Also trades as: NVV1.F (FSX) · $vol 0M
NVAX NASDAQ
Novavax, Inc.
1W: -12.3%
1M: -7.2%
3M: +36.5%
YTD: +40.5%
1Y: +17.6%
3Y: +55.8%
5Y: -93.8%
$10.02
+0.62 (+6.60%)
Weekly Expected Move ±16.8%
$6
$8
$10
$11
$13
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 66% of companies Debt: 15.2% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.23 (down 98%), Novavax, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $295.6M against a stock market value of $1.65B.
Distance to default 3.70 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $144.9M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 69.0%; Altman Z'' -14.52. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.23 (down 98%), Novavax, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $295.6M against a stock market value of $1.65B.
Distance to default 3.70 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $144.9M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 69.0%; Altman Z'' -14.52. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
Overview
News
Chart
Smart Money
Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
Dividends
Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+98.4% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-13.1% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+98.4%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-13.1%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+40.5%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
83%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+8.7%
Midterm
⛅
+3.4%
55% win
121% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+6.1%
Midterm
☀️
+15.4%
55% win
107% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+7.6%
Midterm
☀️
+18.1%
20% win
93% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+6.8%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.4%
50% win
116% vol
May
20yr
💨
+57.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-6.2%
60% win
136% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+94.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-11.7%
45% win
97% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+168.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-21.0%
65% win
87% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+132.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-17.6%
55% win
92% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+122.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-17.4%
50% win
103% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+84.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-11.7%
24% win
83% vol
Now:
-7.3%
Nov
20yr
💨
+135.9%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.8%
40% win
83% vol
Dec
20yr
⛈️
-7.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-9.4%
25% win
80% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +40.5%