PAYX NASDAQ
Paychex, Inc.
1W: -2.0%
1M: +10.0%
3M: -10.6%
YTD: +4.0%
1Y: -8.5%
3Y: +4.3%
5Y: +4.7%
$109.26
-6.44 (-5.57%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.0%
$109
$113
$118
$123
$127
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 81% of companies Debt: 10.6% of company value Bonds: $169.4M held by 250 funds, 80 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.87 (down 99.2%), Paychex, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.62B against a stock market value of $38.89B.
Distance to default 9.83 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-08-31, debt counted $2.28B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 31.1%; Altman Z'' 2.56. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.87 (down 99.2%), Paychex, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.62B against a stock market value of $38.89B.
Distance to default 9.83 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-08-31, debt counted $2.28B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 31.1%; Altman Z'' 2.56. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Technical Signal Summary
Technical Signal
BULLISH
+40
BearishNeutralBullish
Trend (30%)
80
Momentum (25%)
50
Volume (20%)
81
Volatility (10%)
100
Patterns (15%)
50
Price vs SMA 20$106.86
Price vs SMA 50$113.29
Price vs SMA 200$102.14
EMA 9/21 Cross111.83/109.95
SMA 50/200 CrossGolden
ADX DirectionADX 27
Supertrend$108.28
Parabolic SAR$118.27
SMA Slope0.500
RSI48.6
Stochastic K/D75/87
Williams %R-54
CCI56
TSI vs Signal8.4
CMO-2.8
ROC3.86%
OBV SignalAccum
Chaikin MF0.100
MFI70
Force Index-1.3M
Elder Ray Bull5.19
PAYX is trading above its 20-day and 200-day but below its 50-day moving average, showing a mixed trend. The 50-day MA remains above the 200-day MA (golden cross intact). RSI at 49 is neutral. Volume analysis shows OBV is rising (accumulation) with Chaikin Money Flow positive at 0.100. The squeeze is off with positive momentum, suggesting upward pressure. ADX at 27 confirms a trending market. No significant candlestick patterns detected today.
Moving Average Ribbon & Trend
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $106.86 | +$2.38 | +2.23% | Bullish |
| SMA 50 | $113.29 | $4.05 | -3.57% | Bearish |
| SMA 200 | $102.14 | +$7.10 | +6.95% | Bullish |
| EMA 9 | $111.83 | $2.59 | -2.32% | Bearish |
| EMA 21 | $109.95 | $0.71 | -0.65% | Bearish |
| EMA 50 | $110.58 | $1.34 | -1.21% | Bearish |
| EMA 200 | $109.67 | $0.43 | -0.39% | Bearish |
| VWMA 20 | $107.08 | +$2.16 | +2.02% | Bullish |
| WMA 20 | $109.83 | $0.59 | -0.54% | Bearish |
| DEMA 21 | $110.46 | $1.22 | -1.10% | Bearish |
| TEMA 21 | $113.25 | $4.01 | -3.54% | Bearish |
Momentum Dashboard
Volume & Flow Analysis
Under Accumulation
OBV: Accumulation
CMF: Buying Pressure
Volatility & Range
52-Week
14.6% from high
20-Day
7.6% from high
Bollinger
60th pctile
Donchian
54th pctile
Turtle Long Stop: $108.87
Turtle Short Stop: $107.40
S2
$112.93
S1
$114.31
Pivot
$115.92
R1
$117.30
R2
$118.91
Candlestick Pattern Scanner
No candlestick patterns detected today.
Bullish Patterns
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3 White Soldiers
—
Morning Star
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Bullish Engulfing
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Hammer
—
Inverted Hammer
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Piercing Line
—
Bullish Harami
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Abandoned Baby
Bearish Patterns
—
3 Black Crows
—
Evening Star
—
Bearish Engulfing
—
Dark Cloud Cover
—
Bearish Harami
—
2 Black Gapping
Neutral
—
Doji