— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

PBFX NYSE

PBF Logistics LP
1W: -9.4% 1M: -6.7% 3M: +7.4% 1Y: +75.6% 3Y: -2.7% 5Y: +1.5%
$19.90
Last traded 2022-11-30 — delisted
NYSE · Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NARROW EDGE
59.6 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 18.2%  ·  5Y Avg: 17.9%
Cost Advantage
65
Intangibles
80
Switching Cost
56
Network Effect
29
Scale
55
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. PBFX has a Narrow competitive edge (59.6/100) — meaningful but not impregnable advantages over competitors. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 18.2% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 3Hold: 4Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 54 Grade A
Profitability
93
Balance Sheet
41
Earnings Quality
63
Growth
31
Value
73
Momentum
59
Safety
30
Cash Flow
85
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. PBFX scores highest in Profitability (93/100) and lowest in Safety (30/100). An overall grade of A places PBFX among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.77
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-3.42
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.54
Bankruptcy prob: 0.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB
Score: 55.2/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 1.93x
Accruals: -11.9%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. PBFX scores 1.77, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. PBFX scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. PBFX's score of -3.42 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. PBFX's implied 0.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. PBFX receives an estimated rating of BBB (score: 55.2/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). PBFX's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
11.06x
PEG
-0.56x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
5.03x
P/FCF
5.59x
P/OCF
5.43x
EV/EBITDA
7.35x
EV/Revenue
4.63x
EV/EBIT
8.77x
EV/FCF
7.83x
Earnings Yield
9.55%
FCF Yield
17.88%
Shareholder Yield
6.29%
Graham Number
$13.98
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 11.1x earnings, PBFX trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 9.5% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $13.98 per share, 42% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.747
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.800
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.528
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.407
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.355
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
43.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. PBFX's ROE of 43.1% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.36x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
6.87%
Fair P/E
22.24x
Intrinsic Value
$40.11
Price/Value
0.47x
Margin of Safety
52.91%
Premium
-52.91%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with PBFX's realized 6.9% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. PBFX trades at a -53% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $40.11, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 22.2x compares to the current market P/E of 11.1x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$19.90
Median 1Y
$17.53
5th Pctile
$7.57
95th Pctile
$40.63
Ann. Volatility
49.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
ROE -2.3% -4.3% -4.5% 16.6% -1.2% -77.0% 1.9% 1.4% 10.1% 1.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 89.5% 75.0% 69.0% 58.6% 50.6% 43.1% 43.05%
ROA 13.5% 13.1% 12.3% 11.2% 10.1% 9.7% 9.6% 10.2% 10.4% 11.5% 13.9% 15.0% 15.5% 14.8% 16.0% 15.3% 15.6% 14.5% 14.0% 12.8% 12.83%
ROIC 34.5% 32.6% 28.9% 28.1% 29.3% 24.8% 20.0% 20.8% 18.7% 19.5% 21.2% 22.9% 22.9% 23.0% 22.6% 21.9% 21.8% 20.7% 19.4% 18.2% 18.24%
ROCE 20.7% 21.0% 19.3% 18.7% 15.9% 15.8% 15.7% 15.8% 16.7% 16.4% 19.8% 21.6% 21.6% 21.5% 21.5% 20.9% 22.2% 22.2% 22.9% 62.0% 62.04%
Gross Margin 89.2% 89.9% 89.7% 89.4% 89.2% 88.9% 89.3% 89.5% 87.0% 87.9% 87.4% 83.9% 81.0% 89.3% 89.7% 89.0% 89.5% 89.4% 90.2% 90.0% 89.97%
Operating Margin 55.2% 55.0% 51.8% 53.3% 48.2% 43.4% 45.6% 51.4% 46.5% 51.2% 56.2% 62.5% 47.1% 54.8% 53.1% 53.1% 58.3% 51.4% 52.4% 49.4% 49.43%
Net Margin 35.5% 33.2% 29.8% 31.7% 27.2% 22.0% 26.8% 35.9% 32.3% 37.4% 42.0% 49.6% 34.8% 42.5% 41.3% 41.3% 36.3% 29.7% 31.6% 28.6% 28.59%
EBITDA Margin 60.4% 58.3% 55.0% 57.0% 51.5% 52.9% 54.9% 60.6% 58.4% 62.3% 67.6% 77.5% 65.5% 65.0% 63.0% 63.6% 68.8% 62.0% 61.8% 59.5% 59.45%
FCF Margin 20.8% 22.7% 8.5% 12.8% 11.5% 6.5% 22.2% 22.5% 34.5% 29.0% 41.1% 48.6% 48.4% 60.7% 53.3% 50.5% 50.4% 53.6% 55.6% 59.1% 59.08%
OCF Margin 55.9% 51.4% 45.2% 51.8% 47.2% 42.9% 39.0% 33.9% 43.8% 36.5% 47.9% 53.6% 51.8% 62.8% 55.5% 53.2% 52.8% 56.0% 57.9% 60.8% 60.84%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 65.23%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 1.22%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 14.75%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 15.93%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 17.40%
Cash ROA snapshot only 25.35%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 28.07%
CROIC snapshot only 27.26%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 39.52%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 42.22%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 5.60%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.35%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
P/E Ratio 8.80 8.03 9.46 11.01 10.75 12.71 15.25 14.31 12.62 3.59 4.58 3.49 3.89 6.17 6.27 5.60 4.96 6.65 7.79 10.47 11.056
P/S Ratio 3.47 3.02 3.37 3.58 3.26 3.49 4.09 4.03 3.72 1.19 1.69 1.40 1.59 2.61 2.64 2.24 2.00 2.47 2.70 3.30 0.000
P/B Ratio -16.26 -48.39 -48.55 36.38 -10.79 74.13 11.93 12.33 12.04 3.89 4.78 3.32 3.43 4.95 4.53 3.53 2.86 3.31 3.38 3.92 5.034
P/FCF 16.70 13.28 39.50 28.00 28.33 53.66 18.41 17.87 10.79 4.11 4.10 2.89 3.29 4.29 4.95 4.43 3.97 4.61 4.86 5.59 5.594
P/OCF 6.20 5.87 7.45 6.91 6.90 8.14 10.49 11.88 8.49 3.26 3.52 2.62 3.07 4.15 4.75 4.21 3.79 4.41 4.67 5.43 5.432
EV/EBITDA 9.05 8.32 9.41 9.76 10.09 10.60 12.02 11.46 10.51 5.77 6.04 5.04 5.12 6.49 6.59 6.19 5.62 6.21 6.48 7.35 7.348
EV/Revenue 5.54 5.02 5.59 5.63 5.57 5.72 6.49 6.31 5.97 3.41 3.76 3.34 3.49 4.47 4.46 3.98 3.66 4.00 4.15 4.63 4.629
EV/EBIT 9.63 8.88 10.10 10.58 11.12 12.17 14.30 14.01 13.14 7.18 7.49 6.32 6.56 8.24 8.31 7.73 6.71 7.43 7.75 8.77 8.771
EV/FCF 26.71 22.10 65.46 43.99 48.47 87.89 29.22 28.00 17.33 11.75 9.14 6.88 7.22 7.37 8.38 7.88 7.26 7.46 7.47 7.83 7.835
Earnings Yield 11.4% 12.5% 10.6% 9.1% 9.3% 7.9% 6.6% 7.0% 7.9% 27.9% 21.9% 28.7% 25.7% 16.2% 15.9% 17.9% 20.2% 15.0% 12.8% 9.5% 9.55%
FCF Yield 6.0% 7.5% 2.5% 3.6% 3.5% 1.9% 5.4% 5.6% 9.3% 24.4% 24.4% 34.7% 30.4% 23.3% 20.2% 22.6% 25.2% 21.7% 20.6% 17.9% 17.88%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 4.035
EV/OCF snapshot only 7.608
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 5.155
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 8.752
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 6.29%
Graham Number snapshot only $13.98
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Current Ratio 2.15 1.81 2.56 1.35 1.05 0.96 1.34 1.71 1.97 3.64 2.40 1.84 2.36 2.82 3.52 2.77 3.65 3.17 3.76 0.17 0.168
Quick Ratio 2.15 1.81 2.56 1.35 1.05 0.96 1.34 1.71 1.97 3.64 2.40 1.84 2.36 2.82 3.52 2.77 3.65 3.17 3.76 0.17 0.168
Debt/Equity -10.10 -33.50 -32.99 21.46 -7.91 48.46 7.19 7.48 7.63 8.32 6.04 4.78 4.31 3.79 3.30 2.87 2.50 2.24 1.92 1.72 1.717
Net Debt/Equity — — — 20.78 — 47.29 7.00 6.99 7.30 7.25 5.87 4.59 4.09 3.55 3.14 2.75 2.37 2.04 1.81 1.57 1.570
Debt/Assets 0.74 0.74 0.78 0.70 0.70 0.71 0.80 0.79 0.82 0.83 0.81 0.78 0.77 0.76 0.74 0.71 0.69 0.66 0.64 0.60 0.603
Debt/EBITDA 3.51 3.46 3.86 3.67 4.32 4.23 4.56 4.44 4.15 4.31 3.42 3.04 2.94 2.89 2.83 2.83 2.69 2.60 2.39 2.30 2.299
Net Debt/EBITDA 3.39 3.32 3.73 3.55 4.19 4.13 4.44 4.15 3.97 3.75 3.33 2.93 2.79 2.71 2.70 2.71 2.54 2.37 2.26 2.10 2.102
Interest Coverage 4.60 4.31 4.00 3.65 3.49 3.33 3.29 3.27 3.32 3.55 3.78 4.17 4.32 4.50 4.60 4.47 4.80 4.83 4.92 4.95 4.947
Equity Multiplier -13.57 -45.24 -42.51 30.53 -11.23 68.45 8.97 9.43 9.26 10.04 7.47 6.13 5.58 5.00 4.44 4.04 3.62 3.39 3.01 2.85 2.847
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.080
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 5.904
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.086
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.408
Defensive Interval snapshot only 247.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Asset Turnover 0.34 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.35 0.38 0.37 0.38 0.35 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.41 0.407
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 6.04 7.88 7.83 7.29 6.50 7.16 7.23 6.07 6.81 4.94 6.35 5.31 6.00 4.51 5.61 5.28 5.39 5.97 6.11 6.28 6.277
Payables Turnover 0.88 0.62 0.71 0.61 0.65 0.62 2.15 1.25 0.97 0.89 5.90 4.93 5.05 3.70 11.72 10.19 7.56 5.88 9.24 9.79 9.788
DSO 60 46 47 50 56 51 50 60 54 74 57 69 61 81 65 69 68 61 60 58 58.2 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 415 592 511 596 564 585 170 292 377 410 62 74 72 99 31 36 48 62 40 37 37.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -354 -546 -465 -546 -508 -534 -120 -232 -323 -336 -4 -5 -12 -18 34 33 19 -1 20 21 20.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.473
Cash Velocity snapshot only 8.055
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.400
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Revenue 36.0% 22.3% 13.1% 7.4% 10.7% 14.9% 18.5% 22.2% 20.6% 19.4% 15.6% 10.8% 5.9% 0.1% -1.5% -2.2% -1.3% 0.8% 1.6% 1.8% 1.81%
Net Income 24.1% 12.2% 0.3% -14.0% -14.9% -15.9% -10.9% 5.7% 17.3% 44.3% 59.0% 58.4% 47.0% 27.3% 12.3% -2.9% -2.7% -11.4% -16.2% -19.6% -19.62%
EPS 23.2% 11.7% -0.0% -18.7% -21.5% -28.0% -37.5% -24.5% -14.2% 13.9% 53.7% 58.3% 46.5% 26.6% 11.4% -3.6% -3.1% -11.7% -16.5% -20.0% -19.98%
FCF 4.5% 10.6% -70.7% -50.1% -38.7% -67.1% 2.1% 1.2% 2.6% 4.3% 1.1% 1.4% 48.7% 1.1% 27.6% 1.6% 2.8% -11.1% 6.0% 19.2% 19.15%
EBITDA 26.1% 16.5% 8.1% 0.9% -0.2% 2.7% 7.7% 16.7% 24.1% 30.8% 33.1% 33.5% 27.0% 16.7% 7.3% -5.3% -5.7% -5.9% -4.0% -0.2% -0.21%
Op. Income 32.3% 21.0% 10.8% -1.9% -1.3% -1.5% 0.6% 7.3% 8.9% 18.9% 25.0% 26.7% 22.6% 13.3% 4.4% -5.9% -0.2% -1.3% 0.5% 3.5% 3.55%
OCF Growth snapshot only 16.48%
Asset Growth snapshot only -4.65%
Equity Growth snapshot only 35.45%
Debt Growth snapshot only -19.06%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.45%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -0.09%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Revenue 3Y 72.3% 47.6% 34.8% 27.4% 26.4% 26.7% 27.2% 26.3% 22.0% 18.8% 15.7% 13.3% 12.2% 11.1% 10.5% 9.8% 8.0% 6.4% 5.0% 3.3% 3.31%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — 1.1% 70.9% 46.8% 34.5% 27.4% 22.9% 20.8% 19.5% 18.6% 16.9% 13.7% 11.1% 9.2% 7.7% 7.67%
EPS 3Y 37.2% 17.6% 7.1% -2.2% -4.5% -9.3% -10.9% -7.4% -6.0% -2.9% -1.4% -1.0% -0.4% 1.3% 2.3% 4.8% 6.8% 8.4% 12.6% 6.9% 6.87%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — 52.1% 26.1% 11.7% 5.9% 3.4% 2.3% 1.8% 1.5% 3.9% 3.9% 3.3% 0.5% -2.3% -5.6% -5.62%
Net Income 3Y 49.7% 27.6% 15.5% 6.7% 5.0% 2.3% 4.7% 7.9% 7.4% 10.8% 12.5% 12.9% 13.6% 15.6% 16.8% 17.6% 18.8% 17.6% 14.4% 7.3% 7.34%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — 72.9% 44.3% 27.3% 20.3% 16.9% 15.3% 14.8% 14.5% 15.4% 14.1% 12.1% 9.0% 6.0% 2.4% 2.37%
EBITDA 3Y 63.5% 41.0% 27.4% 18.1% 15.8% 14.1% 16.2% 17.2% 16.0% 16.1% 15.7% 16.3% 16.3% 16.2% 15.5% 13.8% 14.1% 12.8% 11.1% 8.0% 8.04%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — 94.9% 61.3% 40.2% 30.4% 24.3% 20.8% 19.6% 17.8% 17.5% 15.3% 13.3% 11.4% 9.8% 8.2% 8.24%
Gross Profit 3Y 70.8% 45.7% 32.8% 25.2% 23.7% 24.0% 24.5% 24.3% 20.3% 17.4% 14.5% 11.3% 9.9% 9.1% 8.8% 8.8% 8.0% 6.4% 5.1% 3.5% 3.52%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — 1.1% 68.3% 45.4% 32.9% 25.7% 20.8% 18.1% 16.8% 16.2% 15.3% 12.9% 10.6% 8.9% 7.3% 7.32%
Op. Income 3Y 1.0% 58.3% 36.8% 23.1% 15.3% 12.1% 13.2% 15.4% 12.4% 12.4% 11.7% 10.1% 9.6% 9.9% 9.5% 8.6% 10.1% 9.9% 9.4% 7.3% 7.29%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — 1.0% 67.1% 53.8% 36.0% 26.3% 20.4% 15.4% 13.7% 13.6% 12.9% 11.7% 9.6% 7.9% 5.4% 5.37%
FCF 3Y — — 74.8% -10.0% -24.9% -39.0% — — — — 24.6% 36.9% 48.8% 54.2% 1.0% 73.5% 76.8% 1.1% 42.5% 42.4% 42.44%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — 1.0% 30.3% 17.9% 20.4% — — — — 21.2% 25.4% 25.42%
OCF 3Y 1.4% 70.8% 35.7% 27.7% 19.2% 13.3% 13.4% 9.9% 14.4% 0.5% 5.4% 8.6% 9.4% 18.9% 18.3% 10.8% 12.1% 16.3% 19.8% 25.5% 25.55%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — 3.3% 77.1% 72.6% 37.2% 29.4% 23.9% 18.9% 20.6% 18.8% 17.7% 13.5% 9.4% 7.2% 7.7% 7.69%
Assets 3Y 23.2% 21.9% 23.0% 23.1% 31.3% 30.2% 27.9% 11.2% 9.2% 13.2% 8.2% 7.7% 8.2% 8.6% 5.7% 4.1% -2.0% -1.9% -3.3% -4.9% -4.93%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — 22.5% 22.9% 19.8% 22.0% 17.9% 16.8% 17.2% 16.6% 14.9% 4.4% 3.8% 3.8% 2.9% 2.8% 2.85%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.0% — 1.7% 39.2% 41.7% 41.73%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 82.1% — 1.5% 37.1% 41.1% 41.11%
Dividend 3Y -30.2% -29.7% -30.5% -3.7% -5.8% -7.8% -10.7% -10.7% -9.3% -11.3% -15.6% -19.2% -23.4% -27.2% -24.2% -19.6% -14.9% -7.8% -1.4% -0.3% -0.32%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Revenue Stability 0.99 0.99 0.97 0.94 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.92 0.90 0.87 0.85 0.82 0.816
Earnings Stability 0.90 0.92 0.83 0.70 0.67 0.57 0.67 0.64 0.69 0.75 0.72 0.66 0.69 0.73 0.77 0.73 0.75 0.70 0.57 0.36 0.357
Margin Stability 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.979
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.90 0.95 1.00 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.96 0.98 0.93 0.82 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.89 0.95 0.99 0.99 0.95 0.94 0.92 0.922
Earnings Smoothness 0.79 0.88 1.00 0.85 0.84 0.83 0.89 0.94 0.84 0.64 0.54 0.55 0.62 0.76 0.88 0.97 0.97 0.88 0.82 0.78 0.782
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — — — — -1.13 — -2.66 -0.19 -0.28 -0.34 -0.45 -0.45 -0.42 -0.417
Gross Margin Trend -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.029
FCF Margin Trend -0.03 -0.05 -0.02 0.05 0.05 -0.03 0.01 0.02 0.18 0.14 0.26 0.31 0.25 0.43 0.22 0.15 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.10 0.095
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — -5.4% — — -1.0% -57.1% -3.2% -20.5% 15.1% 33.9% 43.3% 50.8% 44.7% 35.4% 32.9% 25.5% 20.2% 14.7% 14.69%
Internal Growth Rate — — — — — — — — — — 1.9% 4.7% 6.6% 8.0% 8.7% 7.8% 8.1% 6.7% 5.9% 4.6% 4.58%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.42 1.37 1.27 1.59 1.56 1.56 1.45 1.20 1.49 1.10 1.30 1.33 1.27 1.49 1.32 1.33 1.31 1.51 1.67 1.93 1.928
FCF/OCF 0.37 0.44 0.19 0.25 0.24 0.15 0.57 0.66 0.79 0.79 0.86 0.91 0.93 0.97 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.971
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.873
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.966
CapEx/Revenue 35.1% 28.7% 36.7% 39.0% 35.7% 36.4% 16.8% 11.4% 9.3% 7.5% 6.8% 5.0% 3.4% 2.1% 2.2% 2.7% 2.4% 2.5% 2.3% 1.8% 1.76%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.172
Accruals Ratio -0.06 -0.05 -0.03 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.02 -0.05 -0.01 -0.04 -0.05 -0.04 -0.07 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.07 -0.09 -0.12 -0.119
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.640
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.699
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Dividend Yield 12.1% 14.3% 12.6% 12.0% 13.0% 12.1% 10.1% 9.9% 10.5% 30.8% 18.9% 20.0% 15.4% 8.1% 8.0% 9.4% 10.5% 8.5% 7.7% 6.3% 6.03%
Dividend/Share $2.54 $2.64 $2.64 $2.59 $2.60 $2.54 $2.14 $2.09 $2.12 $2.09 $1.85 $1.63 $1.41 $1.19 $1.19 $1.19 $1.19 $1.19 $1.19 $1.19 $1.20
Payout Ratio 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.3% 1.1% 86.7% 69.8% 60.0% 49.9% 50.1% 52.8% 52.3% 56.5% 60.0% 65.9% 65.88%
FCF Payout Ratio 2.0% 1.9% 5.0% 3.4% 3.7% 6.5% 1.9% 1.8% 1.1% 1.3% 77.7% 57.8% 50.7% 34.7% 39.6% 41.8% 41.9% 39.2% 37.4% 35.2% 35.18%
Total Payout Ratio 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.3% 1.1% 86.7% 69.8% 60.0% 49.9% 50.1% 52.8% 52.3% 56.5% 60.0% 65.9% 65.88%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number -0.44 -0.41 -0.45 0.28 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.23 0.22 0.35 0.08 -0.02 -0.18 -0.34 -0.27 -0.17 -0.05 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.066
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 12.1% 14.3% 12.6% 12.0% 13.0% 12.1% 10.1% 9.9% 10.5% 30.8% 18.9% 20.0% 15.4% 8.1% 8.0% 9.4% 10.5% 8.5% 7.7% 6.3% 6.29%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.84 0.83 0.82 0.83 0.88 0.93 0.97 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.94 0.87 0.81 0.75 0.747
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.78 0.77 0.75 0.73 0.73 0.72 0.71 0.71 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.76 0.77 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.79 0.80 0.80 0.800
EBIT Margin 0.58 0.56 0.55 0.53 0.50 0.47 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.48 0.50 0.53 0.53 0.54 0.54 0.51 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.53 0.528
Asset Turnover 0.34 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.35 0.38 0.37 0.38 0.35 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.41 0.407
Equity Multiplier -16.90 -33.06 -36.56 148.73 -12.14 -795.53 19.59 13.61 96.70 16.71 8.15 7.49 7.00 6.85 5.60 4.89 4.41 4.05 3.61 3.36 3.355
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $2.38 $2.30 $2.22 $1.96 $1.87 $1.65 $1.39 $1.48 $1.60 $1.88 $2.13 $2.34 $2.35 $2.39 $2.37 $2.25 $2.28 $2.11 $1.98 $1.80 $1.80
Book Value/Share $-1.29 $-0.38 $-0.43 $0.59 $-1.86 $0.28 $1.77 $1.72 $1.68 $1.74 $2.04 $2.46 $2.67 $2.97 $3.28 $3.57 $3.95 $4.23 $4.56 $4.82 $3.95
Tangible Book/Share $-1.29 $-0.38 $-0.58 $0.32 $-2.41 $-0.22 $1.36 $1.32 $1.58 $1.38 $1.70 $2.23 $2.51 $2.82 $3.13 $3.43 $3.80 $4.09 $4.46 $4.68 $4.68
Revenue/Share $6.04 $6.12 $6.23 $6.02 $6.17 $6.02 $5.17 $5.25 $5.44 $5.67 $5.78 $5.81 $5.75 $5.65 $5.64 $5.64 $5.65 $5.67 $5.71 $5.72 $5.65
FCF/Share $1.25 $1.39 $0.53 $0.77 $0.71 $0.39 $1.15 $1.18 $1.88 $1.65 $2.38 $2.82 $2.78 $3.43 $3.01 $2.85 $2.85 $3.04 $3.18 $3.38 $2.85
OCF/Share $3.38 $3.14 $2.82 $3.12 $2.91 $2.58 $2.02 $1.78 $2.38 $2.07 $2.77 $3.12 $2.98 $3.55 $3.13 $3.00 $2.98 $3.18 $3.31 $3.48 $2.98
Cash/Share $0.47 $0.52 $0.47 $0.40 $0.44 $0.33 $0.33 $0.84 $0.56 $1.86 $0.35 $0.45 $0.58 $0.70 $0.51 $0.45 $0.54 $0.85 $0.49 $0.71 $0.54
EBITDA/Share $3.70 $3.69 $3.70 $3.47 $3.41 $3.25 $2.79 $2.89 $3.09 $3.35 $3.59 $3.86 $3.92 $3.89 $3.82 $3.62 $3.68 $3.65 $3.66 $3.60 $3.60
Debt/Share $13.01 $12.77 $14.27 $12.71 $14.73 $13.74 $12.74 $12.83 $12.84 $14.45 $12.30 $11.73 $11.50 $11.25 $10.82 $10.27 $9.89 $9.49 $8.76 $8.28 $8.28
Net Debt/Share $12.54 $12.25 $13.81 $12.31 $14.30 $13.41 $12.41 $11.99 $12.28 $12.59 $11.95 $11.28 $10.92 $10.55 $10.31 $9.82 $9.35 $8.64 $8.27 $7.57 $7.57
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.771
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.182
Piotroski F-Score 6 5 5 6 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 6 7 7 7 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.74 -2.66 154.87 147.81 258.37 258.48 -1.91 -1.48 -2.51 -1.80 -2.43 -2.79 -2.58 -3.28 -2.98 -2.83 -2.69 -2.88 -3.10 -3.42 -3.417
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.536
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 64.06%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-7.41
EVA snapshot only $64576707.74
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB
Credit Score 20.00 20.00 20.00 51.78 20.00 38.04 43.91 45.66 48.64 53.17 52.99 55.53 57.62 65.59 63.96 64.40 65.30 65.39 65.89 55.20 55.201
Credit Grade snapshot only 9
Credit Trend snapshot only -9.200
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 275.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 67
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 41

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