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Not Investment Advice

NOVN NASDAQ

Novan, Inc.
1W: +11.3% 1M: -88.1% 3M: -95.1% 1Y: -98.0% 3Y: -99.1% 5Y: -99.8%
$0.09
Last traded 2023-08-21 — delisted
NASDAQ · Healthcare · Biotechnology · $2.6M mcap · 26M float · 4.64% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
44.9 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Network Effects  ·  ROIC: 244.4%
Cost Advantage
50
Intangibles
26
Switching Cost
53
Network Effect
74
Scale
27
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. NOVN shows a Weak competitive edge (44.9/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Network Effects. ROIC of 244.4% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 2Hold: 2Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 12 Grade D
Profitability
38
Balance Sheet
0
Earnings Quality
0
Growth
83
Value
24
Momentum
0
Safety
0
Cash Flow
18
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. NOVN scores highest in Growth (83/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-7.14
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
0.09
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-3.65
Bankruptcy prob: 2.5%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 15.3/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: -35.93x
Accruals: 38.5%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. NOVN scores -7.14, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. NOVN scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. NOVN's score of 0.09 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. NOVN's implied 2.5% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. NOVN receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 15.3/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). NOVN's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-0.11x
PEG
-0.00x
P/S
0.11x
P/B
0.45x
P/FCF
-0.86x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
-0.90x
EV/Revenue
1.02x
EV/EBIT
-0.57x
EV/FCF
-0.64x
Earnings Yield
2.94%
FCF Yield
-115.66%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. NOVN currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
-0.031
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.719
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-1.801
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.258
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
62.817
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
65.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. NOVN's ROE of 65.4% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 62.82x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of -0.03 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$0.33
Price/Value
4.00x
Margin of Safety
-299.82%
Premium
299.82%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with NOVN's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. NOVN trades at a 300% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $0.33, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of -0.1x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1730 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$0.06
Median 1Y
$0.01
5th Pctile
$0.00
95th Pctile
$0.07
Ann. Volatility
145.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
ROE -3.5% -19.3% -8.5% -3.2% 3.2% 1.8% 3.3% 4.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.8% 5.6% -1.9% -1.7% -2.8% -10.2% -1.7% -2.0% 13.8% 65.4% 65.42%
ROA -74.6% -95.3% -53.4% -42.5% -58.0% -79.2% -1.1% -1.0% -41.9% -47.6% -77.2% -76.8% -47.4% -46.6% -51.3% -43.1% -38.4% -42.3% 2.0% 1.0% 1.04%
ROIC 1.5% 4.0% -4.5% 12.0% 59.0% 60.6% 77.6% 85.0% 82.6% 65.4% 74.7% 92.0% 81.3% 75.2% 94.0% 3.1% 6.2% 7.7% 7.4% 2.4% 2.44%
ROCE -52.0% -1.0% -1.8% -2.0% -1.1% -1.9% 35.3% -2.0% 47.3% 70.7% -16.3% -21.6% -12.2% -24.1% -39.5% -42.8% -51.5% -73.5% -1.0% -1.2% -1.24%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% -6.8% -3.7% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 89.1% 57.5% 71.7% 70.2% 57.1% 57.11%
Operating Margin -12.6% -12.9% -87.0% -6.1% -7.6% -8.7% -5.1% -6.1% -7.4% -7.6% -7.6% -11.1% -9.4% -9.5% -12.5% -7.0% -1.4% -1.9% -36.3% -4.5% -4.50%
Net Margin -11.7% -10.9% 1.8% -6.4% -16.4% -7.6% 2.4% -6.0% -7.4% -7.6% -6.7% -12.0% -8.1% -9.5% -12.7% -7.2% -1.5% -47.9% 2.5% -4.7% -4.71%
EBITDA Margin -11.7% -12.0% -74.0% -5.6% -16.0% -8.2% -4.6% -5.6% -4.7% -5.9% -6.8% -11.0% -10.3% -9.4% -12.3% -6.9% -1.3% -86.6% -28.5% -4.3% -4.29%
FCF Margin -12.5% -13.2% -5.0% -3.4% -2.0% -2.1% -4.5% -5.9% -7.6% -7.1% -7.5% -8.5% -8.8% -9.5% -12.0% -6.2% -3.5% -2.6% -1.5% -1.6% -1.59%
OCF Margin -11.9% -12.7% -4.8% -3.3% -1.9% -2.1% -4.4% -5.7% -7.4% -6.9% -7.4% -8.2% -7.9% -8.0% -8.8% -3.9% -2.6% -2.1% -1.3% -1.5% -1.45%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -32.54%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -53.14%
Cash ROA snapshot only -44.99%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -1.14%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -1.29%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 64.70%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 1.38%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 7.81%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
P/E Ratio -2.69 -2.59 -1.70 -1.72 -2.82 -2.57 -2.70 -0.59 -1.97 -3.25 — -7.30 -5.22 -5.45 — -2.16 -1.26 -1.38 20.30 33.98 -0.106
P/S Ratio 28.59 28.21 3.59 3.87 10.22 9.21 18.51 4.00 8.85 14.65 0.00 59.54 43.78 48.49 0.00 18.70 5.03 3.32 1.36 1.37 0.112
P/B Ratio 17.59 -31.65 4.14 -10.53 -3.48 -2.45 -3.48 -1.42 -1052.20 8.65 — 275.35 4.85 5.85 — 12.61 3.85 6.77 6.98 -12.01 0.450
P/FCF -2.29 -2.13 -0.72 -1.13 -5.11 -4.37 -4.08 -0.68 -1.16 -2.07 -0.00 -7.00 -4.99 -5.11 -0.00 -3.03 -1.42 -1.26 -0.91 -0.86 -0.865
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA -1.88 -2.22 -0.80 -1.04 -1.58 -1.63 -1.97 -0.05 -0.41 -0.98 1.45 -7.72 -3.22 -3.31 1.43 -1.69 -0.86 -1.05 -0.84 -0.90 -0.896
EV/Revenue 20.76 26.60 3.56 3.96 7.92 7.96 16.84 0.44 2.36 5.07 -8.30 52.27 26.25 30.45 -15.40 14.96 3.23 2.53 1.01 1.02 1.022
EV/EBIT -3.50 -3.03 -0.69 -1.13 -1.63 -1.61 13.17 -3.96 0.59 0.82 5.62 -24.80 -11.34 -6.51 1.90 -2.13 -0.84 -1.00 -0.54 -0.57 -0.568
EV/FCF -1.67 -2.01 -0.72 -1.16 -3.96 -3.78 -3.72 -0.07 -0.31 -0.72 1.10 -6.14 -3.00 -3.21 1.29 -2.43 -0.91 -0.96 -0.68 -0.64 -0.643
Earnings Yield -37.1% -38.6% -58.9% -58.2% -35.5% -38.9% -37.0% -1.7% -50.8% -30.8% — -13.7% -19.2% -18.3% — -46.2% -79.1% -72.6% 4.9% 2.9% 2.94%
FCF Yield -43.6% -46.9% -1.4% -88.7% -19.6% -22.9% -24.5% -1.5% -86.0% -48.3% — -14.3% -20.0% -19.6% — -33.0% -70.4% -79.3% -1.1% -1.2% -1.16%
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.554
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Current Ratio 2.65 1.64 1.03 0.67 1.79 1.27 1.22 1.99 3.98 5.56 5.06 4.80 5.93 4.86 4.85 1.25 1.40 0.97 0.91 0.74 0.744
Quick Ratio 2.65 1.64 1.03 0.67 1.79 1.27 1.25 1.99 3.98 5.56 5.62 4.53 5.81 4.78 4.63 1.22 1.37 0.94 0.89 0.72 0.719
Debt/Equity 0.01 -3.49 1.54 -2.83 -0.32 -0.23 -0.26 -0.49 -186.76 0.13 0.32 4.80 0.10 0.11 0.20 3.51 1.67 0.60 0.85 -1.36 -1.362
Net Debt/Equity -4.82 — -0.03 — — — — — — -5.65 -11.73 -33.63 -1.94 -2.18 -2.37 -2.53 -1.38 -1.60 -1.82 — —
Debt/Assets 0.00 0.27 0.30 0.31 0.14 0.17 0.22 0.17 0.15 0.02 0.02 0.09 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.18 0.18 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.048
Debt/EBITDA -0.00 -0.26 -0.30 -0.27 -0.19 -0.18 -0.16 -0.16 -0.27 -0.04 -0.04 -0.15 -0.11 -0.10 -0.12 -0.59 -0.58 -0.12 -0.14 -0.14 -0.137
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.71 0.13 0.01 -0.02 0.46 0.26 0.19 0.41 1.12 1.84 1.45 1.07 2.15 1.96 1.43 0.42 0.48 0.33 0.30 0.31 0.308
Interest Coverage -30.35 -28.84 -29.72 -28.74 -63.63 -137.68 2862.00 -243.00 17678.00 27250.00 — — — — — -210.78 -48.77 -25.46 -30.28 -27.87 -27.867
Equity Multiplier 8.89 -12.93 5.07 -9.22 -2.35 -1.33 -1.22 -2.95 -1266.41 6.25 15.73 55.27 2.47 2.82 3.76 19.05 9.34 12.32 19.62 -28.22 -28.215
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.286
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -17.646
Cash to Debt snapshot only 3.256
FCF to Debt snapshot only -10.194
Defensive Interval snapshot only 185.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Asset Turnover 0.07 0.09 0.25 0.19 0.16 0.22 0.16 0.15 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.09 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.10 0.18 0.30 0.26 0.258
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 0.11 1.96 3.89 4.03 6.52 6.520
Receivables Turnover — — — — — 67.94 21.37 46.57 39.82 23.59 1.59 1.65 25.20 22.72 0.60 0.39 1.03 1.84 1.78 1.66 1.656
Payables Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.97 9.93 11.29 12.72 4.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.66 1.22 0.93 0.89 0.887
DSO 0 0 0 0 0 5 17 8 9 15 229 221 14 16 604 947 356 199 205 220 220.4 days
DIO — — — — — 0 -5 0 0 0 — — — — — 3362 187 94 91 56 56.0 days
DPO — — — — — 61 37 32 29 88 — — — — — 5098 554 300 392 412 411.6 days
Cash Conversion Cycle — — — — — -56 -25 -24 -20 -72 — — — — — -789 -12 -7 -97 -135 -135.2 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.618
Operating Cycle snapshot only 276.4 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.971
Capital Intensity snapshot only 3.229
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Revenue 2.5% 69.6% 1.8% 1.4% 1.6% 1.8% -25.3% -31.6% -36.1% -40.0% -6.0% -10.7% -18.7% -28.2% -32.9% 0.9% 1.6% 3.4% 7.4% 5.2% 5.23%
Net Income 45.4% 33.3% 65.9% 52.9% 12.1% 6.1% -1.4% -1.1% 20.9% 24.6% 4.4% -7.7% -51.8% -41.6% -1.4% -6.8% -24.2% -18.3% 1.1% 1.0% 1.03%
EPS 66.5% 59.1% — 54.8% 12.2% 6.6% -1.4% -44.7% 74.4% 85.2% — 73.4% 21.4% -0.6% — 14.9% 4.4% 9.0% — 1.0% 1.02%
FCF 27.8% 20.7% 7.2% 40.8% 58.7% 54.7% 31.7% -17.6% -1.4% -1.0% -56.2% -28.9% 6.3% 3.7% -6.7% 26.9% -5.8% -21.0% -3.9% -60.6% -60.57%
EBITDA 41.2% 22.2% 21.6% 21.0% -16.7% -16.1% -44.3% -54.2% 26.6% 36.2% 37.0% 29.7% -14.8% -27.0% -25.6% -31.8% -21.2% -14.9% 6.4% 19.7% 19.72%
Op. Income 38.3% 20.2% 21.1% 19.9% 15.3% 14.5% -7.4% -12.9% -10.7% -1.7% 1.5% -7.0% -4.6% -2.2% 1.0% -8.0% -16.9% -35.3% -18.3% -2.2% -2.22%
OCF Growth snapshot only -1.33%
Asset Growth snapshot only -28.79%
Equity Growth snapshot only -1.48%
Debt Growth snapshot only -81.33%
Shares Change snapshot only 38.70%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — — 2.5% 78.9% 42.5% 25.3% 13.4% 10.1% 7.0% -22.2% -14.9% 10.8% 23.4% 74.1% 77.7% 77.74%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.1% 64.9% 55.5% 61.6% 55.7% 55.73%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — — — 25.3% 13.4% 10.1% 7.0% -22.2% -16.4% -1.6% — — — —
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.1% 53.5% 44.4% 50.0% 43.2% 43.22%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y — — — — — -19.5% -17.8% -9.1% 7.7% 17.0% 30.4% 0.5% 27.2% 35.5% 37.8% 72.6% 34.0% 31.4% 45.9% 29.8% 29.77%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.0% 5.6% 18.2% 25.0% 23.4% 33.7% 11.5% 11.50%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — — 12.7% — -57.9% 95.1% — 52.2% — — — — — —
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — — -44.5% — -76.8% 7.5% — — — — — — — —
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Revenue Stability — 0.99 0.97 0.99 0.96 0.88 0.72 0.64 0.56 0.46 0.15 0.02 0.00 0.32 0.18 0.25 0.52 0.45 0.44 0.46 0.456
Earnings Stability — 0.18 0.50 0.99 0.84 0.03 0.09 0.37 0.82 0.03 0.02 0.11 0.45 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.13 0.28 0.14 0.140
Margin Stability — — — 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — 0.87 0.50 0.50 0.95 0.98 0.50 0.50 0.92 0.90 0.98 0.97 0.50 0.83 0.99 0.97 0.90 0.93 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -3.05 6.07 — —
Gross Margin Trend — — — 0.00 0.00 -1.17 -3.16 -3.22 -3.22 -0.68 1.58 1.61 1.61 1.22 1.58 1.56 1.31 0.32 -0.31 -0.32 -0.316
FCF Margin Trend — — — 179.49 34.29 18.65 5.43 2.72 -0.38 0.59 -2.79 -3.85 -3.96 -4.90 -5.95 1.04 4.65 5.65 8.27 5.75 5.748
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 13.8% 65.4% 65.42%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.0% 1.1% 1.05%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.12 1.17 2.26 1.46 0.52 0.58 0.65 0.85 1.66 1.53 1.06 1.00 0.94 0.90 0.83 0.45 0.65 0.86 -19.50 -35.93 -35.934
FCF/OCF 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.05 1.06 1.02 1.02 1.03 1.02 1.03 1.02 1.04 1.11 1.19 1.37 1.59 1.37 1.27 1.14 1.09 1.094
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -39.306
CapEx/Revenue 53.3% 47.7% 18.5% 15.3% 10.7% 3.8% 9.4% 17.2% 17.0% 18.2% 15.4% 31.3% 86.7% 1.5% 3.2% 2.3% 96.4% 56.2% 18.1% 13.6% 13.63%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.950
Accruals Ratio 0.09 0.16 0.67 0.19 -0.28 -0.34 -0.39 -0.16 0.27 0.25 0.05 0.00 -0.03 -0.05 -0.08 -0.24 -0.14 -0.06 0.41 0.38 0.385
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.276
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -10.655
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 — $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 — $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -46.5% -49.0% -1.7% 0.0% 0.0% -0.4% -0.9% -75.7% -34.2% -20.3% — 0.0% -24.0% -24.6% — -51.4% -33.0% -34.1% -49.5% -64.3% -64.30%
Total Shareholder Return -46.5% -49.0% -1.7% 0.0% 0.0% -0.4% -0.9% -75.7% -34.2% -20.3% — 0.0% -24.0% -24.6% — -51.4% -33.0% -34.1% -49.5% -64.3% -64.30%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 0.91 -0.05 -0.03 -0.031
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.79 1.24 0.41 0.64 0.75 0.73 -5.35 61.28 -1.12 -0.73 4.72 3.87 3.62 1.90 1.30 1.23 1.02 1.04 0.71 0.72 0.719
EBIT Margin -5.93 -8.79 -5.19 -3.51 -4.85 -4.94 1.28 -0.11 4.02 6.19 -1.48 -2.11 -2.32 -4.68 -8.10 -7.01 -3.85 -2.54 -1.86 -1.80 -1.801
Asset Turnover 0.07 0.09 0.25 0.19 0.16 0.22 0.16 0.15 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.09 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.10 0.18 0.30 0.26 0.258
Equity Multiplier 4.73 20.24 15.96 7.55 -5.43 -2.22 -2.98 -3.96 -4.66 -4.13 -3.65 -7.25 3.92 3.58 5.44 23.62 4.35 4.77 6.95 62.82 62.817
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-10.92 $-10.76 $-4.89 $-5.56 $-9.59 $-10.04 $-11.69 $-8.04 $-2.45 $-1.48 — $-2.14 $-1.93 $-1.49 — $-1.82 $-1.84 $-1.36 $0.07 $0.04 $0.04
Book Value/Share $1.67 $-0.88 $2.00 $-0.91 $-7.75 $-10.54 $-9.07 $-3.34 $-0.00 $0.56 — $0.06 $2.08 $1.39 — $0.31 $0.61 $0.28 $0.21 $-0.11 $0.21
Tangible Book/Share $1.67 $-0.88 $1.98 $-0.94 $-7.78 $-10.57 $-9.10 $-3.36 $-0.01 $0.55 — $0.05 $2.07 $1.39 — $-1.65 $-1.15 $-1.04 $-1.22 $-1.30 $-1.30
Revenue/Share $1.03 $0.99 $2.31 $2.47 $2.64 $2.80 $1.71 $1.19 $0.55 $0.33 — $0.26 $0.23 $0.17 — $0.21 $0.46 $0.56 $1.07 $0.95 $1.07
FCF/Share $-12.82 $-13.08 $-11.47 $-8.47 $-5.28 $-5.90 $-7.74 $-7.01 $-4.15 $-2.33 — $-2.23 $-2.01 $-1.59 — $-1.30 $-1.64 $-1.48 $-1.60 $-1.50 $-1.60
OCF/Share $-12.27 $-12.61 $-11.04 $-8.09 $-5.00 $-5.79 $-7.58 $-6.80 $-4.06 $-2.27 — $-2.15 $-1.81 $-1.34 — $-0.82 $-1.19 $-1.17 $-1.40 $-1.37 $-1.40
Cash/Share $8.06 $4.67 $3.16 $2.33 $8.61 $5.94 $5.23 $5.88 $4.40 $3.22 — $2.18 $4.23 $3.19 — $1.88 $1.85 $0.61 $0.56 $0.48 $0.56
EBITDA/Share $-11.38 $-11.85 $-10.23 $-9.42 $-13.26 $-13.68 $-14.60 $-10.22 $-3.15 $-1.71 — $-1.77 $-1.87 $-1.54 — $-1.86 $-1.75 $-1.36 $-1.29 $-1.08 $-1.08
Debt/Share $0.01 $3.08 $3.09 $2.56 $2.51 $2.45 $2.39 $1.65 $0.86 $0.07 — $0.27 $0.20 $0.16 — $1.10 $1.01 $0.17 $0.18 $0.15 $0.15
Net Debt/Share $-8.05 $-1.59 $-0.07 $0.23 $-6.10 $-3.49 $-2.84 $-4.23 $-3.54 $-3.15 — $-1.91 $-4.03 $-3.03 — $-0.79 $-0.83 $-0.44 $-0.38 $-0.33 $-0.33
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -7.145
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -17.493
Piotroski F-Score 4 3 3 2 3 4 3 3 2 4 5 3 3 1 3 2 2 2 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score -2.07 -1.94 5.52 0.04 -2.23 -3.32 -5.78 -3.17 -1.44 -6.13 6.62 26.68 -3.48 -2.62 -2.72 5.61 47.03 31.21 22.78 0.09 0.086
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -3.654
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-1.91
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 30.13 20.00 19.14 15.10 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 56.47 39.84 32.66 39.71 40.24 40.76 17.57 20.27 19.43 19.65 15.26 15.257
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -2.312
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 6
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 7

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