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RUTH NASDAQ

Ruth's Hospitality Group, Inc.
1W: +0.0% 1M: +0.5% 3M: +27.3% 1Y: +18.3% 3Y: +153.1% 5Y: -14.5%
$21.49
Last traded 2023-06-13 — delisted
NASDAQ · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · $690.5M mcap · 26M float · 4.44% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
43.3 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 12.2%  ·  5Y Avg: 14.4%
Cost Advantage
67
Intangibles
42
Switching Cost
21
Network Effect
24
Scale ★
70
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. RUTH shows a Weak competitive edge (43.3/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 12.2% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 3Hold: 6Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 49 Grade B
Profitability
48
Balance Sheet
43
Earnings Quality
78
Growth
43
Value
69
Momentum
71
Safety
65
Cash Flow
43
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. RUTH scores highest in Earnings Quality (78/100) and lowest in Growth (43/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.52
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.75
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.34
Bankruptcy prob: 0.5%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB+
Score: 64.8/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 2.03x
Accruals: -8.0%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. RUTH scores 2.52, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. RUTH scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. RUTH's score of -2.75 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. RUTH's implied 0.5% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. RUTH receives an estimated rating of BBB+ (score: 64.8/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). RUTH's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
18.53x
PEG
-3.39x
P/S
1.37x
P/B
5.39x
P/FCF
14.94x
P/OCF
6.52x
EV/EBITDA
8.09x
EV/Revenue
1.47x
EV/EBIT
9.49x
EV/FCF
21.68x
Earnings Yield
7.57%
FCF Yield
6.69%
Shareholder Yield
7.57%
Graham Number
$10.87
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 18.5x earnings, RUTH trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 7.6% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $10.87 per share, 98% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.848
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.584
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.155
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.016
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.602
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
28.0%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. RUTH's ROE of 28.0% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.60x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
12.11%
Fair P/E
32.72x
Intrinsic Value
$39.89
Price/Value
0.40x
Margin of Safety
59.62%
Premium
-59.62%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with RUTH's realized 12.1% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. RUTH trades at a -60% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $39.89, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 32.7x compares to the current market P/E of 18.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$21.49
Median 1Y
$19.28
5th Pctile
$8.20
95th Pctile
$45.51
Ann. Volatility
55.4%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
ROE 39.6% 42.9% 49.1% 45.0% 44.8% 48.4% 45.8% 28.3% -2.4% -12.8% -25.1% -13.0% 14.9% 25.2% 34.8% 33.7% 30.7% 29.6% 28.9% 28.0% 28.03%
ROA 16.0% 16.8% 16.8% 13.1% 12.3% 12.0% 11.2% 5.2% -0.5% -2.4% -4.9% -2.3% 3.3% 5.7% 7.8% 8.2% 8.2% 8.0% 7.3% 7.8% 7.78%
ROIC 26.3% 27.2% 34.2% 13.3% 12.0% 11.3% 11.3% 6.8% -0.9% -3.2% -6.3% -2.8% 6.7% 10.2% 14.1% 13.0% 13.1% 12.1% 12.0% 12.2% 12.19%
ROCE 68.4% 68.3% 50.3% 25.3% 22.7% 21.2% 21.2% 10.3% -0.4% -4.1% -15.4% -9.2% 4.2% 10.1% 19.7% 19.8% 19.6% 18.8% 20.3% 21.1% 21.06%
Gross Margin 27.9% 23.2% 30.7% 28.6% 27.3% 22.3% 28.4% 20.6% -20.7% 19.9% 29.6% 30.7% 30.6% 23.8% 28.1% 26.1% 29.9% 23.2% 25.8% 25.0% 25.02%
Operating Margin 10.7% 4.9% 14.7% 14.1% 10.6% 5.4% 13.6% -3.8% -84.7% -8.1% 6.1% 13.8% 14.7% 8.7% 9.7% 10.3% 14.4% 6.0% 10.6% 10.2% 10.25%
Net Margin 8.7% 3.6% 11.7% 11.6% 8.4% 4.4% 10.7% -3.5% -61.9% -8.4% 1.8% 10.5% 11.2% 6.7% 10.9% 8.3% 8.0% 4.9% 8.9% 8.3% 8.29%
EBITDA Margin 15.0% 9.5% 18.4% 30.4% 24.1% 14.2% 18.6% 1.6% -74.3% -3.2% -30.7% 31.4% 31.9% 20.3% 12.3% 22.4% 18.4% 15.1% 15.9% 22.7% 22.67%
FCF Margin 9.7% 9.8% 10.3% 9.3% 9.5% 8.7% 8.8% 8.2% 4.8% 8.0% 3.4% 10.0% 17.7% 14.0% 14.4% 9.1% 5.0% 4.1% 4.0% 6.8% 6.77%
OCF Margin 15.2% 16.5% 17.3% 16.4% 16.0% 14.9% 15.6% 14.8% 12.5% 14.2% 7.2% 12.8% 19.1% 16.6% 19.0% 15.3% 13.3% 13.4% 13.3% 15.5% 15.51%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 16.09%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 24.77%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.69%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.69%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 12.01%
Cash ROA snapshot only 15.98%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 21.36%
CROIC snapshot only 9.32%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 8.86%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 9.03%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 10.51%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.62%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
P/E Ratio 22.90 24.49 15.13 17.13 15.28 12.96 14.09 7.87 -93.18 -29.72 -22.55 -68.86 44.67 23.78 15.74 16.52 14.11 13.44 13.00 13.21 18.526
P/S Ratio 1.81 1.98 1.39 1.58 1.40 1.20 1.27 0.42 0.60 1.09 2.05 3.32 2.33 1.87 1.55 1.54 1.20 1.09 0.99 1.01 1.365
P/B Ratio 9.00 9.98 7.00 7.28 6.49 6.37 6.32 2.60 2.10 3.49 5.31 7.31 6.10 5.34 4.92 5.05 4.16 3.91 3.79 3.74 5.392
P/FCF 18.64 20.29 13.59 16.94 14.78 13.77 14.42 5.12 12.50 13.55 60.25 33.12 13.17 13.42 10.78 16.98 24.23 26.85 24.80 14.94 14.944
P/OCF 11.96 12.02 8.05 9.62 8.74 8.05 8.16 2.86 4.82 7.64 28.39 25.99 12.17 11.28 8.17 10.04 9.09 8.15 7.47 6.52 6.521
EV/EBITDA 12.43 13.36 9.51 11.05 9.38 8.47 8.66 7.44 24.91 166.71 -18.19 -55.57 26.44 15.03 8.57 9.25 9.18 9.30 8.18 8.09 8.089
EV/Revenue 1.92 2.09 1.47 2.08 1.97 1.86 1.90 1.11 1.36 1.86 2.95 4.21 2.89 2.38 1.99 1.99 1.67 1.59 1.47 1.47 1.467
EV/EBIT 7.40 8.06 8.32 11.76 11.21 10.52 10.93 11.04 -240.64 -33.29 -12.25 -26.62 60.03 22.74 10.79 11.59 10.41 10.71 9.55 9.49 9.492
EV/FCF 19.75 21.41 14.37 22.34 20.87 21.38 21.60 13.47 28.08 23.21 86.68 42.05 16.38 17.09 13.81 21.93 33.67 39.21 36.77 21.68 21.679
Earnings Yield 4.4% 4.1% 6.6% 5.8% 6.5% 7.7% 7.1% 12.7% -1.1% -3.4% -4.4% -1.5% 2.2% 4.2% 6.4% 6.1% 7.1% 7.4% 7.7% 7.6% 7.57%
FCF Yield 5.4% 4.9% 7.4% 5.9% 6.8% 7.3% 6.9% 19.5% 8.0% 7.4% 1.7% 3.0% 7.6% 7.5% 9.3% 5.9% 4.1% 3.7% 4.0% 6.7% 6.69%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 10.519
EV/OCF snapshot only 9.460
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 5.633
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 14.047
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 7.57%
Graham Number snapshot only $10.87
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Current Ratio 0.37 0.39 0.38 0.30 0.34 0.36 0.37 0.99 1.27 1.31 1.20 1.34 1.04 1.04 1.08 0.95 0.80 0.64 0.59 0.46 0.460
Quick Ratio 0.25 0.27 0.28 0.20 0.25 0.26 0.29 0.90 1.19 1.24 1.14 1.27 0.97 0.97 1.02 0.88 0.73 0.56 0.53 0.39 0.391
Debt/Equity 0.57 0.60 0.45 2.35 2.71 3.55 3.20 5.20 3.51 3.47 3.22 2.94 2.16 2.09 2.07 1.94 1.94 1.95 2.01 1.80 1.801
Net Debt/Equity 0.53 0.55 0.40 2.32 2.68 3.51 3.14 4.25 2.62 2.48 2.33 1.97 1.49 1.46 1.39 1.47 1.62 1.80 1.83 1.69 1.687
Debt/Assets 0.21 0.23 0.16 0.57 0.60 0.65 0.61 0.72 0.67 0.66 0.64 0.63 0.56 0.55 0.52 0.54 0.53 0.53 0.51 0.50 0.501
Debt/EBITDA 0.74 0.77 0.58 2.70 2.77 3.04 2.93 5.66 18.52 96.90 -7.66 -17.58 7.54 4.62 2.81 2.75 3.08 3.18 2.92 2.68 2.684
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.70 0.70 0.51 2.67 2.74 3.01 2.88 4.62 13.82 69.35 -5.55 -11.79 5.19 3.23 1.88 2.09 2.57 2.93 2.66 2.51 2.513
Interest Coverage 88.33 75.17 46.08 45.68 45.16 41.86 37.10 18.99 -0.64 -4.60 -14.31 -7.57 3.15 8.95 22.74 32.08 48.54 53.80 51.76 55.69 55.692
Equity Multiplier 2.66 2.69 2.82 4.16 4.51 5.43 5.28 7.23 5.27 5.29 5.05 4.67 3.89 3.77 3.96 3.61 3.65 3.66 3.94 3.59 3.592
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.131
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 65.352
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.064
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.139
Defensive Interval snapshot only 201.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Asset Turnover 2.02 2.08 1.82 1.42 1.35 1.30 1.25 0.97 0.74 0.66 0.53 0.48 0.63 0.72 0.80 0.88 0.95 0.98 0.96 1.02 1.016
Inventory Turnover 40.46 42.66 36.30 39.03 39.62 39.59 36.19 40.53 36.46 33.18 27.27 25.58 32.12 36.63 39.80 45.21 45.51 45.68 42.13 46.79 46.789
Receivables Turnover 44.46 42.54 22.01 35.96 34.59 32.97 21.65 43.81 27.76 21.65 11.55 20.57 24.78 24.32 13.02 21.70 19.36 18.49 11.68 18.62 18.622
Payables Turnover 38.03 45.84 31.41 39.82 38.95 43.36 28.68 40.97 38.43 36.05 25.51 28.83 31.93 40.00 39.04 51.78 40.85 50.77 36.50 51.45 51.449
DSO 8 9 17 10 11 11 17 8 13 17 32 18 15 15 28 17 19 20 31 20 19.6 days
DIO 9 9 10 9 9 9 10 9 10 11 13 14 11 10 9 8 8 8 9 8 7.8 days
DPO 10 8 12 9 9 8 13 9 9 10 14 13 11 9 9 7 9 7 10 7 7.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 8 9 15 10 10 12 14 8 14 18 31 19 15 16 28 18 18 21 30 20 20.3 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.475
Operating Cycle snapshot only 27.4 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 32.286
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.971
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Revenue 9.7% 12.8% 9.0% 7.0% 4.8% 2.4% 3.5% 0.3% -17.8% -27.1% -40.7% -43.9% -9.6% 13.2% 54.5% 82.4% 43.3% 30.2% 17.9% 10.4% 10.39%
Net Income 9.0% 22.3% 38.3% 28.1% 20.8% 17.1% 1.3% -41.6% -1.1% -1.3% -1.6% -1.5% 8.3% 3.4% 2.7% 4.5% 1.3% 33.9% -8.6% -9.2% -9.21%
EPS 12.2% 24.4% 40.6% 30.2% 23.5% 21.7% 5.6% -38.3% -1.1% -1.2% -1.5% -1.4% 7.3% 3.4% 2.7% 4.6% 1.4% 38.5% -5.4% -5.2% -5.16%
FCF -2.8% 7.6% -2.2% -1.6% 1.7% -8.8% -11.1% -11.2% -58.0% -32.9% -77.1% -31.8% 2.3% 97.1% 5.5% 65.0% -59.7% -62.2% -67.2% -17.5% -17.48%
EBITDA 7.7% 17.4% 7.6% 29.4% 42.4% 43.7% 46.7% -20.5% -78.7% -96.3% -1.4% -1.3% 81.8% 15.1% 3.2% 6.2% 1.4% 40.4% -8.6% -6.6% -6.65%
Op. Income -3.0% 6.6% 10.7% 11.3% 10.8% 8.0% 1.5% -39.5% -1.1% -1.3% -1.5% -1.4% 7.7% 3.8% 2.7% 5.1% 89.4% 20.3% 6.6% 6.5% 6.48%
OCF Growth snapshot only 11.74%
Asset Growth snapshot only -2.59%
Equity Growth snapshot only -2.04%
Debt Growth snapshot only -8.92%
Shares Change snapshot only -4.27%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 3.97%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Revenue 3Y 4.8% 6.9% 6.6% 6.4% 6.3% 6.3% 6.6% 5.4% -1.9% -5.6% -12.5% -15.5% -8.0% -5.5% -1.7% 0.9% 2.1% 2.4% 2.6% 4.2% 4.18%
Revenue 5Y 1.3% 1.7% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2.2% 3.0% 3.2% -0.2% -1.8% -5.7% -7.5% -2.2% -0.2% 2.1% 3.7% 4.1% 4.4% 4.0% 3.9% 3.94%
EPS 3Y 28.3% 13.1% 16.1% 15.2% 15.3% 14.6% 14.4% -4.2% — — — — -23.4% -10.3% -3.6% -2.9% -4.4% -6.4% -7.1% 12.1% 12.11%
EPS 5Y 15.3% 14.3% 17.2% 16.2% 16.9% 32.2% 25.5% 10.7% — — — — -11.0% -2.3% 4.9% 5.5% 3.9% 4.4% 3.6% 2.5% 2.51%
Net Income 3Y 22.8% 8.5% 11.6% 11.4% 11.9% 11.5% 11.5% -7.3% — — — — -20.0% -6.3% 0.5% 1.3% -0.2% -2.0% -2.9% 17.3% 17.34%
Net Income 5Y 11.7% 10.6% 13.1% 12.1% 12.8% 27.5% 20.7% 6.3% — — — — -9.9% -0.6% 6.8% 7.2% 5.6% 6.1% 5.1% 3.9% 3.86%
EBITDA 3Y 19.5% 7.9% 6.8% 13.9% 18.7% 19.7% 19.0% 3.6% -31.1% -60.3% — — -18.0% -5.1% 12.4% 5.4% -2.6% -5.8% -4.0% 11.2% 11.20%
EBITDA 5Y 12.8% 12.9% 7.0% 11.3% 14.0% 24.6% 23.2% 12.1% -12.4% -41.8% — — -8.4% 0.4% 10.3% 10.4% 7.2% 7.1% 6.9% 7.2% 7.18%
Gross Profit 3Y 7.8% 8.9% 8.2% 7.7% 7.7% 6.9% 5.9% 1.8% -11.0% -14.6% -22.8% -21.1% -6.7% -4.5% -1.3% 0.1% 1.4% 1.7% 2.0% 5.8% 5.75%
Gross Profit 5Y 5.1% 5.7% 6.6% 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 6.5% 4.2% -3.9% -6.9% -12.2% -11.1% -1.0% 1.0% 2.7% 3.3% 3.6% 4.2% 3.3% 3.2% 3.20%
Op. Income 3Y 19.3% 3.8% 4.9% 5.0% 5.7% 5.1% 3.3% -12.7% — — — — -15.9% -4.8% -1.3% -0.9% 0.6% -1.4% 0.3% 19.6% 19.65%
Op. Income 5Y 8.4% 7.3% 8.4% 8.1% 8.5% 24.0% 16.8% 3.5% — — — — -8.7% -1.5% 0.9% 1.4% 1.8% 2.0% 2.6% 2.9% 2.88%
FCF 3Y 5.4% 3.6% 10.6% 5.6% 15.9% 10.9% 11.1% -0.7% -25.4% -13.0% -41.6% -15.9% 12.2% 6.4% 10.0% -0.0% -17.6% -20.6% -21.1% -2.4% -2.44%
FCF 5Y 5.2% 4.3% 7.4% 6.0% 6.0% 9.1% 9.7% 3.3% -12.9% -7.4% -22.7% -6.5% 16.7% 12.5% 15.5% 2.0% -11.1% -13.3% -15.7% -4.1% -4.09%
OCF 3Y 6.1% 7.5% 12.8% 8.9% 11.0% 8.1% 9.0% 0.9% -11.1% -8.5% -33.6% -19.5% -0.6% -5.3% 1.3% -1.3% -4.1% -1.2% -2.7% 5.9% 5.94%
OCF 5Y 7.8% 8.5% 10.4% 9.2% 8.7% 10.2% 11.0% 5.9% -3.2% -4.4% -18.1% -10.7% 4.0% 3.1% 7.7% 1.8% -0.8% 1.2% -0.4% 5.0% 5.03%
Assets 3Y 7.1% 8.4% 8.6% 29.3% 32.0% 34.8% 33.8% 39.6% 42.3% 42.0% 30.9% 32.8% 29.2% 27.9% 28.2% 7.9% 5.1% 2.3% 1.6% -2.2% -2.18%
Assets 5Y 1.0% 1.4% 2.2% 13.4% 15.2% 17.2% 17.9% 23.0% 24.5% 24.0% 22.3% 23.4% 21.2% 21.1% 20.9% 21.2% 21.2% 21.2% 16.6% 16.7% 16.69%
Equity 3Y -6.1% -4.1% -2.7% 1.2% 6.6% 4.8% 6.0% -5.5% 7.5% 9.2% 10.6% 9.9% 13.8% 14.2% 14.5% 13.1% 12.8% 16.7% 12.0% 23.5% 23.53%
Book Value 3Y -1.9% -0.1% 1.2% 4.7% 9.9% 7.7% 8.8% -2.3% 9.1% 5.5% 6.3% 5.3% 8.9% 9.4% 9.8% 8.4% 8.0% 11.5% 7.2% 18.0% 18.02%
Dividend 3Y 11.5% 10.8% 10.2% 9.4% 8.8% 8.1% 7.5% 7.9% -4.8% -21.0% -36.8% — — — — — — — — 60.6% 60.64%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Revenue Stability 0.12 0.15 0.32 0.37 0.43 0.44 0.68 0.83 0.09 0.01 0.04 0.09 0.11 0.06 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.05 0.06 0.063
Earnings Stability 0.80 0.66 0.74 0.79 0.87 0.84 0.85 0.21 0.05 0.20 0.24 0.39 0.28 0.12 0.05 0.05 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Margin Stability 0.92 0.93 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.93 0.88 0.88 0.85 0.91 0.88 0.87 0.85 0.90 0.88 0.87 0.85 0.92 0.917
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.96 0.91 0.85 0.89 0.92 0.93 0.99 0.83 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.91 0.80 0.68 0.75 0.81 0.84 0.99 0.47 — — — — — — — — 0.19 0.71 0.91 0.90 0.903
ROE Trend 0.03 0.02 0.08 0.06 0.05 0.10 0.03 -0.07 -0.43 -0.57 -0.69 -0.48 -0.06 0.04 0.21 0.19 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.18 0.184
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.07 -0.07 -0.09 -0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.015
FCF Margin Trend 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.05 -0.01 -0.06 0.01 0.11 0.06 0.08 -0.00 -0.06 -0.07 -0.05 -0.03 -0.028
Sustainable Growth Rate 25.3% 27.6% 33.2% 29.9% 29.1% 31.3% 28.9% 9.8% — — — — 14.9% 25.2% 34.8% 30.5% 24.2% 19.5% 15.2% 14.2% 14.19%
Internal Growth Rate 11.4% 12.1% 12.8% 9.5% 8.7% 8.4% 7.6% 1.8% — — — — 3.4% 6.0% 8.5% 8.1% 6.9% 5.5% 4.0% 4.1% 4.10%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.91 2.04 1.88 1.78 1.75 1.61 1.73 2.75 -19.35 -3.89 -0.79 -2.65 3.67 2.11 1.93 1.65 1.55 1.65 1.74 2.03 2.026
FCF/OCF 0.64 0.59 0.59 0.57 0.59 0.58 0.57 0.56 0.39 0.56 0.47 0.78 0.92 0.84 0.76 0.59 0.38 0.30 0.30 0.44 0.436
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.884
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.855
CapEx/Revenue 5.4% 6.7% 7.1% 7.1% 6.5% 6.2% 6.8% 6.5% 7.7% 6.2% 3.8% 2.7% 1.5% 2.6% 4.6% 6.3% 8.3% 9.3% 9.3% 8.7% 8.74%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.907
Accruals Ratio -0.15 -0.17 -0.15 -0.10 -0.09 -0.07 -0.08 -0.09 -0.10 -0.12 -0.09 -0.08 -0.09 -0.06 -0.07 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.08 -0.080
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.165
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.239
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Dividend Yield 1.6% 1.5% 2.1% 2.0% 2.3% 2.7% 2.6% 8.3% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 1.5% 2.5% 3.6% 3.7% 2.70%
Dividend/Share $0.41 $0.43 $0.45 $0.47 $0.49 $0.52 $0.54 $0.57 $0.40 $0.24 $0.13 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.12 $0.26 $0.41 $0.56 $0.60 $0.58
Payout Ratio 36.1% 35.7% 32.5% 33.6% 35.1% 35.4% 36.9% 65.5% — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 21.2% 34.1% 47.4% 49.4% 49.38%
FCF Payout Ratio 29.4% 29.6% 29.2% 33.3% 34.0% 37.7% 37.7% 42.6% 66.8% 30.7% 46.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 9.7% 36.4% 68.0% 90.3% 55.9% 55.85%
Total Payout Ratio 80.9% 61.4% 62.7% 65.0% 82.5% 1.1% 98.1% 2.2% — — — — 0.0% 12.8% 39.2% 47.5% 61.2% 79.3% 99.2% 1.0% 1.00%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 — — — — 0 0 0 0 1 0
Chowder Number 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.18 0.22 -0.12 -0.43 -0.71 — — — — — — — — 3.79 3.791
Buyback Yield 2.0% 1.0% 2.0% 1.8% 3.1% 6.0% 4.3% 20.0% 14.1% 5.1% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 2.5% 2.3% 2.8% 3.4% 4.0% 3.8% 3.83%
Net Buyback Yield 0.8% 0.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.9% -3.8% -4.7% -48.6% -41.1% -18.3% -21.3% -5.8% -6.3% -6.4% 2.5% 2.3% 2.8% 3.4% 4.0% 3.8% 3.83%
Total Shareholder Return 2.4% 2.4% 4.1% 2.8% 3.2% -1.0% -2.1% -40.2% -35.8% -16.0% -20.5% -5.8% -6.3% -6.4% 2.5% 2.9% 4.3% 5.9% 7.6% 7.6% 7.57%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.75 0.77 0.84 0.83 0.83 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.33 0.65 0.76 0.70 0.77 0.79 0.91 0.90 0.91 0.92 0.85 0.85 0.848
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.40 0.41 0.62 0.62 0.63 0.62 0.62 0.64 3.48 1.01 0.50 0.44 1.40 0.95 0.59 0.60 0.58 0.59 0.59 0.58 0.584
EBIT Margin 0.26 0.26 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.10 -0.01 -0.06 -0.24 -0.16 0.05 0.10 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.155
Asset Turnover 2.02 2.08 1.82 1.42 1.35 1.30 1.25 0.97 0.74 0.66 0.53 0.48 0.63 0.72 0.80 0.88 0.95 0.98 0.96 1.02 1.016
Equity Multiplier 2.47 2.55 2.93 3.45 3.63 4.04 4.08 5.48 4.90 5.35 5.16 5.67 4.52 4.43 4.45 4.09 3.77 3.71 3.95 3.60 3.602
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.14 $1.20 $1.39 $1.40 $1.40 $1.46 $1.46 $0.87 $-0.08 $-0.36 $-0.74 $-0.36 $0.51 $0.86 $1.24 $1.29 $1.22 $1.20 $1.17 $1.22 $1.22
Book Value/Share $2.89 $2.94 $3.00 $3.30 $3.30 $2.97 $3.26 $2.62 $3.59 $3.05 $3.12 $3.36 $3.73 $3.85 $3.97 $4.21 $4.15 $4.11 $4.02 $4.30 $3.99
Tangible Book/Share $0.01 $0.08 $0.13 $0.46 $0.46 $-0.47 $-0.20 $-0.77 $0.41 $0.29 $0.39 $0.66 $1.05 $1.15 $1.25 $1.49 $1.44 $1.38 $1.27 $1.53 $1.53
Revenue/Share $14.34 $14.80 $15.04 $15.23 $15.35 $15.76 $16.23 $16.15 $12.52 $9.80 $8.07 $7.41 $9.78 $10.98 $12.59 $13.81 $14.34 $14.77 $15.38 $15.93 $15.24
FCF/Share $1.40 $1.45 $1.54 $1.42 $1.45 $1.37 $1.43 $1.33 $0.60 $0.79 $0.28 $0.74 $1.73 $1.53 $1.81 $1.25 $0.71 $0.60 $0.62 $1.08 $0.61
OCF/Share $2.17 $2.44 $2.60 $2.50 $2.45 $2.35 $2.53 $2.38 $1.57 $1.39 $0.58 $0.95 $1.87 $1.82 $2.39 $2.12 $1.90 $1.97 $2.04 $2.47 $2.02
Cash/Share $0.10 $0.16 $0.17 $0.10 $0.11 $0.11 $0.19 $2.50 $3.21 $3.01 $2.77 $3.25 $2.52 $2.42 $2.70 $1.97 $1.32 $0.62 $0.70 $0.49 $0.69
EBITDA/Share $2.22 $2.32 $2.33 $2.87 $3.23 $3.47 $3.57 $2.41 $0.68 $0.11 $-1.31 $-0.56 $1.07 $1.74 $2.92 $2.96 $2.62 $2.53 $2.76 $2.89 $2.89
Debt/Share $1.65 $1.78 $1.36 $7.75 $8.95 $10.55 $10.46 $13.63 $12.63 $10.59 $10.04 $9.87 $8.08 $8.04 $8.21 $8.15 $8.06 $8.03 $8.07 $7.75 $7.75
Net Debt/Share $1.55 $1.62 $1.20 $7.65 $8.84 $10.44 $10.27 $11.12 $9.42 $7.58 $7.27 $6.62 $5.55 $5.62 $5.50 $6.18 $6.73 $7.41 $7.37 $7.26 $7.26
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.521
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 2.321
Piotroski F-Score 6 7 8 4 4 4 4 5 3 3 4 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.84 -3.03 -3.28 -2.95 -2.43 -2.29 -2.51 -2.91 -3.29 -2.93 -2.67 -1.98 -1.72 -2.54 -2.17 -2.16 -1.78 -1.77 -2.58 -2.75 -2.752
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.336
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 28.11%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-9.42
EVA snapshot only $8234483.09
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB+
Credit Score 94.27 94.27 94.96 65.83 60.59 54.43 57.04 50.39 20.72 22.68 30.66 37.93 49.81 55.87 66.97 67.54 62.07 58.31 61.03 64.78 64.780
Credit Grade snapshot only 8
Credit Trend snapshot only -2.764
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 225.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 67
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 55

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