RIVN Smart Money
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
1W: -4.9%
1M: -20.1%
3M: -27.6%
YTD: -39.1%
1Y: -8.9%
3Y: -29.3%
$11.82
+0.39 (+3.41%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.2%
$11
$11
$12
$12
$13
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 72% of companies Debt: 23.9% of company value Bonds: $278.2M held by 59 funds → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the third-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 140 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.40 (down 97%), Rivian Automotive, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $5.35B against a stock market value of $17.07B.
Distance to default 3.28 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.22B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 68.9%; Altman Z -1.52. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.40 (down 97%), Rivian Automotive, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $5.35B against a stock market value of $17.07B.
Distance to default 3.28 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.22B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 68.9%; Altman Z -1.52. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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🏦 Institutional Activity
Latest: Q2 2026924
Institutions Holding
+0 vs prior
75.9%
Ownership
+16.00%
108
New
297
Increased
306
Reduced
81
Closed
👔 Insider Trades
25 records| Date | Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Krawiec Peter | director | A-Grant/Award | 928 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-20 | Krafcik John | director | A-Grant/Award | 1,251 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-20 | Schwartz Sanford Harold | director | A-Grant/Award | 1,251 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-20 | Gomez Aidan N. | director | F-Tax Withholding | 420 | $12.34 | $5K | Filing |
| 2026-10-20 | Gomez Aidan N. | director | A-Grant/Award | 807 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-01 | CALLAHAN MICHAEL JOHN | officer: chief administrative officer | S-Sale | 15,000 | $15.00 | $225K | Filing |
| 2026-09-11 | CALLAHAN MICHAEL JOHN | officer: chief administrative officer | S-Sale | 15,000 | $16.29 | $244K | Filing |
| 2026-08-20 | McDonough Claire | officer: chief financial officer | S-Sale | 8,023 | $16.00 | $128K | Filing |
| 2026-08-18 | McDonough Claire | officer: chief financial officer | S-Sale | 13,144 | $14.50 | $191K | Filing |
| 2026-08-15 | Scaringe Robert J | officer: chief executive officer | F-Tax Withholding | 44,033 | $15.36 | $676K | Filing |
| 2026-08-15 | McDonough Claire | officer: chief financial officer | F-Tax Withholding | 38,640 | $15.36 | $594K | Filing |
| 2026-08-15 | CALLAHAN MICHAEL JOHN | officer: chief administrative officer | F-Tax Withholding | 42,082 | $15.36 | $646K | Filing |
| 2026-08-15 | Venkataratnam Sreela | officer: chief accounting officer | F-Tax Withholding | 20,297 | $15.36 | $312K | Filing |
| 2026-07-20 | Gomez Aidan N. | director | A-Grant/Award | 769 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-07-20 | Gomez Aidan N. | director | F-Tax Withholding | 343 | $17.45 | $6K | Filing |
| 2026-07-20 | Schwartz Sanford Harold | director | A-Grant/Award | 1,192 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-07-20 | Krawiec Peter | director | A-Grant/Award | 884 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-07-20 | Krafcik John | director | A-Grant/Award | 1,192 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-07-06 | Boone Karen | director | S-Sale | 20,000 | $20.00 | $400K | Filing |
| 2026-06-22 | Krafcik John | director | A-Grant/Award | 17,445 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-22 | Gomez Aidan N. | director | A-Grant/Award | 17,445 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-22 | Schwartz Sanford Harold | director | A-Grant/Award | 17,445 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-22 | Krawiec Peter | director | A-Grant/Award | 17,445 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-22 | FLATLEY JAY T | director | A-Grant/Award | 17,445 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-22 | Boone Karen | director | A-Grant/Award | 17,445 | $— | $0 | Filing |
🏛️ Congressional Trades
9 records| Date | Politician | Chamber | Type | Amount | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-06 | Daniel Goldman | House | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2023-01-31 | Daniel Goldman | House | Buy | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2022-12-06 | Ro Khanna | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2022-11-03 | Ro Khanna | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2022-01-21 | James R. Langevin | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2021-12-23 | Dan Crenshaw | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2021-12-17 | Aston Donald McEachin | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2021-12-14 | Dan Crenshaw | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2021-11-10 | Marie Newman | House | Buy | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
🏦 Top Institutional Holders
20 holders| Holder | Shares | Value | Date Reported | Filing | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMAZON COM INC | 158,363,834 | $2.7B | — | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BlackRock, Inc. | 56,419,011 | $979M | +2,448,064 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO | 43,210,348 | $750M | -611,152 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 39,268,910 | $681M | -990,512 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 34,835,795 | $604M | -1,249,388 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| STATE STREET CORP | 22,396,819 | $389M | +1,801,150 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 22,651,249 | $381M | -130,158 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Slate Path Capital LP | 21,978,400 | $381M | +21,978,400 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. | 20,832,777 | $361M | +12,203,342 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Uber Technologies, Inc | 19,553,911 | $339M | +19,553,911 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 19,178,109 | $333M | +9,624,687 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 16,067,368 | $278M | +753,671 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| UBS AM, a distinct business unit of UBS | 13,014,970 | $226M | -92,859 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| NORGES BANK | 11,617,138 | $202M | +11,617,138 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 11,504,898 | $200M | +1,183,446 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Capital World Investors | 11,117,342 | $193M | +165,113 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| UBS Group AG | 10,870,671 | $189M | +613,391 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| FMR LLC | 8,546,948 | $148M | -139,321 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 8,126,048 | $141M | +468,867 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Capital International Investors | 8,057,778 | $140M | -2,154,838 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |