— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 4507.T (JPX) · $vol 48M · SGIOF (OTC) · $vol 0M

SGIOY OTC

Shionogi & Co., Ltd.
1W: -2.5% 1M: -6.1% 3M: -1.9% YTD: -2.4% 1Y: +1.5% 3Y: +22.9% 5Y: -14.0%
$8.80
-0.12 (-1.35%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.2%
$8 $8 $9 $9 $10
OTC · Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · Tech Score Sell · Power 36 · $15.0B mcap · 851M float · 0.019% daily turnover · Short 39% of daily vol

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
4
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. SGIOY receives an overall rating of A. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROE (4/5), ROA (5/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-08-05 A- A
2026-05-18 A A-
2026-05-14 A+ A
2026-04-28 A A+
2026-03-30 A+ A
2026-03-06 A A+
2026-03-02 A+ A
2026-02-24 A A+
2026-01-22 A+ A
2026-01-22 A A+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade A+
Profitability
83
Balance Sheet
88
Earnings Quality
68
Growth
65
Value
—
Momentum
84
Safety
—
Cash Flow
86

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.15
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-14.70
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA-
Score: 82.8/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.02x
Accruals: -0.3%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. SGIOY scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. SGIOY's score of -2.15 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. SGIOY's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. SGIOY receives an estimated rating of AA- (score: 82.8/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). SGIOY's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
9.00x
PEG
0.19x
P/S
4.21x
P/B
1.34x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$1513.67
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 9.0x earnings, SGIOY trades at a deep value multiple. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $1513.67 per share, suggesting a potential 17101% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.825
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.022
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.496
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.287
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.135
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
13.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. SGIOY's ROE of 13.6% is driven by EBIT Margin (0.496) as the dominant factor.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$4407.30
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with SGIOY's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. SGIOY actually compounded EPS at 51.7% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. SGIOY trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $4407.30, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 9.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$8.80
Median 1Y
$8.56
5th Pctile
$5.21
95th Pctile
$14.03
Ann. Volatility
30.6%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
ROE 15.7% 14.3% 15.0% 13.5% 11.2% 12.5% 12.4% 12.5% 20.6% 17.8% 17.6% 19.7% 13.7% 13.9% 12.3% 12.0% 12.0% 12.0% 12.6% 13.6% 13.63%
ROA 14.1% 12.3% 13.1% 11.8% 9.8% 10.6% 10.6% 10.7% 17.5% 15.0% 15.0% 16.8% 11.8% 11.9% 10.7% 10.4% 10.6% 10.6% 11.1% 12.0% 12.01%
ROIC 22.9% 21.8% 15.1% 14.9% 10.7% 19.4% 10.4% 9.4% 18.4% 24.6% 17.8% 20.2% 19.2% 20.5% 12.6% 11.5% 11.3% 10.4% 10.7% 9.9% 9.87%
ROCE 18.6% 16.3% 14.9% 13.6% 10.7% 12.4% 13.5% 13.6% 22.6% 19.6% 19.8% 21.8% 14.8% 15.3% 12.6% 11.3% 11.8% 11.5% 12.8% 14.7% 14.70%
Gross Margin 82.8% 77.2% 80.9% 79.7% 81.6% 85.7% 80.6% 80.5% 90.3% 79.0% 87.2% 87.1% 85.5% 83.4% 85.2% 86.7% 82.1% 87.7% 84.6% 82.6% 82.63%
Operating Margin 61.7% 20.9% 28.4% 32.5% 25.0% 42.4% 18.0% 16.8% 63.6% 17.1% 43.1% 48.7% 38.2% 24.4% 28.8% 44.6% 26.8% 35.2% 35.9% 38.4% 38.39%
Net Margin 48.3% 35.4% 46.7% 27.4% 24.0% 37.4% 48.3% 28.6% 53.6% 30.8% 38.9% 39.6% 34.5% 35.4% 31.4% 42.4% 35.0% 39.4% 39.0% 50.6% 50.56%
EBITDA Margin 70.7% 40.8% 33.8% 42.1% 38.4% 46.1% 62.1% 22.3% 72.4% 33.3% 47.1% 54.9% 42.5% 42.1% 33.8% 49.1% 50.4% 40.2% 52.2% 68.1% 68.06%
FCF Margin 29.8% 25.6% 28.3% 28.0% 29.8% 21.0% 21.3% 15.2% 21.4% 33.0% 31.4% 29.1% 24.6% 29.0% 31.1% 38.4% 52.0% 41.4% 43.9% 39.4% 39.39%
OCF Margin 34.8% 36.7% 39.0% 39.8% 43.5% 30.5% 35.5% 30.9% 31.2% 41.7% 36.8% 32.6% 30.2% 35.5% 36.9% 43.4% 56.5% 45.3% 47.6% 42.8% 42.85%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 14.09%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 13.42%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 12.28%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 12.91%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 8.55%
Cash ROA snapshot only 11.54%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 14.89%
CROIC snapshot only 13.69%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 28.41%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 50.75%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 23.95%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 25.26%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 8.998
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 4.210
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.338
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.191
Graham Number snapshot only $1513.67
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Current Ratio 7.52 5.55 6.48 6.48 6.21 5.30 5.27 5.35 5.16 4.95 5.59 5.47 6.57 5.86 6.22 7.64 6.63 6.63 6.44 5.84 5.843
Quick Ratio 6.95 5.17 6.01 6.03 5.77 4.93 4.87 4.91 4.75 4.58 5.14 5.03 6.01 5.37 5.69 7.01 6.13 6.02 5.74 5.21 5.211
Debt/Equity 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.027
Net Debt/Equity -0.46 -0.48 -0.23 -0.26 -0.22 -0.47 -0.20 -0.19 -0.20 -0.50 -0.24 -0.20 -0.42 -0.46 -0.21 -0.21 -0.26 -0.17 -0.15 -0.12 -0.116
Debt/Assets 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.024
Debt/EBITDA 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.16 0.161
Net Debt/EBITDA -2.18 -2.54 -1.34 -1.65 -1.71 -3.34 -1.25 -1.33 -0.84 -2.43 -1.19 -0.86 -2.58 -2.75 -1.47 -1.58 -1.90 -1.26 -1.00 -0.69 -0.693
Interest Coverage 42.86 117.16 153.51 254.20 154.91 151.32 184.68 96.42 142.80 42.95 39.13 36.32 18.55 21.81 15.40 16.86 18.47 19.10 25.06 27.38 27.385
Equity Multiplier 1.13 1.18 1.16 1.16 1.16 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.20 1.19 1.17 1.17 1.14 1.15 1.14 1.13 1.13 1.12 1.13 1.14 1.141
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.377
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 29.923
Cash to Debt snapshot only 5.299
FCF to Debt snapshot only 4.505
Defensive Interval snapshot only 646.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.36 0.32 0.32 0.30 0.29 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.39 0.35 0.36 0.39 0.32 0.32 0.30 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.287
Inventory Turnover 1.25 1.46 1.35 1.47 1.43 1.40 1.29 1.24 1.27 1.27 1.15 1.10 1.03 1.00 0.97 0.94 1.01 0.90 0.81 0.89 0.888
Receivables Turnover 4.64 3.80 3.93 3.71 3.56 3.34 3.90 3.81 3.71 3.67 4.35 4.01 2.67 3.74 3.55 2.84 3.06 3.55 3.24 2.76 2.762
Payables Turnover 5.16 5.08 5.15 5.92 5.49 4.48 4.68 4.24 4.58 4.34 4.28 4.07 4.31 4.26 8.04 4.46 4.98 4.45 5.78 4.35 4.350
DSO 79 96 93 98 102 109 93 96 98 100 84 91 137 98 103 129 119 103 113 132 132.2 days
DIO 291 250 271 249 256 260 284 295 286 287 317 331 353 366 378 388 362 404 448 411 410.8 days
DPO 71 72 71 62 67 81 78 86 80 84 85 90 85 86 45 82 73 82 63 84 83.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 299 274 293 285 292 288 299 305 305 303 315 333 405 377 436 435 408 425 498 459 459.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.898
Operating Cycle snapshot only 543.0 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 2.158
Capital Intensity snapshot only 3.713
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue -13.9% -11.2% -9.4% -8.0% -3.9% 12.8% 14.7% 16.0% 55.2% 27.3% 37.3% 48.6% -6.3% 2.0% -8.8% -16.7% -1.2% -3.1% 3.3% 10.3% 10.34%
Net Income -9.3% -8.6% -0.3% -6.4% -19.6% -0.6% -4.8% 2.3% 1.1% 62.0% 65.3% 84.5% -23.1% -12.4% -22.1% -30.0% -1.1% -2.9% 13.8% 27.6% 27.57%
EPS -9.3% -8.7% 0.5% -3.7% -17.7% 1.7% -4.8% 2.6% 1.1% 66.0% 69.3% 89.5% -21.3% -9.5% -19.2% 44.5% 1.0% 95.0% 1.3% 27.5% 27.54%
FCF -16.7% -36.7% -18.8% -20.7% -3.8% -7.3% -13.4% -36.9% 11.6% 99.5% 1.0% 1.8% 7.6% -10.4% -9.8% 10.1% 1.1% 38.6% 45.9% 13.2% 13.18%
EBITDA -6.3% -11.3% -17.2% -23.2% -35.9% -15.1% 7.2% 3.9% 1.2% 65.8% 47.8% 96.7% -23.3% -10.0% -20.6% -37.1% -3.5% -9.8% 13.1% 41.5% 41.50%
Op. Income -7.6% -12.8% -17.5% -20.1% -42.8% -7.1% -5.5% -11.9% 1.5% 43.6% 85.1% 1.6% -16.7% 6.4% -22.1% -39.3% -17.6% -15.3% 3.6% 9.9% 9.94%
OCF Growth snapshot only 8.93%
Asset Growth snapshot only 13.94%
Equity Growth snapshot only 12.53%
Debt Growth snapshot only 76.47%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.02%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -20.16%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -4.2% -4.8% -6.3% -4.8% -5.5% -2.7% -1.7% -1.7% 8.7% 8.4% 12.6% 16.6% 11.8% 13.5% 12.8% 12.8% 12.8% 8.0% 9.0% 10.9% 10.94%
Revenue 5Y 28.3% 11.6% 3.8% -2.1% -3.0% -0.2% -0.2% -0.9% 5.6% 4.4% 5.3% 8.3% 4.2% 3.6% 3.5% 3.3% 3.5% 4.7% 6.1% 7.8% 7.82%
EPS 3Y 9.0% 2.4% 1.3% 1.2% -6.5% -3.9% -2.0% -1.7% 16.5% 15.5% 17.4% 23.3% 11.1% 15.2% 9.2% 41.1% 49.7% 43.1% 46.0% 51.7% 51.71%
EPS 5Y 44.3% 21.8% 18.4% 10.3% 2.5% 7.5% 7.5% 4.0% 17.7% 12.7% 10.9% 15.0% 6.4% 5.9% 5.2% 21.0% 20.2% 22.2% 24.4% 28.1% 28.11%
Net Income 3Y 7.8% 1.8% -0.6% -0.2% -7.8% -4.9% -3.0% -2.9% 14.8% 13.8% 16.2% 20.9% 8.7% 12.2% 7.0% 9.7% 16.4% 11.3% 13.6% 18.1% 18.09%
Net Income 5Y 42.8% 20.4% 16.2% 8.6% 0.9% 6.4% 6.0% 2.8% 15.9% 11.2% 9.1% 13.4% 4.6% 4.1% 3.2% 3.4% 2.9% 4.6% 6.8% 9.5% 9.54%
EBITDA 3Y 11.1% 5.4% -0.4% 0.2% -7.7% -5.7% -2.7% -6.9% 9.9% 7.7% 9.5% 16.2% 2.8% 8.2% 8.0% 8.7% 17.8% 10.4% 9.9% 20.5% 20.54%
EBITDA 5Y 38.0% 19.0% 10.5% 3.0% -3.1% 1.8% 5.0% 0.8% 14.2% 10.5% 9.4% 15.5% 5.9% 4.6% 1.6% -0.0% -0.4% 0.3% 3.4% 6.9% 6.91%
Gross Profit 3Y -2.3% -3.3% -6.3% -5.8% -6.9% -3.6% -2.5% -2.3% 9.4% 9.1% 13.8% 18.0% 12.7% 15.2% 14.5% 15.2% 15.0% 9.3% 10.2% 11.6% 11.63%
Gross Profit 5Y 29.7% 12.9% 5.2% -1.2% -2.2% 1.1% 1.2% 0.3% 7.6% 5.9% 6.4% 9.3% 4.6% 3.9% 3.8% 3.6% 3.5% 5.3% 6.7% 7.9% 7.88%
Op. Income 3Y 7.3% 1.5% -4.3% -3.1% -13.9% -6.9% -9.6% -13.4% 9.6% 5.2% 13.0% 21.8% 5.9% 12.4% 10.9% 11.1% 19.6% 9.0% 14.3% 19.6% 19.64%
Op. Income 5Y 34.1% 15.9% 8.1% 0.9% -7.2% 0.7% -0.2% -4.8% 11.9% 6.9% 8.9% 15.6% 5.7% 4.3% 1.3% 0.2% -2.0% 0.9% 3.1% 3.8% 3.82%
FCF 3Y 0.7% -7.0% -6.1% -8.3% -8.3% -16.1% -15.5% -24.1% -3.7% 5.4% 12.4% 12.3% 4.9% 18.3% 16.4% 25.3% 35.9% 35.3% 38.5% 52.2% 52.23%
FCF 5Y 62.3% 20.6% 10.0% 2.3% -0.0% -4.2% -3.9% -10.1% 1.9% 8.2% 7.7% 6.6% -1.5% 1.1% 1.9% 6.4% 15.0% 7.8% 13.3% 12.0% 12.03%
OCF 3Y -1.8% -2.1% -1.6% -2.2% -0.7% -9.7% -4.6% -8.2% 4.0% 10.5% 14.4% 12.4% 6.7% 12.3% 10.8% 16.1% 23.1% 23.3% 20.1% 23.7% 23.66%
OCF 5Y 56.2% 24.1% 13.0% 5.8% 4.4% -0.5% 2.3% -0.8% 4.8% 8.9% 7.2% 5.7% -0.2% 2.2% 2.5% 6.1% 13.5% 7.7% 12.7% 11.4% 11.38%
Assets 3Y 10.3% 12.0% 10.6% 11.1% 13.1% 7.0% 16.8% 15.4% 18.1% 14.5% 16.4% 14.8% 12.9% 12.4% 13.1% 14.1% 13.9% 10.2% 10.4% 13.1% 13.05%
Assets 5Y 8.4% 9.3% 10.6% 10.4% 10.0% 11.4% 12.8% 11.4% 12.4% 13.0% 13.0% 13.6% 13.6% 8.6% 13.9% 14.3% 14.9% 12.0% 13.3% 13.2% 13.17%
Equity 3Y 12.6% 12.1% 11.5% 10.9% 12.5% 6.5% 15.0% 13.6% 15.2% 12.9% 15.1% 13.1% 12.4% 13.4% 13.8% 15.2% 15.0% 12.2% 12.2% 14.5% 14.47%
Book Value 3Y 13.8% 12.8% 13.6% 12.5% 14.0% 7.6% 16.2% 15.0% 16.9% 14.6% 16.3% 15.3% 14.9% 16.5% 16.2% 48.1% 47.9% 44.3% 44.3% 47.0% 47.05%
Dividend 3Y -4.0% 2.1% 3.3% 2.8% 2.0% 1.7% 2.8% 2.9% 4.4% 4.5% 6.3% 7.3% 9.5% 10.3% 7.0% 54.9% 32.7% 53.6% 33.8% 19.2% 19.19%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.54 0.39 0.14 0.21 0.52 0.19 0.19 0.31 0.11 0.21 0.20 0.33 0.34 0.38 0.38 0.33 0.36 0.70 0.64 0.57 0.571
Earnings Stability 0.71 0.67 0.66 0.58 0.10 0.27 0.23 0.17 0.36 0.35 0.32 0.39 0.25 0.37 0.34 0.30 0.21 0.46 0.48 0.49 0.486
Margin Stability 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.980
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.96 0.97 1.00 0.97 0.92 1.00 0.98 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.91 0.95 0.91 0.88 1.00 0.99 0.94 0.89 0.890
Earnings Smoothness 0.90 0.91 1.00 0.93 0.78 0.99 0.95 0.98 0.30 0.53 0.51 0.41 0.74 0.87 0.75 0.65 0.99 0.97 0.87 0.76 0.758
ROE Trend -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.06 -0.03 -0.04 -0.02 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.06 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.05 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.018
Gross Margin Trend -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.04 -0.04 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 -0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.02 -0.020
FCF Margin Trend -0.02 -0.09 -0.04 -0.05 -0.00 -0.10 -0.09 -0.15 -0.08 0.10 0.07 0.07 -0.01 0.02 0.05 0.16 0.29 0.10 0.13 0.06 0.057
Sustainable Growth Rate 11.5% 10.2% 11.0% 9.6% 7.3% 8.9% 8.7% 8.8% 16.9% 14.3% 14.0% 16.0% 9.8% 10.0% 8.5% 6.4% 8.1% 6.2% 8.7% 9.7% 9.68%
Internal Growth Rate 11.4% 9.6% 10.6% 9.2% 6.8% 8.1% 8.0% 8.2% 16.7% 13.7% 13.5% 15.8% 9.2% 9.4% 7.9% 5.9% 7.7% 5.8% 8.4% 9.3% 9.33%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.88 0.95 0.94 1.01 1.31 0.89 1.03 0.89 0.71 0.96 0.89 0.76 0.83 0.95 1.04 1.20 1.55 1.22 1.22 1.02 1.023
FCF/OCF 0.86 0.70 0.72 0.70 0.69 0.69 0.60 0.49 0.69 0.79 0.85 0.89 0.81 0.82 0.84 0.88 0.92 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.919
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.941
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.790
CapEx/Revenue 5.0% 11.1% 10.7% 11.8% 13.7% 9.4% 14.2% 15.7% 9.8% 8.7% 5.4% 3.5% 5.6% 6.5% 5.9% 5.0% 4.5% 3.9% 3.7% 3.5% 3.45%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.751
Accruals Ratio 0.02 0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.03 0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.05 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.02 0.01 -0.00 -0.02 -0.06 -0.02 -0.02 -0.00 -0.003
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.010
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.750
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.73%
Dividend/Share $8.80 $8.80 $9.13 $9.13 $9.17 $9.17 $9.59 $9.62 $10.21 $10.25 $11.44 $11.50 $12.82 $13.13 $13.68 $41.52 $28.69 $44.91 $30.81 $33.15 $38.00
Payout Ratio 27.1% 28.4% 27.0% 28.6% 34.3% 29.1% 29.7% 29.3% 18.0% 19.6% 21.0% 18.5% 28.8% 27.7% 31.0% 46.3% 32.0% 48.6% 30.7% 29.0% 28.96%
FCF Payout Ratio 36.0% 42.8% 39.6% 40.1% 38.1% 47.1% 48.1% 66.8% 37.3% 25.7% 27.7% 27.5% 42.5% 35.6% 35.4% 43.6% 22.3% 43.8% 27.3% 30.8% 30.78%
Total Payout Ratio 60.2% 72.0% 67.9% 72.0% 65.0% 29.1% 29.8% 49.1% 42.7% 46.4% 46.7% 39.4% 59.1% 74.1% 81.1% 82.7% 50.5% 48.6% 30.7% 29.0% 28.96%
Div. Increase Streak 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.76 0.79 0.90 0.91 0.96 0.90 0.81 0.83 0.80 0.84 0.82 0.81 0.83 0.82 0.84 0.84 0.86 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.825
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.98 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.97 1.01 1.01 1.07 1.14 1.07 1.16 1.08 1.02 1.022
EBIT Margin 0.53 0.49 0.46 0.43 0.35 0.38 0.43 0.43 0.56 0.53 0.52 0.54 0.43 0.45 0.40 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.43 0.50 0.496
Asset Turnover 0.36 0.32 0.32 0.30 0.29 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.39 0.35 0.36 0.39 0.32 0.32 0.30 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.287
Equity Multiplier 1.12 1.16 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.18 1.17 1.17 1.18 1.19 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.15 1.15 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.135
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $32.51 $31.02 $33.87 $31.94 $26.74 $31.55 $32.24 $32.79 $56.66 $52.37 $54.57 $62.12 $44.59 $47.40 $44.11 $89.76 $89.78 $92.43 $100.35 $114.48 $114.48
Book Value/Share $226.72 $228.58 $238.80 $243.47 $247.21 $269.59 $280.29 $279.76 $297.59 $311.48 $331.29 $344.16 $344.21 $361.40 $374.24 $790.71 $800.49 $809.86 $841.66 $889.54 $1041.61
Tangible Book/Share $205.75 $205.37 $214.50 $219.24 $222.93 $244.48 $250.72 $246.90 $264.23 $281.43 $300.22 $308.13 $306.11 $322.52 $326.40 $696.39 $706.80 $716.74 $727.62 $765.83 $765.83
Revenue/Share $82.17 $80.28 $81.45 $81.18 $80.79 $92.60 $93.40 $94.45 $127.99 $120.82 $131.38 $144.12 $122.73 $127.29 $124.40 $247.83 $246.94 $247.77 $256.84 $273.39 $330.92
FCF/Share $24.46 $20.56 $23.04 $22.75 $24.07 $19.48 $19.94 $14.40 $27.40 $39.83 $41.28 $41.87 $30.18 $36.87 $38.64 $95.18 $128.36 $102.65 $112.67 $107.70 $118.15
OCF/Share $28.60 $29.46 $31.78 $32.35 $35.12 $28.20 $33.17 $29.22 $39.97 $50.36 $48.40 $46.96 $37.11 $45.14 $45.96 $107.56 $139.53 $112.35 $122.27 $117.14 $126.70
Cash/Share $106.60 $113.01 $57.01 $65.23 $55.62 $128.54 $56.54 $54.88 $61.67 $159.52 $81.82 $71.82 $146.58 $167.88 $82.85 $179.57 $220.29 $149.74 $137.37 $126.66 $175.64
EBITDA/Share $47.88 $43.68 $40.87 $38.34 $31.41 $37.93 $43.82 $39.94 $70.89 $64.43 $66.36 $80.66 $55.65 $59.89 $54.72 $104.83 $109.29 $108.52 $123.76 $148.30 $148.30
Debt/Share $2.00 $2.16 $2.14 $2.05 $1.96 $1.84 $1.84 $1.89 $2.44 $2.66 $2.70 $2.69 $2.84 $3.40 $2.62 $13.55 $12.86 $12.74 $13.33 $23.90 $23.90
Net Debt/Share $-104.59 $-110.85 $-54.87 $-63.17 $-53.66 $-126.69 $-54.71 $-52.99 $-59.22 $-156.85 $-79.12 $-69.13 $-143.74 $-164.48 $-80.23 $-166.02 $-207.43 $-136.99 $-124.04 $-102.75 $-102.75
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 2 3 4 5 5 6 5 6 6 5 7 7 4 5 6 5 5 6 6 5 5
Beneish M-Score -1.41 -2.43 -2.38 -2.40 -2.62 -1.88 -2.18 -2.16 -1.00 -2.52 -2.09 -1.75 -2.20 -2.28 -2.36 -2.59 -2.92 -2.57 -2.37 -2.15 -2.149
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -14.696
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 25.15%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $411.88
EVA snapshot only $-1735230308.75
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Q3'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA-
Credit Score 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 82.75 81.50 82.75 81.50 81.50 81.50 81.50 82.75 82.75 82.750
Credit Grade snapshot only 4
Credit Trend snapshot only 1.250
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 100.000

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