— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: NOVN.SW (SIX) · $vol 405M · NVS (NYSE) · $vol 285M · NVS.TO (TSX) · $vol 0M

NVSEF OTC

Novartis AG
1W: -4.8% 1M: -14.4% 3M: -15.2% YTD: -2.8% 1Y: +6.6% 3Y: +40.6% 5Y: +89.8%
$134.20
-6.73 (-4.78%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±9.8%
$108 $121 $134 $147 $160
OTC · Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General · Tech Score Sell · Power 43 · $255.1B mcap · 1.61B float · 0.0010% daily turnover · Short 8% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 1Buy: 4Hold: 14Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
2
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. NVSEF receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/E (2/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-06-30 None ADDED
2026-06-30 EXISTED None
2026-06-22 None ADDED
2026-06-22 EXISTED None
2026-06-16 None ADDED
2026-06-10 EXISTED None
2026-06-02 None ADDED
2026-06-02 EXISTED None
2026-05-21 None ADDED
2026-05-20 EXISTED None

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 64 Grade A
Profitability
89
Balance Sheet
54
Earnings Quality
72
Growth
35
Value
47
Momentum
65
Safety
90
Cash Flow
71
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. NVSEF scores highest in Safety (90/100) and lowest in Growth (35/100). An overall grade of A places NVSEF among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
3.53
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.52
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-8.25
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA-
Score: 82.4/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.43x
Accruals: -4.8%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. NVSEF scores 3.53, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. NVSEF scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. NVSEF's score of -2.52 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. NVSEF's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. NVSEF receives an estimated rating of AA- (score: 82.4/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). NVSEF's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
21.30x
PEG
-4.74x
P/S
4.87x
P/B
6.42x
P/FCF
18.40x
P/OCF
16.25x
EV/EBITDA
14.76x
EV/Revenue
6.12x
EV/EBIT
19.49x
EV/FCF
20.98x
Earnings Yield
4.31%
FCF Yield
5.43%
Shareholder Yield
5.22%
Graham Number
$56.74
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 21.3x earnings, NVSEF commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $56.74 per share, 137% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.787
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.935
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.314
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.484
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.711
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
30.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. NVSEF's ROE of 30.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.484), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$254.31
Price/Value
0.60x
Margin of Safety
39.69%
Premium
-39.69%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with NVSEF's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. NVSEF actually compounded EPS at 21.9% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. NVSEF trades at a -40% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $254.31, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 21.3x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$134.20
Median 1Y
$127.54
5th Pctile
$51.34
95th Pctile
$317.95
Ann. Volatility
53.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
75,267
-0.8% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$758,983
Rev: $57,126,379,000
Profit / Employee
$194,631
NI: $14,649,294,000
SGA / Employee
$184,248
Avg labor cost proxy
R&D / Employee
$148,743
Innovation spend

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 17.6% 38.7% 43.2% 39.3% 37.1% 11.0% 12.4% 13.3% 15.8% 28.0% 33.3% 34.6% 43.2% 26.3% 33.1% 32.8% 33.0% 31.2% 35.0% 30.3% 30.30%
ROA 7.8% 18.2% 19.6% 18.6% 18.2% 5.6% 5.9% 6.5% 6.8% 13.7% 14.8% 15.5% 16.3% 11.8% 13.3% 13.6% 13.7% 12.9% 12.3% 11.2% 11.18%
ROIC 11.9% 15.3% 15.0% 13.5% 12.9% 11.1% 11.0% 11.9% 16.1% 15.9% 17.6% 17.6% 20.6% 20.7% 21.8% 21.5% 23.1% 21.4% 18.4% 16.6% 16.61%
ROCE 13.1% 26.0% 27.9% 26.7% 27.0% 10.4% 11.2% 12.3% 14.7% 13.8% 16.5% 17.0% 18.3% 19.8% 23.4% 23.0% 23.3% 20.8% 19.8% 19.1% 19.07%
Gross Margin 70.5% 70.6% 69.9% 71.3% 70.4% 68.9% 70.2% 68.9% 74.2% 74.3% 73.5% 74.3% 75.4% 75.5% 76.3% 77.6% 75.4% 73.4% 73.8% 74.5% 74.47%
Operating Margin 24.2% 18.9% 22.3% 17.0% 16.9% 14.9% 21.6% 21.0% 14.6% 21.9% 30.7% 31.4% 27.5% 26.0% 34.2% 32.8% 31.3% 28.1% 28.5% 32.8% 32.84%
Net Margin 20.6% 1.2% 17.3% 12.9% 12.2% 11.2% 17.4% 16.6% 14.6% 72.0% 23.4% 25.8% 24.2% 20.8% 26.9% 27.2% 27.4% 18.1% 24.1% 22.7% 22.65%
EBITDA Margin 34.3% 1.4% 33.4% 31.2% 31.7% 31.1% 34.8% 34.6% 39.5% 37.6% 39.7% 40.7% 42.6% 38.3% 42.8% 41.0% 40.7% 46.2% 37.6% 41.2% 41.17%
FCF Margin 23.2% 22.9% 21.9% 21.3% 21.1% 22.3% 25.4% 23.9% 25.3% 22.6% 20.5% 24.3% 25.4% 27.1% 30.3% 32.7% 32.5% 29.8% 30.0% 29.1% 29.14%
OCF Margin 29.0% 28.5% 27.5% 26.9% 26.8% 27.5% 29.8% 29.0% 30.6% 28.3% 27.8% 31.3% 32.4% 34.5% 35.9% 37.7% 37.4% 33.8% 34.2% 33.0% 33.00%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 33.98%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 30.64%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 13.37%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 17.59%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 15.39%
Cash ROA snapshot only 14.83%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 21.85%
CROIC snapshot only 19.29%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 25.09%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 29.33%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 20.53%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 23.78%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.59%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 16.19 6.67 7.21 6.92 6.42 24.05 25.63 24.37 23.96 12.95 12.59 12.72 12.28 15.59 16.85 17.16 16.76 18.93 20.66 23.22 21.303
P/S Ratio 3.03 3.03 3.29 3.01 2.68 3.23 3.45 3.51 3.59 3.77 3.89 4.29 4.41 3.67 4.11 4.26 4.30 4.73 5.02 5.36 4.871
P/B Ratio 2.80 2.37 2.83 2.53 2.30 2.82 3.46 3.60 4.92 4.12 4.84 4.93 4.99 4.23 5.68 5.60 5.46 5.77 7.20 7.08 6.420
P/FCF 13.04 13.23 15.01 14.12 12.71 14.47 13.58 14.71 14.20 16.69 18.97 17.65 17.37 13.54 13.55 13.03 13.23 15.88 16.76 18.40 18.400
P/OCF 10.45 10.62 11.95 11.18 9.99 11.75 11.58 12.13 11.72 13.30 14.01 13.73 13.61 10.62 11.46 11.31 11.49 13.99 14.68 16.25 16.251
EV/EBITDA 10.19 5.02 5.77 5.38 4.80 10.68 11.71 11.59 10.97 10.99 11.27 11.99 11.89 9.97 11.11 11.49 11.53 12.17 13.89 14.76 14.759
EV/Revenue 3.53 3.08 3.53 3.23 2.86 3.40 3.77 3.84 3.83 4.01 4.25 4.72 4.78 4.02 4.57 4.73 4.69 5.18 5.75 6.12 6.115
EV/EBIT 15.43 6.17 7.03 6.69 6.13 19.01 21.59 20.88 21.24 20.17 19.58 19.03 17.02 14.01 15.13 15.61 15.08 15.87 18.36 19.49 19.491
EV/FCF 15.19 13.46 16.09 15.13 13.57 15.25 14.86 16.07 15.14 17.75 20.71 19.41 18.83 14.85 15.05 14.45 14.45 17.40 19.18 20.98 20.984
Earnings Yield 6.2% 15.0% 13.9% 14.5% 15.6% 4.2% 3.9% 4.1% 4.2% 7.7% 7.9% 7.9% 8.1% 6.4% 5.9% 5.8% 6.0% 5.3% 4.8% 4.3% 4.31%
FCF Yield 7.7% 7.6% 6.7% 7.1% 7.9% 6.9% 7.4% 6.8% 7.0% 6.0% 5.3% 5.7% 5.8% 7.4% 7.4% 7.7% 7.6% 6.3% 6.0% 5.4% 5.43%
EV/OCF snapshot only 18.534
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 8.232
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 20.203
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 5.22%
Graham Number snapshot only $56.74
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.88 1.51 1.25 1.38 1.31 1.29 1.05 1.05 0.94 1.16 0.90 0.93 1.11 1.04 0.79 0.82 0.88 1.12 0.85 0.86 0.862
Quick Ratio 0.65 1.29 1.01 1.13 1.07 1.04 0.79 0.79 0.83 0.93 0.71 0.72 0.90 0.84 0.61 0.62 0.68 0.89 0.65 0.67 0.666
Debt/Equity 0.60 0.46 0.51 0.49 0.47 0.47 0.56 0.55 0.66 0.56 0.69 0.69 0.74 0.71 0.82 0.78 0.72 0.80 1.22 1.18 1.180
Net Debt/Equity 0.46 0.04 0.20 0.18 0.16 0.15 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.26 0.44 0.49 0.42 0.41 0.63 0.61 0.50 0.55 1.04 0.99 0.995
Debt/Assets 0.28 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.26 0.26 0.22 0.26 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.32 0.40 0.40 0.402
Debt/EBITDA 1.89 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.92 1.69 1.74 1.61 1.38 1.42 1.47 1.53 1.63 1.53 1.44 1.44 1.40 1.54 2.06 2.16 2.156
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.44 0.09 0.39 0.36 0.30 0.55 1.01 0.98 0.68 0.66 0.95 1.09 0.92 0.87 1.11 1.13 0.97 1.06 1.75 1.82 1.818
Interest Coverage 16.76 35.65 36.00 34.39 32.78 11.20 11.03 11.48 11.00 11.86 12.21 13.24 14.53 14.48 15.08 15.00 15.50 15.81 14.18 12.49 12.488
Equity Multiplier 2.14 1.95 2.03 1.95 1.95 1.98 2.16 2.14 2.95 2.14 2.38 2.34 2.39 2.32 2.60 2.49 2.42 2.51 3.08 2.94 2.938
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.242
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 16.492
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.157
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.326
Defensive Interval snapshot only 262.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.42 0.40 0.43 0.43 0.44 0.42 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.47 0.48 0.46 0.45 0.50 0.55 0.55 0.53 0.52 0.51 0.48 0.484
Inventory Turnover 2.30 2.30 2.24 2.22 2.25 2.24 2.09 2.14 2.50 2.20 1.98 1.78 2.17 2.21 2.25 2.18 2.17 2.28 2.27 2.25 2.250
Receivables Turnover 6.47 6.52 6.37 6.29 6.33 6.45 6.05 6.04 6.88 6.72 5.89 5.50 6.63 6.99 6.45 6.39 6.71 6.88 6.16 5.86 5.864
Payables Turnover 3.44 2.90 3.10 3.17 3.29 2.89 2.96 3.13 3.61 2.86 2.85 2.61 3.15 2.70 3.13 3.03 3.10 3.03 3.21 3.22 3.216
DSO 56 56 57 58 58 57 60 60 53 54 62 66 55 52 57 57 54 53 59 62 62.2 days
DIO 159 159 163 165 162 163 175 171 146 166 184 205 168 165 162 168 168 160 161 162 162.2 days
DPO 106 126 118 115 111 126 123 117 101 128 128 140 116 135 117 120 118 121 114 114 113.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 109 89 102 108 109 94 112 115 98 92 118 132 107 82 102 104 105 92 106 111 111.0 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 4.472
Operating Cycle snapshot only 224.5 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 7.134
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.224
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 5.6% 6.0% 6.2% 2.4% -0.2% -2.0% -1.5% 0.5% 0.1% -1.6% -5.7% -9.7% -6.3% -0.4% 7.4% 15.2% 15.0% 10.8% 4.8% -0.8% -0.79%
Net Income 38.1% 2.0% 2.0% 1.6% 1.2% -71.0% -70.9% -66.7% -64.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% -19.6% -15.3% -15.2% -17.9% 17.7% 4.5% -7.8% -7.78%
EPS 41.0% 2.0% 2.1% 1.6% 1.3% -69.7% -69.3% -64.9% -62.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% -17.1% -12.0% -11.5% -15.1% 22.3% 7.9% -5.6% -5.57%
FCF 10.8% 9.3% 12.9% 9.1% -9.6% -4.4% 14.2% 12.6% 20.1% -0.3% -23.7% -8.0% -5.9% 19.3% 58.8% 54.8% 47.0% 21.9% 3.6% -11.6% -11.59%
EBITDA 8.5% 88.6% 87.3% 76.5% 71.4% -49.1% -48.0% -44.5% -41.3% 12.7% 10.4% 7.5% 8.0% 10.0% 17.1% 20.3% 16.3% 17.0% 5.6% -0.1% -0.10%
Op. Income 26.1% 15.1% 23.4% -0.7% -16.7% -21.3% -24.1% -9.0% -3.3% 10.0% 17.2% 19.4% 44.2% 44.5% 46.2% 41.2% 28.3% 21.7% 6.6% -0.6% -0.62%
OCF Growth snapshot only -13.10%
Asset Growth snapshot only 16.65%
Equity Growth snapshot only -1.26%
Debt Growth snapshot only 49.86%
Shares Change snapshot only -2.35%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 13.50%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 0.9% 0.9% 2.0% 2.8% 1.7% 2.1% 1.5% 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% -0.4% -2.4% -2.2% -1.3% -0.0% 1.5% 2.6% 2.8% 2.0% 1.0% 1.04%
Revenue 5Y 1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% -0.2% -0.3% -0.3% -0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 2.2% 2.6% 2.4% 2.2% 1.2% 1.21%
EPS 3Y -8.8% 25.2% 27.0% 28.7% 24.8% -14.2% -14.5% 5.3% 7.0% 26.7% 28.3% 25.7% 25.9% -17.6% -15.5% -12.4% -9.7% 31.1% 28.6% 21.9% 21.86%
EPS 5Y 8.9% 30.6% 32.3% 30.4% 28.7% -0.3% -0.7% -9.2% -8.0% 5.7% 7.0% 10.1% 11.1% 3.1% 4.3% 17.5% 19.0% 15.6% 14.9% 10.7% 10.67%
Net Income 3Y -9.9% 24.0% 25.1% 26.4% 22.7% -16.0% -16.7% 2.0% 3.3% 22.5% 24.2% 21.7% 21.5% -20.8% -18.9% -15.8% -12.8% 26.4% 24.3% 18.2% 18.24%
Net Income 5Y 7.6% 29.0% 30.6% 28.6% 26.7% -2.0% -2.7% -11.2% -10.2% 3.3% 4.3% 7.3% 8.3% 0.4% 1.2% 13.7% 15.3% 11.7% 11.1% 7.1% 7.07%
EBITDA 3Y -2.4% 19.5% 18.2% 28.2% 27.0% 1.9% 1.5% 2.3% 3.0% 2.7% 2.4% 1.8% 2.8% -14.2% -12.4% -10.5% -9.7% 13.2% 10.9% 8.9% 8.91%
EBITDA 5Y 4.8% 17.2% 17.1% 16.4% 15.8% 0.8% 2.1% -2.4% -1.3% -0.4% -1.1% 4.7% 5.3% 5.6% 6.2% 6.7% 6.5% 6.8% 5.8% 4.8% 4.83%
Gross Profit 3Y 2.0% 2.7% 3.3% 3.6% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 2.2% 2.0% 1.7% 1.3% -0.1% 0.2% 0.8% 2.3% 4.1% 5.2% 5.4% 4.4% 3.3% 3.28%
Gross Profit 5Y 2.5% 3.0% 3.1% 3.1% 2.6% 2.0% 1.6% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 2.1% 2.6% 4.0% 4.4% 4.1% 3.9% 2.7% 2.68%
Op. Income 3Y 8.4% 11.3% 13.6% 8.8% 4.6% 0.4% -1.4% 2.2% 0.6% -0.1% 3.2% 2.6% 5.1% 7.8% 9.1% 15.3% 21.4% 24.6% 22.2% 18.8% 18.76%
Op. Income 5Y 6.8% 7.2% 9.4% 6.5% 4.1% 1.3% 0.1% 1.1% 0.5% 3.6% 5.5% 6.9% 9.8% 10.0% 10.5% 12.4% 13.5% 11.9% 11.3% 8.6% 8.64%
FCF 3Y 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 2.2% -0.9% 0.6% 4.5% 0.6% 6.4% 1.4% -0.6% 4.1% 0.7% 4.3% 11.4% 17.0% 18.5% 13.2% 7.8% 8.0% 7.99%
FCF 5Y 7.8% 8.1% 6.0% 4.0% 2.2% 3.7% 5.7% 4.0% 4.4% 0.7% -2.0% 2.1% 1.9% 3.9% 6.7% 7.7% 10.7% 8.7% 10.1% 9.1% 9.11%
OCF 3Y 3.0% 1.8% 1.0% 2.1% 0.4% 1.5% 4.2% 1.7% 6.7% 1.9% 1.1% 3.7% 1.5% 5.2% 9.2% 13.5% 14.6% 10.2% 6.9% 5.5% 5.54%
OCF 5Y 4.8% 5.6% 4.0% 2.7% 1.8% 2.4% 3.5% 2.7% 2.9% 0.3% -0.7% 2.4% 2.8% 5.2% 6.7% 7.3% 9.8% 6.9% 7.5% 6.1% 6.12%
Assets 3Y -5.4% -3.3% -3.2% 1.9% 0.7% -0.3% -3.0% -3.6% -4.6% -8.9% -8.2% -7.7% -5.1% -8.1% -7.3% -5.3% -3.2% -0.6% 2.0% 3.1% 3.14%
Assets 5Y -2.0% 0.3% -1.0% -1.7% -2.6% -2.5% -3.7% -4.8% -4.7% -7.2% -7.3% -3.5% -2.2% -2.9% -4.1% -3.3% -3.7% -2.6% -0.4% -0.4% -0.36%
Equity 3Y -10.0% -4.9% 9.2% 7.0% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8% -1.2% -11.2% -6.2% -7.8% -8.3% -8.6% -13.3% -14.6% -12.6% -10.0% -8.1% -9.4% -7.2% -7.19%
Book Value 3Y -8.9% -4.0% 10.9% 8.9% 6.9% 4.5% 3.4% 1.9% -8.1% -3.1% -4.8% -5.2% -5.3% -9.9% -11.0% -9.0% -6.8% -4.7% -6.3% -4.3% -4.35%
Dividend 3Y 3.2% 3.1% 2.4% 3.3% 3.3% 3.6% 2.7% 2.3% 2.6% 2.5% -8.5% 3.9% 3.4% 3.5% 18.4% 4.5% 4.1% 3.9% 5.6% 6.7% 6.65%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.27 0.24 0.53 0.68 0.65 0.40 0.22 0.17 0.41 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.16 0.08 0.15 0.32 0.51 0.53 0.17 0.175
Earnings Stability 0.07 0.52 0.53 0.31 0.33 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.12 0.16 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Margin Stability 0.97 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.957
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.85 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.92 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.98 0.97 0.969
Earnings Smoothness 0.68 0.01 0.00 0.12 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.28 0.26 0.28 0.23 0.78 0.83 0.84 0.80 0.84 0.96 0.92 0.919
ROE Trend -0.00 0.18 0.19 0.22 0.21 -0.13 -0.14 -0.12 -0.06 0.08 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.05 0.08 0.06 0.02 0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.052
Gross Margin Trend -0.00 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.01 -0.01 -0.009
FCF Margin Trend 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.00 0.04 0.03 0.03 -0.00 -0.03 0.02 0.02 0.05 0.07 0.09 0.07 0.05 0.05 0.01 0.006
Sustainable Growth Rate 4.3% 26.7% 29.6% 26.1% 23.9% -1.3% -1.0% 0.2% 0.6% 13.8% 21.8% 18.2% 24.8% 9.9% 13.3% 14.3% 15.6% 14.6% 13.6% 9.8% 9.75%
Internal Growth Rate 2.0% 14.4% 15.5% 14.1% 13.3% — — 0.1% 0.3% 7.2% 10.7% 8.9% 10.3% 4.7% 5.6% 6.3% 6.9% 6.4% 5.0% 3.7% 3.73%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.55 0.63 0.60 0.62 0.64 2.05 2.21 2.01 2.04 0.97 0.90 0.93 0.90 1.47 1.47 1.52 1.46 1.35 1.41 1.43 1.429
FCF/OCF 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.79 0.79 0.81 0.85 0.82 0.83 0.80 0.74 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.85 0.87 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.883
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.262
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.796
CapEx/Revenue 5.8% 5.6% 5.6% 5.6% 5.7% 5.2% 4.4% 5.1% 5.3% 5.7% 7.3% 6.9% 7.0% 7.5% 5.5% 5.0% 4.9% 4.0% 4.2% 3.9% 3.85%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.383
Accruals Ratio -0.04 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.02 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.048
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.036
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.691
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 4.7% 4.6% 4.3% 4.9% 5.5% 4.6% 4.2% 4.0% 4.0% 3.9% 2.7% 3.7% 3.5% 4.0% 3.6% 3.3% 3.1% 2.8% 3.0% 2.9% 3.18%
Dividend/Share $3.28 $3.30 $3.38 $3.49 $3.55 $3.61 $3.57 $3.59 $3.64 $3.66 $2.56 $3.73 $3.70 $3.72 $3.91 $3.95 $3.88 $3.89 $4.30 $4.48 $4.46
Payout Ratio 75.4% 30.9% 31.3% 33.6% 35.5% 1.1% 1.1% 98.4% 96.3% 50.8% 34.5% 47.2% 42.6% 62.4% 59.9% 56.4% 52.6% 53.3% 61.1% 67.8% 67.83%
FCF Payout Ratio 60.7% 61.4% 65.2% 68.6% 70.3% 67.0% 57.1% 59.4% 57.0% 65.5% 52.0% 65.5% 60.2% 54.2% 48.1% 42.9% 41.6% 44.7% 49.5% 53.7% 53.74%
Total Payout Ratio 1.2% 43.7% 46.5% 58.3% 72.8% 2.6% 2.6% 2.5% 2.3% 1.1% 80.0% 81.8% 81.4% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.21%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.10 0.11 0.07 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.01 -0.28 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.50 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.10 0.14 0.138
Buyback Yield 2.9% 1.9% 2.1% 3.6% 5.8% 6.4% 6.1% 6.0% 5.4% 4.5% 3.6% 2.7% 3.2% 4.5% 4.6% 4.7% 4.3% 3.4% 3.0% 2.3% 2.30%
Net Buyback Yield 2.9% 1.9% 2.1% 3.6% 5.8% 6.4% 6.1% 6.0% 5.4% 4.5% 3.6% 2.7% 3.2% 4.5% 4.6% 4.7% 4.3% 3.4% 3.0% 2.3% 2.30%
Total Shareholder Return 7.6% 6.6% 6.5% 8.4% 11.3% 11.0% 10.3% 10.1% 9.4% 8.5% 6.4% 6.4% 6.6% 8.5% 8.1% 8.0% 7.5% 6.3% 5.9% 5.2% 5.22%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.83 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.93 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.91 1.57 1.56 1.49 1.39 0.88 0.86 0.87 0.88 0.82 0.82 0.79 0.787
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.86 0.88 0.90 0.92 0.93 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.95 0.93 0.935
EBIT Margin 0.23 0.50 0.50 0.48 0.47 0.18 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.20 0.22 0.25 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.33 0.31 0.31 0.314
Asset Turnover 0.42 0.40 0.43 0.43 0.44 0.42 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.47 0.48 0.46 0.45 0.50 0.55 0.55 0.53 0.52 0.51 0.48 0.484
Equity Multiplier 2.26 2.12 2.20 2.11 2.04 1.96 2.09 2.04 2.34 2.05 2.25 2.23 2.65 2.23 2.49 2.41 2.41 2.42 2.84 2.71 2.711
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $4.35 $10.66 $10.81 $10.39 $10.00 $3.23 $3.31 $3.65 $3.78 $7.19 $7.41 $7.91 $8.68 $5.96 $6.53 $6.99 $7.37 $7.29 $7.04 $6.61 $6.61
Book Value/Share $25.19 $30.03 $27.51 $28.46 $27.90 $27.60 $24.56 $24.75 $18.39 $22.60 $19.27 $20.39 $21.37 $21.98 $19.38 $21.42 $22.62 $23.90 $20.21 $21.66 $22.08
Tangible Book/Share $-3.00 $1.72 $-1.32 $0.20 $0.12 $-0.75 $-3.71 $-2.71 $-5.62 $0.86 $-4.73 $-5.52 $-4.69 $-3.80 $-7.11 $-6.53 $-5.23 $-4.58 $-14.96 $-14.23 $-14.23
Revenue/Share $23.24 $23.47 $23.69 $23.88 $23.97 $24.11 $24.63 $25.33 $25.22 $24.70 $23.96 $23.42 $24.17 $25.34 $26.75 $28.16 $28.76 $29.16 $28.96 $28.60 $28.76
FCF/Share $5.40 $5.37 $5.19 $5.09 $5.05 $5.38 $6.26 $6.05 $6.37 $5.58 $4.92 $5.70 $6.14 $6.86 $8.12 $9.21 $9.34 $8.69 $8.68 $8.34 $8.38
OCF/Share $6.74 $6.69 $6.52 $6.43 $6.43 $6.62 $7.33 $7.33 $7.72 $7.00 $6.66 $7.32 $7.84 $8.75 $9.59 $10.61 $10.75 $9.86 $9.91 $9.44 $9.49
Cash/Share $3.62 $12.57 $8.41 $8.94 $8.76 $8.80 $5.78 $5.33 $6.12 $6.82 $4.71 $4.12 $6.92 $6.66 $3.63 $3.57 $4.98 $6.00 $3.66 $4.01 $4.05
EBITDA/Share $8.05 $14.40 $14.47 $14.30 $14.27 $7.68 $7.94 $8.38 $8.80 $9.02 $9.03 $9.23 $9.73 $10.22 $10.99 $11.59 $11.70 $12.42 $11.98 $11.85 $11.85
Debt/Share $15.23 $13.80 $14.01 $14.06 $13.09 $13.01 $13.78 $13.53 $12.14 $12.76 $13.25 $14.16 $15.87 $15.60 $15.80 $16.65 $16.34 $19.19 $24.66 $25.55 $25.55
Net Debt/Share $11.61 $1.23 $5.60 $5.12 $4.33 $4.20 $7.99 $8.19 $6.02 $5.94 $8.54 $10.04 $8.95 $8.94 $12.17 $13.08 $11.36 $13.18 $21.00 $21.55 $21.55
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.531
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 5.628
Piotroski F-Score 8 8 8 8 7 5 6 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 6 6 7 5 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.70 -2.28 -2.17 -2.21 -2.19 -2.76 -2.81 -2.73 -3.09 -2.64 -2.60 -2.57 -2.23 -2.55 -2.62 -2.70 -2.64 -2.48 -2.51 -2.52 -2.517
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -8.251
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-27.50
EVA snapshot only $5469441841.16
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA-
Credit Score 79.75 87.30 90.00 90.00 87.00 83.00 83.00 83.00 82.25 86.00 86.00 86.00 86.00 86.00 91.00 89.75 91.00 87.25 80.00 82.40 82.400
Credit Grade snapshot only 4
Credit Trend snapshot only -7.350
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 100.000

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