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RCBC NASDAQ

River City Bank
1W: +6.7% 1M: +11.0% 3M: +19.4% YTD: +32.0% 1Y: +43.3% 3Y: +173.1% 5Y: +109.4%
$57.68
+0.98 (+1.73%)
After Hours: $51.51 (-6.17, -10.71%)
Weekly Expected Move ±3.5%
$51 $53 $55 $57 $59
NASDAQ · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · Tech Score Buy · Power 68 · $805.1M mcap · 14M float · 0.295% daily turnover · Short 61% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: not rated, financial company (lending is its business) Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Not rated: lending and leverage are a financial company's business, which the model misreads.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
47.3 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 33.7%
Cost Advantage ★
71
Intangibles
32
Switching Cost
65
Network Effect
19
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. RCBC shows a Weak competitive edge (47.3/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 33.7% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$61
Low
$61
Avg Target
$61
High
Based on 1 analyst since Oct 23, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Rating Summary
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-10-27 D.A. Davidson Gary Tenner $55 $61 +6 +6.3% $57.38
2026-08-31 Raymond James David Feaster Initiated $56 — +10.0% $50.93
2026-08-31 D.A. Davidson — Initiated $55 — +8.1% $50.87

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A-
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
4
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
4
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. RCBC receives an overall rating of A-. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROE (4/5), ROA (4/5), P/E (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-12 A A-
2026-10-01 B+ A
2026-06-25 None ADDED
2026-06-22 EXISTED None
2026-06-01 None ADDED
2026-05-31 EXISTED None
2026-05-26 None ADDED
2026-05-25 EXISTED None
2026-05-11 None ADDED
2026-05-11 EXISTED None

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 71 Grade A+
Profitability
65
Balance Sheet
53
Earnings Quality
84
Growth
76
Value
82
Momentum
100
Safety
30
Cash Flow
96
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. RCBC scores highest in Momentum (100/100) and lowest in Safety (30/100). An overall grade of A+ places RCBC among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
1.64
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
—
—
Ohlson O-Score
-5.68
Bankruptcy prob: 0.3%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB-
Score: 51.4/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.45x
Accruals: -0.4%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. RCBC scores 1.64, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. RCBC scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. RCBC's implied 0.3% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. RCBC receives an estimated rating of BBB- (score: 51.4/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). RCBC's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
9.28x
PEG
0.29x
P/S
2.44x
P/B
1.39x
P/FCF
8.63x
P/OCF
8.52x
EV/EBITDA
3.78x
EV/Revenue
1.68x
EV/EBIT
3.78x
EV/FCF
3.66x
Earnings Yield
8.12%
FCF Yield
11.59%
Shareholder Yield
1.15%
Graham Number
$55.60
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 9.3x earnings, RCBC trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 8.1% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $55.60 per share, 2% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.052
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.689
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.445
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.031
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
10.950
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
10.8%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. RCBC's ROE of 10.8% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 10.95x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.05 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$29.49
Price/Value
1.45x
Margin of Safety
-44.94%
Premium
44.94%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with RCBC's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. RCBC trades at a 45% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $29.49, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 9.3x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$57.68
Median 1Y
$64.02
5th Pctile
$37.08
95th Pctile
$110.80
Ann. Volatility
34.4%
Analyst Target
$57.33
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'13 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 2.3% 0.5% -1.4% -2.7% 1.5% 5.2% 10.8% 10.81%
ROA 0.3% 0.0% -0.1% -0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 0.99%
ROIC 4.0% 1.5% 2.8% 2.8% -16.7% -57.1% 33.7% 33.69%
ROCE 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 2.4% 0.7% 1.1% 1.14%
Gross Margin 1.0% — — — — 49.3% 49.7% 49.68%
Operating Margin 94.6% — — — — 32.7% 34.5% 34.49%
Net Margin 26.7% — — — — 23.6% 25.0% 24.97%
EBITDA Margin 45.7% — — — — 32.7% 34.5% 34.49%
FCF Margin 39.6% 1.8% 3.1% 4.5% — 89.6% 46.0% 46.00%
OCF Margin 41.5% 1.8% 3.2% 4.6% — 90.8% 46.6% 46.56%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 12.80%
Cash ROA snapshot only 1.19%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 33.53%
CROIC snapshot only 33.12%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 46.79%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 30.63%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 11.09%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.66%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'13 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 42.59 189.82 -59.76 -29.28 78.95 25.79 12.32 9.283
P/S Ratio 11.38 26.29 25.08 23.85 — 8.03 3.97 2.443
P/B Ratio 0.96 0.87 0.83 0.79 0.79 1.08 1.08 1.387
P/FCF 28.74 14.97 8.05 5.33 5.10 8.96 8.63 8.629
P/OCF 27.42 14.61 7.88 5.22 5.03 8.85 8.52 8.525
EV/EBITDA 29.69 48.72 45.06 42.76 -9.80 -1.91 3.78 3.782
EV/Revenue 13.56 22.42 21.21 19.98 — -1.05 1.68 1.681
EV/EBIT 29.69 49.10 46.44 43.76 -9.89 -1.92 3.78 3.782
EV/FCF 34.23 12.77 6.81 4.46 -2.55 -1.17 3.66 3.655
Earnings Yield 2.3% 0.5% -1.7% -3.4% 1.3% 3.9% 8.1% 8.12%
FCF Yield 3.5% 6.7% 12.4% 18.8% 19.6% 11.2% 11.6% 11.59%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.292
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.080
EV/OCF snapshot only 3.611
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.396
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 3.780
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 1.15%
Graham Number snapshot only $55.60
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'13 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio — 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.13 — — —
Quick Ratio — 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.13 — — —
Debt/Equity 0.38 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.000
Net Debt/Equity 0.18 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -1.19 -1.22 -0.62 -0.622
Debt/Assets 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.000
Debt/EBITDA 9.78 18.94 18.52 18.66 3.05 0.00 0.00 0.000
Net Debt/EBITDA 4.76 -8.41 -8.22 -8.28 -29.39 -16.54 -5.15 -5.146
Interest Coverage — — — — — 1.13 0.92 0.916
Equity Multiplier 8.95 11.45 11.45 11.45 11.81 10.73 10.64 10.640
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.916
Defensive Interval snapshot only 3318.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'13 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.031
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover — 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.00 4.08 8.86 8.858
Payables Turnover — 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.38 156.91 156.907
DSO 0 378 378 378 — 89 41 41.2 days
DIO — — — — — 0 0 0.0 days
DPO — — — — — 5 2 2.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle — — — — — 85 39 38.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 14.420
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.437
Capital Intensity snapshot only 39.118
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'13 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue — — — — -1.0% 5.5% 12.3% 12.26%
Net Income — — — — 34.9% 13.7% 11.2% 11.18%
EPS — — — — 28.9% 14.0% 11.6% 11.56%
FCF — — — — 13.1% 2.3% 95.8% 95.82%
EBITDA — — — — 2.2% 6.8% 11.5% 11.53%
Op. Income — — — — 52.4% 2.8% 5.2% 5.23%
OCF Growth snapshot only 93.96%
Asset Growth snapshot only 49.52%
Equity Growth snapshot only 60.87%
Debt Growth snapshot only -1.00%
Shares Change snapshot only -3.56%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 72.74%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'13 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — —
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — —
Margin Stability — — — — — — — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — —
Earnings Smoothness — — — — 0.70 0.00 — —
ROE Trend — — — — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — —
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — —
Sustainable Growth Rate 2.0% 0.2% — — 0.8% 4.7% 10.3% 10.33%
Internal Growth Rate 0.2% 0.0% — — 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 0.95%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'13 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.55 12.99 -7.59 -5.61 15.70 2.91 1.45 1.445
FCF/OCF 0.95 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.988
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.428
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.047
CapEx/Revenue 1.9% 4.4% 6.8% 9.3% — 1.2% 0.6% 0.56%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 205.159
Accruals Ratio -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 -0.004
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.644
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 23.592
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'13 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.33%
Dividend/Share $0.02 $0.06 $0.09 $0.12 $0.13 $0.14 $0.15 $0.19
Payout Ratio 10.6% 50.8% — — 47.4% 8.8% 4.4% 4.38%
FCF Payout Ratio 7.1% 4.0% 3.6% 3.5% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.07%
Total Payout Ratio 16.4% 61.9% — — 74.5% 21.5% 14.1% 14.13%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0
Chowder Number — — — — 5.05 1.55 0.67 0.669
Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 0.79%
Net Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 0.79%
Total Shareholder Return 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 1.15%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'13 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.59 0.42 1.82 1.30 -0.33 1.72 1.05 1.052
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 0.72 -0.50 -1.37 -0.75 0.33 0.69 0.689
EBIT Margin 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.46 — 0.55 0.44 0.445
Asset Turnover 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.031
Equity Multiplier 8.95 11.45 11.45 11.45 11.10 11.00 10.95 10.950
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'13 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.22 $0.11 $-0.33 $-0.64 $0.28 $1.63 $3.47 $3.47
Book Value/Share $9.71 $23.74 $23.74 $23.74 $28.09 $38.84 $39.60 $41.64
Tangible Book/Share $9.71 $-223.27 $-223.27 $-223.27 $28.09 $38.84 $39.60 $39.60
Revenue/Share $0.82 $0.78 $0.78 $0.78 $0.00 $5.23 $10.77 $23.65
FCF/Share $0.32 $1.38 $2.44 $3.51 $4.37 $4.69 $4.95 $5.32
OCF/Share $0.34 $1.41 $2.49 $3.58 $4.43 $4.75 $5.01 $5.39
Cash/Share $1.88 $9.86 $9.86 $9.86 $36.92 $47.50 $24.64 $34.24
EBITDA/Share $0.37 $0.36 $0.37 $0.37 $1.14 $2.87 $4.79 $4.79
Debt/Share $3.66 $6.83 $6.83 $6.83 $3.47 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Net Debt/Share $1.78 $-3.03 $-3.03 $-3.03 $-33.45 $-47.50 $-24.64 $-24.64
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'13 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — 1.640
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.602
Piotroski F-Score 4 4 3 3 4 7 7 7
Beneish M-Score — — — — — — — —
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.677
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 17.75%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-355.52
EVA snapshot only $50820402.82
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'13 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB-
Credit Score 41.77 31.33 37.12 41.31 57.07 41.38 51.37 51.372
Credit Grade snapshot only 10
Credit Trend snapshot only 14.251
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 350.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 39
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 36

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms