PM NYSE
Philip Morris International Inc.
1W: +0.4%
1M: +6.9%
3M: +0.9%
YTD: +25.9%
1Y: +28.0%
3Y: +143.1%
5Y: +151.8%
$202.62
+0.75 (+0.37%)
After Hours: $199.94 (-2.68, -1.32%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.1%
$183
$191
$200
$208
$216
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 80% of companies Debt: 13.1% of company value Bonds: $2.72B held by 596 funds, 50 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $2.13 (down 99%), Philip Morris International Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $47.56B against a stock market value of $314.64B.
Distance to default 9.74 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $26.71B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 28.4%; Altman Z 4.88. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $2.13 (down 99%), Philip Morris International Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $47.56B against a stock market value of $314.64B.
Distance to default 9.74 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $26.71B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 28.4%; Altman Z 4.88. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Institutions
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Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+13.3% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛅
Partly Cloudy
+4.2% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+13.3%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+4.2%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+26.4%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
29%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛅
+0.0%
Midterm
☁️
-0.5%
50% win
20% vol
Feb
20yr
☀️
+4.5%
Midterm
☁️
+0.6%
67% win
23% vol
Mar
20yr
⛅
+6.2%
Midterm
☁️
-0.5%
74% win
31% vol
Apr
20yr
☀️
+8.0%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.7%
68% win
27% vol
May
20yr
⛅
+9.1%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.7%
58% win
20% vol
Jun
20yr
⛅
+9.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.3%
58% win
20% vol
Jul
20yr
☀️
+10.8%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.1%
74% win
23% vol
Aug
20yr
🌧️
+9.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.9%
42% win
19% vol
Sep
20yr
🌧️
+8.7%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.7%
42% win
23% vol
Oct
20yr
☀️
+13.0%
Midterm
⛅
+4.6%
53% win
29% vol
Now:
+7.1%
Nov
20yr
☁️
+12.8%
Midterm
⛅
+4.6%
50% win
24% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+1.0%
Midterm
🌧️
-5.0%
78% win
19% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +26.4%