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PFC NASDAQ

Premier Financial Corp.
1W: -0.8% 1M: +1.3% 3M: -0.6% 1Y: +53.3% 3Y: +8.4% 5Y: +36.8%
$28.04
Last traded 2025-02-28 — delisted
NASDAQ · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · $1.0B mcap · 35M float · 0.696% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
34.8 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 1.5%  ·  5Y Avg: -17.7%
Cost Advantage
30
Intangibles
62
Switching Cost
23
Network Effect
23
Scale
27
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. PFC has No discernible competitive edge (34.8/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 1.5% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 4Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2024-04-25 Piper Sandler Alexander Twerdahl $28 $22 -6 +9.4% $20.11
2022-09-19 Piper Sandler Brendan Nosal Initiated $28 — +7.4% $26.06

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 39 Grade D
Profitability
46
Balance Sheet
54
Earnings Quality
74
Growth
15
Value
81
Momentum
50
Safety
65
Cash Flow
79
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. PFC scores highest in Value (81/100) and lowest in Growth (15/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
2.79
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-3.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.50
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB+
Score: 60.6/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.41x
Accruals: -0.3%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. PFC scores 2.79, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. PFC scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. PFC's score of -3.57 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. PFC's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. PFC receives an estimated rating of BBB+ (score: 60.6/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). PFC's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
15.49x
PEG
-0.41x
P/S
4.14x
P/B
1.00x
P/FCF
9.88x
P/OCF
9.80x
EV/EBITDA
3.71x
EV/Revenue
0.76x
EV/EBIT
4.29x
EV/FCF
2.81x
Earnings Yield
7.21%
FCF Yield
10.12%
Shareholder Yield
4.91%
Graham Number
$33.89
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 15.5x earnings, PFC trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 7.2% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $33.89 per share, suggesting a potential 21% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.742
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.464
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.177
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.039
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
8.702
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
6.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. PFC's ROE of 6.6% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 8.70x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$15.50
Price/Value
1.63x
Margin of Safety
-63.20%
Premium
63.20%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with PFC's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. PFC trades at a 63% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $15.50, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 15.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$28.04
Median 1Y
$27.34
5th Pctile
$13.56
95th Pctile
$54.88
Ann. Volatility
40.2%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
ROE 1.5% 4.0% 4.4% 7.2% 10.9% 10.8% 11.5% 10.6% 10.1% 9.0% 9.4% 9.7% 9.5% 12.4% 12.4% 11.2% 10.8% 7.3% 6.8% 6.6% 6.60%
ROA 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 1.4% 1.3% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.76%
ROIC 5.2% 15.7% 17.8% 54.8% -1.0% -78.3% -67.4% -55.1% -65.7% 1.3% 9.1% 51.4% 20.0% 27.0% 35.1% 8.0% 7.8% 7.6% 50.8% 1.5% 1.47%
ROCE 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 2.8% 2.7% 2.4% 2.2% 1.5% 2.1% 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.70%
Gross Margin 3.2% 1.1% 1.0% 99.3% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 99.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% 81.7% 1.0% 1.0% 58.2% 54.6% 53.6% 1.8% 1.0% 1.00%
Operating Margin -30.2% 57.0% 45.5% 67.1% 65.8% 67.5% 54.3% 46.1% 49.6% 50.8% 48.8% 51.1% 38.1% 24.2% 58.0% 25.3% 29.2% 25.7% 34.3% -1.2% -1.16%
Net Margin -1.2% 43.0% 17.4% 41.8% 36.8% 42.3% 29.4% 29.7% 29.6% 27.8% 31.9% 33.3% 21.9% 42.3% 31.7% 17.8% 14.9% 12.8% 27.1% 30.1% 30.14%
EBITDA Margin 0.0% 64.0% 49.6% 61.4% 61.9% 61.1% 51.3% 47.8% 47.6% 43.1% 51.1% 45.0% 0.0% 61.5% 50.1% 0.0% 23.8% 20.4% 35.8% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Margin 28.7% -7.0% -25.1% -25.6% -16.3% 13.0% 39.7% 52.8% 56.6% 56.7% 55.8% 57.9% 52.1% 39.6% 30.4% 20.2% 15.5% 14.8% 25.6% 27.0% 27.00%
OCF Margin 30.9% -4.3% -23.0% -23.4% -14.8% 14.0% 40.9% 53.7% 57.7% 57.9% 56.9% 59.8% 54.3% 41.8% 32.7% 23.9% 19.1% 17.7% 28.0% 27.2% 27.22%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 9.21%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 8.64%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.02%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 0.33%
Cash ROA snapshot only 1.08%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 26.06%
CROIC snapshot only 25.85%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.54%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 25.93%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 31.77%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.79%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
P/E Ratio 36.91 19.63 15.59 13.70 9.80 8.25 8.60 8.97 9.49 8.93 8.95 9.17 7.42 4.57 5.07 7.71 6.79 10.06 12.53 13.87 15.492
P/S Ratio 2.61 3.12 2.27 2.93 3.37 2.84 3.23 3.10 3.10 2.60 2.66 2.81 2.12 1.51 1.67 2.20 1.78 1.81 2.14 2.67 4.135
P/B Ratio 0.40 0.56 0.49 0.71 1.02 0.85 0.96 0.93 0.99 0.86 0.92 0.95 0.72 0.55 0.61 0.83 0.71 0.72 0.81 0.90 0.999
P/FCF 9.07 -44.39 -9.03 -11.45 -20.60 21.86 8.13 5.88 5.49 4.59 4.77 4.85 4.06 3.81 5.50 10.89 11.48 12.27 8.35 9.88 9.884
P/OCF 8.43 — — — — 20.26 7.88 5.77 5.38 4.49 4.67 4.70 3.90 3.61 5.11 9.18 9.34 10.22 7.63 9.80 9.805
EV/EBITDA 3.99 -0.68 -1.00 -0.89 -0.67 -1.91 -1.52 -1.93 -1.34 -0.24 8.36 1.36 3.11 -0.16 -0.36 10.59 7.65 12.92 -0.43 3.71 3.712
EV/Revenue 1.50 -0.32 -0.48 -0.47 -0.40 -1.11 -0.90 -1.07 -0.70 -0.11 3.97 0.64 1.05 -0.07 -0.15 2.88 2.46 2.69 -0.08 0.76 0.759
EV/EBIT 5.43 -0.89 -1.31 -1.14 -0.76 -2.13 -1.67 -2.11 -1.51 -0.26 9.38 1.51 3.64 -0.18 -0.41 12.47 8.58 15.21 -0.50 4.29 4.286
EV/FCF 5.21 4.53 1.91 1.85 2.43 -8.59 -2.26 -2.03 -1.23 -0.20 7.11 1.10 2.02 -0.17 -0.48 14.27 15.86 18.20 -0.31 2.81 2.811
Earnings Yield 2.7% 5.1% 6.4% 7.3% 10.2% 12.1% 11.6% 11.1% 10.5% 11.2% 11.2% 10.9% 13.5% 21.9% 19.7% 13.0% 14.7% 9.9% 8.0% 7.2% 7.21%
FCF Yield 11.0% -2.3% -11.1% -8.7% -4.9% 4.6% 12.3% 17.0% 18.2% 21.8% 21.0% 20.6% 24.6% 26.3% 18.2% 9.2% 8.7% 8.1% 12.0% 10.1% 10.12%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.297
EV/OCF snapshot only 2.788
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 0.882
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 39.138
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 4.91%
Graham Number snapshot only $33.89
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Current Ratio 814.07 489.94 308.75 0.58 542.04 0.82 0.85 0.80 0.74 0.57 45.65 0.52 0.48 0.55 0.57 0.03 0.07 0.10 2.30 — —
Quick Ratio 814.07 489.94 308.75 0.58 542.04 0.82 0.85 0.80 0.74 0.57 45.65 0.52 0.48 0.55 0.57 0.03 3.99 3.69 2.30 — —
Debt/Equity 0.57 0.19 0.12 0.09 0.09 0.18 0.10 0.08 0.25 0.52 0.57 0.58 0.81 0.58 0.46 0.37 0.36 0.51 0.42 0.59 0.591
Net Debt/Equity -0.17 -0.61 -0.59 -0.83 -1.14 -1.19 -1.22 -1.25 -1.21 -0.90 0.45 -0.74 -0.36 -0.58 -0.66 0.26 0.27 0.35 -0.83 -0.65 -0.646
Debt/Assets 0.08 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.09 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.05 0.07 0.069
Debt/EBITDA 9.96 2.31 1.15 0.67 0.48 1.05 0.58 0.50 1.51 3.28 3.49 3.65 7.07 3.87 3.16 3.66 2.83 6.13 6.21 8.54 8.545
Net Debt/EBITDA -2.95 -7.32 -5.69 -6.37 -6.37 -6.76 -6.99 -7.50 -7.32 -5.71 2.75 -4.65 -3.14 -3.89 -4.54 2.51 2.11 4.21 -12.27 -9.34 -9.341
Interest Coverage 1.34 1.95 2.46 3.30 6.15 7.40 8.75 9.65 9.66 9.00 9.64 4.52 1.70 1.46 0.97 0.57 0.66 0.38 0.31 0.31 0.314
Equity Multiplier 7.14 7.45 7.27 7.34 7.54 7.39 7.24 7.31 8.05 8.89 9.52 9.52 9.36 9.20 9.31 8.84 8.86 8.97 8.57 8.57 8.566
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.362
Cash to Debt snapshot only 2.093
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.155
Defensive Interval snapshot only 16629.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Asset Turnover 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.039
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover (trade) 9.28 9.76 10.23 13.34 13.92 13.10 11.81 13.30 12.98 12.98 12.21 12.17 12.14 13.10 11.07 11.81 12.05 11.93 11.04 9.83 9.834
Payables Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DSO (trade) 39 37 36 27 26 28 31 27 28 28 30 30 30 28 33 31 30 31 33 37 37.1 days
DIO — — — — — 0 0 0 0 0 — — 0 0 0 0 -13332 -8344 0 0 0.0 days
DPO — — — — — 0 0 0 0 0 — — 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Cash Conversion Cycle (trade) — — — — — 28 31 27 28 28 — — 30 28 33 31 -13301 -8314 33 37 —
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 6.316
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.273
Capital Intensity snapshot only 25.309
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue -6.6% 10.0% 31.8% 48.2% 1.2% 83.6% 48.7% 29.1% -0.9% -3.3% -2.2% -2.0% 3.7% 15.3% 12.2% 21.9% 24.6% 13.3% 14.4% -7.6% -7.63%
Net Income -74.5% -36.3% -30.0% 21.2% 9.5% 3.0% 2.8% 1.1% -5.8% -18.1% -22.5% -13.1% -9.5% 30.7% 24.6% 13.3% 14.6% -38.2% -40.9% -37.6% -37.60%
EPS -83.8% -66.1% -62.8% -35.4% 7.9% 3.0% 2.8% 1.1% -2.5% -14.3% -19.3% -10.9% -8.5% 30.3% 24.3% 13.3% 14.4% -38.2% -40.8% -37.6% -37.62%
FCF -18.5% -1.2% -2.5% -2.7% -2.2% 4.4% 3.3% 3.7% 4.4% 3.2% 37.5% 7.6% -4.5% -19.3% -38.8% -57.6% -62.8% -57.8% -3.8% 23.6% 23.65%
EBITDA -16.8% 21.6% 46.8% 86.2% 2.4% 1.3% 81.3% 34.4% -12.9% -21.5% -21.3% -17.7% -32.3% -1.6% -5.4% -29.1% 18.4% -41.8% -48.4% -30.5% -30.52%
Op. Income -25.2% -3.6% 12.6% 43.1% 2.2% 1.6% 1.2% 52.8% -8.6% -20.9% -25.0% -16.2% -10.4% -10.3% -6.6% -17.4% -15.7% -6.9% -21.5% -94.7% -94.72%
OCF Growth snapshot only 5.06%
Asset Growth snapshot only -0.51%
Equity Growth snapshot only 2.68%
Debt Growth snapshot only 62.19%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.03%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 0.29%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue 3Y 6.6% 11.2% 17.0% 20.8% 28.9% 29.3% 28.0% 27.7% 25.9% 25.0% 24.2% 23.3% 30.3% 27.0% 17.7% 15.5% 8.6% 8.1% 7.9% 3.3% 3.33%
Revenue 5Y 6.5% 10.2% 14.5% 17.6% 23.0% 23.2% 22.5% 22.2% 21.0% 19.5% 18.4% 17.4% 17.1% 19.2% 18.1% 20.0% 20.8% 20.6% 19.7% 16.1% 16.12%
EPS 3Y -39.6% -17.7% -15.1% 1.1% 21.3% 19.2% 20.4% 14.7% 12.0% 4.9% 5.0% 6.9% 99.5% 64.3% 56.8% 28.9% 0.7% -11.6% -16.0% -14.3% -14.30%
EPS 5Y -24.3% -11.8% -9.4% 0.4% 14.8% 14.6% 14.8% 12.6% 13.9% 13.7% 13.7% 14.3% 9.7% 13.6% 11.9% 8.8% 8.0% -1.4% -3.2% -2.9% -2.90%
Net Income 3Y -28.3% 0.7% 3.8% 23.6% 48.3% 45.6% 46.9% 39.5% 36.1% 27.5% 27.6% 30.0% 1.1% 62.0% 54.6% 27.1% -0.8% -12.9% -17.1% -15.0% -15.00%
Net Income 5Y -16.3% 1.3% 4.1% 15.5% 32.6% 32.5% 32.6% 29.7% 29.5% 27.1% 27.1% 27.9% 22.7% 27.0% 25.1% 21.7% 21.2% 10.9% 8.9% 9.2% 9.19%
EBITDA 3Y 15.7% 18.3% 24.6% 28.0% 39.3% 38.8% 38.6% 39.3% 35.0% 29.7% 28.0% 27.2% 26.0% 20.9% 10.5% -7.8% -11.3% -23.4% -27.3% -26.0% -25.99%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — 73.3% 48.6% 35.5% 24.4% 22.5% 18.3% 9.7% 15.6% 14.7% 9.6% 14.5% 4.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.28%
Gross Profit 3Y 15.6% 20.8% 25.3% 28.3% 30.4% 29.3% 28.0% 27.7% 25.9% 25.0% 24.8% 24.0% 18.3% 15.1% 7.8% 2.1% -1.9% -7.2% -1.5% -1.6% -1.64%
Gross Profit 5Y 11.8% 15.8% 19.7% 22.3% 23.9% 23.2% 22.5% 22.2% 20.6% 19.2% 18.4% 17.5% 16.3% 18.5% 17.1% 15.8% 14.5% 10.1% 13.4% 12.7% 12.74%
Op. Income 3Y 2.1% 13.6% 17.2% 24.7% 38.6% 37.2% 37.5% 35.8% 29.8% 25.3% 23.2% 22.4% 37.9% 22.3% 15.8% 1.9% -11.6% -12.9% -18.1% -66.8% -66.82%
Op. Income 5Y 3.6% 8.9% 12.8% 18.9% 28.6% 29.3% 29.5% 27.7% 25.5% 24.4% 21.7% 19.9% 16.9% 12.9% 12.7% 11.6% 10.6% 10.4% 6.5% -39.7% -39.68%
FCF 3Y 13.5% — — — — 9.0% 41.0% 49.1% 50.8% 50.6% 67.4% 68.4% 58.9% — — — — 12.8% -6.8% -17.3% -17.35%
FCF 5Y 12.6% — — — — 10.2% 37.1% 45.5% 43.8% 38.3% 41.6% 39.8% 36.5% 34.6% 18.7% 8.7% 4.0% 3.0% 22.5% 20.2% 20.16%
OCF 3Y 12.6% — — — — 8.2% 38.6% 46.0% 47.5% 48.2% 63.1% 65.5% 57.2% — — — — 16.9% -4.9% -17.6% -17.63%
OCF 5Y 9.5% — — — — 10.4% 36.3% 43.7% 41.6% 36.5% 39.1% 38.0% 35.8% 33.4% 18.5% 10.6% 6.5% 5.4% 22.3% 18.4% 18.39%
Assets 3Y 30.7% 34.4% 33.5% 34.1% 35.6% 35.7% 34.1% 33.0% 33.1% 34.7% 35.0% 34.6% 9.4% 7.1% 7.1% 6.2% 4.7% 5.0% 5.3% 4.7% 4.68%
Assets 5Y 24.3% 26.1% 25.6% 25.7% 26.1% 25.8% 25.0% 24.8% 21.0% 22.6% 22.9% 23.1% 23.1% 23.2% 22.5% 22.1% 21.8% 21.8% 21.1% 19.9% 19.86%
Equity 3Y 37.3% 37.6% 37.6% 38.1% 38.1% 38.5% 37.9% 36.8% 33.6% 30.3% 27.4% 27.7% -0.1% -0.1% -1.4% -0.2% -0.8% -1.6% -0.4% -0.7% -0.71%
Book Value 3Y 15.7% 12.5% 12.5% 12.9% 12.9% 13.4% 13.0% 12.5% 9.9% 7.2% 4.8% 5.0% -4.0% 1.3% 0.0% 1.2% 0.6% -0.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.11%
Dividend 3Y -4.4% -2.4% 2.5% 4.8% -3.0% -7.9% -11.3% -13.0% -12.2% -12.8% -13.8% -15.2% -2.2% 2.7% 2.5% 2.6% 2.4% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.94%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Revenue Stability 0.80 0.98 0.89 0.81 0.58 0.69 0.81 0.86 0.74 0.79 0.87 0.89 0.75 0.85 0.92 0.96 0.88 0.91 0.91 0.81 0.808
Earnings Stability 0.02 0.26 0.40 0.90 0.32 0.49 0.50 0.70 0.54 0.62 0.61 0.81 0.56 0.72 0.68 0.80 0.54 0.35 0.25 0.25 0.254
Margin Stability 0.88 0.88 0.90 0.91 0.88 0.87 0.89 0.91 0.88 0.87 0.90 0.91 0.87 0.87 0.89 0.87 0.89 0.82 0.89 0.91 0.909
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.85 0.88 0.92 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.98 0.93 0.91 0.95 0.96 0.88 0.90 0.95 0.94 0.85 0.84 0.85 0.850
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.56 0.65 0.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.94 0.80 0.75 0.86 0.90 0.73 0.78 0.88 0.86 0.53 0.49 0.54 0.537
ROE Trend -0.08 -0.07 -0.07 -0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.03 -0.01 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.04 -0.05 -0.04 -0.040
Gross Margin Trend 0.29 0.30 0.25 0.21 -0.11 -0.15 -0.12 -0.11 -0.16 -0.15 -0.11 -0.09 -0.05 -0.03 -0.05 -0.17 -0.22 -0.35 -0.22 -0.06 -0.064
FCF Margin Trend 0.00 -0.34 -0.51 -0.54 -0.47 0.00 0.41 0.54 0.50 0.54 0.49 0.44 0.32 0.05 -0.17 -0.35 -0.39 -0.33 -0.18 -0.12 -0.121
Sustainable Growth Rate -1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 2.6% 7.3% 7.2% 7.8% 6.7% 5.9% 4.7% 4.9% 5.2% 4.9% 7.6% 7.5% 6.5% 6.1% 2.7% 2.2% 2.1% 2.11%
Internal Growth Rate — 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.24%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
OCF/Net Income 4.38 -0.27 -1.58 -1.09 -0.43 0.41 1.09 1.55 1.77 1.99 1.92 1.95 1.90 1.27 0.99 0.84 0.73 0.98 1.64 1.41 1.415
FCF/OCF 0.93 1.63 1.09 1.10 1.11 0.93 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.96 0.95 0.93 0.84 0.81 0.83 0.91 0.99 0.992
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.403
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.331
CapEx/Revenue 2.2% 2.7% 2.1% 2.3% 1.6% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.1% 1.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.3% 3.8% 3.6% 3.0% 2.4% 0.2% 0.22%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.079
Accruals Ratio -0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.003
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 1.280
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.044
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Dividend Yield 5.5% 4.7% 6.2% 4.7% 3.3% 4.0% 3.7% 4.1% 4.4% 5.4% 5.3% 5.1% 6.5% 8.4% 7.8% 5.5% 6.4% 6.3% 5.4% 4.9% 4.42%
Dividend/Share $0.64 $0.66 $0.78 $0.88 $0.90 $0.94 $0.99 $1.06 $1.13 $1.17 $1.19 $1.20 $1.21 $1.21 $1.23 $1.24 $1.24 $1.24 $1.24 $1.24 $1.24
Payout Ratio 2.0% 92.0% 96.9% 64.6% 32.3% 33.0% 32.1% 36.7% 41.7% 48.0% 47.7% 46.4% 48.6% 38.2% 39.6% 42.3% 43.6% 63.1% 67.7% 68.1% 68.07%
FCF Payout Ratio 49.9% — — — — 87.4% 30.3% 24.0% 24.1% 24.7% 25.4% 24.5% 26.6% 31.8% 42.9% 59.8% 73.7% 77.0% 45.2% 48.5% 48.50%
Total Payout Ratio 3.1% 1.3% 1.3% 84.6% 33.4% 37.6% 41.6% 64.5% 95.6% 1.1% 99.0% 75.5% 51.5% 38.2% 39.6% 42.4% 43.6% 63.1% 67.7% 68.1% 68.07%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.51 0.75 1.03 1.15 0.70 0.47 0.31 0.22 0.26 0.25 0.21 0.15 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.05 0.052
Buyback Yield 2.8% 1.9% 2.2% 1.5% 0.1% 0.6% 1.1% 3.1% 5.7% 6.6% 5.7% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 2.7% 1.9% 2.1% 1.5% 0.1% 0.6% 1.1% 3.1% 5.7% 6.6% 5.7% 3.2% 0.4% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 8.2% 6.6% 8.4% 6.2% 3.4% 4.6% 4.8% 7.2% 10.1% 12.0% 11.1% 8.2% 6.9% 8.4% 7.8% 5.5% 6.4% 6.3% 5.4% 4.9% 4.91%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.91 0.78 0.57 0.64 0.66 0.66 0.73 0.72 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.80 0.80 0.77 0.78 0.77 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.74 0.742
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.28 0.57 0.70 0.80 1.00 1.00 0.96 0.94 0.90 0.88 0.90 0.92 1.23 1.18 1.19 1.60 1.22 1.36 1.46 1.46 1.464
EBIT Margin 0.28 0.36 0.37 0.42 0.52 0.52 0.54 0.51 0.46 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.29 0.36 0.36 0.23 0.29 0.18 0.16 0.18 0.177
Asset Turnover 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.039
Equity Multiplier 7.44 7.63 7.50 7.58 7.35 7.42 7.25 7.33 7.79 8.09 8.28 8.34 8.70 9.05 9.41 9.17 9.10 9.08 8.92 8.70 8.702
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.31 $0.72 $0.80 $1.36 $2.78 $2.84 $3.09 $2.90 $2.71 $2.44 $2.49 $2.58 $2.48 $3.18 $3.10 $2.92 $2.84 $1.96 $1.83 $1.82 $1.82
Book Value/Share $28.94 $25.21 $25.69 $26.30 $26.72 $27.51 $27.75 $27.90 $26.14 $25.25 $24.23 $24.80 $25.60 $26.17 $25.69 $27.27 $27.24 $27.36 $28.51 $28.00 $28.08
Tangible Book/Share $17.29 $15.40 $15.95 $16.62 $16.95 $17.79 $18.00 $18.04 $16.12 $15.17 $14.18 $14.79 $15.62 $16.95 $16.51 $18.15 $18.14 $18.30 $19.98 $19.50 $19.50
Revenue/Share $4.43 $4.51 $5.51 $6.37 $8.09 $8.27 $8.23 $8.38 $8.29 $8.37 $8.38 $8.41 $8.69 $9.62 $9.38 $10.26 $10.81 $10.90 $10.75 $9.48 $6.83
FCF/Share $1.27 $-0.32 $-1.39 $-1.63 $-1.32 $1.07 $3.27 $4.42 $4.69 $4.74 $4.68 $4.87 $4.53 $3.81 $2.85 $2.07 $1.68 $1.61 $2.75 $2.56 $2.51
OCF/Share $1.37 $-0.19 $-1.27 $-1.49 $-1.19 $1.16 $3.37 $4.50 $4.79 $4.85 $4.77 $5.03 $4.72 $4.02 $3.07 $2.46 $2.07 $1.93 $3.01 $2.58 $2.59
Cash/Share $21.46 $20.37 $18.25 $23.99 $32.72 $37.76 $36.71 $37.29 $38.05 $35.73 $2.94 $32.64 $30.04 $30.25 $28.90 $3.21 $2.51 $4.35 $35.84 $34.65 $35.82
EBITDA/Share $1.66 $2.12 $2.67 $3.41 $4.78 $4.83 $4.85 $4.66 $4.31 $3.97 $3.98 $3.93 $2.94 $3.90 $3.75 $2.79 $3.48 $2.27 $1.94 $1.94 $1.94
Debt/Share $16.55 $4.89 $3.08 $2.27 $2.27 $5.08 $2.79 $2.32 $6.51 $13.03 $13.89 $14.34 $20.80 $15.09 $11.85 $10.21 $9.86 $13.88 $12.04 $16.55 $16.55
Net Debt/Share $-4.91 $-15.48 $-15.17 $-21.72 $-30.45 $-32.68 $-33.92 $-34.97 $-31.54 $-22.70 $10.95 $-18.31 $-9.24 $-15.16 $-17.05 $7.00 $7.35 $9.53 $-23.80 $-18.10 $-18.10
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.793
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 6.267
Piotroski F-Score 4 3 2 3 4 5 7 8 4 4 6 5 4 5 5 6 5 5 8 4 4
Beneish M-Score -1.10 -1.43 -1.11 -1.51 1.31 -3.19 -3.48 -2.53 -3.58 -2.51 -2.43 -2.44 -2.21 -2.92 -2.59 -1.58 -1.90 -1.93 -3.15 -3.57 -3.567
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.502
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 0.78%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $2.70
EVA snapshot only $-30213343.74
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB+
Credit Score 52.12 57.63 57.07 65.42 79.93 74.24 88.34 93.86 87.86 71.09 71.56 72.11 65.27 77.17 78.71 60.79 65.09 55.47 70.19 60.55 60.554
Credit Grade snapshot only 8
Credit Trend snapshot only -0.239
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 225.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 60
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 46

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms