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SFHG NASDAQ

Samfine Creation Holdings Group Limited
1W: -11.0% 1M: -7.9% 3M: -17.0% YTD: -88.6% 1Y: +200.0%
$2.10
-0.06 (-2.78%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±9.9%
$2 $2 $2 $2 $3
NASDAQ · Industrials · Specialty Business Services · Tech Score Sell · Power 29 · $1.7M mcap · 181764 float · 7.14% daily turnover · Short 22% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
36.6 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: -3.2%
Cost Advantage
30
Intangibles
28
Switching Cost
59
Network Effect
19
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. SFHG has No discernible competitive edge (36.6/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. Negative ROIC of -3.2% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

D+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. SFHG receives an overall rating of D+. Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-06-03 C- D+
2026-05-18 D+ C-
2026-03-31 C- D+
2026-03-10 D+ C-
2026-02-27 C- D+
2026-02-18 D+ C-
2026-01-03 C- D+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade D
Profitability
7
Balance Sheet
38
Earnings Quality
39
Growth
—
Value
—
Momentum
—
Safety
—
Cash Flow
30

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
—
—
Ohlson O-Score
-1.64
Bankruptcy prob: 16.2%
Moderate
Credit Rating
B+
Score: 34.2/100
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 0.32x
Accruals: -39.5%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. SFHG scores 2/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. SFHG's implied 16.2% bankruptcy probability is elevated and warrants attention to the balance sheet. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. SFHG receives an estimated rating of B+ (score: 34.2/100).

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-1.24x
PEG
-0.01x
P/S
0.08x
P/B
1.29x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. SFHG currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.166
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.098
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.094
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
4.842
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.327
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-193.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. SFHG's ROE of -193.3% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.33x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.17 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 493 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$2.10
Median 1Y
$0.01
5th Pctile
$0.00
95th Pctile
$1.75
Ann. Volatility
316.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
226
+4.6% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$96,368
Rev: $21,779,144
Profit / Employee
$-11,247
NI: $-2,541,729
SGA / Employee
$31,906
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Current
ROE -0.6% -2.1% -1.9% -1.93%
ROA -0.3% -0.9% -58.1% -58.12%
ROIC -0.6% -3.2% -99.0% -99.02%
ROCE -0.4% -1.9% -94.1% -94.06%
Gross Margin 25.6% 19.2% 22.0% 21.98%
Operating Margin -3.9% -15.9% -9.8% -9.75%
Net Margin -4.9% -10.3% -13.0% -12.96%
EBITDA Margin -0.9% -9.9% -7.9% -7.94%
FCF Margin -25.3% -31.0% -1.5% -1.52%
OCF Margin -32.5% -30.0% -3.9% -3.85%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -68.30%
Cash ROA snapshot only -18.65%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -48.97%
CROIC snapshot only -19.32%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -7.79%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -10.29%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 31.87%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Current
P/E Ratio -54.01 -9.90 — -1.239
P/S Ratio 2.63 0.77 — 0.079
P/B Ratio 0.34 0.21 — 1.291
P/FCF -10.41 -2.48 — —
P/OCF — — — —
EV/EBITDA -25.48 6.06 — —
EV/Revenue 0.23 -0.35 — —
EV/EBIT -7.55 4.49 — —
EV/FCF -0.92 1.12 — —
Earnings Yield -1.9% -10.1% — —
FCF Yield -9.6% -40.3% — —
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Current
Current Ratio 1.41 1.41 1.14 1.145
Quick Ratio 1.27 1.27 1.00 1.001
Debt/Equity 0.33 0.33 1.16 1.158
Net Debt/Equity -0.31 -0.31 0.27 0.267
Debt/Assets 0.15 0.15 0.35 0.348
Debt/EBITDA -286.45 -21.31 -0.95 -0.954
Net Debt/EBITDA 261.69 19.47 -0.22 -0.220
Interest Coverage -3.87 -11.72 -10.22 -10.222
Equity Multiplier 2.27 2.27 3.33 3.327
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.518
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -8.219
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.770
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.211
Defensive Interval snapshot only 103.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Current
Asset Turnover 0.06 0.12 4.84 4.842
Inventory Turnover 0.58 1.31 50.65 50.647
Receivables Turnover 0.39 0.83 28.52 28.523
Payables Turnover 0.13 0.28 12.06 12.060
DSO 943 439 13 12.8 days
DIO 627 279 7 7.2 days
DPO 2902 1293 30 30.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -1332 -574 -10 -10.3 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 14.712
Operating Cycle snapshot only 20.0 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 18.064
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.207
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Current
Revenue Stability — — — —
Earnings Stability — — — —
Margin Stability — — — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence — — — —
Earnings Smoothness — — — —
ROE Trend — — — —
Gross Margin Trend — — — —
FCF Margin Trend — — — —
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Current
OCF/Net Income 6.67 3.86 0.32 0.321
FCF/OCF 0.78 1.03 0.39 0.394
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.127
CapEx/Revenue 7.2% 1.0% 2.3% 2.33%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.269
Accruals Ratio 0.02 0.03 -0.39 -0.395
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.116
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -1.651
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% — 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — — —
Total Payout Ratio — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — —
Chowder Number — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% — —
Net Buyback Yield -33.9% -54.1% — —
Total Shareholder Return -33.9% -54.1% — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.25 0.92 1.17 1.166
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.26 1.09 1.10 1.098
EBIT Margin -0.03 -0.08 -0.09 -0.094
Asset Turnover 0.06 0.12 4.84 4.842
Equity Multiplier 2.27 2.27 3.33 3.327
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.02 $-0.08 $-3.17 $-3.17
Book Value/Share $3.61 $3.56 $1.64 $12.76
Tangible Book/Share $3.58 $3.53 $1.62 $1.62
Revenue/Share $0.46 $0.97 $26.41 $41.92
FCF/Share $-0.12 $-0.30 $-0.40 $-6.23
OCF/Share $-0.15 $-0.29 $-1.02 $-5.23
Cash/Share $2.31 $2.28 $1.46 $11.38
EBITDA/Share $-0.00 $-0.06 $-1.99 $-1.99
Debt/Share $1.21 $1.19 $1.90 $1.90
Net Debt/Share $-1.10 $-1.09 $0.44 $0.44
Per Employee
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Current
Employee Count snapshot only 226
Revenue/Employee snapshot only $474385.88
Income/Employee snapshot only $-56936.08
EBITDA/Employee snapshot only $-35755.08
FCF/Employee snapshot only $-7205.30
Assets/Employee snapshot only $97965.77
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 1 1 2 2
Beneish M-Score — — — —
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -1.641
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -1.12%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-0.58
EVA snapshot only $-9190745.54
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B+
Credit Score 28.29 27.52 34.23 34.229
Credit Grade snapshot only 14
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 650.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 19
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 22

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms