15.9% 13.0% 11.9% 9.5% 10.2% 12.2% 11.9% 12.6% 10.6% 11.6% 10.6% 10.64%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.983
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.970
EBIT Margin 0.34 0.43 0.46 0.43 0.48 0.50 0.51 0.55 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.53 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.52 0.518
Asset Turnover 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.117
Equity Multiplier 1.05 1.08 1.07 1.07 1.06 1.08 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.08 1.08 1.085
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.14 $0.32 $0.55 $0.73 $0.90 $1.01 $1.05 $1.14 $1.13 $1.17 $1.22 $1.27 $1.29 $1.25 $1.22 $1.24 $1.25 $1.25 $1.23 $1.16 $1.16
Book Value/Share $21.97 $19.52 $19.48 $19.64 $19.53 $19.43 $19.30 $19.22 $18.91 $19.19 $19.26 $19.17 $19.05 $18.93 $18.80 $18.72 $18.61 $18.48 $18.31 $18.19 $18.84
Tangible Book/Share $20.72 $18.42 $18.41 $18.59 $18.50 $18.43 $18.33 $18.26 $17.97 $18.25 $18.34 $18.27 $18.18 $18.08 $17.97 $17.93 $17.84 $17.73 $17.59 $17.49 $17.49
Revenue/Share $0.41 $0.78 $1.24 $1.74 $1.92 $2.06 $2.12 $2.16 $2.15 $2.24 $2.32 $2.37 $2.41 $2.39 $2.42 $2.44 $2.44 $2.43 $2.39 $2.35 $2.39
FCF/Share $0.21 $0.38 $0.51 $-0.67 $-0.72 $-0.38 $-0.19 $1.38 $1.56 $1.21 $1.00 $1.16 $1.35 $1.69 $2.07 $2.06 $2.05 $2.02 $2.03 $1.98 $2.02
OCF/Share $0.30 $0.77 $1.05 $1.50 $1.58 $1.70 $1.79 $1.82 $1.90 $1.90 $2.00 $2.08 $2.15 $2.07 $2.07 $2.06 $2.05 $2.02 $2.03 $1.98 $2.02
Cash/Share $8.58 $5.80 $5.23 $2.28 $2.07 $2.07 $1.90 $1.87 $1.44 $1.23 $1.03 $0.99 $0.95 $0.96 $0.95 $1.04 $1.12 $1.14 $1.18 $1.23 $1.25
EBITDA/Share $0.27 $0.56 $0.91 $1.23 $1.46 $1.63 $1.71 $1.85 $1.83 $1.79 $1.86 $1.91 $1.94 $2.01 $2.00 $2.04 $2.06 $2.04 $2.02 $1.95 $1.95
Debt/Share $0.00 $0.17 $0.09 $0.14 $0.14 $0.14 $0.09 $0.09 $0.09 $0.10 $0.20 $0.36 $0.37 $0.36 $0.36 $0.36 $0.37 $0.37 $0.37 $0.37 $0.37
Net Debt/Share $-8.58 $-5.63 $-5.14 $-2.15 $-1.93 $-1.94 $-1.81 $-1.78 $-1.35 $-1.12 $-0.83 $-0.62 $-0.58 $-0.60 $-0.59 $-0.68 $-0.76 $-0.77 $-0.81 $-0.86 $-0.86
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 7.910
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 13.893
Piotroski F-Score 4 4 4 4 6 7 6 6 7 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 6 6 4 4
Beneish M-Score — — — — -2.10 -3.05 -3.17 -3.26 -2.72 -2.51 -2.71 -2.70 4.09 4.23 -2.76 -2.82 -1.67 -3.62 6.42 6.74 6.737
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -12.183
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 83.33%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $0.23
EVA snapshot only $-11072900.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AAA
Credit Score 89.00 98.24 98.24 95.84 95.52 94.85 95.52 98.27 98.23 98.25 98.26 98.26 98.26 98.27 98.31 98.29 98.28 98.25 98.28 98.27 98.274
Credit Grade snapshot only 1
Credit Trend snapshot only -0.011
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 50.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 100
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 98

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